Earnings Labs

Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Sat, Nov 9, 2024

$3.84

+1.46%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Kathleen, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Thryv Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] And now I would like to turn the call over to Cameron Lessard. Please go ahead.

Cameron Lessard

Analyst

Hello, and good day, everyone. Welcome to Thryv's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Please Keep in mind today is November 7, and the company released preliminary unaudited third quarter results on October 29 in conjunction with the -- Keap acquisition announcement. On the call today are Joe Walsh, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Paul Rouse, Chief Financial Officer. A copy of our earnings press release and investor presentation can be found on our website at thryv.com or in the Investors section at investor.thryv.com. Please acknowledge comments made on today's call and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements about the operations and future results of the company. These statements are subject to the risks and uncertainties described in the company's earnings release and other filings with the SEC. Thryv has no obligation to update the information presented on the conference call. With that introduction, I will now turn the call over to Chairman and CEO, Joe Walsh. Joe?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Welcome to Thryv's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. I'm joined today by our CFO, Paul Rouse. Together, we'll present our third quarter results. 10 years ago, our management team was brought in by the Dex Media Board to do a turnaround. The plan was to take the rapidly declining regional directory publisher was declining about $400 million a year at that point and transform it into a market-leading global software company. Each year since we've made steady progress toward that goal. Our superpower, as I've called it, has been hunting in the zoo, converting directory customers and marketing services customers to our modern SaaS software platform, first with CRM run your business tools with solid success. And recently, we've added grow your business functions. Our success with growth elements has sped up our marketing services conversion. The small miss we had in marketing services this quarter was actually a good guy. We cannibalized ourselves. These customers are now on our modern SaaS platform, poised to grow with us into the future. We've guided that we will be a 100% NDR company. These customers expand their spend. In fact, we see 10% to 15% growth in the ensuing year after this conversion. As a multiproduct company, we now see many paths to grow customers once they land on one of our centers. Approximately 12% of our customers are now multicenter. This is a key lever to watch in the future. At $350 million in ARR now, our SaaS business is beginning to show 72% gross margins, 12% adjusted EBITDA margin, 29% growth. This Rule of 40 performance was achieved by hunting in the zoo, converting marketing services customers to SaaS. We've shown we can upsell these accounts. We get referrals from our engaged SaaS clients. While it's in the early stages, our product-led growth strategy is beginning to help us meet new customers. And we gained new customers through acquisitions like the -- Keap acquisition we made last week, which added over 15,000 quality customers. I'll talk more about -- Keap after Paul covers our financial results. Paul?

Paul Rouse

Analyst

Let's dive into our results, beginning with SaaS. SaaS revenue was $87.1 million in the third quarter and above guidance, representing an increase of 29% year-over-year and up 12% sequentially. Our SaaS adjusted gross margin has seen significant growth, increasing by 560 basis points year-over-year and 250 basis points quarter-over-quarter to reach 72.2%. This impressive improvement stems from the continued positive impact of our high-margin SaaS offerings, which have driven a 40% year-over-year increase in SaaS-adjusted gross profits. We're delighted to have surpassed our goal of exceeding 70% in adjusted gross margins earlier than anticipated. This success not only aligns with our strategic objectives, but also positions us strongly for continued future profitable growth. In the third quarter, SaaS adjusted EBITDA was $10.3 million. above our guidance and resulting in a SaaS-adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.8%. As Joe mentioned earlier, we've achieved the Rule of 40, an incredible milestone for our company. This accomplishment reflects a powerful combination of strong growth and expanding EBITDA margins, primarily driven by our strategic product mix initiatives. In the third quarter, we delivered strong SaaS subscriber growth, reaching 96,000 subscribers, up from 70,000 in the prior quarter. This 13% sequential growth and 45% year-over-year increase reflects a successful execution of our accelerated migration strategy, transitioning marketing services clients to our SaaS platform. As we've consistently communicated, getting these customers on our platform is strategically critical as it creates a clear path to upsell through our tiered product offerings. SaaS ARPU for the quarter was $307 compared to $333 for the prior quarter. This temporary pressure on ARPU is a direct result of our successful accelerated migration strategy as we're bringing a substantial volume of customers onto the platform at introductory price points. While this creates some near-term ARPU pressure given the magnitude of the…

Joe Walsh

Analyst

We've long admired Keap as a company. Their automations have been around for a long time and are well used. They are an interesting combination of simple yet powerful, and they work really well. I've gotten to know Co-Founder and CEO, Clate Mask, over the last 7 years or so. We met initially at a conference, and we stayed in touch, talked about the developments within our industry. And over the last sort of 3 years or so, we've been on again, off again talking about this deal and potentially Thryv acquiring Keap. We're really enthused about what Keap does for Thryv because it really does help us with one of our main goals, and that's moving a little bit upmarket. We deal in the very small business group, and we still have a lot of 2, 3, 5, 7 very, very small employee businesses. And we'd like very much to have more 15, 17, 20 employees, a little bit bigger small businesses. And these automations are the kinds of things that a little bit more sophisticated, a little bit bigger business with some managers in there are looking for and something that can really provide benefit. We have many, many of those in our current customer base that we feel that we can sell these automation to. So we think there will be a real revenue lift that comes from having the automation on our deck being able to sell those into our customers. And that more to sell will flatter gross margins and will flatter net dollar retention, and it will help really drive -- drives growth in 2026 and beyond. They also have a partner channel, which is something that we've attempted to build but not been anywhere near as successful as Keap has. Keap has hundreds…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Jason Kreyer of Craig-Hallum.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

Wonderful. Joe, wondering if you could just elaborate on the Keap automations that you had highlighted. Just any more details on exactly how those help the SMB customers. And then I'm curious, if you look at the current base of Thryv SaaS customers, what mix of those would be at the high end of that SMB that would be a good fit for that cross-sell?Â

Joe Walsh

Analyst

So the automations are -- they began as just well, I shouldn't say just, but they began as important marketing automations. But what they've ended up doing is figuring out how to move beyond that to service operations, sales, recruiting, hiring, onboarding, all the things that you need to do kind of repetitively in the business, you can build automations that help bring consistency, precision and excellence to those. And they remind me a little bit -- this is a little bit oversimplification, but remember when you were kids, the mad libs, the long sentence and you'd fill in blanks that would change the whole meaning of the sentence. They're sort of like that, where they've got -- it's a recipe basically. And the recipe is designed and built and you drop in the actions that you want. And so it can be when someone comes to your website and is kicking around, it then begins to nurture them and follow up. It could be when someone fills out a certain form or makes a certain request, kicks off a process. But they are not so big and complicated that you have to have a consultant put them in or a systems automation person drive them. In some cases, that is what happens. I mean, -- Keap obviously works through a very powerful reseller channel and they do a wonderful job. But they're simple and straightforward where somebody who's pretty sharp could figure out how to do it. And then internally, within Keap, they have a team that actually will build these and give service and customize them. So it's -- I think it's hard for a solopreneur, somebody working alone or maybe a 2-person business to probably justify spending hundreds and hundreds of dollars a month on software when…

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Scott Berg of Needham.

Scott Berg

Analyst

So Joe, when we think about the product here going forward, how much of this is going to be just integrating the -- Keap platform with the traditional Thryv platform? Or are you just -- are you going to take more of a true single platform approach where you take their functionality and just maybe rebuild it on top of what you have today?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

I mean we're going to fully and completely integrate everything together. We -- we have approximately a 200-person product and engineering team. They have approximately a 100-person product and engineering team. And we're Keaping the whole thing and leaning in and nourishing it and even putting more investment in. Product is our -- really our highest priority, really making sure our products are best-in-class that they are interoperable with other tools that are out in the marketplace and of course, that they work well together as well. And so we'll be working very fast working on the plumbing to pull everything together and have a unified platform. In the meantime, we will begin to work together like 2 companies that actually aren't connected where they use APIs to go back and forth between the company. So we will try to create some interoperability right away even before all the deep plumbing is done to make everything work. So that's kind of the game plan.

Scott Berg

Analyst

Got it. Helpful. And then your marketing services business the last couple of quarters has had more customers convert to your SaaS business, I think, than maybe what you were expecting at this stage of the cycle and certainly seeing great success retaining those customers on the new platform. But how do we think about those conversions here going forward? Is the last 2 quarters an anomaly? Is this rate kind of the right rate to think about and then obviously, the inverse relationship for those marketing services revenues? Or could that rate actually accelerate and you have more customers -- of those customers even more quickly convert to your SaaS platform?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Yes. I think, Scott, what we've been doing is we've been really focused on it. We've been -- and we're very, very proud of the fact that we were able to transition faster than was our plan a year ago. The way business works when you're you do a budget and a plan, you sort of spend September, October, maybe a little bit of November, perfecting a plan and a budget and you agree with the Board and all that and then you go to work on it. And we're sitting here a year later, and we fully delivered and actually outstripped the plan. We actually are making those conversions faster. So we're -- that was -- as I said in the prepared remarks, it was kind of a good guy. We're really excited about that. So back to your question about what does it look like going forward. I think what you're seeing, and you and I have talked about this, what you're seeing is a lot of the people in marketing services came there because they wanted to grow. They wanted leads, they wanted growth. They wanted to be found. They didn't necessarily come there for operating their business software. And so what we're offering them now are tools to help them grow, tools to help them do better in marketing their business, tools to help them be found and tools to instrument all the marketing that they do and see how it works and sort of eliminate a lot of the waste. And that's something that is attractive and people really like a lot. And so we've had more success than we thought we would. And yes, I think that does mean that the transformation process has picked up speed a little bit from kind of the pace that had been on when we were selling just run your business software because that was a harder conversation to have with somebody that wanted to grow their business. Some actually did want to run their business, but it was a little harder talk track. So that pace has picked up. I do believe if you study the numbers, you'll see when they move over, margins are very strong when they move over into SaaS. And when we look back at the early groups that this transition occurred for, they're spending 10% to 15% more when we look back a year later. So we're growing these. Once we get them on to the new platform, we have a chance to talk to them about where they are in their digital journey and help them along. So I think we're at a key part of the story here. So yes, I do think that we -- that the pace that we cannibalize marketing services will be faster in the coming quarters than it was looking back a couple of years.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arjun Bhatia from William Blair.

Arjun Bhatia

Analyst

Joe, can you -- on Keap, can you just touch a little bit on how you think about the go-to-market motion and how it might evolve with the 2 companies now together? Because it does seem like there's different go-to-market motions where you have a direct motion, -- Keap has a big partner ecosystem. And then along those same lines, where does pricing kind of come into this? Do you sell it as one SKU? Do you sell it as separate SKUs? So just give us some sense of how you're thinking about that at this stage.

Joe Walsh

Analyst

That you really put your finger, Arjun, on the fulcrum here. It's about distribution. Keap has a wonderful partner ecosystem with multiple layers. It's very sophisticated. They're very good at it. They have a big annual conference and a lot of sub conferences, and they just do so much so well there. And so we're -- that's a big piece of what drove this acquisition. We're excited about being able to be a part of that and offering the full catalog of all the -- Keap products and all the Thryv products, which I think will make those partners really happy because they're just going to have a lot more services and products that they can provide to their customers. So it's going to be a real income lift for them. And for us, I think it's going to be a real source of growth and revenue and access to a more sophisticated low churn, really nice market. On the flip, Keap gets access to our about 700-person international sales force. And that's a real positive for them. Keap has a less than 10-person direct sales force. They rely mostly on channel. And their direct team work on inbound leads that come in or leads that go stale out of other channels or whatever, they kind of work in that market. So they haven't really put the amount of emphasis that we do on the direct channel. And so all of a sudden, the Keap products will be able to enjoy the distribution of this very big sales organization that exists and Thrive. And that's one of the things that everybody is really excited about in this process. So I do think distribution is the magic here. And I think it will take us a minute to get it all…

Arjun Bhatia

Analyst

Yes. That's very helpful. And then maybe one, just on the core business and on the Q3 strength in the SaaS offering. The NRR number is quite a surprise to the upside, right? I think maybe my expectations would have been we're still a few quarters away before we get to 100% plus net retention rate. So give us a sense for what's driving that? Is that a surprise to you that it's picked up so quickly? And when we look ahead for the next several quarters, is this a new baseline? Or is there still going to be some variability in that SaaS net retention rate just given some of the accelerated transition that we're seeing from the legacy business?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Yes. As you know, I have guided that we would be right around 100% that I saw that as our -- where we would run over time. And when we were back into the lower or middle 90s, I kept encouraging people that we would get there. It would just take a little while. It's a pretty big business, and it's a pretty big transformation. There's a lot going on. There are a lot of different sales channels. There are a lot of different individual product and product stories that are crisp cross currents that are going on. So it sometimes is hard for me to know with precision what it's going to be the next quarter just because it's a look back a year. It's not when you're looking at this. But yes, we're very comfortable that we will hang out now here. This isn't like a 1 quarter aberration and it's going to go to 92 next quarter. It will be there or thereabouts 100 from now on. Could it shoot a little higher in a few quarters? It could. And I'll tell you why, you're probably in your head thinking through the levers right now. Right now, 12% of our customers are buying more than one center. That number is rising very rapidly. And so that really flatters net dollar retention when people add an additional center. It also really flatters margins. It also really flatters our cost of acquisition and lifetime value. And so it's kind of the power stroke really of when you're building a platform business, and you and I have actually talked about this privately before. You spend all this time, money and energy getting that first product built and getting a nucleus of customers. And then as you begin to add the…

Arjun Bhatia

Analyst

Congrats on getting the deal closed here.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Dan Moore of CJS Securities.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is Will on for Dan. In Marketing Services, should we expect another decline in EBITDA next year related to the timing of book publications similar to what you recorded last year? And overall, what is your confidence that consolidated EBITDA will grow in 2025, including the addition of Keap?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Yes. I'm going to split that question with Paul Rouse, if I can. As I answered earlier, I do think that overall, marketing services decline is going to accelerate a little bit just because we are cannibalizing and we are converting customers quickly and with better products and with better skill and with better precision and with better success than we were before. And I'll just remind everybody that we have a publication schedule where due to the accounting rules, we have to recognize all the revenue at the time of publication. Our publication schedule moves around. So you can't just look at it period-over-period. It's bouncing around based on what books published when. And we've continued to innovate our print product line as it's -- we're in the latter stages of life of the print directories where we've gone from what used to be a 12-month publication, and we had worked our way out to 18 months. We're now working our way out to 24 months. So it's moving these pub dates around. So I'll turn the rest of the question over to Paul to talk about how he thinks about how Marketing Services EBITDA comes through next year and how he thinks about overall. We haven't yet guided for the year. So I don't know if you can answer that one. But Paul, why don't you take that one on?

Paul Rouse

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Joe. Actually, I think you framed it pretty well. It will be down in the first quarter next year for the exact reason Joe said because of the print schedule. So -- and I don't think we're prepared to guide for the full year of 2025 yet, but that at least get you thinking about the first quarter of 2025.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Super helpful. And then how should we think about annualized free cash flow pro forma for the acquisition of Keap?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Paul, I'll let you take that one as well.

Paul Rouse

Analyst

Yes. Again, we're not prepared to guide to 2025 yet.

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Well, you're going to need to come to our Analyst Day, December 3.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rob Oliver of Baird.

Robert Oliver

Analyst

I'll be there. Looking forward to it. Two questions for me. Joe, first for you. Just really helpful when you enumerated some of the reasons for the Keap deal. And one of the things that stood out to us is you guys have made a lot of really value-enhancing acquisitions of Zoo's internationally, but it's obviously expensive for you guys to grow internationally. It looks like Keap has an international presence and a reseller network. So I just wanted to get some more color for you on what that opportunity could look like in terms of being able to more aggressively convert and have a brand presence in some of those international geographies. And then I had a follow-up for Paul.

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Okay. Yes. Well, look, I love this question, and you're thinking like I am. We are very excited about continuing to push out into Europe, certainly, all the English-speaking places are available and some of the other easier languages with more developed economies. And Keap does have about 20% of their revenue in all those places that we're talking about. And they have well-established partners, resellers, agents, people that work with them in those markets that are actively working and selling Keap with good success. So it really is an entry point or a landing ramp for us to go into those markets without maybe having to go in and buy some kind of giant company to help us enter like we did in Australia and New Zealand. And so that is -- that was very high on the list of things that we are excited about. And we think that maybe we can really nourish that, invest in that, build on that and accelerate that -- accelerate our growth in those markets through those entry points.

Robert Oliver

Analyst

That's helpful. And then just on the ARPU call out, obviously, you guys have pointed us to the fact that ARPU would continue to be under pressure. However, Caesars ARPU was strong. I wanted to just parse some of the language around that. So in the past, you guys have said that say, hey, the general economy is causing new customers to come on at lower commitment levels, which totally makes sense given what's going on with the SMB. It sounds like -- and I know you guys have been converting customers more aggressively from the zoo to SaaS. It sounds like now there's more of a stress on the conversion and the incentives around the conversion being more the driver of the ARPU pressure in the near term. So I was just hoping you guys could give us a little bit of color on how we should think about those 2 contributors to the near-term ARPU pressure.

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Yes. I think we put in our little investor deck on our site, I think it's Slide 20, a little illustration to help you with that. And we sort of broke out the overall ARPU number, and we teased out which of it -- looking at local sales. And if you look at local sales, you can see their ARPU has held up just fine. In fact, it's actually growing a little bit. And then you look at this migration and you see it going down a little bit. And part of the reason is that we're trying to sunset some of our legacy technology platforms in marketing services. And remember, we bought a bunch of different marketing services companies. So we've got more than just any one company would have. We've got the old Super Pages stuff, the old deck stuff. We've got the old YP stuff, all these different platforms, the old Vivial stuff that we're looking to try to wind down some of these legacy platforms. Some of them are 20 or more years old. And so they're expensive to maintain, and they don't necessarily have anywhere near the functionality that our modern tech stack and our modern platform have that we're moving people to. So it's a big upgrade for the customer. But back to your question, -- what we've done, and we haven't really talked about this publicly before today, and maybe we can explore it some more at the Analyst Day. But we've sort of come up with a kind of an entry marketing center, like a marketing center starter -- that's kind of a little bit of a strip-down marketing center that we've been using at a price point below the full price to bring people in. So they're not getting the whole…

Operator

Operator

And your last question comes from the line of Zach Cummins of B. Riley Securities.

Zach Cummins

Analyst

A lot of ones that had been asked by previous analysts. But I was just curious about the gross margin progression in the core Thryv SaaS business. I mean, can you talk about the progress on that front? And what's kind of the right way we should be thinking about the pace of margin expansion on that side, especially as you continue to pick up momentum on the multicenter adoption?

Joe Walsh

Analyst

I love this question. We had -- at our last Analyst Day, we had guided that long term or in the planning period ahead, we thought we could drive toward a 75% gross margin. I think at that time, we were in the low 60s. And that was one of the kind of warts on our model for people. And as our volumes grew and as we got bigger and as we became a more mature SaaS company, the margins started rising. And now that we're selling additional sensors into standing accounts, it's really started to rise. And then when you layer in Keap, Keap really flatters our gross margins a lot. Their gross margins were actually quite a bit higher than ours. So as the 2 fold together, I think you'll see continued really strong progress there. And we have plans to update the future guidance in terms of how to think about gross margins at the upcoming Analyst Day. But I wouldn't look for them to go backwards. I think that all the things that are happening as we add centers and upsell and uplift this are going to improve those margins.

Zach Cummins

Analyst

Looking forward to the Analyst Day a little under a month...

Joe Walsh

Analyst

Looking forward to seeing you there.

Operator

Operator

That concludes our Q&A session and today's call. Thank you, everyone, for joining. You may now disconnect.