Trevor Fetter
Analyst · Kevin Fischbeck with Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Great. Thank you, Tom, and good morning, everybody. Our performance in the first quarter got us off to a solid start for 2012. Here are some highlights. Adjusted admissions increased by a strong 2.8% against the tough comp of over 2%. That is stronger growth than all but one company in our peer group and it's also our sixth consecutive quarter of growth. We achieved a 6.6% increase in surgeries, which is the best performance in our peer group this quarter. This growth came from both inpatient and outpatient surgeries. We grew ER visits by 5.2%, indicating that we're gaining share. We continued to realize commercial pricing increases in our targeted range of 5% to 7%. And as we demonstrated, once again, strong cost controls, including a 2.2% decline in supply cost per adjusted admission. Those are the operational highlights. In addition, the Medicare rural floor settlement exceeded our expectations and provided us with $77 million of earnings in the quarter for a total EBITDA of $314 million. This result exceeded virtually all analysts' estimates and the consensus. The consensus was distorted by a wide range of estimates, some of which included settlements and some of which did not. The most accurate way to look at our performance in the quarter, however, is that it fell short of our expectations by $15 million. Here's why. Our expectation for the quarter's EBITDA, excluding settlements and SSI, was $254 million. That would have been our point estimate in February when we said that Q1 would be roughly 1/5 of the full year. We came in x settlements and SSI at $239 million. Now while that was above the low end of the guidance that we gave you in February, it was $15 million short of our expectation at the middle of the range. The $15 million shortfall versus our guidance was created by 4 hospitals, each in a different region. The issues of the 4 hospitals are well defined and fixable, and Britt Reynolds and our regional and local management teams are already addressing the issues. Turning to volumes. We're very pleased once again to report some of the strongest volume growth statistics in the sector. We grew adjusted admissions by 2.8% due to strong performance on the outpatient side of the business, where about 75% of the growth was organic. That's much stronger organic growth than in recent quarters. Surgeries grew by 6.6%, driven by strength in both inpatient and outpatient. We're very pleased with the organic growth of our existing outpatient surgery business and the strategic decision to augment that growth through acquisitions. Volumes in our emergency departments remained strong, growing by more than 5%, fairly evenly across all payer classes. This provides compelling evidence that our historical investments in ER facilities, technology, throughput and service are helping us gain market share. As you've heard on other conference calls, it was a very light flu season. Normalizing even to last year's light flu season would have added 30 basis points to admissions growth. Acuity was slightly softer in the quarter with our Case Mix index declining by less than 1% to 1.33. Commercial CMI had a slightly better trend than our aggregate acuity. It's interesting to note that the largest declines in acuity were among our uninsured and charity patients. Turning to service lines. We saw a significant strength in orthopedic and spinal surgery, major trauma and G.I. disorders relative to the first quarter of 2011. These service lines were all targeted as part of our targeted growth initiative. We've been working on building these service lines for years, and it's extremely gratifying to see this growth. Steve Newman, who is with us here today, will have retired prior to our second quarter call, so I'd like to recognize him for the targeted growth initiative. It's something that he piloted in California some years ago and it, along with our other strategic initiatives, are major drivers of the improved performance that we've generated. These initiatives drove our 15% compound annual growth rate in EBITDA since 2004. Returning to a review of the quarter. We continue to meet our pricing objectives, which include an increase in net inpatient revenue per patient day of 2.1% and a 5.5% increase in commercial inpatient revenues per patient day. On the outpatient side, net revenue per visit increased by 2.3% and commercial revenues per outpatient visit increased by 7.1%. We also continue to have excellent visibility into our future commercial pricing. We've completed contract negotiations for approximately 95% of 2012 and 40% of our 2013 expected commercial revenues. Selected operating expenses were well controlled, increasing by just 1.9% for adjusted admission. Our Medicare Performance Initiative or MPI continues to drive incremental cost savings. One of the areas where these MPI savings are particularly visible is in our supplies expense line item, which declined by 2.2% per adjusted admission. Our bad debt ratio was 7.6%, a sequential quarter decline of 10 basis points. Our overall collection rates are essentially flat year-over-year and sequentially. In terms of cash, we typically have significant outlays in the first quarter due to the timing of our compensation and benefit expenses, including 401(k) and annual incentive payments. Net cash usage by operating activities in the first quarter of 2012 was $42 million compared with $2 million in the first quarter of 2011, an increased cash usage of $40 million. Last year, we had cash proceeds from the California Provider Fee program that were $43 million greater than the proceeds this year. So normalizing for this timing difference, cash from operations was basically flat year-over-year. We invested $136 million in capital expenditures in our businesses in the first quarter, and we used $26 million to repurchase 5.3 million shares of common stock. This purchase completed the $400 million program that we announced a year ago. In the aggregate, this program retired 81 million shares or 17% of our prior share count at an average price of $4.94 per share. As you know, we repurchased roughly 90% of our mandatory convertible preferred stock at the end of April. This removed an overhang of up to 51 million incremental common shares. Without the repurchase, we would have had to issue those shares in October. I'm very pleased that following this transaction, both S&P and Moody's reaffirmed and Fitch upgraded their ratings on Tenet's debt. The stock buyback and repurchase of the preferred speak to our confidence in the future financial performance and value of the company. We saw a compelling opportunity to enhance shareholder returns, and we took prompt and aggressive action. Eliminating these shares brings our total reduction in share count to almost 25% of the fully diluted share count from a year ago. We have now 411 million shares outstanding and 434 million shares on a fully diluted basis. As you saw in our pre-release and as we reconfirmed from this morning, we raised our 2012 outlook for adjusted EBITDA by $25 million to a new range of $1,250,000,000 to $1,375,000,000. We expect the quarterly pattern of earnings in 2012 to be weighted toward the second half of the year, which is largely the result of California Provider Fees and Health IT incentive payments that we expect to recognize in the fourth quarter. Additional items which will contribute to the growth of earnings in the second half of 2012 include the closing and integration of incremental outpatient acquisitions, additional cost efficiencies from the Medicare Performance Initiative and enhanced patient volumes from the new physicians we've added and our adding to our medical staff. A big contribution should also come from getting the 4 hospitals, which were below budget in Q1, back on track. As we stated in the pre-release, our second quarter outlook for adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in a range of $225 million to $250 million. To briefly summarize, we achieved stable inpatient volumes and impressive growth in outpatient volumes in the quarter, performing very well in comparison to our peer group. I'm extremely pleased with our growth in surgeries and ED volumes, and I'm greatly encouraged by the growth that we achieved in our targeted service lines. Commercial pricing trends continue to be favorable. Costs remain well controlled. And while bad debt expense remains elevated as you would expect in a soft economic environment, it remains stable and within our anticipated range. While I've mentioned several drivers of our margin growth, I haven't mentioned how we're tracking on our Health IT, Conifer or our outpatient acquisition strategies. Our Health IT initiative is proceeding on time and on budget. In addition to the 7 implementations that we completed last year, we completed 7 more just in the first quarter. Conifer continued to meet its performance milestones, and we remain pleased with the strong pipeline we've identified in outpatient acquisition opportunities. So that's it for my prepared remarks. I'm joined here by Britt Reynolds, our President of Hospital Operations; Dan Cancelmi, our Chief Accounting Officer; and other colleagues who are ready to answer your questions. So operator, please begin the Q&A portion of the call.