W. Michael Madden
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets
Thank you, Tripp, and good morning, everybody. A strong finish to the first quarter, better-than-expected merchandise margin and the timing of certain marketing expenses led to the outperformance versus our earnings guidance range. For the first quarter, net sales were $101.2 million, a 3.5% increase versus the prior year quarter. Comparable store sales, including e-commerce sales, decreased 2.3%. Comparable brick-and-mortar sales were down 3.1%. E-commerce sales were $3.9 million for the quarter, a 19.1% increase over the prior year quarter. At the store level, the comp sale decline was driven by a 4% decline in transactions and a 1% increase in the average ticket. The decrease in transactions resulted from a 7% decrease in traffic counts, offset by a 3% improvement in the conversion rate. The increase in the average ticket was the result of an increase in items per transaction, partly offset by a lower average retail selling price. From a geographic standpoint, sales results were mixed. On the positive side, comp sales results in the Gulf Coast states were strongest, offset by weakness in the far West and some areas of the upper Midwest and South. The important state of Texas, with over 60 stores, performed at the company average. Merchandise category is showing strong comp performance for mirrors, lamps, wall decor and candles. These increases were offset primarily by declines in art, furniture and frames. We opened 1 store and closed 7 stores during the quarter, bringing us to 317 at quarter's end. 87% of the stores were in off-mall venues and 13% were located in enclosed malls. And at the end of the quarter, we had 2.32 million square feet under lease. That's a 12.2% increase from the prior year. Average store size was up 5.2% at 7,324 square feet. Gross profit margin for the first quarter decreased 41 basis points to 38.9% of sales from 39.3% in the prior year. The components of reported gross profit margin were as follows: first, merchandise margin decreased 38 basis points as a percentage of sales. As expected, higher inbound freight costs negatively affected the margin during the quarter, providing a headwind of approximately 100 basis points. Aside from the inbound freight pressure, merchandise margins actually improved year-over-year as a result of a more effective, better-controlled promotional activity and an improving sales trend. The latter part of the quarter provided the largest portion of the year-over-year merchandise margin lift. Secondly, store occupancy costs were basically flat as a percentage of sales, decreasing 7 basis points versus the prior year, despite the negative comp performance. This decline can be attributed to additional rent reductions and the closure of under -- or unproductive stores. Third, outbound freight costs were also flat as a percent of sales, reflecting lower diesel costs and lower shipping charges for e-commerce. And last, central distribution costs increased very slightly as percentage of sales due to deleverage. Operating expenses for the quarter were $32.8 million or 32.4% of sales as compared to $32.3 million or 33% of sales for the prior year quarter, a reduction of 60 basis points as a percentage of sales despite a comp decline for the quarter. The operating expense ratio benefited from well-managed store payroll and a decrease in marketing expenses. These benefits were offset partly by an increase in incentive pay accruals at both the store and the corporate levels. Depreciation and amortization increased 66 basis points as a percentage of sales, reflecting the increase in capital expenditures in recent fiscal years and the implementation of major technology upgrades during 2012. Operating income for the first quarter was $2.8 million or 2.8% of sales as compared to $3.2 million or 3.2% of sales in the prior year quarter. Income tax expense was $1.1 million, 37.4% of pretax income versus expense of $1.2 million or 38.4% of pretax income, which was recorded in the prior year quarter. The net income for the quarter was $1.8 million, $0.10 per diluted share as compared to a net income of $2 million or $0.10 per diluted share in the prior year. Turning to the balance sheet and the cash flow statement. Inventories at May 4, 2013 were $47.9 million as compared to $47.5 million in the prior year. These numbers reflect an increase in total inventory of 1% and a decrease of 5% on a per store basis. Based on our experience from last year's Q2, we planned inventory levels down versus the prior year to place greater emphasis on improving our merchandise margin. At the end of the quarter, we had $74.1 million in cash on hand, compared to $67.8 million at the end of fiscal 2012 and $73.2 million in the prior year period. The increase in cash came despite heavy capital investment and the completion of our share repurchase program last year. No borrowings were outstanding under our revolving line of credit. Cash flows from operations were $8.6 million for the quarter, reflecting better inventory control and an increase in tenant allowance collections, combined with positive operating performance. Capital expenditures were $2.3 million, down from $4.1 million in the prior year quarter and reflective of our planned reduction in capital expenditures for fiscal 2013. As we look ahead to the second quarter of fiscal 2013, we expect total sales to be in the range of $97 million to $98 million, reflecting a nominal decrease to a nominal increase in comparable store sales results, compared with sales of $91 million and a comparable store sales decrease of 3.6% in the prior year quarter. As we have discussed before, the shifts in the retail calendar for fiscal 2013 impact our quarterly comp guidance. Each quarter during fiscal 2013 starts one week later than the same quarter of fiscal 2012, due to the retail calendar for fiscal 2012 having 53 weeks versus the typical 52 weeks. Inside the second quarter, this shift will provide a positive benefit of approximately 100 basis points, which is contemplated in our comp guidance. As we entered the second quarter, sales trends had improved from where we began the year. However, traffic continues to lag the prior year and remains the primary deterrent in achieving positive comps. Conversion in average ticket have improved, but not yet enough to offset the traffic decline. Importantly, merchandise margin trends have also improved, enhancing our profitability during the first quarter and are expected to gain on the prior year during the second quarter, despite continued headwinds from inbound freight costs. Operating expenses are expected to increase slightly as a percentage of sales, reflecting expenses associated with our ongoing marketing test, which will impact Q2 a little more than originally forecast due to the shift from Q1 I mentioned earlier. We expect to report a loss of $0.08 to $0.11 per share for the quarter as compared to a loss of $0.11 in the prior year. We plan on opening 6 stores and closing approximately 5 stores. Inventories at the end of the second quarter are expected to be up slightly versus the prior year in total, due to a higher store count but flat on a per store basis. We are planning to receive a portion of our fall and holiday seasonal products into our DC 2 to 3 weeks earlier this year to better coordinate flow to stores for presentation purposes. For the full year fiscal 2013, as it relates to store count and store growth, we have revised our expectations somewhat. We now expect to open approximately 25 new stores and close approximately 15 stores, implying unit growth of 3% and square footage growth of 5%. The new store openings will be weighted toward the late second quarter and third quarter, and the closings will be weighted toward the first half of the year. Longer term, we are comfortable with and would expect an annual square footage growth target of 10%. However, as we indicated last quarter, we did not want an inordinate amount of store openings in the fourth quarter to dilute the focus on the core business and the leveraging of the other capital investments we've made to drive results in that all-important quarter. Our top line expectations are for total sales in fiscal 2013 to increase by 3% to 5% over fiscal 2012. Due to the shift in the retail calendar, this expectation for total sales growth reflects the comparison of 52 weeks to 53 weeks. On a 52-week basis, this level of sales growth would imply comparable store sales as flat to a slight increase for the full year. As far as our margin and expense assumptions for the full year, we expect out -- or inbound freight costs to be higher on a year-over-year basis for the second quarter but expect to benefit from lower inbound freight costs in the back half, due to new rates negotiated with our freight forwarders. We continue to be optimistic about some of the specific initiatives in merchandising that are underway using our new systems capabilities to better manage aspects of our merchandise assortment. We expect these efforts, combined with better inventory control and less reactive promotional activity, to allow merchandise margins to continue to improve as the year progresses. Tight expense control throughout the company will serve to offset increased expenses in marketing and e-commerce, as well as the impact of planned new hires in our Management Group. With a tax rate assumption of approximately 38.5% for the year, we would expect earnings per share to be in the range of $0.75 to $0.85 for fiscal 2013. From a cash flow standpoint, we expect to generate positive cash flow in 2013, and we do not expect any usage of our line of credit during the year. Capital expenditures are currently anticipated to range between $20 million and $23 million in 2013 before landlord construction allowances for new stores. The mid-point of this range represents a reduction of 30% from fiscal 2012 due to fewer new store openings, as well as reduced spending in information technology in existing stores. We currently estimate that approximately $11 million to $13 million of the total capital expenditures will relate to new store construction. $4 million to $5 million will relate to information technology, with the balance of our capital expenditures relating to distribution center improvements and major store maintenance. We will update our outlook each quarter during the year. And thank you, I'll now turn the call over to Robert.