Aleem Gillani
Analyst · Guggenheim Partners
Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everybody. I'll begin my comments today with the summary income statement on Slide 4. I'll provide you greater detail into the primary performance drivers on subsequent slides. So for now, I'll just hit the highlights. Earnings per share this quarter were $0.39. That's a $0.06 per share increase from the second quarter, primarily due to a lower provision resulting from improved credit trends. Compared to the third quarter of last year, earnings per share increased $0.22. The largest drivers were higher net interest income, a lower provision and the elimination of the TARP drag. The improving profitability trends that we've reported over the past couple of years are evident in the year-to-date figures. 2011 earnings per share were $0.81, which obviously compares favorably to the net loss that we reported during the first 9 months of last year. If you'll turn to Slide 5, we'll drill down further into our performance beginning with net interest income and net interest margin trends. Third quarter net interest income increased sequentially by $7 million or 1%. This was due to an additional day during the third quarter and a decline in interest expense, which was primarily attributable to lower deposit rates and the continuation of the favorable deposit mix shift. The net interest margin decline of 4 basis points was consistent with our guidance and primarily driven by lower earning asset yields. Relative to the third quarter of last year, net interest income increased $27 million or 2%, and the margin increased 8 basis points. This was the result of a 29 basis point decline in interest-bearing liability costs due to favorable deposit trends and a reduction in longer-term debt. This benefit more than offset the 17 basis point decline in earning asset -- in interest-earning asset yields due to lower rates. On a year-to-date basis, net interest income increased 5%, again due primarily to lower liability costs. As we look to the fourth quarter, particularly in light of the low rate environment, we expect a similar decline in the net interest margin to that experienced in the third quarter. Let's turn to noninterest income on Slide 6. As in previous quarters, we have made certain adjustments to our noninterest income for items like securities gains and mark-to-market impacts, and the details of these adjustments are included within the appendix. The major components of this quarter's $63 million adjustment included $78 million in valuation gains that were recognized on the company's fair value debt and index-linked CDs, partially offset by $21 million in valuation losses on previously secured securitized loans and illiquid securities. On an adjusted basis, noninterest income declined by $21 million this quarter. Investment Banking revenue was down $27 million, coming off a high second quarter as transaction volume decreased in light of the market volatility. That same market volatility in August also resulted in somewhat lower core trading revenue. Mortgage production income was up by $37 million this quarter on an adjusted basis. Core production income rose by about $65 million as a result of increased origination volume as well as wider margins. Partially offsetting this was $27 million of higher mortgage repurchase costs, which I'll discuss in more detail momentarily. Notwithstanding the stronger sequential quarter mortgage performance, mortgage-related revenue was lower than the third quarter last year when we saw extremely high levels of refinance volume, as well as very strong MSR hedge performance. These were the primary drivers of the approximate $200 million decline in adjusted noninterest income from a year ago. On a year-to-date basis, noninterest income was stable with 2010 levels. Double-digit growth in core consumer and commercial fee categories like Investment Banking, card fees and retail investment services was offset by lower mortgage revenue, as well as lower deposit service charges due to Reg E. As you are aware, our debit interchange revenue will decline beginning in the fourth quarter. As mentioned last quarter, we expect about a 50% reduction, which equates to approximately $45 million to $50 million per quarter. We continue to expect to mitigate about 50% of the approximate $300 million combined annual revenue reductions from Reg E and debit interchange. Most of that mitigation should be in the run rate by early 2012, with the balance late in 2012 and in 2013. Let's turn to Slide 7 for a discussion on mortgage repurchase trends. As shown in the top left portion of the slide, new repurchase demands increased to $440 million during the quarter with the 2007 vintage continuing to be the largest component. Demands remained difficult to predict and they were elevated this quarter, which is a trend that may continue in the fourth quarter. As you can see in the bottom row of the table, almost all of the demand this quarter were agency related. The top right part of the page shows that pending demands ended the quarter at $490 million. That's up only modestly from the prior quarter despite the increase in new demands as we worked hard to actively resolving these issues. You can see evidence of this in the bottom left portion of the page as charge-offs increased from second quarter levels. This was largely expected as a significant portion of last quarter's new demands came late in the month of June, thus driving up the second quarter pending population. As such and despite the fact that charge-offs declined that quarter, we had built the second quarter reserve in anticipation of this quarter's increase in resolutions. As the losses were recognized, we were able to utilize a portion of that reserve increase. The mortgage repurchase provision during the third quarter was $117 million, and the ending reserve level was $282 million. Let's take a look at expenses now. Expenses increased by $18 million or 1% on a sequential-quarter basis due to mortgage-related costs. Specifically, operating losses and credit and collections expense were up a combined $19 million. Other expense line items were essentially stable. Relative to the prior year, adjusted noninterest expense increased by $74 million. Operating losses increased by $45 million, largely attributable to mortgage servicing. Employee compensation was the other major driver, up $41 million, due to staff additions in client interfacing and mortgage loss mitigation and servicing roles. Higher incentive compensation due to improved revenue in certain businesses also contributed to this increase. Partially offsetting this was a $15 million decline in other real estate expense. And as Bill mentioned, he will provide you an update to our expense program later in the call. Let's move on to the balance sheet, starting on Slide 9. Average performing loans increased by over $1 billion or about 1% from the prior quarter. Growth was driven by targeted loan categories, including C&I and consumer loans, while higher risk elements of the portfolio continued to be managed down. Commercial loan growth came from the C&I category, which increased by $1.1 billion or almost 2.5%, primarily driven by our large book of borrowers. The growth was across multiple industries, mostly in the form of increased term funding. We saw a modest increase in large corporate utilization rates and a similar increase in commitment levels for our smaller commercial clients. Growth within consumer was across all loan categories with the largest dollar increases in guaranteed student loans and indirect auto. Period-end loans were up over $2.5 billion or more than 2% from the prior quarter. Notable items included increased production volume, higher loan balances during every month of the quarter and the $500 million student loan portfolio acquisition that closed at quarter end. Relative to the prior year, average loans grew almost $3.5 billion or about 3%. This growth also came from the targeted C&I and consumer portfolios. Commercial category loans increased by about $0.5 billion as strong C&I growth more than offset declines in CRE and commercial construction. The consumer portfolio was up by approximately $3.5 billion with student and indirect auto again driving the growth. Conversely, residential loans declined due to about a $2 billion combined reduction in non-guaranteed mortgages, home equity and residential construction, partially offset by growth in guaranteed mortgage. Overall, we are pleased with our traction in growing selected areas of the portfolio this quarter. And currently, we were also able to continue to reduce risks, and further information of this is shown on Slide 10. The portfolios that we've categorized as higher risk have accounted for about 50% of our net charge-offs over the past couple of years. As may be seen on this slide, these balances are down by almost $13 billion or about 55% since the fourth quarter of 2008. These portfolios fell by another $700 million this quarter with declines across all the categories, especially the commercial construction and higher-risk home equity portfolios. Overall, these higher-risk portfolios now constitute only 9% of our total loans. Less than $1 billion of this is nonperforming and has been written down or reserved for while the remainder of the book is exhibiting more favorable characteristics. For example, the performing higher-risk home equity portfolio has a refreshed averages FICO score in excess of 700. At the same time that we've been managing these high-risk balances down, we've also been reducing our risk further by increasing our government-guaranteed loans. Government-guaranteed loans increased this quarter by about $650 million. And they now total $9.8 billion or 8% of our loan portfolio. Let's move on now to a discussion on deposits. Average client deposits were up again, increasing by over $1 billion or about 1% from the second quarter. Favorable mix shift continued as growth was again concentrated in lower-cost categories, most notably via the $2.1 billion or 7% single quarter increase in DDA balances. Time deposits were down, and we also saw a decline in NOW balances, many of which migrated into DDA. Relative to the prior year, average deposits were up $5.7 billion or about 5%. Lower-cost deposit accounts increased by about $10 billion, which primarily came from 20% growth in DDA and 8% growth in money market. And currently, higher-cost time deposits declined by about $4 billion or 17%. Moving on to credit quality. All of our primary asset quality metrics improved this quarter, largely due to favorable trends in the commercial portfolio. Early-stage delinquencies, excluding government-guaranteed loans, declined 3 basis points from the prior quarter. Commercial loan delinquencies were down 7 basis points while residential loans improved by a modest 2 basis points. You can see this detail in the Appendix where we've provided you the usual supplementary slides. Commercial and consumer early-stage delinquency rates of 15 and 67 basis points, respectively, are at relatively low levels. So we expect any further improvements in overall delinquencies to be driven by residential loans and to be influenced by the overall economy, particularly by changes in unemployment, and to a lesser extent, home value. We saw another quarter of meaningful improvement in nonperforming loans and nonperforming assets, which were down 10% and 8%, respectively. I'll share with you the drivers of this momentarily. Net charge-offs were $492 million. This was a 3% improvement from the prior quarter and consistent with our prior guidance. In light of the overall continued credit quality improvement and risk reduction in the portfolio, we decreased the allowance for loan and lease losses by $144 million this quarter. The allowance ended the quarter at 2.22% of loans. Of note, if you exclude government-guaranteed loans from the denominator, this ratio is about 20 basis points higher. Slide 13 provides some additional detail on nonperforming loan and net charge-offs [ph]. Sequential quarter decline in nonperforming loans marked their ninth consecutive quarterly decrease and was driven by commercial loans. Commercial construction NPLs fell $242 million or almost 40% as the result of continuing risk-mitigation activities. C&I and CRE NPLs declined by almost $60 million each or over 10%. Nonperforming residential loans were essentially unchanged. Relative to the prior year, nonperforming loans declined by $1.1 billion or 26%. Every loan category was down with the largest dollar declines coming from commercial construction, non-guaranteed mortgages and C&I. Net charge-offs declined by $13 million from the prior quarter, driven by residential loans as home equity and residential construction fell by a combined $17 million. Commercial charge-offs were relatively stable as an approximate $40 million sequential quarter increase in commercial construction was largely offset by about a $35 million combined decrease in C&I and CRE. Compared to last year, net charge-offs were down by about $200 million or about 30%, which was driven primarily by lower residential losses, most notably in the non-guaranteed mortgage loan category. Overall, NPL declines in recent quarters have been driven by commercial category loans as the higher-risk commercial construction portfolio has been reduced while the C&I book has generally performed well overall. Residential loans have been the largest driver of our lower net charge-offs. This portfolio has seen notable improvements over the past year, although that stabilized somewhat this quarter. Taking this together, we expect the third quarter trends to be similar in the fourth quarter, specifically additional declines in nonperforming loans with generally stable net charge-offs. I'll conclude my comments today on Slide 14 with the discussion of capital. The Tier 1 common ratio expanded to an estimated 9.25% while the Tier 1 capital ratio ended the quarter at an estimated 11.05%. The latter was down marginally due to a modest reduction in our outstanding trust preferred securities, as well as the impact of loan growth on risk-weighted assets. Both of these ratios continue to be well above the current and proposed regulatory requirement. The tangible common equity ratio expanded by over 30 basis points due to higher retained earnings, as well as an increase in accumulated other comprehensive income due to higher unrealized gains in our securities portfolio. Those same factors drove a 4% increase in tangible book value per share, which ended the quarter at $25.60. We told you on the last call that we intended to approach our Board requesting a modest dividend -- a common dividend increase. We did so and received their approval. And we announced during the third quarter a 4% share -- a $0.04 per share increase in the quarterly dividend. Separately, we also repurchased and retired about 4 million SunTrust warrants during a public auction conducted by the U.S. Treasury. While both of these actions were relatively small, they are consistent with our desire to increase the return of capital to our shareholders. With that, and to lead us through a discussion of our strategic growth initiatives, I'll turn the call back over to Bill.