J. Keith Lousteau - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President and Treasurer
Analyst · Capital One
Good morning. One announcement of housekeeping. We will not be filing our Form 10-K today. We anticipate filing our form 10-K later in the month, perhaps at the end of the second to last week of the month. So, in regard to that when that happens, we do publish an expanded press release which we did this morning, which has most of the operational statistics that everyone seems to be the most interested in. I want to start off right quick by saying my summation of the quarter that you see before you is one that I surmise as being one of lost revenue, but its not so much a quarter of increased cost, although we will talk about increased cost being up a little bit. I think when we go through the statistics on vessel day rates around the world, one will understand right quickly that day rates in almost all classes were either up during the quarter or since the end of the quarter have come back up quite nicely. What we're going to tell you this morning is a story, as Dean has alluded to, one of lost revenue days because of vessels being in dry docks for periods that were longer than we had originally anticipated, and the second story is the unusually large number of vessels that mobilized during the quarter. I'll give you some statistic that show you all those mobilization days don't generally result in lost revenue, they certainly result in revenue that is not up to a normal level that we would achieve through normal operations. As Dean mentioned, looking a little bit at year-on-year marine revenues for the fiscal year that ended March of '08 versus March of '07, those marine revenues were up 11%. Our earnings per share were up about 8% if one factor out the fact that we had sold a number of tugs during the last fiscal year. Once again, the numbers looking at last year showed a steady progression of Tidewater from domestic player or significance to one who has less, less and less significance in its domestic market. For the year ended in March of '08 barely 13.2% of our revenues came from domestic operations. That's down from 20.8% from domestic operations in the fiscal '07 year. And when we talk about the quarter that just ended, you'll see that 13.2% for the year is down even further. So, Tidewater, for the last year had about 87% of our revenues generated in the foreign areas. More importantly with our comments today are getting into and looking at the actual quarter, so for March marine revenues for the March 31, quarter were up... they were up 1.1% for the quarter, that all pretty much attributed to international where our marine revenues were up to $277 million up from $273 million in the '07 year. Marine revenues, as I said for the quarter were in total up barely 1.1% although overall revenues were up. I think our shipyard delivered a vessel during the quarter, so other marine revenues up. Tax rates for the quarter were pretty steady right at the 18 level... 18.1% I think maybe 18.2% and we've been averaging about 18% for the year. We would give guidance for the '09 year; we still think a tax rate in the neighborhood of 18% is probably a pretty good rate. We did have earnings for the quarter $1.63 a little bit unfortunately that was down from a $1.66 that we reported in the December quarter. Couple of events as we said, a lot of lost revenue we actually had the sale of two vessels that were concluded on April 2nd, as opposed to March 31st, an event that the buyer didn't cooperate very well and it literally cost us $0.02 or $0.03 in the quarter on having the revenue received two days late. Looking once again into some cost numbers now for the quarter. As we mentioned we had given guidance to expect the quarter to come in at $149 million to $151 million. We came in at $155 million right quick... quick summation of that the differentiation between the two revolves around... R&M costs came in about $2 million to $2.5 million higher than we had anticipated. Some of that was due to the longer time that vessels stayed in the shipyard and some of it was just plain fact that we under budgeted what the costs were going to be versus the final cost. One foreign country that we operated in did announce a tax amnesty program after the last conference call. We considered our basically payroll tax situation in that country. We took advantage of the amnesty as it existed. So, from what we had anticipated our crew cost came in about a million higher than we had anticipated. And as I will mention here in a minute, we ended up with a substantial number of mobilizations during the quarter, substantially higher than we had been averaging and that resulted in about a million of other costs, basically fuel and other type cost that we heap whenever we go on a mobilization for our own account. I wish that the cost numbers would stop here, because I have already mentioned that I think this quarter was a quarter of... the story was one of lost revenue. But I need to cover anticipated future cost here, right quickly because that the 155 number is not the end of the story as we see it right now. We actually anticipate operating cost for the June quarter to increase substantially higher than that and to come in as we now see it somewhere in the $166 billion to $167 billion [ph] range. Now a quick explanation of that has to be an order. Once again as we look over the next two to three quarters, this first fiscal quarter is one where we are going to have exceptionally high dry docks again in fact we expect dry docking costs in the June quarter to be about $5 million higher than it was in this just completed March quarter. We have the situation at hand right now where we have two vessels that are working in the Caspian. They have come to the end of their contracts. They have to be prepared to exit. They have to be prepared to go through the channel system that you have to go through to come out of the Caspian, and we will have some mobilization cost of getting those two vessels out and going to their next job of about $3 million. We do have mob revenue covering a large piece of that from the customer, but from an accounting perspective, that $3 million of other costs will be an incremental cost in the quarter. We have on the positive side; we have commenced quite a few new charter hires in Australia. We generally don't like to talk about areas of operation, but Australia is an exceptionally high cost area of operations, where all of your crews are union members. Day rates increased somewhat proportionate to the increase in operating cost, but we would anticipate crew cost to be up about $2 million during the quarter because of the increased activity that we have in Australia, and then we will have about four new vessels anticipated to be delivered in this quarter. We had four new vessels that were delivered at the end of the last quarter, so both the incremental cost of those vessels we expect to be another $1 million to $2 million. So, the Caspian mob, being kind of an unusual item but we're going to start off that today by telling you that we think operating costs for the quarter may go as high as $166 million to $167 million. So as to not cause, I guess, panic in the streets, we felt like we really needed to talk about cost at the moment because that is a substantial increase quarter-on-quarter and particularly quarter from the prior quarter. As we have looked at cost here very extensively over the last few days, we would in addition today give you some guidance that we think cost for the September quarter are going to moderate and be back down into the $164 million to $165 million range and we think finally by the December quarter this kind of rush of dry dockings that we are having to manage as best we can right at the moment. We expect the December operating cost numbers to be back down into the... into above the $157 million range. So we're looking at, last quarter being up we're looking at really high operating cost, the next quarters and then down substantially in the December quarter as we now see it from an operating point of view. I've seen in some of the early releases today that people were talking about our cash operating margins, which did fall to about 50.5% this quarter, were based on the operating cost numbers just given to you. You should not be surprised to see that perhaps even dip a little further in the June quarter, perhaps down into the 47.5% or 48% range. And then we envision with those new boats and the fact that we will have 14 new vessels delivered between now and the December quarter. We expect that the cash operating margins to turn and to go back up to historical norms. We would anticipate operating margins in the September quarter then going back up into the 51% or 52% range and perhaps by the December quarter being back in our historical... recent historical operating range of anywhere from 53% to 55%. So as you can see, we anticipate an increase in operating cost for some period followed by a diminishment, but that diminishment will be counterbalanced substantially by the additional revenue of new vessels being introduced into the fleet during that period. A quick comment. Last quarter we actually had, going back to the lack of revenue numbers, we were off charter on our best estimate about 2,050 days due to dry dockings. We think that cost us lost revenue in the neighborhood of $22.5 million to $22.6 million. For the June quarter, even though I have just mentioned the fact that we expect dry docking cost to be up by about $5 million, we're currently anticipating the days of off charter to be about 1,850 days and about the same level, about $22.4 million to $22.5 million worth of revenue. So, we expect the revenue shortfall that was caused by dry docking days to be somewhat stagnant from where it was last quarter. One of the things I wanted to mention, as I said earlier, was the fact that during the quarter we actually mobed or moved vessels. 19 vessels moved from one area that where they were operating to a new area. When you add the fact that we added four new vessels during the area, we literally had 23 vessels that changed operational areas during the quarter. To give you an idea as to is this unusual or not, for the first nine months of the fiscal year, we actually had 23 vessels that mobed from one area to the other. That's not in counting the new vessels, but that was just the older vessels. So, that 23 for nine months is compared to the 19 that we mobed in this quarter. And to just give you right quick a statistical example of what that means to us, moving those 23 vessels from one area to the next area, we had operating cost on those vessels of about $15.3 million. As we mentioned earlier and as our press release showed, we operated at about a 50% margin during the quarter. One could then anticipate that $15 million of operating costs should have generated about $30 million worth of income, but those 21 vessels generated barely $19.0 million during the quarter. So, a story of a short-term diminishment in revenue by moving from one area to another area. None of those were speculative. All of those would go to new contracts. So, a substantial loss of bottomline profit for moving vessels at an unusually high level. This quarter and the June quarter as we sit here today we've mobed five vessels from one area to the other. So it seems like this quarter, as we know it today, will be much more in line with historical results of probably moving somewhere from 8 to 10 vessels from one area to another during the quarter. On the very positive side, once again, now looking at day rates and day rates did progress nicely during the quarter. As we generally recap here, we're looking at the domestic day rates. We had 8 vessels working in deepwater. Day rates in the deepwater segment of the Gulf of Mexico moved from last quarter. We reported an average of $23,256. Today we are reporting that the March quarter had an average day rate of $23,904, an increase of about $650 a day. And as we sit here today that same fleet of 8 vessels is in the Gulf earning an average of about $24,050 a day, so some further $150 increase since the average of last quarter. In the March quarter we had good utilization out of those 8 vessels. We averaged about 97.5% utilization. And today, that class continues to enjoy that same type of utilization about 97.5%. The one down side, once again as Dean has mentioned, was in the supply and towing supply division operating in the Gulf of Mexico where we had 34 vessels active last quarter. In the December quarter, we have reported a day rate of $10,400. For the March quarter that average day rate was down to $9,863 or a loss of about $550. Since the end of the quarter, as you've heard from some of… I think, our competitors, rates in the Gulf have firmed up a little bit too where we are now today back averaging about $10,750 per day. Our stretch class of vessels which make up a bulk of that 34 have enjoyed a pretty good comeback in the last six weeks. Utilization of that class in the March quarter was at about 46.2%, and as we sit here today we're averaging about 49%. So, day rates are back up a little bit on the domestic supply, towing supply, class, and utilization is up a tad from where we averaged in the last quarter. Internationally, the story is just as good on the revenue day rate side of our picture. We operated 31 vessels internationally in the deepwater segment during the quarter. During the December quarter, we reported an average day rate for that class of $24,980. For the March quarter, we are reporting that the day rate average went up to $25,474, again about a $5,000 per day increase. And as we sit here today, we're averaging about $26,175. So, our shortfall, once again, in revenue for the quarter did not come from any back off in international day rates. Utilization, as you would anticipate, for the March quarter though was down to 83.5%. That was down from what we had reported at 91.4% for the December quarter. That's where those excess days… in this and our other international class, this is where the access days in the dry dock and some of the days when we were in the mobilization really came home to roost. Today, we continue to show… the utilization in this class that's running about 80%, it's down a little bit today from the average of last quarter, not to employ that we expected to be down for the whole quarter, but that's just where we are today. Our bigger class of vessels, as you know, is our international supply and towing supply vessels where, once again, we enjoyed for the third quarter in a row nice substantial day rate increases. In the December quarter, we have reported an average day rate of $10,455. For the June quarter we are reporting that that average day rate was up to $11,117 or about $660 increase. And today, those same vessels are averaging about $11,340, so an increase for the quarter followed by another increase today. Utilization in that class was also down last quarter due to that dry docking that we keep talking about. It was down to about 76.7%, and today it's averaging about 75%. So it's still… both classes of our international vessels are little bit today below the average of last quarter, not necessarily anticipated to finish the quarter there. Few balance sheet comments, kind of basically unchanged at Tidewater from where we have been. Basically, we're still carrying about $300 million worth of debt, which is almost totally offset by the balances that we have in our cash accounts. Our gross debt to total equity today is about 13.8% and the net debt is in it at about 2%. Little bit on our construction in process. Once again it can be picked up from the press release that went out today. As we sit here today we have 49 vessels under construction. Those 49 vessels represent a total cost or a total investment to the company of $959 million of which $731 million has not been funded yet. Of the 49 vessels we have 4 Crewboats being built, we have 18 Anchor handlers, we have 24 PSVs and we have 3 Tugs being built. The $731 million of cash commitments is broken down, basically about $358 million is due to be paid during our fiscal '09 year. About $226 million is scheduled to be paid during our fiscal '10 year and the balance of $147 million is paid out generally in the '11 year, so $731 million yet to go. We do have 19 vessels scheduled for delivery over our March of '09 fiscal year. We did continue to buyback some shares last quarter. We bought back 354,000 shares at a cost of $18.9 million on average cost of $53.39. I do point out that when one looks at the cash flow statement for last year, one final comment that you'll see cash flow from operations last year almost hit the $0.5 billion point. It came in right at $490 million. So those are my comments. I hope that I am giving you extra cost numbers and a little bit of the insight as to what it looks like around here for the next couple of quarters. We hope people to kind of understand that we are going through a little tough time on some regulatory dry dockings, managing them as best we can, but remember that all these vessels are under contracts. Customer demands, customer time-off all has to be worked into the system. So, what we hope to be some temporary diminishment in operating results, scheduled to pickup quite substantially later in the year. Back to Dean.