Trevor Fetter
Analyst · an EBITDA perspective
Thank you, Tom, and good morning, everyone. Let me start by saying we were pleased with our earnings in the first quarter, given that it was one of the industry's weakest volume quarters in memory. Adjusting for the rural floor settlement in last year's first quarter, Tenet's EBITDA grew by a very strong 17% and came in above the midpoint of our outlook range for the quarter. Credit for this is due to our operators and team here in Dallas. They recognize the volume problem soon after it started, and made quick adjustments to our cost structure. In January we produced a solid start to the quarter, but volumes became soft in February and even softer in March. Fortunately, we've gotten back to more normal trends in April. Given this early indication that our volume trends have been restored and given our demonstrated ability to offset soft volumes with swift action on the cost front, we are reconfirming our EBITDA outlook range of $1,325,000,000 to $1,425,000,000. The calendar-related factors, which suppressed year-over-year comparisons, like leap year in 2012 and the timing of religious holidays in 2013, contributed about half of the 400 basis-point submission decline in the first quarter. The remaining decline of about 200 basis points appears to have been caused by consumer caution driven by pocketbook factors like higher co-pays and deductibles, lower paychecks due to the payroll tax and soft economy in general. Conifer's excellent systems provide us with some interesting insights into the financial responsibilities of patients in our hospitals. Between 2010 and 2012, we saw a 25% increase in the number of commercially insured patients with high deductible plans, meaning co-pays and deductibles in excess of $1,200 for an individual. We know that patients with high deductible plans suppress their utilization of Healthcare Services, particularly early in the year. Looking at our own employees, most of whom choose our high deductible plan, we saw a 3.5% reduction in hospital admissions last year. This 3.5% decline undoubtedly understates the first-year impact as many of our employees had already moved to high-deductible plans in 2011. While of the features of many of these high-deductible plans have been a headwind for providers, it's important to note that according to a recent study, the design of about 1/3 of the individual plans being sold today don't meet the requirements of the Affordable Care Act. I'm referring to deductibles, annual caps, lifetime caps and covered benefits. It's not possible to quantify the impact today, but each of these plan design features represent an area in which payers have enabled employers to transfer financial risk to patients and providers. Changing these features as of the beginning of 2014 is an important and underappreciated positive impact that the ACA will have on our ability to get paid for the services we provide. Our outpatient business performed well. In an environment in which the consumer feels squeezed, I like our strategy of having an increasing part of our business being delivered in a lower-cost, more affordable setting. Once again, we generated strong emergency department volume growth, with visits up 3.1%. The less discretionary nature of ED visits is more evidence that financial pressure on the consumer is the primary driver of pressure on inpatient volumes. We did not see and aggregate increase in observation cases, although some of our markets did experience pressure on admissions growth from higher observation rates. But in the aggregate, ops didn't drive outpatient up or inpatient down. Acuity increased by 1.6% in Q1 because we lost volume in some low acuity services and gained volume in some high acuity services. 2/3 of our admissions decline came from 4 business lines with a weighted average acuity of just 0.82. These included OB/GYN, gastrointestinal medicine, cardiovascular medicine and psychiatric services. Fortunately we had growth in certain higher acuity service lines such as neurosurgery, spinal fusion and bariatric surgery. These service lines were part of our Targeted Growth Initiative and stronger acuity contributed to earnings growth in the unusually soft volume environment of Q1. Commercial pricing remains solid and on track to achieve increases of 5% to 7% that we assumed in our outlook for 2013. Commercial managed care revenue per admission increased 7.6%. We continue to sign contracts with payers for products to be sold on the exchanges. At this point, we've entered into exchange contracts covering 60% of our hospitals, double the coverage that we had a couple of months ago. All of our exchange contracts utilized existing commercial methodologies and in the aggregate, the pricing for these exchange products remains broadly in line with commercial pricing. To my point earlier about plan design, keep in mind that these plans will have design features that are more favorable from a provider perspective than the typical individual plans in our commercial book today. Cost control continues to be outstanding. For the seventh quarter in a row, we reported a decline in supply cost per adjusted admission. This is solid evidence that our Medicare Performance Initiative or MPI continues to achieve its performance milestones. This year, we've renamed MPI the Performance Excellence Program to reflect a broader emphasis than MPI across all payers and incorporating clinical practice, as well as cost control in the mission of the program. We are essentially taking the cost reduction and process improvement discipline at Tenet to a new level. Our cost metrics this quarter also reflect our investments in advanced clinical systems. The impact of these investments was more visible in Q1, as no offsetting HIT incentives were recorded in the quarter. We're pleased with how our Conifer services business continues to control our bad debt levels. Our collection rate showed modest improvement, and if you remove the rural floor settlement from last year's revenue, our bad debt as a percentage of revenue barely moved. Conifer's revenues nearly doubled in the quarter from $107 million to $211 million, and EBITDA increased nearly 30%. We're very pleased with the organic growth at Conifer, as well as the new businesses we acquired in 2012. Conifer's integration of the Catholic Health Initiatives business remains on track, and we are achieving key performance milestones on this transformative project. As anticipated, the CHI business did not have a significant impact on EBITDA growth in Q1, but we expect the contribution to gain momentum and visibility toward the end of the year with a more meaningful contribution in 2014. Now for additional insights, I'll turn the floor over to our Chief Financial Officer, Dan Cancelmi. Dan?