Daniel J. Cancelmi
Analyst · UBS
Thank you, Trevor, and good morning, everyone. As Trevor mentioned, our second quarter performance demonstrates that many of our strategies are delivering results. We drove outpatient volume growth to 2.5%. Our outpatient growth strategies also contributed to a 13.9% increase in total surgeries, and we grew our emergency department volumes 2.9%. We were especially pleased with our ED growth, as we've made significant investments in ED technology, training and marketing. Also, we have improved throughput times and critical performance measures. Our ED is competing in markets where patients we serve have many care locations to choose from since we only have a few sole provider markets. Patients in our markets have noticed the changes we've implemented, and our investments are paying off as we are being rewarded with increased ED volumes. We've also generated attractive returns from other service line investments. Several examples include solid growth across many of our Targeted Growth Initiatives, including neurosurgery, orthopedic surgery and trauma. Our neurosurgery business had a great quarter as we grew this volume 14%. The success of these targeted investments is visible in the 1.4% acuity increase we reported for the quarter, as we have generated acuity increases in every pair class. Conversely, a large portion of our volume decline was in lower acuity services. However, despite those successful trends, we still experienced softer volumes than we had expected with admissions and adjusted admissions declines of 3.5% and 0.7%, respectively. The softer-than-anticipated inpatient volume environment led us to conclude that it was necessary to moderate our aggressive growth assumptions in the second half of the year. These volume headwinds were confined to the inpatient side, with our outpatient business increasing by 2.5%, with about 40% of this growth being organic. Our outpatient growth strategies, including both de novo development and acquisitions, continue to achieve our objectives. Since the beginning of 2009, we have more than doubled our outpatient centers from 63 to 129. By the end of next year, we expect to add another 45 to 50 new centers, including a continued focus on Ambulatory Surgery Centers, which have a more significant impact on our earnings. Outpatient centers separately licensed from our hospitals are one example of the projected growth drivers of our outpatient strategies. We anticipate growing the EBITDA of our separately licensed centers to an annual earnings run rate of about $100 million by the end of 2014. This represents a significant increase over the current run rate of $60 million. This outpatient strategy requires lower capital levels and strong margins, in fact, 30%-plus margins in many centers, and positions us to benefit from advances in technology and evolving consumer preferences. Our outpatient focus is driving an increasing percentage of our business to outpatient settings, which now represent 35% of our net patient revenues. We are investing in these businesses to both leverage our existing hospital markets and to enter new attractive markets. Although we're not satisfied with our volume levels, our other major drivers of performance are at levels equal to or exceeding our initial objectives. This includes our achievements on pricing, cost efficiency, our HIT system implementation initiative and bad debt management. You should take special note of the strength of our focus on identifying further cost efficiencies, which is becoming increasingly evident in our cost structure. Our hospital supply costs had a slight uptick of just 0.2% per adjusted patient admission, another proof point of our commitment to disciplined spending. We were very pleased with our supply management, especially given our higher acuity and surgical volume growth in the quarter. Total operating expenses of our hospital operations on a per adjusted admission basis only grew 0.9%, excluding expenses related to incremental physician employment. Turning to revenues. We grew our net revenue 6.9% over last year's second quarter. This growth was primarily due to negotiated commercial pricing increases, our outpatient development strategies and a significant ramp-up in Conifer's revenues. These positive trends helped offset the headwinds on the revenue line from soft inpatient volume levels. We generated strong pricing growth of 3.2% in inpatient revenue per admission and 3.7% per patient day. Our outpatient pricing was also solid, with a 4.1% increase in revenue per visit. From a commercial pricing perspective, we increased our commercial managed care revenue per admission and per day 4.7% and 6.3%, respectively. We achieved even more favorable commercial outpatient pricing growth, which increased by 6.9% per visit. Speaking of pricing, the benefits from the Affordable Care Act will begin to be captured in the near future, and we are entering what I would call the homestretch of the prelaunch exchange negotiations. We have signed more than 40 contracts for exchange products, and we have entered into at least one exchange contract at every one of our hospitals. Our exchange contracting objectives are about 80% complete, and I would like to thank our team for the hard work getting us to this point. As we have previously discussed, our exchange contracts utilize existing commercial pricing methodologies, which means that our contracts are not based on Medicare pricing, and many of our exchange contracts are at full commercial pricing. With limited exceptions, we are not accepting discounts from full commercial pricing unless we receive a form of narrow or tiered networks. These exchange-based plans limit deductibles and have no annual or lifetime caps. As a result, we believe these exchange plans will be more attractive for our patients and to us than many of our existing commercial plans. We are implementing various initiatives across our markets to engage, educate and enroll uninsured individuals in the communities served by our hospitals. These efforts include targeted advertising, community outreach and education and enrollment events. As you know, we have concentrations of hospitals in states that historically have had a high number of uninsured patients. We are focusing our efforts in those areas to increase enrollment and build awareness among the soon-to-be newly insured about our hospitals, outpatient centers and physician practices. Turning to Conifer. We are pleased with our Conifer services business continues to maintain tight control of our bad debt levels. Conifer's performance has contributed to a modest improvement in our uninsured collection rates, and our bad debt as a percentage of revenue barely moved despite a $15 million increase in uninsured revenues. Conifer's revenues doubled in the quarter from $108 million to $219 million, and its EBITDA increased by 12% to $28 million. As you know, Conifer is still in the midst of its revenue cycle implementation with Catholic Health Initiatives. We are very pleased with the CHI partnership, and the implementation process is going very well. We believe another indicator that the relationship with CHI is progressing smoothly was CHI's recent selection of Conifer to begin providing value-based care services and managing the revenue cycle for 10 new hospitals. Turning to cash flows. Year-to-date, we have generated net cash provided by operating activities of $128 million, down from $201 million last year. This variance is largely due to a timing issue related to cash collections from the California Provider Fee program and the Texas 1115 waiver program, as well as accelerated interest payments related to the repurchase and refinancing of some of our debt. Under our current $500 million share repurchase program that began in the fourth quarter of 2012, so far, we have repurchased 7.9 million shares for $292 million at an average repurchase price of $37.20 per share, with approximately 2 million of those shares repurchased in the second quarter. Since mid-2011, our average price for all share repurchases, including the exchange of preferred stock, is $24.06 per share. We've invested $984 million to repurchase almost 41 million shares, which is approaching 30% of our fully diluted share count at the beginning of the program. We believe, and from what we have heard from many of you, this has been a very successful capital allocation program for our shareholders. To wrap things up, we had a solid second quarter and first half of the year. We are expecting our second half of the year to be stronger than the first half with projected EBITDA growth of 9%. However, this is not as robust a ramp-up as we had projected in our initial outlook. Even with the volume headwinds, we are expecting EBITDA growth of approximately 6% for the year, which compares favorably to the growth projected by our peers. We have tremendous opportunities in front of us with the Vanguard integration, the volume growth and bad debt savings related to the implementation of the Affordable Care Act and the increasingly visible returns from our investments in technology, service line development and physician alignment. Now I will ask the operator to open the call up for our question-and-answer session. Operator?