Jeffrey W. Shaw
Analyst · Dan Fidell, U.S. Capital Advisors
Thank you, John. Next, on Slide 26, I'd like to speak to customer growth just for a couple of moments. For the 12 months ended -- you'll see for 2010, '11 and '12, customer growth has hovered around 1%, sometimes slightly above, sometimes slightly below. What we have seen is that we're no longer eroding by having customers turn off, but rather, in fact, we have seen years such as 2011, where we had customers -- the customer homes that were vacant had been turned back on. And that's the $9,000 -- or 9,000 number that you see there in the 2011 column. We didn't see that phenomenon in 2012. It could've possibly been because the weather was somewhat warm in December, and maybe some customers that would've turned on didn't need to turn on their gas service yet. So we're not quite -- we're not concerned about this. The good news is you didn't see any erosion. We added 17,000 customers, new meter sets and that customers in 2012. That's kind of what we expect. We don't see any great huge growth numbers, kind of a similar trajectory probably on a going -forward basis. Total excess inactive meters as of December 31, we approximated about 37,000. Slide 27, you can see the economic overview here in terms of the unemployment rate. Nevada still remained -- has the dubious honor of having the higher of the unemployment rates, still hovering just below 12% -- in 11% to 12% range. It's -- there's nothing fundamentally that suggests to us that, that's going to ramp up -- or ramp down, I guess, I should say, depending on your perspective. But you can see, I think, a positive trend, generally speaking, in our company there. It's going to be -- we believe it takes some time -- it's going to take some time in order for us to see a significant change in the customer growth patterns. Slide 28, you can see that there is again an improvement: Southern California, from 2% to 1% -- 1.1% in employment growth -- or it's actually declined; Nevada increased; and Arizona increased. So it's mixed, it's gradual, it's directionally, we think, positive, but we're not expecting anything dramatic on the positive side at this point. Slide 29, capital expenditures. You'll notice here that, especially in the current -- or the most recent years, '11, '12 and '13, a fairly significant ramp-up in our capital expenditures, as has been explained. Our safety-related pipe replacement type work, getting ahead at some of the early vintage pipe, making sure we replace that. We do have very rigorous process in our engineering group to assess the risks of our pipe, the leak rates. And we are very aggressive, I would say, probably an industry leader in terms of our distribution integrity management processes, and we believe we've had some influence in the shaping of the laws that have come out of Washington. That being said, you will see that we are going to continue to be around that $300-plus million range in CapEx. And you see that yellow portion above the green bar there in 2013 estimated, that it's around a $40 million range. John referred earlier to the Nevada infrastructure tracking mechanism. If that does proceed forward, it could allow us to invest in additional pipeline safety-related infrastructure replacement that we would accelerate and move forward on. And our CapEx would then swell to upwards of $360 million during the year 2013. Keep in mind again, we still are benefiting from a bonus depreciation. I know that's somewhat controversial amongst CEOs in the utility industry because of the deferred taxes. And the net, that is against rate base. So I'm not quite so enthusiastic about that continuing into the future. But for the -- we need to take advantage of it certainly for regulatory purposes as long as it's available to us. Next slide, Slide 30, dividend growth. Again, I had mentioned earlier that we have increased the dividend now 6 -- excuse me, 7 straight years. This year, nearly 12%, that represents about -- almost an 8% dividend compound annual growth rate over the last, what, 7 years. So that's a positive for the company, and we're extremely pleased to be able to do that for our shareholders. And again, I'll speak to the dividend a little further here. Over time -- on Slide 31, this basically is our policy, and I think it's important and warrants a review of this policy for those on the call and for our shareholders in general. Over time, the board will -- intends to increase that dividend so that we address our payout ratio, that it approaches our local distribution company peer group, while we want to, again, maintain strength -- strong credit ratings and our ability to effectively fund future rate-based growth. So the timing and the amount of any of those increases will be based upon the board's continuing review of new dividend rate in the context of the performance of both the gas operation segment and the pipeline construction services segment of our businesses. Slide 32, expectations going forward, the Construction Services side of the business. We expect 2013 revenues to approximate 2012 levels. We'll -- the construction company is currently in the process of negotiating 2013 contracts. This is the season where they'll start to take shape and we get a better sense of those, end of first quarter, beginning of second. They know generally speaking, what the work's going to look like on a going-forward basis. We'll have additional clarity on those expected revenues upon completion of that. 2013 construction expenses will be favorably impacted by the fact that we will not have the same kind of loss we experienced in 2012. Our management is focused on the gross profit percentage as they go out and bid work. It's about -- that's an important part of their strategies to assure that they're not only increasing revenues but increasing revenues at a profitable level. We do expect that we will have some reduced gains on sales of equipment in 2013, and we will have a full year at certain of the costs that we incur to restructure the business. And that restructuring, as Roy alluded to earlier, are necessary given the size of the business. And to assure that as we go forward and continue to bid on contracts, that we have a very strong process in place in all of the areas coast to coast to make sure that we're bidding those jobs and taking those jobs that we expect to be profitable for the organization. So I think that the changes were favorable towards the changes. And I think as we look forward for that business, I would expect to see them perform at a level similar to what you might've seen in 2011, somewhere in that range. I don't expect them to go significantly above that. We would love to see growth on an annual basis on -- over time, over several years, approximating 5% to 8%, I think, is what we talked about on previous calls. We still stick with that number, and we think by doing this restructuring that we've done, it will help us to achieve that. On the Natural -- on Slide 20 -- or 33, excuse me, the Natural Gas Operations portion of the business. We look with anticipation to the Nevada rate case decision on the capital structure that John explained. We're, again, hopeful, as he said, for a positive conclusion to that, to apportion the rate case. And we will see a California attrition adjustment in the year 2013 as well. Our net customer growth, we expect to be similar to what we saw in 2012, 2011, somewhere in that 1 -- hovering around 1%, plus or minus. Operating cost increases, as Roy mentioned, 3% to 4% is a good range. We will continue to put a laser focus on the improving processes and using technology where we can to continue to contain costs. Our financing costs that, we believe, should continue to improve is we take some of these steps to take out some of the IDRBs that Roy mentioned earlier. Again, we expect our company life insurance returns to average somewhere in the $2 million to $4 million range on a long-term basis. And you'll see a little bit of volatility from year to year, depending on the market, again, remembering that we intend to hold those contracts presently to receive the death benefits. So this is more -- we looked at it and view this more of an accounting entry than it is a true economic entry for us. We're going to, again, continue to focus on these infrastructure mechanisms that John spoke to in the regulatory arena. And I would expect to -- I would tell you that it would be good to focus on those because that's going to be a key part of our strategy going forward to minimize regulatory lag and even have an opportunity to earn for the shareholder on those investments in between rate cases. And then of course, our California general rate case that we filed, we will have new rates beginning of 2014, so we look forward with anticipation to see what type of result we get there. Our focus going forward, it actually has been our focus for a decade. My entire tenure has been to work collaboratively with regulators. I think we have demonstrated our ability to do that. Roy mentioned some of the statistics in terms of productivity, customer satisfaction. Those factors have been mentioned on the record more than once in regulatory proceedings. So to be successful in working collaboratively with the regulators, we have had to demonstrate that we can control our costs, and we have done that, and we have benefited from controlling our costs and from having high customer satisfaction. So we have accomplished that, and we'll continue to focus on that on a going-forward basis. Again, improving our operating efficiencies, that's been a significant focus. Roy mentioned the statistics over the last year, a 46% increase in productivity on a customer-to-employee basis -- on a customer-to-employee ratio basis. That's an important statistic, one we focus on, and we think it's been very beneficial to us through the regulatory process. Everybody wins when we control our costs. We will seek prudent growth opportunities in our 2 operating segments. We think, again, we've positioned the construction company to go forward and do just that. And with the various steps we're taking in the regulated portion of our business, you've heard what our focus is, is to try to improve our earnings capability by increasing rate base and by making sure that we minimize the impact of regulatory lag. And gratefully, we have decoupled rate structures, and we'll do all that we need to do to maintain those. We think those have worked. They've been symmetrical. We can demonstrate that to our regulators. We think that everybody wins with that type of rate design. Again, we're going to strive to exceed our customers' expectations. We think we do a very, very good job, an admirable job in that. And remember, this is measured by outside parties, so we don't measure this ourselves. We have an outside entity that measures our customer satisfaction, and we're proud of that statistic. And over time, again, we continue to focus on our dividend. We want to move towards the industry average per our -- with our peer group. And so our board is focused on that. And I think that's demonstrated by the fact that over the last 7 years, we've increased that dividend now. So with that, I will turn the time back over to Ken, and we will be willing to field any questions that you may have for us.