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Interface, Inc. (TILE)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 23, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2011 Interface Inc. Earnings Conference Call. My name is Santali and I will be your facilitator for today's call [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today’s call, Mr. Matt Steinberg of FTI Consulting. Please proceed, sir.

Matt Steinberg

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning and welcome to Interface's conference call regarding fourth quarter 2011 results. Joining us from the company are Dan Hendrix, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Patrick Lynch, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Dan will review highlights from the quarter as well as Interface's business outlook. Patrick will then review the company's key performance metrics and financial results. We will then open the call for Q&A. A copy of the earnings release can be viewed under the Investor Relations section of Interface’s website. An archived version of this conference call will also be available through that website. Before we begin the formal remarks, please note that during today's conference call management's comments regarding Interface's business which are not historical information are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from any such statements, including risks and uncertainties associated with the economic conditions in the commercial interiors industry, as well as risks and uncertainties discussed under the heading Risk Factors in Item 1-A of the company's annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 2, 2011 which has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We direct all listeners to that document. Any such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The company assumes no responsibility to update or revise forward-looking statements made during this call and cautions listeners to not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. Management's remarks during the call refer to non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures are contained in the company's results release and Form 8-K filed with the SEC yesterday. These documents can be found on the Investor Relations portion of the company's website www.interfaceglobal.com. Lastly, please note that this call is being recorded and broadcasted for Interface. It contains copyrighted material and may not be rerecorded or rebroadcast without Interface's expressed permission. Your participation on the call confirms your consent to the company's taping and broadcasting of it. With these formalities out of the way, I'd like to turn the call over to Dan Hendrix. Please go ahead, sir.

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Barclays Capital

Thank you and good morning. The fourth quarter marked a continuation of the conditions we saw on the third quarter as raw material pricing and decreased absorption of fixed manufacturing cost due to lower volumes combined to pressure our gross profit margins. From a sales perspective, what we saw in most of our major markets, particularly in the corporate office space can best be described in this way, more as a pause in demand rather than a broad-based decline, as some customers have put their spending plans on hold given the uncertain macroeconomic factors. Nevertheless project activity, particularly in the US and Australia remain robust. We continue to focus on matching our strategy to market conditions and have raised our selling prices, restructured operation and reduced cost, but we could not raise our prices fast enough to make up for the cost increases and a decline in volume. Now let me give you some color on our individual businesses. In the Modular Carpet segment, our US business again posted solid net sales for the fourth quarter and for the full year, it grew 10% during the year and outperformed the overall commercial market. We also are excited by the continued strong performance of FLOR which was up 34% in the fourth quarter over the prior period. During the quarter, we opened new stores in Houston and Brooklyn, bringing our total stores to 7. The stores continued to perform well as part of our overall market approach for FLOR and the FLOR stores are profitable on a direct contribution basis. We will continue to invest in FLOR in 2012 with plans to open 12 additional stores during the year, bringing our total store count to 19 by the beginning of 2013. In Europe, the lag effect I mentioned and our price…

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Barclays Capital

Thank you and good morning everyone. I’ll take a few minutes to talk about the financial results for the fourth quarter. Sales for the fourth quarter increased 2.1% to $270.9 million from $265.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2010. As Dan mentioned, our sales performance reflected moderate growth in the US and European modular markets, somewhat offset by lower sales in Asia Pacific resulting from tough comparisons, particularly in Australia. Gross profit declined by about 3.6 percentage points to 31.7% compared with the fourth quarter of 2010, as the increase in sales was not enough to offset the significant increase in raw material costs the industry experienced during the quarter. During 2011, we saw raw material price increases 7% to 8% representing a headwind of approximately $25 million for the full year. At this point, we’ve seen raw material prices level off in the 2012 first quarter to date and we expect the benefit of our recent pricing actions which started to flow through sales line towards the end of the fourth quarter to begin to take a firmer hold. Our margins were also impacted by lower fixed cost absorption as we lowered production levels by about 6% during the quarter. SG&A expense in the fourth quarter of 2011 increased slightly to $65.5 billion (sic) [million] from $64.3 million last year. As a percentage of sales, SG&A remained flat at 24.2% compared with the year-ago period. Compared sequentially with the third quarter, SG&A expense declined both as a percentage of sales and on an absolute dollar basis reflecting our efforts to reduce expenses to better reflect the demand environment. During the quarter, we incurred a restructuring charge of $6.2 million or $0.06 per diluted share after-tax. These restructuring actions which included headcount reductions as well as cost to exit…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Stephen Kim of Barclays Capital.

John Coyle

Analyst · Barclays Capital

This is actually John Coyle filling in for Stephen Kim. First, I wanted to ask, generally SG&A has been higher in the first half of the year; do you expect that to be the case in since 2012 or should it be flat just because of the cost saves that you have implemented in the fourth quarter?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Barclays Capital

I think SG&A on a comparative basis should be down from 2011. Our SG&A was the lowest in the first quarter last quarter, I think. Then it ramped up from there.

John Coyle

Analyst · Barclays Capital

But in prior years I was just saying typically in the first 2 quarters it’s higher than in the third and fourth quarter?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Barclays Capital

That’s correct, and we expect this year to be down on a year-over-year basis and even down on a sequential basis, fourth and the first in SG&A.

John Coyle

Analyst · Barclays Capital

And then just around the Australian weakness, can you elaborate a bit on what was going on in Australia?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Barclays Capital

Well, the Australian business had 2 things going on. You had a new construction bubble that came through and then the Australian government went through a pretty extensive stimulus plan particularly in education, just about every province in Australia got a new school and we benefited significantly from the ramp up in the education and the new construction buildings come online last year and those 2 stimuluses [stimuli] are now gone, the education stimulus money, the Australian government has eliminated that and so you've got a market that is down probably 10% from last year.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets.

Matthew McCall

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

So I think you said the price, or the inflation was $25 million, I miss the number, the question is what was the price cost, the net price cost pressure in Q4 and then do you have that number for FY ‘11?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

Yes, it was about $25 million raw material price increase for the full year looking back on the full year which was about 7% to 8% raw material price increase for the full year. In the quarter, we saw probably around $4 million related to the differential between pricing and raw materials. I don't have the full year impact here handy, but I can follow-up with you on the full year impact, the selling price versus the raw material costs but in the quarter it was about $4 million.

Matthew McCall

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

And you mentioned that you’ve taken another pricing action; have your competitors followed and is that price matching across all geographies and I guess have competitors followed in all of those markets?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

We’re actually announcing that in March. We haven’t taken it. It’s going to be the first week of March. We haven’t taken it yet. So we haven’t really announced that we’re putting in play in March.

Matthew McCall

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

So that’s why this no improvement expected, you said, Dan, you expect improvements to your gross margins in starting Q2?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

Well, I expected in Q2 we’ll see better activity from a project standpoint to pipeline I alluded to in my calls; it’s fairly robust and its improving and even if you look at the AVI Index that’s also improving. So it’s just going to be very difficult to get corporations to let go of orders. They’ve got projects in the pipeline but they’re not actually letting go of them and when I canvas our sales force, pretty much around the world, except in Europe. If you like, the business is going to get better it’s going to improve based on projects being let go.

Matthew McCall

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

And then the question about your competitors following from a pricing perspective is everybody kind of on the same page?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

I don’t know; I just know that we’re going to control our pricing and our margins and we’re going to go up. I don’t worry too much about what my competitors do on price.

Matthew McCall

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

More broadly, just looking at the competitive landscape, any changes really in any markets from competitors, the share of leaders [ph] is anybody making big moves, anything you can comment about there?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

I would say that the market has always been extremely competitive and it remains competitive, particularly when business is declining, moderating, yes.

Matthew McCall

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

And then just one clarification on the SG&A savings, Patrick I think you said that $9 million of the $11 million will hit SG&A, and so the $3.6 million that you mentioned in the I think that in your senior quote, in the release, $3.6 million is not related to the $9 million, correct?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Matt McCall of BB&T Capital Markets

That’s correct. Those restructuring initiatives were put in place in Q4 and won’t realize the benefit of that until Q1.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

Could you comment on the order trend, I think you were down about 3% in Q4; I heard you comment, if heard it right down about 8% for the first 7 weeks. Did the months of November and December continue to get worse and where do you see that order trend? You commented on Q2 margins being better, is that expectation that order start flattening out there or improving or still likely going to be negative?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

Yes. If you look at the moderating and when it started occurring, it started occurring in October, this past year. December was down in the 6% range and the first 7 weeks were down 8%. There’s a couple of things that are impacting that in my mind. One is that we had Chinese New Year for us that hadn’t hit the, now hit after the first 7 weeks that hit. It hit this year in the first 5 weeks. We have got the China business or even Asia business negatively impacted by that. And I just think there has been a moderating in the commercial space, based on the uncertainty, really, around Europe and the uncertainty around what happened in August was our debt crisis and it just seemed to sort of take the steam out of that marketplace. But when you go to the projects and look at our pipeline, it actually is increasing now. And we’re starting to see potentially some of those projects come through. So I’m hoping that the order trend will improve in the second half of this quarter.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

And Dan, how does that order number look, by region, if you could comment on the first 7 weeks of ’12 between Europe, Asia and the US?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

I would say that Europe is the one I am most concerned about and then Australia continues to have really tough comparables; the record quarter for us in Australia was the first quarter last year. The US is down a little bit but it is not quite down as much as those 2 regions.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

And then you commented on the European plant closure. Is that just a matter of process, in other words the likelihood that it all goes through in the savings you talked about in late this year ‘13, are likely to occur kind of handicap the process?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

I hate the handicap just because we have to go through a consultation with the unions and the employees by process of law. But it is a, we’ve got an excess capacity situation there and if that consultation if we all agree that we should shut that plant down, then we’ll cover that in fact we will make that decision in March.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

And my final question relates to sort of production versus inventory in Q1; obviously the year-over-year inventory is up, the orders are down. So I assume you’re going to be pretty tight on production and that will have a fairly serious impact on earnings or do you have that all?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel, Nicolaus

No, you have that right. But we are going to continue to reduce inventories and production, yes.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Keith Hughes of SunTrust.

Keith Hughes

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

Can you give us the order numbers in the fourth quarter by geography?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

We’re down 3% overall. I mean, historically we haven’t provide a lot of that color but, I mean in general terms, the America was up low single-digits, Europe was down a little bit higher single-digit negative and Asia Pacific was mid-single digits, kind of negative in terms of order trend in the quarter.

Keith Hughes

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

Dan, do you think Europe is it taking other step down or is it just kind of continuing the trend that you saw on the fourth quarter?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

I think, potentially it’s going to take another step down unless something happens with this sovereign Euro issues and I don’t think it is going to get clear yet. We are I think going to do well in Germany, we are going to do well in Eastern Europe, we are do well in Russia and India is part of the European mix, and the Middle East is part of it. The countries that I am worried about are the ones that have crises going on with the debt and in the U.K. we were held on the first quarter in the UK and that is the one that concerns me but there is a lot of construction going on in particularly in London that hits in 2013. So I suspect we are going to see that some tough environment there, going through the first half of the year than improving the second half.

Keith Hughes

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

Okay. Second question on FLOR you talked about the growth in sales, are profitable in FLOR now and how much of a contributor is it?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

We are still losing a little bit of money in the fourth quarter I think we lost about $400,000 but we are ramping up new stores and that is the drag. The stores that are mature, like the Chicago stores is very profitable. Our New York sales store was profitable and on a direct contribution basis it is profitable even though we’ve got 5 stores that are less than 5 months old. So it’s still a drag. Our plan is this year it will start contributing in the second half of the year as we ramp up these stores.

Keith Hughes

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

And I guess, final question on cash flow for Patrick, with $30 million-ish of CapEx you should have some free cash flows here. I know that you’ve brought in those bonds. What do you think that's going to be going in the near-term?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

We will continue to focus on debt reduction as a primary focus. We still have some of the untendered 11 3/8% bonds out there, small piece of that will probably be our next focus after the 9.5%.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Dave MacGregor of Longbow.

Jarrod Rapalje

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

It’s actually Jarrod Rapalje filling in for David. I have first question on gross margin. Two months in the 1Q here you obviously have some clarity on the COGS. How much of an improvement in gross margin should we expect in 1Q relative to 4Q?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

Well, I think if anything, it would be very slight. I think we are struggling to continue to address the price, our selling price raw material delta issue here in early part of Q1. But production levels will be in line with Q4 if not up a little bit, which should help absorption of some fixed manufacturing costs, if anything. So it should be up maybe 50 to 100 basis points, kind of general idea in Q1.

Jarrod Rapalje

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

Okay. With the restructuring that you guys did during the quarter can you give us some specific examples as to how these actions may have disrupted sales growth during the quarter?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

I don't know that the restructuring initiatives that we undertook in Q4 really had much of a top line impact with the exception of the closure of our Japanese sales office there, but it was a relatively small business order of magnitude there, couldn’t be more than a million or 2, top line impact. Most of the restructuring initiatives were focused around the administrative and in marketing areas and so forth. So from a restructuring, top line impact was negligible.

Jarrod Rapalje

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

Okay. You mentioned that Japanese business; is that expected to be breakeven or continuing to sustain losses in 2012?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

No, we should give that back to break even to slightly positive around a new distribution partner that we’ve identified there to service the Japanese market as opposed to our fully owned sale force approach.

Jarrod Rapalje

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

Okay. How much money did you lose in 2011?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Dave MacGregor of Longbow

Couple million bucks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank.

Philip Volpicelli

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

With regard to the cost savings, the $11 million that you mentioned is that going to be equally through the quarters in 2012 or is that backend loaded?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

No, no those are done completed and we should see a pretty ratably through the balance of 2012.

Philip Volpicelli

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

Okay. And then with regard to the price increases, the one in the fourth quarter number and the one that you are proposing from March. If you get both of those in full will that offset the headwinds you based on raw materials or is there still more to go?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

No, that, those are designed to address raw material input cost that we’ve incurred.

Philip Volpicelli

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

Okay. And then last question you’re obviously addressing 9.25% notes. Do you have any plans to address your 11 3/8 that remain outstanding?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

Yes, we do. We will continue to watch those as well as the 7 5/8 that we have as well. We will continue to monitor that and make decisions on both of those.

Philip Volpicelli

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

Is that open market transaction you are looking or you’ll actually do it in adherence…?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Philip Volpicelli of Deutsche Bank

We probably are just looking at open market transactions for now.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company.

Glenn Wortman

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

What is the exact timing and size of your price increase in the fourth quarter and were your comps out there with increases as well, based on that price increase?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

That was 4% in the fourth quarter.

Glenn Wortman

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

Do you know if your comp, compares as well as the price increases as well?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

That’s they did. The compares went up in the fourth.

Glenn Wortman

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

Okay. Was that implemented earlier in the fourth quarter or was it generally the lag effect there?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

The lag effect is generally our backlog which is about 7 to 8 weeks.

Glenn Wortman

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

Okay. And so was that implemented early in the quarter or late in the quarter?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

Sort of 3 to 4 weeks into the quarter.

Glenn Wortman

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

Okay. And then just looking at the raw materials, looks like they kept rising sequentially throughout 2011 but the price of oil had stabilized over the back half of the year. Can you just help us understand the disconnect there?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

There is a phenomena that is going on with engineered plastics where particularly China is sucking all engineering plastics out for the automotive industry. So there is a lot of demand. So you got a demand and a balance with nylon 6 and 66, due to that. If you look at the charge that actually has resided a little bit and those input costs are now starting to turn down.

Glenn Wortman

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

Okay. And you think that sustainable [ph] given the rise in price of oil over the past few weeks or would you expect that your raw material costs to start rising again?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Glenn Wortman of Sidoti & Company

There is not a direct link. There is 2; the rise in oil price has been seen in polypropylene and natural gas, were the things that impacted. And so typically when oil goes up, those will tend to go up but there is more of a demand issue than there is a more cost issue.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Mike Wood of Macquarie.

Adam Baumgarten

Analyst · Mike Wood of Macquarie

This is Adam Baumgarten in for Mike. Couple of quick ones. Can you talk about kind of the tractions you are getting in hospitality and what kind of growth do you see heading in to 2012?

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Mike Wood of Macquarie

Well, hospitality, we have made a big investment last year in hospitality. And we are literally seeing a lot more activity with some of the big name brand hotels, The Hiltons would be one. And I expect that hospitality will finally get off, out of the slow growth scenario we’ve been in and see some pick up in hospitality, particularly in United States. The investments we’ve been making, I think we’re going to get some traction this year.

Adam Baumgarten

Analyst · Mike Wood of Macquarie

Okay, great. And just on the pipeline, it was robust and improving. Can you talk about which, kind of, end markets are seeing the best kind of...

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Mike Wood of Macquarie

Yes, I would say it’s the corporate office market. In United States, there is still a lot of pent-up demand; I alluded on my script of the conference call. We had a, sort of, upturn that we’ve had in any cycle that I’ve ever been involved. 18 months and it turned down. I am referring to the basement [ph] numbers, particularly. And I just think there is a lot of pent-up demand in the office market that’s going to come through as the economic environment in the United States continues to improve and the job market continues to improve. And Australia also. Australia has got a very robust economy as well, prior to the mining industry and I think we’re going to see some good activity with renovation work in Australia as well.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is a follow up from Dave MacGregor of Longbow.

Jarrod Rapalje

Analyst · Longbow

It’s Jarrod again. Just, I don’t know if you differentiated. What was the between corporate office versus institutional end markets in 4Q? How does the sales growths split between those? Was institutional markets down again in 4Q?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Longbow

They were up, but only up slightly and then corporate office market was up mid-single digits.

Jarrod Rapalje

Analyst · Longbow

Okay. So, they’re both positives. Was there any spot or highlighted strength within the institutional end markets?

Patrick Lynch

Analyst · Longbow

None in particular. Education has been surprisingly pretty resilient throughout the whole year.

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Longbow

And retail spaces. Retail spaces has been pretty good as well.

Operator

Operator

At this time, there are no further questions in the queue. I would like to turn the call back over to management for closing remarks.

Dan Hendrix

Analyst · Barclays Capital

Well, thank you for listening to our call and hopefully we’re going to report a lot better numbers in 2012. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today’s conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a wonderful day.