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Stewart Information Services Corporation (STC)

Q1 2015 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 23, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Stewart Information Services First Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. Today’s call is being recorded. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode and the floor will be opened for your questions following the presentation. I would now like to turn the call over to Nat Otis, Director of Investor Relations.

Nat Otis

Management

Thank you, Kevin. Good morning. Thank you for joining us for our first quarter 2015 earnings conference call. We will be discussing results that were released earlier this morning. Joining me today are CEO, Matt Morris; and CFO, Allen Berryman. Matt will begin with some brief remarks followed by a review of the quarter by Allen. We will then open the call up for questions. I will remind participants that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties because such statements are based on an expectation of future financial operating results and are not statements of facts. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. The risk and uncertainties with forward-looking statements are subject to include, but are limited to, the risks and other factors detailed in our press release published this morning and in statements regarding forward-looking information, risk factors and other sections of the company’s Form 10-K and other filings with the SEC. Let me now turn the call over to Matt.

Matt Morris

Management

Thank you, Nat, and thanks everyone for joining us today. Those of you who have been following Stewart know that 2015 marked year four of our five-year strategic plan and the first quarter again were an explanation of the development since we execute on our transformation. On the revenue front, we are pleased to report continued growth with total operating revenues increasing almost 14% over last year’s first quarter. The 2014 acquisitions which were finalized in August of last year are generating promising revenues while our focus on smart growth is getting traction in our direct offices where we see market share gains in pursuit of our 50-50 direct and agency mix. Order counts were up strongly over last year’s first quarter and we are also encouraged by the jump in open orders in March compared to February. We also remain on target with the strategic objectives described over the last several quarters including the value creation strategies announced in February of 2014. As of quarter-end, we have achieved in excess of $17 million of annualized run rate savings against our original target of $25 million of annualized savings. And we’re pleased to report an upward revision of that estimate to $30 million which we feel confident achieving by the end of 2015. As in the fourth quarter 2014, we continue to incur one-time cost primarily related to our cost management program consisting of consultants and severance payments as well as costs related previously announced settlement with the shareholder. The total for these costs were $7.3 million. We also recorded a reserve strengthening charge of $11.8 million primarily related to policy years 2005 to 2007 which Allen will describe in more detail in a moment. In terms of title revenue, we experienced higher transaction volume in the first quarter 2015…

Allen Berryman

Management

Thank you Nat, good morning everyone. As a reminder, since the management team will oversees the mortgage services operation also oversees our centralized title operations catering to the large mortgage lenders, the acquired revenues pertaining to centralised title reported in the mortgage services segment, while the acquired revenues pertaining to local office operations were reported in the title segment. This reporting is in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and segment reporting rules. As would be expected the acquired revenues pertaining solely to the non-title operations are reported in the mortgage services segment. The remainder of my comments unless I indicate otherwise will discuss results as reported on the consolidated statement of operations as that is the level at which the components of revenue are disclosed. As Matt mentioned a moment ago, we recorded non-recurring charges as well as a title loss reserve strengthening charge during the quarter and while I will provide more detail as to the underlying drivers of these items as I discuss business unit results, I want to summarize them here to provide some context to the quarter’s overall results. We incurred $7.3 million of expense relating to the cost management program as well as the previously announced settlement with a shareholder. $6.9 million of these costs were recorded in the corporate segment with the remaining $400,000 recorded in the mortgage services segment. Of the cost recorded in the corporate segment, $3.5 million were incurred in reaching the shareholder settlement. The remaining $3.4 million relate to our cost management program and we expect to incur similar cost on this program in the second and third quarters of this year as we finalize execution of various project plans. During the quarter, we continued executing against various project plans of our cost management program, including finalizing the contractual…

Operator

Operator

The floor is now open for questions. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Our first question comes from Steve Stelmach with FBR. Your line is now open.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Hi, good morning, everybody. Matt, real quick on the reserve strengthening charge, what was it about the timing that hit 1Q? Is that just simply the appellate ruling coming in 1Q or was there something else that’s launching the timing of that that charge?

Matt Morris

Management

No, it really is the appellate ruling and there were couple of those, several of those and all in 1Q.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Got it. And then anything of similar size as for appellate that’s subject to the pending litigation that we should be aware of?

Matt Morris

Management

No. I mean as always, we set goals of where we think we are. So maybe we would have bought some one-time events in Q1.

Allen Berryman

Management

And we always monitor litigation on an ongoing basis. Of course we don’t comment on any litigation in process, but we do monitor it and we share our reserves in accordance with the FAS 5 criteria. And in the quarter, we reached a point where some of the clients were reasonably add some balloon and therefore they were put up for accrual. And as Matt said, the others were subject to adverse rulings in the court and therefore we put up accruals for those as well.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Yeah. And so given the fact that this is until ’05 through ’07 books of businesses are under a prior regime, is it fair to say that maybe that sort of melting ice cubes and those are opportunities with the larger rulings is what dissipating, is that a fair bias in terms of assumptions?

Allen Berryman

Management

I think that’s fair. I mean ’05 and ’07, it’s been difficult for us and the industry overall, and I think everybody would stayed mute of stayed in the system probably longer than people would have expected, but...

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Yeah.

Allen Berryman

Management

Should be getting through them.

Matt Morris

Management

Sometimes the judicial process takes a while to grind along.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Yeah. Understood. And maybe this is for Allen, on the mortgage services of revenue, you gave a lot of good tell on the acquisitions, but maybe thinking about a little bit differently and if you gave this I apologize that if you had owned those businesses in 1Q ’14 what would organic growth had looked like for the combined entity.

Allen Berryman

Management

So let me try answering it, but thinking about it in the reverse, if we had not owned those acquisitions in 1Q ’15 revenues would have been down.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Okay.

Allen Berryman

Management

If you think about what’s just the legacy default related business, that book of business continues to do decline certainly both in the absolute and obviously as a proportion of revenues.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Got it. And then that kind of leads I guess my last question on I think the guidance and that sort of downside bias on that revenue. I think you mentioned lower fees with a bigger customer, what’s driving that? Is it because of that sort of opportunity on the pressure you were anticipating or is it competitive pressure eating away at similar the revenue opportunity?

Matt Morris

Management

I think that was competitive pressure on the specific contracts we referenced yet again. So we are seeing some normalizing of services that as it post downturn where new services being offered and see probably more normalization of margins in some of those contract, be offset by a third buyer very strong pipeline of potential opportunities out there.

Steve Stelmach

Analyst

Great. Alright guys. Thanks for the answers.

Matt Morris

Management

Absolutely, Steve.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Campbell with Stephens. Your line is now open.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Matt Morris

Management

Good morning, John.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

So just, in the press release, you expect mortgage services, you guys I think you said double digit margin in the press release in it. But Matt now, I think you guys both said kind of mid-teens margin. So not trying to put two final point on it, but should we for closing of 15% or so margins. I think we’ve been looking for closure to 10% or so in the back half of the year, so that would be upside to us.

Matt Morris

Management

Yeah, and again I mean we are looking for mid-teens. As stated, that one contract significantly will put downward pressure on obtaining that, but still as we look at models and we look at the pipeline coming in, that’s what we’re targeting for. And a lot of that again is not only counting on new revenue opportunities, there are significant cost reductions in that segment, which we will be able to provide more clarity on in Q2.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Got it. And I think you guys actually might have said mid-teen margins in the past, maybe even before you renewed that contract at the lower pricing. So what other sides of the business, I guess, is it just cost saves that you just kind of just mentioned?

Matt Morris

Management

That’s correct. It’s some of that, absolutely. I mean we really look at – again, we talked about the synergy savings, but a lot of our planning on those acquisitions, if you look at the finalized closing in August of last year, we kind of get through one year of kind of private plans to rationalize all that expense, so kind of looking on that culminating around of August of this year. That gives us kind of more consistent run rate.

Allen Berryman

Management

Some of the longer involved processes of getting the acquisitions integrated around automated systems and computer infrastructure obviously take a little bit longer to get done, but that should be wrapped in the second quarter. We are also working our way through some legacy facilities questions that should be wrapped up in the second quarter as well.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Got it, got it, thanks for that. And then on the March purchase opened orders, those were up I think 22% or so year-over-year. It’s a great indicator for the early stages of 2Q and that was actually well above the March existing home sales growth rates, that was good news. But what’s April looking like thus far?

Matt Morris

Management

April seems to flat out a little bit relative to March continuing to be up from prior years, but going into April, we see a little bit of flattening in revenues. Now remember that Easter hit us the very first week in April this year, which is a little different timing than last year. So, some of that could be just timing around the holiday.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Got it. And I would imagine maybe a little bit of pull forward into March from bad weather in February too. But I think the concern has been also on Texas, right, like with the energy, crude and oil crisis. The stats we’re seeing from industry looks to be that I think Texas looks to be like it’s hanging in there, so are you guys seeing any kind of negative drawbacks or anything from anything in Texas?

Matt Morris

Management

Really where we see the Texas is to interim some of the smaller accounts, which probably are more agent-centric for us. As far as major metros, Houston is probably the only major metro that we are watching very closely and could be impacted. Although, we look at kind of March housing sales year-over-year, they are actually up 4% from 2014 to 2015. So we do see kind of a weaker high-ends and it slowdown in commercial construction. So we are watching it closely, but the market is holding up very well. And, again, as far as major metros, we don’t see that same potential distraction in either Austin or Dallas areas.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Got it. And just one more if I can. The regulatory expense, just on a apples-to-apples basis versus last year, what was the increase that you guys saw? And then just curious how that’s going to pace throughout the year, you guys said that – Allen, I believe you said that you guys are going to take a good bit of cost, but just curious, I mean did you guys take the brunt of that cost in 1Q and it kind tapers off throughout the rest of the year, is that more of a run rate?

Allen Berryman

Management

No, I would say that it will probably ramp up in Q2 before it’s behind us. Remember that the actual implementation date is August 1, which hit you right at beginning of Q3 or middle part of Q3. So, we will continue to incur some cost in Q2 and likely some as well in July. I would say that the plan is well progressed, things are on track, all the indicators are given in terms fairness and also working very closely with our lending partners as well as our independent agents and so far so good on that front.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

So, fair to say that kind of tapers in 4Q and then tapers even more so into 2015 or into the 2016?

Allen Berryman

Management

The cost side certainly tapers off in Q3 and basically dissipates in Q4. The question in Q4 is really, what has the potential revenue disruption on closings and that sort of the great unknown at the moment.

John Campbell

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Got it. Thanks for all questions guys.

Matt Morris

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ryan Byrnes with Janney Capital. Your line is now open.

Ryan Byrnes

Analyst · Janney Capital. Your line is now open.

Thanks. Good morning everybody. Just had a question on the commercial strengths, I may have missed it earlier but obviously it was nice kind of year-over-year growth. Was there any kind of a pull forward from later this year or I guess maybe some clean up from the fourth quarter? Just wanted to see if that strength is sustainable?

Matt Morris

Management

No, I mean there were no transactions to stick out nor big pipeline of pull through in the prior year. We have good start to the year with year-over-year growth and what’s historically maybe it’s been a challenging commercial quarter. The pipeline looks solid in the second quarter. Again beginning to see some of the CMBS refinancing activity, again timing of commercial closings is always can be different than residential orders, but no kind of one off events that would – take that away from an ongoing trend.

Ryan Byrnes

Analyst · Janney Capital. Your line is now open.

Okay, great. And then this could be my last one. In the press release, Matt, you note that you expect mortgage originations to decline in the second half of the year. Just wanted to get a little more color on that, is that just expected I guess interest rates rising and lower Refi activity or is there something or again is there either something else there?

Matt Morris

Management

I think there is some seasonality and there is interest rates. We talked about CFPB implementation, potential refinance going down. But I think Fannie numbers have Q2 at $367 billion going to $347 billion in Q3 down to $350 billion in Q4. So somewhat just really cognisant of it as we look at our cost and our completed plans for the year as we are looking at that activity potentially turning down after Q2.

Ryan Byrnes

Analyst · Janney Capital. Your line is now open.

Okay, great. Thanks for the color guys.

Matt Morris

Management

Yeah.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Kevin Kaczmarek with Zelman & Associates. Your line is now open.

Kevin Kaczmarek

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is now open.

Hey guys, just had a couple of questions on the mortgage services pipeline. I think you mentioned that it was looking robust, but I was just trying to get a sense of how large the new contracts might be and what kind of businesses they are in, the length of them in potential margins. I am just trying to get a sense of future growth here.

Matt Morris

Management

Yeah. I don’t know how much we can go into overall. What I would say is, somewhat as I alluded to diversified clients to this, the contractor not near large as they used to be and the clients we have are much more diversified and services are more diversified. So I don’t know that we give more color as it starts to get pretty segmented there, but the activity we are seeing in our piece around various types of services continue to increase. Honestly we think part of that is market and part of it is just where somewhat of a new insert to that market, now that we have a full suite of products and services that have a feed of that table and we’ll let features go up with lenders.

Allen Berryman

Management

That’s been nice to see on that front as just the success of cross selling gaining additional wallet share of a particular customer that’s either new customer to us and we are selling a legacy product or vice versa to where we have an existing customer that [indiscernible] the product set that came along with the acquisitions and that’s driving a lot of the upside opportunity for us as we had hoped it would.

Kevin Kaczmarek

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is now open.

Okay, great. And on the year-over-year purchase cost, do you have sense of what that might have been without the acquisitions?

Matt Morris

Management

The acquisitions were principally centralized platforms which are largely refinancing driven. There was a fairly modest component I would say, this is what I would call core title offices that we acquired. So I would attribute a large proportion of the increase in the residential orders to acquisitions.

Kevin Kaczmarek

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is now open.

Okay. And then one last one, on the $5 million of extra restructuring expense says, where might you expect those to come from?

Matt Morris

Management

Those would be around the areas of – of course we are having up to our estimate of savings from some of the outsourcing activities, but they would also come in the areas of additional vendor renegotiation through the procurement team probably some additional office optimization in terms of our footprint of offices. It’s really no particular individual project that we indentified it was sort of additional activities around existing projects that expanded the scope of the overall cost savings number.

Allen Berryman

Management

Yes. Kevin I will just clarify. I think that’s not necessarily new, the additional five aren’t new projects. They are basically existing projects that are achieving better results from the expected.

Kevin Kaczmarek

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is now open.

Okay great, thanks.

Operator

Operator

And it appears we have no further questions at this time, I will turn the floor back over to Matt Morris for some closing remarks.

Matt Morris

Management

Thank you. Again thank everyone for joining us. The first quarter 2015 was one of the great things from a revenue perspective, obviously strong growth in both our direct and mortgage services operations, while January and February time regulated to somewhat lacklustre, they rebounded strongly in March. Combined now with a strong sequential increase and open to orders in March, we are poised for continued revenue growth in second quarter. While the reserve strengthening charge for large time losses was disappointing. The related policy years of 2005 to 2007 has been problematic for both in the industry as a whole. Our recent policy years continue to exhibit favorable loss rates and so we are able to maintain our target and co-provision rate going forward. Setting a slightly reserve strengthening, margins improved significantly in our title segment. Our focus on discipline and accountable sales growth, closing underperforming offices, opening new offices in key markets, agency betting commercial growth and cost management are gaining traction to improve margins, reduced risks, and managed cycles. We are also encouraged by the continued progress made in the transformation of our mortgage services business. As demonstrated by its improving margins. These operations are closely [indiscernible] strategic plan and we are well positioned at premier providers of complete set of solutions to support the ongoing loan origination and serving support needs of lenders in a complex and changing regulatory environment. We see this segment as a growing contributor to our margin expansion and we are confident it will bring significant sustainable value to Stewart. We do remain mindful of every changing industry conditions, while we saw positive signs during the first quarter. We are cognisant of general economic volatility, as well as the expected decline in mortgage origination volume in the second half of the year. 2015 will bring most significant changes in the industries history with the implementation of the new PSPB regulations. These regulations which will go into effect August of 2015 not only are adding regulatory expense at one-time implementation cost this year, but also had its potential to cause temporary operational delays across the industry in late 2015. Our [indiscernible] and we fully expect to be prepared internally for business as usual, but order opened after the August 1 timeline begin to close. As we’ve noted before we are very focused on minimizing the impact to our customers of any destructions and also leveraging the pending changes to gain market share, while rethinking these process to increase efficiencies Overall we feel like we are doing exactly what we are committed to do and our results demonstrate continued progress. We believe the remaining initiatives that run just upon sales growth, optimization of our mortgage services offerings continued the improvement in cost management program and balance capital management are key to enhancing shareholder value going forward. Again, thank you very much for your time.