Barry S. Sternlicht
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thank you, Stew. Thank you, Andrew. Good morning, everyone. I think it's really important first 4 months of the year for Starwood Property Trust. Obviously, when we were born, we had to invest $900 million of cash, but we've done that actually in -- twice that in 4 months' time, investing $1.6 billion, including the transformative acquisition of LNR, which I think continues the profile of this company, which is providing, I'd say, asymmetric risk versus reward. I think -- I continue to marvel at the loan-to-value of the portfolio and the stability of our earnings stream, and it gave us and the board the confidence to increase the dividend. But I will say upfront that the next quarter, this quarter and the next quarter, will kind of be noisy. We've known that they would be noisy. There's a lot of accounting issues as you close the LNR transaction, including the transaction cost of the acquisition, and we'll talk more about that in a second. But I think also as you look at what we did in the quarter and the 4 months -- I'm going to include April for a second -- I mean it was really a momentous quarter for the firm. We did a term loan that was rated, the cost of financing for 5- to 7-year money that we can prepay basically at Coldwell at par was at 3%, and who would have dreamed that we could borrow money at the corporate level at 3%. We also went out to the market to do a convert. We upsized the convert, turned out to be a $600 million raise -- it could have been bigger -- the convert is trading at 1.10% and the implied coupon of our cost of capital is 3%, and that opens up a whole new -- a lot of interesting opportunities for us as we go forward. So I think it was very powerful for the firm to raise nearly $1 billion in the debt markets in that manner. The convert, I believe, is trading at 1.10%. So we're quite pleased that we were able to do that, and it's very accretive to our shareholders and they'll get the long-term benefit of what is a market-leading cost of financing. I think that is the benefit of being one of the biggest players, if not the biggest player, in the commercial mortgage industry at the moment. So one thing about the markets. I mean, the markets are super competitive. The CMBS markets are wide open, I don't need to tell you that. But we continue to find opportunities, given our unique skill sets, which is the speed at which we can move our knowledge of the markets, our ability to dial up and down the risk spectrum, the blend of our equity skills and our debt skills to close complex transactions, and borrowers who want to work with us know that we're a flexible capital, we're going to retain the B note, when down the road if something good or bad happens, they'll be able to come back to us. And one example of that is 701 Seventh Avenue, which was this giant loan we originated, I think, last quarter in New York City and really amazing things has happened at that property, which I'm not at liberty to say, but the transaction when it comes open for prepayment, which is in October, will probably be sized-up and the equity kicker in that transaction which I'll note is not in our fair market value estimate of our book or fair market value of our book, is worth significant money to the firm. So we're really excited about things like that where we can take advantage of our sort of unique skill sets in the marketplace. The CMBS market being open presents interesting opportunities and also allows for a lack of discipline today in the market so we're seeing an increase or decrease in underwriting skills. You actually are pretty much exactly where you were precrisis in the sense that the ratings agencies are still there, same guys that were rating the stuff they rated in '06 and '07 are still in their seats. And they have to be careful about what you're buying. We're still waiting for the government to come out with the retention requirements, the financial institutions. We hope they ask the banks to retain at least 5% of the paper they originate. We think that would be healthy. We'd look forward to that. We would be the originator and then sell down the notes to the banks and/or to insurance companies and/or to other senior providers that we're working with actually even today. In this world, we will continue to focus on safety versus chasing silly yield on crappy assets. So assets like Hudson Yards, which we worked with the related companies or investments we've made with other household name borrowers, that's really where we're going to focus. And we can be super competitive because our cost of funds is so inexpensive relative to where it was when we started out. Europe is also picking up for us. We're going to continue to see a lot of pipeline opportunities in Europe. They seem to squeeze from one quarter to the next and borrowers come and go, but we are thinking that there'll be an increased pace of investment in Europe, where spreads are a little wider than the U.S. and the markets are a little less perfect. But again, I think our pipeline -- we closed almost $700 million of loans in April, and we have a pretty good pipeline in the U.S. and I think LNR, the transition to LNR will provide its own unique pipeline. So let's talk about LNR of a second. We closed it 2 weeks ago, finally. As you know, their named service [ph] to run more than $120 billion of trust, and they have about $20 billion of assets in their special servicing book, about $6 billion in REO and $14 billion in loans. And all of that hopefully will provide a pipeline of unique opportunities for us, both in the actual special servicing book, the $20 billion, as well as what's named special, and we can anticipate perhaps loans going bad and/or getting into trouble and offering tailored refinancing solutions to borrowers. As you may know, we own this company from the announcement when we went hard, which is early January. And what you don't know, we didn't tell you, we're telling you right now, is the company made nearly $90 million year-to-date, and all of that cash did not go into earnings. That actually went to reduce the goodwill account that we'd set up, or preliminarily set up, or how we allocated the value when we bought the company. So the company has been wildly profitable since we acquired it. And the lowering of goodwill will help future earnings and provide a better balance sheet for the firm going forward. We're going to be evaluating integration and the future cash flow projections of the company, and we'll provide further earnings guidance at the end of the second quarter for you. We kind of left it where it was because, actually we'll have a management meeting all hands on deck later today as we continue to work to integrate the company and take advantage of their systems and our systems and hit the ground running. We're pretty excited about it. As I mentioned, the CMBS market being as open as it is, has led to their conduit business, Archetype, being exceedingly profitable, and we're comfortable that it will vastly outperform our expectations in the short run and hopefully in the longer run too, so they will benefit from that from the conduit business that their executive team runs. The servicer has had a good run of it too, and loans are resolving and we get default interest on loans and some of these payments are rather large. We are pretty excited about our little business in Europe called Hatfield Philips. It's not that little, it's the largest servicer in Germany and the U.K., and we're evaluating how we can take full advantage of that platform, which has recently turned quite profitable. On the CMBS book, which is material, I think it's nearly $275 million on our cost basis is also -- is inversely correlated to the servicer. If the world gets better, the CMBS book is likely doing more and the servicer might be worth less so you've a natural hedge in their book. But we're pretty excited about the transaction, very excited about the transaction. The transaction costs will run through this quarter and will run through next quarter, given that we closed the transaction April and just had to pay the lawyers most recently. There's one other business since we talk about the company, which haven't focused on and you're not seeing any benefit from but there's an interest in Auction.com, the nation's largest commercial online and residential online auction house. This is being accounted for, and I'm looking at Stew, under the equity accounting -- cost method of accounting and so when -- there's no income even though their company's significantly profitable, we're not taking into our income any earnings from that subsidiary. And there's a significant value accreted to that position. And when and if it does something like pay the dividend, distributes it or goes public or does whatever it's going to be in the future, you'll see basically a windfall in our book value per share because there's nothing in the book value for -- there's no earnings for this business that we attributed value to. And we will use the roughly 500-plus people that are -- we acquired with LNR and partners in the future to enter new businesses and we're really excited about the team and the future potential for our company. I think Boyd and Stew and Mike Berry and Andrew spent a lot of time with the gentlemen down there, and we're really excited about the future for our company with LNR. And the quality of the executives is really one of the great assets of the company. I want to spend a minute talking about our residential foray. As you probably didn't notice but we started to buy single-family homes in the REIT exclusively. We're not doing this in our fund. We just did this in the REIT -- we don't know how you can do this in multiple vehicles -- probably the middle of last year and now we're up to nearly 4,000 homes, about 3,665 homes. This business, which now employs -- deploys about $450 million is dilutive to the company at the moment. It produces -- actually loses money in the quarter, and that's because we have chosen to enter the business by doing both NPL acquisitions as well as REO acquisitions and it's upfront costs while the homes are being renovated to and then they're rented. So there's $450 million of capital not earning -- actually losing money in the quarter embedded in our numbers. What's really interesting about this as you consider our fair market book -- our market to fair market book, which is between $21.50 and $22 a share, again excluding the kickers in the Canadian stores [ph] alone or the 7017s and excluding what is -- kind of interesting -- our average price for these homes at the time of acquisition was around 80% of the broker's opinion of value. And what you're seeing in these auctions today in the resi space is guys paying 105% of broker's opinion of value -- they're legging into the trade, if you will, and we chose to enter the business in a slightly different way. And if you take that 80% on $454 million and you said that maybe it was worth par, that's a $90 million gain to the REIT. That's not in our numbers and not in our book value. If you actually said that the markets of single-family home markets, which they are, have rallied quite hard, which they have, and since we required some of these assets, and you're up another 10% let's say. I think last quarter there was an announcement or earlier this week or this month, 9% year-over-year gains in single-family homes -- obviously, stronger in some markets than other markets, the Northeast being weak -- we don't own broad share, but Florida being strong, we own a lot in Florida and a lot in some of these rallying markets. That's a 10% gain, it will be another $45 million gain, it's $135 million of nearly $1 a share in fair value to the company and we are anticipating thinking about spinning this business out. We've told you about that now multiple times, and we're -- expect that, that will happen in the coming months as we move to do that. We think it's a different business, it should have its own life. It doesn't really belong here long-term. We'll have different payout ratios and different implications for our current yield versus appreciation. Obviously, loans don't really appreciate unless they're locked out for 1 billion years and the interest rates continue to hold steady because actually, they probably have appreciated given where rates are at the moment. But we're going to earn a pretty good cash yield. The book is completely unlevered at the moment, though we are completing a financing line right now for the resi with one of the major banks, which will be accretive to the company as well and the future company that may get spun out of us. So my final comments, I'm really happy to see the book value climb close to $22 a share. It's probably north of that with this fair market value of much of the things that I've talked about. We IPO'd at $20 so we're pretty happy that the book has climbed where it is, especially since we are a REIT that pays out 95% of its taxable income. I continue to believe that we can find really interesting things to do in the marketplace. And again using our speed, our flexibility, our market analogy and our scale to create unusual and compelling returns for our shareholder base. So we're pretty happy at the moment, and we're feeling good about our business. We're feeling really good about the cross-pollination between the Starwood Capital equity guys and the Starwood Property Trust dedicated athletes as we use our relationships. I can't tell you how many times Boyd and Stew and Chris Sikorsky and Leo Huang [ph] say, "Can you call this dude?" Can you call him?" Or we find something and pass it over the fence, or they find something and throw it to us, and that's really been a nice benefit of symbiotic relationship for the last 3.5 years between the 2 organizations, as they each continue to build up their capability globally. So with that, I think we'll take any questions you have.