Earnings Labs

Target Corporation (TGT)

Q1 2019 Earnings Call· Wed, May 22, 2019

$127.18

-1.99%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+2.37%

1 Week

+3.65%

1 Month

+11.81%

vs S&P

+9.01%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Target Corporation first quarter earnings release conference call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, Wednesday, May 22, 2019. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. John Hulbert, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

John Hulbert

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our first quarter 2019 earnings conference call. On the line with me today are Brian Cornell, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; John Mulligan, Chief Operating Officer; Mark Tritton, Chief Merchandising Officer; and Cathy Smith, Chief Financial Officer. In a few moments, Brian, John, Mark and Cathy will provide their perspective on our first quarter performance, our outlook and progress on our long-term strategic initiatives. Following their remarks, we'll open the phone lines for a question-and-answer session. This morning, we're going on this conference call by investors and others who are listening to our comments via webcast. Following the call, Cathy and I will be available to answer your follow-up questions. And finally, as a reminder, any forward-looking statements that we make this morning are subject to risks and uncertainties, the most important of which are described in our SEC filings. Also in these remarks, we refer to non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted earnings per share. Reconciliations of all non-GAAP numbers to the most directly comparable GAAP number are included in this morning's press release, which is posted on our Investor Relations website. With that, I'll turn it over to Brian for his thoughts on our first quarter performance and our outlook for the rest of the year and beyond. Brian?

Brian Cornell

Analyst

Thanks, John. We're really pleased with our first quarter financial performance, which reflects continued progress on the strategic initiatives we began rolling out more than 2 years ago. Since that time, we've seen a meaningful acceleration in our business. In fact, the first quarter marked Target's eighth consecutive quarter of comparable sales increases. In the first quarter, comparable sales growth of 4.8% was a bit ahead of our expectations. As Mark will cover in more detail, this was driven by broad strength across all our merchandising categories, particularly in Toys and Baby. We also saw strength across channels in the first quarter. Store comparable sales were up 2.7% while comp digital sales were up 42%, adding 2.1 percentage points to the company's comp growth. As John will cover in more detail, we're seeing a really positive guest response to our same-day digital fulfillment services, which drove well over half of our digital sales growth in the quarter. Our ability to offer these same-day services, which deliver high levels of satisfaction, is a result of our strategy to put stores in the center of fulfillment. In fact, our stores handled more than 80% of our first quarter digital volume, including all of our same-day options combined with digital orders shipped directly from stores to guests' homes. Across both our stores and digital channels, sales growth continues to be driven primarily by traffic. Specifically in the first quarter, comp traffic was up a very healthy 4.3% on top of 3.7% a year ago. On the bottom line, our first quarter performance was also stronger than expected. Against an expectation for a slight rate decline, our operating margin rate increased about 20 basis points in the quarter. This performance reflected the benefit of disciplined expense control combined with a favorable mix of digital…

John Mulligan

Analyst

Thanks, Brian. As you know, for several years now, we've been focused on building and rolling out a comprehensive set of digital fulfillment capabilities, allowing us to provide our guests a convenient fulfillment option for every shopping journey. As a result of those efforts, Target now offers more digital fulfillment options across more of the country than anyone else in retail. Think about it, when guests are planning on being out in their neighborhood, they can shop on their digital device, and we hand them their order in an hour or 2. We offer in-store pickup in every one of our 1,851 locations, and we walk the order out to the parking lot in more than 1,250 of them. There are no fees for either of these same-day options. And of course, guests in more than 1,500 stores across more than 250 markets can order from Target through our Shipt personal shopping service and have their order delivered to their front door, kitchen table even their refrigerator if they want in only an hour or 2. Shipt offers unlimited free same-day deliveries from Target and more than 50 other retailers across the country for a $99 annual fee. There are nearly 100,000 Shipt shoppers delivering orders across the country today, and it's still growing rapidly as we welcome new marketplace partners and expand into new markets. In dense urban areas where we're building small-format stores, we offer a service in which guests who shop in store can ask us to hold their basket at checkout and deliver to their front door later that same day in a time window of their choosing. For this service, we charge a flat fee of $7 with no annual fee, and our guests love it. Once we solve the problem of carrying the order…

Mark Tritton

Analyst

Thanks, John. As Brian mentioned earlier, we are really pleased with the quality and breadth of the growth we've been seeing across our business, and that is certainly true of our category performance. For more than a year now, we've been seeing broad sales strength and market share gains across multiple dimensions, including both our style and frequency businesses during holiday periods and in between, across both owned brands and national brands and all 5 of our core merchandising categories. Across our core categories, we saw the strongest first quarter growth in our Essentials and Beauty and Apparel categories, both of which saw comp growth of more than 5%. In Essentials and Beauty, which comped more than 7%, results were led by Baby, over the counter and Beauty and Cosmetics. In Apparel & Accessories, we saw particular strength in intimates and sleepwear, Baby and swim. Among our other core categories, comp growth was about 3% in each of our Food and Beverage, Home and Hardlines categories. Within Food and Beverage, we saw growth in every subcategory, but it was the strongest in adult beverages, which comped mid-teens this quarter. In Home, results were led by kitchenware, storage and décor. And in Hardlines, results were led by double-digit growth in Toys. To build on this strong performance, we continue and invest in newness and differentiation both in existing brands and by launching new ones across our curated assortment. In the first quarter, we completely transformed our assortment presentation in intimates and sleepwear and launched 3 new brands: Auden, Stars Above and Colsie. All 3 of these new brands are size inclusive and designed to make guests at any age feel confident and comfortable. In addition to launching these brands, we redesigned both the digital and in-store shopping experience in ways designed…

Catherine Smith

Analyst

Thanks, Mark. As Brian mentioned, our first quarter financial performance was ahead of our expectations on both the top line and the bottom line. Our comparable sales growth of 4.8% was on the strong end of our expectations for a low to mid-single-digit increase, and our EPS of $1.53 was just beyond the top end of our expected range. Store comparable sales growth of 2.7% drove just over half of the total company comp, while comparable digital growth of 42% contributed another 2.1 percentage points. Among the components of comparable sales, first quarter traffic growth of 4.3% was the primary driver, combined with an increase in average ticket of 0.5%. Our first quarter gross margin rate of 29.6% was about 20 basis points lower than last year. Among the drivers, digital fulfillment and supply chain costs accounted for about 50 basis points of pressure, which was offset by about 30 basis points of benefit from merchandising initiatives implemented by Mark and his team. Our first quarter SG&A expense rate of 20.8% was about 30 basis points better than a year ago. This rate improvement was better than expected and driven by a number of factors, including a small benefit from the timing of marketing expense compared with last year, along with cost efficiencies in our technology operations. Overall, we saw excellent cost control across the company, which allowed us to offset continued pressure from higher wages across the country. As expected, we also saw a small leverage benefit on depreciation and amortization expense in the quarter. Altogether, our first quarter operating income margin rate was about 20 basis points better than a year ago and better than our expectation for a small rate decline. As a result, first quarter operating income dollars were 9% higher than a year ago. Interest…

Brian Cornell

Analyst

Thanks, Cathy. In a moment, we'll move to your questions, but I want to spend a minute and wrap-up with what we covered today. And what I hope you've heard today is that we're really happy with the path we're on, a path again well over 2 years ago. And today, our business is generating strong performance across the board from traffic and sales to operating income and EPS. To get to where we are today, we decided to make some bold changes over the last couple of years, but I want to emphasize something important about those decisions. When we made them, we explicitly focused on taking a different path than our competitors. We said we would open stores when others were closing them. We said we'd invest billions of dollars in our shopping experience and in our team when others were pulling back. We said we'd use our stores as digital hubs because it delivers speed and convenience for our guests, and it aligns with our digital strategy. We said we'd invest in differentiation when others were simply looking for scale. And we said we'd maintain our balanced, multi-category assortment, one that's unique in U.S. retail. So when we get asked today why aren't you doing what others are doing? The answer always starts with the fact that we're not trying to be like everyone else. At Target, we perform best when we're pursuing our own path, not when we are chasing someone else. And our first quarter performance is a clear example of the benefit of that approach. So with that, I want to thank you for your time today. And now we'll move to your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Edward Yruma with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Sarah McCann

Analyst

Great. This is Sarah McCann on for Ed. Can we click down on where you saw the cost savings in the tech expense bucket that drove some of the SG&A leverage in the quarter. And then how would you score your ability to offset those digital fulfillment and supply-chain costs going forward?

Operator

Operator

We are experiencing technical difficulties. You will hear silence until the conference resumes. [Technical Difficulty]

Operator

Operator

Thank you all for standing by. The call will now resume. And our first question was coming from Edward Yruma with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Sarah McCann

Analyst

This is Sarah McCann on for Ed. We were just hoping to click down a little bit more on where you saw the cost savings and the tech expense bucket that drove some of the SG&A leverage in the quarter. And then how do you score your ability to offset those digital fulfillment and supply-chain costs going forward this year?

Catherine Smith

Analyst

Sarah, I'll quickly answer that. This is Cathy. As we said on the -- in the prepared remarks, we did see some favorability in our tech operations. As you know, they continue to be working on just the most important things and then being really effective and efficient in their work. So that's providing some benefit. We saw some general cost control across the entire company. We saw some marketing timing, and we saw that being offset by some of the wage pressure we were seeing. All of that said, plus 30 basis points improvement in year-over-year SG&A.

Brian Cornell

Analyst

And Sarah, why don't I have John Mulligan spend a few minutes talking about the benefits that we're seeing as fulfillment moves to some of our same-day services.

John Mulligan

Analyst

Yes, I think the thing we're most excited about in the digital business, Sarah, is that just guest preference, as we observe it, the fastest-growing things -- the fastest-growing services we provide are in same day, that's Order Pickup, Drive-Up and Shipt. Those are also our most profitable services that we provide through the digital channel. So as they continue to grow meaningfully faster than the rest of digital, we expect our digital profitability to improve. So we're really excited because the guest preference is meeting up with exactly the capabilities we have, and they happen to be the most economically feasible for us going forward.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Chuck Grom with Gordon Haskett.

Charles Grom

Analyst · Gordon Haskett.

Congrats on a good quarter. Just to follow up on that. John, the digital fulfillment cost have been kind of running in the roughly 50 bps -- 70 basis points of pressure over the past few quarters. Would you expect that to begin to abate given that the penetration of the more profitable parts of the digital business are going to start to grow? And then, Cathy, just as a follow-up, could you just review the second quarter margin assumptions again for us? I know you're saying slight leverage on the operating margin line, but I didn't hear the exact components across gross margins, SG&A and depreciation.

Catherine Smith

Analyst · Gordon Haskett.

Yes. Let me start. So for second quarter, we said that we would see slight leverage in our operating income margin, so just a little bit there, and relatively small changes in all 3 of the subcomponents, so think gross margin, SG&A and depreciation. So pretty much just a pretty consistent quarter where we're already expecting to be supported by that top line of low to mid-single digit. And then it'll end up in a mid-single-digit increase in op income dollars. So pretty much consistent with what we just said.

John Mulligan

Analyst · Gordon Haskett.

And I think, Chuck, stepping back from perhaps the basis points of gross margin. I think we've been very consistent in saying that we see great benefit in using the stores as hubs. I think that's where we see we're able to bring great speed to our consumers. Same day, we just talked about that. Next day, 2 day, whatever it is, we can do all that through the stores. It's faster and it's more efficient for us from an economic perspective. So we feel really good about the path we're on. We feel great that same day is growing much, much faster than digital and the benefits that will bring to us economically. So we think we've got a really good path forward to continue to build on what we've already built from a capabilities perspective.

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Gordon Haskett.

Yes. Chuck, let me add on. I think you should expect to see our Q1 performance really serve as a proxy for our performance over the balance of the year. Low to mid growth in comps, mid-single-digit improvement in operating income and high single-digit improvement in EPS, and I think that's going to be kind of the pattern for the balance of the year.

Catherine Smith

Analyst · Gordon Haskett.

I think to summarize there, too, we just grew digital at 42%. And we grew op income dollar and rate both expanded.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Edward Kelly with Wells Fargo.

Edward Kelly

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Nice quarter. I just wanted to -- I want to start with comps. Can you just give a little bit more color on cadence of comps throughout the quarter, especially the choppy start and the better finish, what you're seeing so far in Q2? And then I wanted to ask about second quarter guidance and how you're thinking about this comparison. Low to mid singles is an acceleration even at the low end, and you left the possibility of the high end open, which is, I guess, remarkable to know. Can you just maybe talk about the optimism behind that as well?

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Yes, and I'll start. I know we saw very consistent performance throughout the quarter. Actually, we talked about in our prepared comments some strength that we saw from a digital standpoint as we exited the quarter. But across our entire portfolio, we saw market share gains, very consistent comp performance both in-store and from a digital standpoint. And we expect that to continue in Q2. We did during -- wisely, as we talked about guidance. We're now going to lap the closures of TRU in the second quarter, so we'll see some moderation in the growth that we've experienced in Toys and Baby. But I think we have a very clear plan for the balance of the year going into the second quarter. We're very confident that we're going to continue to see market share gains and a consistent rhythm of comp increases, operating income improvement and that's going to flow through to EPS. So a very consistent set of performance drivers throughout the quarter that'll extend into Q2.

Edward Kelly

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

And just one follow-up on Chuck's question about the gross margin. If we think about the impact of fulfillment on the margin relative to the dollar growth that you're seeing in digital, that relationship, I guess, seems to be improving. And I guess could you maybe just talk about the underlying efficiency in terms of what's happening with orders that are sort of filled year-over-year as well as how the mix is impacting that line item? And how we should sort of think about the opportunity for improvement going forward there?

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Well, I'll go back to some of the points that John made during our March Investor Conference. As we move digital fulfillment from upstream DCs to stores, we see a significant reduction in expense, and we talked about a 40% reduction. When we go from an upstream DC to some of our same-day fulfillment offerings, like Order Pickup and Drive-Up, we see a 90% reduction in costs. And as John talked about, those were the fastest-growing parts of our digital fulfillment during the quarter, and we expect that to continue. That's clearly where we're seeing the guest preference. We saw tremendous amount of growth in Order Pickup despite the fact that we've been offering that for almost 5 years now. We're seeing dramatic acceleration in the Drive-Up offering and very strong performance from Shipt. So those were much more favorable from a expense standpoint, and they're preferred by the guests. So as that continues to mature and grow, we're going to see some of the benefits flow through our P&L.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Robbie Ohmes with Bank of America.

Robert Ohmes

Analyst · Bank of America.

Great quarter. I'm actually going to ask 2 questions, one was just a follow-up, Brian, on your answer there. The -- I get this question all the time. As you keep shifting digital fulfillment to the stores, how are you -- how is the store SG&A not exploding or offsetting? Just maybe a little more color on how you're getting those dramatic savings, the 40% and 90% reductions. And then I'll just tell you. The second question is on the second quarter, I'm just curious how you're -- let me say it this way. Some of your competitors are not doing as well as you might have done, and they might have a lot of excess inventory in things like apparel. I'm just curious what you think the environment is going to look like with a lot of your -- some of your large competitors not in great positions right now.

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Bank of America.

So why don't I let John start by talking about some of the process improvements we've made in store and the way we're leveraging technology and systems to drive even greater efficiency as we fulfill those orders. And then I'll come back and talk about the competitive environment.

John Mulligan

Analyst · Bank of America.

Yes. Robbie, I think the first thing I'd say is we are investing payroll into the stores to take care of the fulfillment that is going on. The one thing we don't want to do, and we have been clear about this, is pull payroll off the sales floor to take care of what's going on in the backroom. So we have put additional payroll in the backroom. And of course, that payroll gets reclassed to gross margins because it is part of our fulfillment expense. But to Brian's point, I think the other thing the stores team has done an outstanding job of is continuing to refine their processes and introduce new tools that allow our teams to get more efficient, particularly in backroom operations, logistics of the store. So we're able to pull hours out of there, either let them fall to the bottom line or, more importantly, we have reinvested a significant amount of those hours back into the sales floor to create a better service environment. And we'll continue to work on that. The stores have great plans. They continue to do that. As we do more upstream and supply chain, we will continue to pull those back office, backroom logistics kinds of hours out of the store, either centralize them upstream and make them more efficient or process optimize them, bring better tools from our technology partners to the stores so that they get better and better. And that's a loop that we've been on for quite some time. So the stores teams, the technology teams have done an outstanding job of continuing to manage our overall store expense.

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Bank of America.

And Robbie, if we turn to the overall retail environment, we're seeing a very consistent and healthy environment across the U.S. I think what we're seeing right now is the bifurcation of winners and losers, and I think our performance now speaks for itself. We're on eighth consecutive quarters of growing comps. We've seen consistent market share gains across all of our categories, and we're performing both from a store standpoint and a digital standpoint. So we feel really good about the progress Mark and his team made from a merchandising standpoint, the reaction we're seeing to our own brands and the execution that we're seeing in store. So we think we're well positioned to continue to grow share in this environment. And I think what you are just seeing is you're seeing the emergence of winners who have been investing in their business, that are adapting to this new omnichannel environment and unfortunately, those that are ceding share that have not been able to invest and evolve to the new consumer environment.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Joe Feldman with Telsey Advisory Group.

Joseph Feldman

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

I wanted to ask, as you guys start to lap the Toy business, Toys 'R' Us from last year, the other -- I know it has a comp impact, but it also, if I recall correctly, had a gross margin impact negatively when it happened just because Toys are lower margin. How should we think about that sort of benefit, so to speak, as you start to cycle that this year as it relates to the gross margin?

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

Mark?

Mark Tritton

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

Yes. Look, I mean it does provide a high level of stability going to second and more in third and fourth quarter. I mean we've been buoyant across the board because of our healthy mix and the strength of our owned brand margins, so that's helping to [indiscernible] mix. This will be a further stabilization point. But the one real benefit that we can utilize and continue to build on is the traffic that we've been building, which has gained market share for us in critical businesses like Baby, Kids and Toys, and the halo effect of that really began last year and it's continued all the way through into this strong quarter.

Joseph Feldman

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

That's great. And if I could follow up maybe on some of the newer initiatives you guys have in place and if you could -- like the Circle loyalty program test that's going on and the new e-commerce marketplace, and just things like that, that you're working on. Maybe just an update on how those performed during the quarter.

Brian Cornell

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

Joe, still, again, in the early stages. We've expanded our Target Circle program to a number of new markets. We are very pleased with the way the guest is reacting, and we certainly think that it's something we're going to expand over time. Our Target Plus program off to, again, a very good start, great response from vendors. But we're in the early stages. We want to make sure we stay focused on curating the right assortment by category for our guests. So more to come going forward, but both initiatives being well received, and we'll continue to look at expanding those over time.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Michael Lasser with UBS.

Michael Lasser

Analyst · UBS.

Two questions. One, how will you factor in the move to 25% tariff on the current lift into your guidance? And how will your guidance change if we go to 25% tariff on an entire set of products that are imported from China? And my second question is, given all this traffic that you're seeing from in-store fulfillment and same-day pickup and Shipt, how are you converting more items into the basket for those guests that are coming into your stores to pick up orders? And what can you do to improve that conversion?

Brian Cornell

Analyst · UBS.

So Michael, I'll start with the topic of tariffs. And as I said in our prepared remarks, obviously, we've been monitoring this very carefully. It has been a fluid situation for quite some time now. Our point of view hasn't changed. And as we think about tariffs, we reflect on the impact it could have and will have on American families that are going to be paying higher prices. But I think our teams have done a very good job of trying to mitigate the impact in the short term. And as I think about where we sit going forward, one I'll start with our multi-category portfolio is a huge advantage in this environment. And our ability to flex our focus from category to category is something that's somewhat unique to Target versus single-category retailers. We also have, Michael, a very experienced and talented sourcing team that works in over a dozen offices around the world that focuses on this each and every day. They work with some very sophisticated vendor partners that for years now have been working to diversify their manufacturing base. And those are big advantages for us going forward. I'm going to let Mark and John talk about the fact they were actually with those vendor partners just last week making sure that we're constantly looking at evolving our plans to anticipate some of the changes in the environment. So we're watching this very closely. But we have the advantage of a multi-category portfolio, a very talented and experienced sourcing team that operates around the world and sophisticated vendor partners that have been looking at ways to diversify their manufacturing footprint for years now. Mark, you were there last week, as was John. Any feedback from those meetings?

Mark Tritton

Analyst · UBS.

Yes. Michael, I'll share with you. But John and I and others were in Asia last week meeting with our global vendors, not just China, our Asia-based vendors, and clearly tariffs was a point of discussion. Our current actions are not reactive. They're responsive, and we've been planning these for some time looking at the level of potential change and working with our deep vendor base, we have trusted partnerships and leveraging our current strength of performance to build opportunities to diversify, to work through price changes, and again, as Brian said, a very sophisticated and elevated team who have been anticipating change. And I think when you look at our Q1 results, where we've been able to effectively mitigate those risks from prior announcements, I think it bodes well for how we look to manage this moving forward.

Catherine Smith

Analyst · UBS.

Michael, this is Cathy. Maybe I'll just answer, too, to be clear that the anticipated 25% increase that will go in place in June is contemplated in our guidance. So to be clear there. And then you had asked the question, and Brian and John should answer, too, but on converting our basket or converting those same-day services. And as we shared, we're seeing a lot of incrementality in those same-day services. And as the kind of fact that's pretty amazing is the 80% increase in Order Pickup while we're well into that journey. That just shows that we're deepening our relationship and being more relevant for our guests so that they're choosing Target more often as we provide convenience and ease.

John Mulligan

Analyst · UBS.

I think Cathy hit on it, Michael, that certainly, when people come in for pickup in-store drives traffic. A percentage of them go on and buy something else in the store. But our focus really is on being true to the mission that they have. If it is Drive-Up, we give them bag and they're on their way, and we're not going to bother them with a sales pitch. If pickup, they want to get in and out, that's great, too. And then when they come to store, and they get their Starbucks and they work the whole racetrack, we'll provide a great set of experiences there. So we want to meet them wherever they are, and to Cathy's point, continue to drive that engagement with Target.

Brian Cornell

Analyst · UBS.

Michael, it gets back to our focus on being America's easiest place to shop. To John's point, we want to make sure we meet the guests on their terms, make it really easy and convenient for them to shop with us. And we know some days, they're going to be pulling in our parking lot and hoping to be out of there in minutes. Other days, they're going to come in, grab that cup of Starbucks and enjoy walking the racetrack and seeing what's new and exciting this week at Target. So we've got to make sure we're playing on the guests' terms and I think our strategy right now is meeting the guests right where they want to be.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Kelly Bania with BMO Capital.

Kelly Bania

Analyst · BMO Capital.

Just maybe a quick one on the guidance for the year just given the strong start. How much of maintaining that just has to do with conservatism, conservatism in Q1, tariffs or maybe any other factors you're seeing in the business?

Brian Cornell

Analyst · BMO Capital.

Kelly, I think, again, I think we were really clear back in March that we felt very good about 2019. I think our first quarter validates our guidance for the full year. And we feel very confident about the fact that we've got guidance that's realistic. We're going to continue to focus on execution each and every quarter. So no change in our guidance. We've got confident that we're going to deliver, as we said, low to mid-single-digit comps, mid-single-digit expansion of operating income throughout the year, and that's going to flow through to high single-digit EPS with very strong return in invested capital. So we feel really confident about our outlook for the second quarter and the full year, recognizing it's still early. We're sitting here in May. But we're off to a very good start. The guest is responding incredibly well to our merchandising offerings, our owned brands, our fulfillment options. And we're going to continue to stay very focused on execution each and every week of the year.

Kelly Bania

Analyst · BMO Capital.

Okay. If I could just add one follow-up, just on your ship-to-home model. Obviously, a lot of competitors in the market moving more towards a next-day ship-to-home model. And obviously, Target, having a lot of success with the same day and pickup and Drive-Up and -- but just curious, and I guess you have seen next day with restock, but do you feel like you need to match this service more broadly on a wider assortment? And can this be done, if so, from your stores? Or does this need to be done from an FC down the road?

Brian Cornell

Analyst · BMO Capital.

I'll go back to some of the point that John Mulligan's made. Clearly, as we talk to the consumer, we talk to the guest, we know how important convenience and speed is, and that's why several years ago, we made the decision to put our stores at the center of our fulfillment strategy. And you're seeing that pay off right now. Obviously, we're seeing a growing desire for our guest to take advantage of some of our same-day services and very strong growth with order online, pickup in store, Drive-Up, take advantage of over 100,000 Shipt shoppers that can bring that order to your home within hours. But -- and as we look at the benefits of shipping from our stores, even today, on any given day, upwards of 50% of our orders are delivered next day, and it's using our stores and their proximity as that advantage in our overall strategy. So we think we're very well positioned today. We're leveraging the fact that we're so, so close to the guest with our 1,851 locations, and ease and convenience as a big part of our strategy. So John, I don't know if there's anything else you'd add. But I think our decision years ago to put our stores at the center of our fulfillment strategy is paying off with accelerated growth up over 42%, tremendous growth in order online, pickup in stores and dramatic acceleration in areas like Drive-Up.

Operator

Operator

Our last question comes from Seth Sigman with Crédit Suisse.

Seth Sigman

Analyst

I wanted to follow up on a couple of points. I guess just first looking at the comp trends, transactions growth, very strong. Over the last couple of quarters, your ticket growth has been less of a contributor to comps. And you have a number of initiatives that you talked about throughout the call that, in theory, should be supporting bigger baskets. And I think some others in the industry have also talked about a little bit of inflation coming through. So just curious how you guys are thinking about the drivers of ticket. And how we should be thinking about that?

Brian Cornell

Analyst

As we sit here today, we're very, very pleased with the overall basket performance. But what's happening is we're seeing acceleration in traffic. The guests are simply shopping us more frequently, and we're meeting more of their needs each and every day. So I think the most important barometer is we're putting great traffic growth on top of strong traffic growth from last year. I think the 2-year stack on traffic is 8%. And we're seeing the guest engaged in more categories, shopping more often. And we're really pleased with the composition of our overall results. So we're going to continue to build off of that. Guests are responding well to the offerings that we're bringing each and every week. And we're driving more footsteps to our stores and business to our site, and we're going to continue to leverage that in the second quarter and beyond.

Seth Sigman

Analyst

And then just if I could follow up on tariffs. I'm thinking specifically about the flow of inventory. If I go back to the third quarter, I think you had some challenges maybe related to the ports and you also talked about some incremental cost at that point. What are you seeing today? And do you feel like you're more prepared to avoid some of the margin pressure that you experienced back then?

Brian Cornell

Analyst

So going back to last year, we made some very specific surgical decisions to invest in inventory, specifically in categories like Toys and Baby and holiday as we are preparing for the season. So we did incur some of those challenges you just talked about. It was very strategic, very specific to categories, and we feel like we're in a very strong position from an inventory standpoint as we go into the second quarter and the balance of the year. Operator, with that, we're going to close our first quarter earnings call. Thank you for joining us today, and we look forward to talking to you later in the year.