Barry S. Sternlicht
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thank you, Stew. Now we got a little more complicated. Good morning, everyone. I've got to use this opportunity to talk about where we've been and where we are and what we see in the market today. We are approximately 5 days short of our 4-year anniversary of the birth of the company. I'm really proud of what we've done and the accomplishments of our team, and use this opportunity to thank the team that's made this company as one of the biggest and most successful in this year in the public markets. So far, in 4 years from a standing start, we've invested more than $9 billion of capital. And we've done so, it's interesting to note, even though credit spreads have come in and the world has gotten more competitive and lenders have entered the market, the leverage yield on our core business is about what it was when we started. And as we told you during multiple conference calls over the last 4 years, as our credit facility spreads narrowed, we were able to keep our net yields on our mezzanine positions or I call them the [indiscernible] relatively consistent despite the volatility in the market. We have now built up the largest commercial real estate platform in the United States and with a total enterprise value well in excess of $7 billion. I am really proud to say that I recently saw some data that said we are the best performing, not only are we big, but we are the best-performing commercial or residential mortgage REIT over this time period in United States. We also secured something like $2.4 billion of credit facilities, and when we started, we couldn't get any credit facilities, from 7 district [ph] institutions, and we've completed 2 very shareholder-friendly converts that Stew mentioned with coupons less than 5% to continue to raise our ROE and provide long-term stable financing for the company to execute our business plan. We've also grown our dividend from 0 to $1.84, and obviously, with the horizon, our core earnings and also our earnings clean of the one-time LNR transaction, we'll have to be evaluating a dividend as we go forward. I also think we've delivered on our promise of a best-in-class transparency. You can tell we've overdone it for the quarter. We've been predictable and we focus from the start on safety, and by safety, we said we would diversify our book and we've done so not only by product type, but by geography and also internationally, as we've grown our European lending operations. We've manufactured an ROE that has been consistent even as the debt markets tightened. And I think we've also penalized ourselves by entering the single-family business, which we think, obviously as major shareholders ourselves, is a really good move for our shareholders long term, and I'll talk about that in a second. I also think we've been doing this long enough to have been through -- I think this might be our fourth cycle, or mini-crisis in the credit cycle when rates rose or the markets froze. And -- but it's pretty interesting that we ebb and flow our lending activities. We always have a conversation for being with boys in the team, are we being competitive, are we remaining best in class. And I will say that we feel like at our scale, we could win every loan we compete on but we choose not to. We are very concerned about credit quality, the quality of the assets, our debt yields. And I would say that I'm equally pleased, maybe most pleased about the great synergy that's developed between the equity shop and the nearly 300 people that work at Starwood Capital Group and the team that's dedicated their activities to the REIT both in their San Francisco main offices, as well as the LNR team. And I think the best is ahead of us with LNR. We've been spending our time, as Stew mentioned, we did a reduction in force that we contemplated to rightsize their servicing operations for their activity before going forward. That was completed smoothly by their CFO and COO and President, Cory Olson. And that integration has gone well, but it's really about what's going to happen going forward that we're most excited about. I also see today, which I've mentioned, acceleration of lending opportunities in Europe. There, that business is led entirely by SCG's team over there. There are no REIT personnel in Europe at the moment, and so the REIT gets the benefit of the activities and the overhead of Starwood Capital Group as it should. SCG's also led the acquisition of the 701 investment in New York. In fact, the deal had a total of high-yielding above a 14% return on equity that was split, per the documents and the agreements we have with the board, between 75% to the REIT and 25% to our opportunity fund. And also SCG led the acquisition, incredibly complex acquisition, of LNR from start to finish. It was an interesting quarter and it's not obvious how wild a quarter it was. First, at the macro level, interest rates did rise nearly 100 basis points. That was an interesting thing because a lot of the conduits stepped out of the market, and with the street not willing to hold any inventory, they held -- they've gotten pretty tighten on spreads. Some of them found themselves having to securitize paper with no spread at all. That was really good for us and it remains good for us. And in a rising interest rate environment, conduit lending, fixed-rate lending is hard to do. It's very hard to hedge these positions today, and they're reluctant to lay themselves out and expose themselves to a rising interest rate environment. So this period is actually kind of fun for us. The conduits, in fact, as many of them have shut down waiting for a more stable interest rate environment, as they've watched the machinations of the Fed. It's really kind of, as I've said, very good for us, and the universe was what -- the odd thing was what's happened to our stock. The stock was probably swept up in selling of ETFs or the mortgage REITs, hence, the residential mortgage REITs have probably swept up in taken significant hits to their book value. I think we couldn't be much more different from a lending perspective than the resi REITs, which might be viewed as our cousins. And we have, as Stew has pointed out and I'll repeat and we mentioned on the convert call, a very little exposure to rising interest rates both, as Stew mentioned, because of the nature of what we've done with double-digit returns in our fixed income book and also the duration of our book. Our book tends to be shorter. We actually anticipated from the very start of the company a rising interest rate environment with an average life of something like 4 years, you're not going to have a kind of volatility in your paper that you have in 30-year paper. We also are modestly levered. We don't have 5:1 or 7:1 leverage and we're not mismatched on term. Many of the residential mortgage REITs finance short and invest long. We don't do anything like that. So we're kind of fixed across the board. We saw a very little impact to volatility in rates. And actually, because of the floating rate nature of not only our core book but also our pipeline, we actually do better in a rising interest rate environment so long as we've been able to keep our LTV so low. And LTVs have stayed around 65% to last 4 years and I find that quite shocking, but it's a wonderful thing and shows you that we've been very disciplined since we've started. It hasn't been just about being big. It's about being big when it benefits the shareholders and the strategy that we're trying to deploy. 60%, almost 2/3 of our book is floating and what's fixed is match-funded. So we have a wide margin of safety on the paper we carry on our books. I think we've distinguished ourselves over the 4 years as the go-to guys. We're seeing most of the large loans that fit our criteria, we have a chance to look at. Unlike many of our -- some of our peers, it's pretty clear exactly what goes where in our firm. An NPL loan, we don't do NPLs in the REIT. We've never done them in the REIT. That's on the commercial side. And loans that are at ROEs over 14% are split between a REIT and the opportunity fund. So we don't have any other vehicles to place paper in and everything towards to the benefit of the shareholders. We are, as I said, very capable of lending everything we bid on but we've been choosy. And we're choosing also the price of our capital at a fairly dear price. Our pipeline loans are better than 600 basis points over LIBOR spread, and we choose to use our capabilities and underwriting real estate, in being flexible, in working with borrowers, using our relationships, our ability to close things quickly to get excess pricing that works for our borrowers and many of them come back to us and look at us for refinancing or doing additional transactions with them. And as big as we are, we are a tiny player in the market, so our growth opportunities are relatively unlimited. And it is the truth that the bigger loans that we're capable of doing and we'd like to be able to do even more, and now we're working on increasing our credit facility as well as tightening the spreads on our credit facilities. The big loans are typically better credits in bigger cities with better sponsors, and they build a better, higher-quality firm. So being big really helps. Looking out in the future, we'll continue to look at adding cylinders to our company or I call them having 12 cylinders, and any one of them may not be firing at a time, but the other 11 will be working. So we'll continue to work on expanding our capabilities, and that was kind of the core -- one of the core reasons to do LNR. LNR may be regarded as a special servicer, but it's less than 1/3 of the value of the company when you look at the way we've allocated the purchase price. There is a conduit lender that's very successful. There's the CMBS book that's kind of unique to the scale of what LNR was that we continue to monitor. We have deployed capital in the quarter behind the LNR platform, and they continue going forward to look at the synergies and unique proprietary opportunities we [ph] might have to lend behind their special servicing book. But in general, the servicer is not the core -- it's not even the majority of the purchase price of the LNR transaction. We've also talked last quarter and I'll talk again about the spinning off our residential portfolio. We continue to look at that obviously, this -- we've been investing this much capital in this business. You can see from the financial, has been dilutive to the parent company. But I believe it's a legitimate business that we can talk about, maybe in the Q&A if you want to. I think you will achieve leverage double-digit yields, but I think it is an equity play. And as such, I personally don't really believe it belongs in the company long-term. And as I mentioned, it is hurting our EPS both for the year and the quarter and it's incorporating our guidance. But I will also distinguish what we've done against some of the other players that have gone public or tried to go public. We have split our purchases between NPLs, nonperforming loans, that was typically bought from financial institutions, as well as acquiring single-family homes in the open market and target markets. And we've done so with about an 80% broker opinion of value acquisition price. So if you take the $580 million and you were willing to say with [ph] their worth value, then you have nearly $100 million gain in the book value of those houses. That's $0.20 on roughly $580 million. I think that's close to $100 million. That is not only a tiny fraction of that, a small markup of a couple of pennies. It's included in our fair market value number that we gave you of $21.77, the book value per share at fair market value. So we haven't embedded gain in that. We've chosen to be very picky how we buy houses, and we could have been 5x the size and maybe we should've been, but we chose to, as we always do, try to find value in our acquisitions. And on our NPLs, our average purchase price was $0.64 of broker opinion of value. We've also not bought certain markets and focus in others and that's been included in our disclosures. So you can see the portfolio and where it is and we'll talk later about why we did what we did and where we did it. So I think also going forward, I want to specifically mention that upgrading the consistent ratings on the servicer in the upgrading of Hatfield Philips. Hatfield Philips is the largest servicer in the U.K. and Germany in Europe, and we will look forward to taking advantage of their scale and their positions in Europe as we identify paper. And that is a very unique business that we acquired in LNR, that is somewhat the sleeping beauty. Hopefully, we will be able to extract value off that platform going forward. And I think as we spin out the residential book, we will continue to boost the ROE of the firm. And I think uniquely, you've known that we've been probably most proud that we've been a good partner to our shareholders, that we've not issued dilutive off secondary offerings and we've done now $2 billion of paper converts that are exceedingly attractive for our shareholder basis. We seek to become a major player in the financial markets and the commercial real estate finance industry. So with that, again, I want to thank all the guys, Andrew, Boyd, to Cory and the team at LNR for all their hard work. It's a lot of work. I look forward to reporting clean quarters going forward. They won't have all this noise of unusual GAAP expenses and severance payments to the LNR team and the earnouts on their contracts. But so hopefully, that will all be behind us and we'll be able to report clean earnings. I will mention one other thing about the quarter is it's actually unusual for us not to have any securities gains in the quarter. So usually, we have a prepayment or somebody pays us back on something and we didn't have that happen this quarter, which is somewhat unusual. Maybe in the first that I can recall that it's ever happened to us. They're hard to predict, but they usually are recurring, nonrecurring events. So hopefully, as you know, we still have significant paper that discounts the book, and some of it, will probably pay off and create additional earnings for the company going forward. So with that, we'll take any questions.