Good day, and welcome to the Sensata Technologies Q2 2019 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note, that this event is being recorded.Now let’s the conference over to Mr. Joshua Young, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Thank you, Keith and good morning everybody on the call. I'd like to welcome you to Sensata's second quarter 2019 earnings conference call. Joining me on today's call are Martha Sullivan, Sensata's CEO; Jeff Cote, Sensata’s President and Chief Operating Officer, and Paul Vasington, Sensata's Chief Financial Officer.In addition to the earnings release, we issued earlier today, we will also be referencing a slide presentation during today's conference call. The PDF of this presentation can be downloaded from Sensata's Investor Relations website, and we will post a replay of today's webcast shortly at the conclusion of today's call.Before we begin, I'd like to reference Sensata's Safe Harbor statement on Slide number two. During the course of this conference call, we will make forward-looking statements regarding future events or the financial performance of the Company that involve risks and uncertainties. The Company's actual results may differ materially from the projections described in such statements. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in our Forms 10-Q and 10-K, as well as other subsequent filings with the SEC.On Slide number three, we show Sensata's GAAP results for the second quarter of 2019. We encourage you to review our GAAP financial statements in addition to today's presentation. Most of the subsequent information we will discuss during today's call will be related to non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of our GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release and in our webcast presentation.The Company provides details of its segment performance on Slides 12 and 13 which are the primary measures management uses to evaluate the business. Martha will begin today's call with an overall business summary; Jeff will then provide more details on our secular growth drivers in investments and electrification. Paul will then cover our financials for the second quarter of 2019 and provide guidance for the third quarter and a update to our full year 2019 guidance. We will then take your questions after our prepared remarks.Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Sensata's CEO, Martha Sullivan.

Thank you, Joshua, and thanks to everyone on the call for joining us this morning. During the second quarter, we continued to significantly outperform our end-markets, while advancing important electrification initiatives that will benefit our long-term revenue growth.While we generated lower volume in Q2 as a result of incrementally weaker end markets, we still delivered solid earnings and margin performance. This performance reflects our ability to respond quickly to market changes as well as the impact from our capital deployment program.On Slide four I list some of the key highlights of the second quarter. For the second quarter, we reported revenues of $883.7 million, which represented an organic revenue decline of approximately 1.6%. We delivered adjusted EPS of $0.93, which was within the range of our guidance and flat with the EPS we generated in the second quarter of 2018.HVOR continued to be our fastest growing business, generating organic revenue growth of 1% which partially offset a 1.1% organic revenue decline in our automotive business and a 4.1% organic revenue decline in Sensing Solutions.One of the key developments in the second quarter was that our end markets continued to weaken and were lower than our expectations. The most notable declines were in the China auto end market, which was down 20% and the European auto end market which was down 10%.Additionally, the industrial end market was down 7% in the second quarter and the North American on-road truck market was also weaker. Despite this difficult end market environment, we continued to deliver strong secular growth for the overall company. This was led by our automotive business which outgrew its end market by 650 basis points and continued a trend of accelerating content growth.Our HVOR business outgrew its markets by 280 basis points below its recent trend due to the timing…

Thank you, Martha. It's a pleasure to be on today's call. On Slide seven, we show some of the drivers of our secular growth. We are generating solid content growth across our business as a result of these multi-year trends, and we're making investments that further position that company for long term secular growth.While our content growth in automotive is significant, our efforts to diversify our business into the heavy vehicle off-road industrial and aerospace end markets has created compelling long term growth opportunities that we are investing in and realizing.For example in HVOR, we have outgrown the end markets by 550 basis points for the first six months of 2019. We are seeing content growth in the on-road truck market as new regulation drives additional safety and emissions requirements.Additionally, our off-road business is seeing content growth opportunities from the fan out of electronic controls. Last quarter, we spoke about our wireless gateway or vehicle Area Network, which represents a content driver for Sensata as our customers look to use the data our sensors capture to enhance the safety and efficiency of their equipment.In industrial, we are seeing sensors being added for a range of requirements as customers generate better digital insights, through industry 4.0 efforts. In aerospace, we are seeing sensors being added to monitor the environment of the cabin as well as to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of flight controls.In automotive, we see similar trends and we have accelerated our out growth relative to end market production. Over the past two years we have increased our out growth by 380 basis points and have grown the automotive business 570 basis points faster than end market for the first six months of this year.I want to emphasize that we have high confidence in sustaining secular out growth in…

Thank you, Jeff. Key highlights for the second quarter, as shown on Slide 11 include, revenue of $883.7 million in the quarter, a decrease of 3.3% from the second quarter of 2018. Changes in foreign currency decreased revenues by about 1%.The net effect of our valves divestiture and the acquisition of GIGAVAC decreased revenues by 0.7% year-over-year. The net result was 1.6% organic revenue decline in the quarter.Adjusted operating income was $205.1 million in the quarter a decrease of 6.5% compared to the second quarter of 2018, due primarily to the net effect of acquisitions and divestitures, net productivity headwind partly related to scaling new product launches and higher sales. This was partially offset by lower operating expenses, and lower variable compensation.Adjusted net income was $150.4 million in the quarter, a decrease of 6.5% compared to the second quarter of 2018. Adjusted EPS was $0.93 in the second quarter, flat compared to the prior year quarter, which reflects a $0.07 decline in operational performance, a $0.06 decline from the net effect of acquisitions and divestitures, and a $0.07 increase from foreign currency as well as a $0.06 increase from share repurchases.Now I'd like to comment on the performance of our two business segments in the second quarter 2019. I will start with Performance Sensing on slide 12. Our Performance Sensing business reported revenues of $644.5 million for the second quarter, a decrease of 4.7% compared to the same quarter last year, reflecting both the negative impact from foreign currency of about 1% and the net effect of acquisitions and divestitures, which reduced revenue by 3%.Excluding these factors, Performance Sensing reported an organic revenue decline of 0.7% compared to the prior year.Our HVOR business reported organic revenue growth of 1% in the second quarter. HVOR once again had the strongest revenue…

Thank you. Keith, please assemble the Q&A roster.

Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] And this morning's first question comes from Jed Dorsheimer with Canaccord Genuity

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I guess first one, Martha given the decline particularly in China. While overall unit volumes are down, I would assume that the dollar content per unit has actually increased as a function of decline. I was wondering if you could provide a bit of an update in terms of content today, and then you know how the market changes and dynamics have kind of changed your -- what we should expect as we look out for content growth?

Yes, Jed, it’s a good point and it's a really important observation. So despite a pretty precipitous drop in overall production in China, which we've now seen for a few quarters, our launches continue to be on track. If we go back to our Investor Day at the end of 2017, we talked about increasing our content per vehicle in China by 50%. We're actually running ahead of that on a linear basis, so the content is doing quite well. If you look at our overall growth in China, we were actually just flat despite in China broadly despite these really tough end markets that we're facing.We have launched National 6 content that was an important thing that had to happen in 2019. So that is very much on track. Having said that, the market now is dealing with legacy National 5 content vehicles and that's making the inventory situation challenging from an end market perspective. But we're doing very well on the content per vehicle front, continues to be driven by National 6 changes, which are in place and more of those launches ahead of us. Our take rates on TPMS are also helping to drive growth. Electrification really important in China, some of the wins that we're alluding to are happening in China, which is now the fastest growing NEV market in auto, so all of that bodes well for our content growth.

Great. That's helpful. I guess in the Energy Storage area that you're looking at increasing your exposure to with Lithium Balance and in other growth in that area, I was wondering if you might be able to maybe give us a little bit more deeper perspective on what we should expect in terms of your moves in that particular market.

I’m going to let Jeff -- Jeff has been working this one closely, he’s going to talk to you about that.

Yes. So I think it's a great question. The opportunity around Energy Storage we believe, will continue to grow quite rapidly. We mentioned in the script that Lithium Balance already has a solution that they're bringing to market in that area. They are a fairly small company however, and so, as we engage with them and continue to develop our partnership, we will certainly take their technology and go to our customers to evaluate continued opportunities to be able to pursue as that market continues to evolve.And so that's building one of the many areas that we see as being an opportunity associated with Lithium Balance. We also mentioned that it will help us in terms of battery management on a wired basis, within our industrial and HVOR markets, and it will also complement the wireless battery monitoring activity that we have. That's been an ongoing organic effort for us in the automotive market.

Great. That's helpful. One more question, then I'll jump back in the queue. Martha, looks as if you've done a really good job in terms of shifting over to a more variable cost model, which should help you through this downturn if it becomes a prolonged one. It also looks as if the shift to electrification is happening sooner.So I was wondering if you might be able to provide you know as you steward this company, provide perspective on how you might be able to sort of shift the business away from the more unit economics that it's still heavily reliant upon on, ice based vehicles, and how you're thinking about the electric as well as automated trends in the marketplace?

Yes I think they are really three dimensions. First, if we look at our overall automotive business, it's making sure that we are positioned very well and winning in applications, that are growing with some of the disruptions happening in that market, electrification being number one for Sensata. We also see opportunities when we look at what's happening from a connected perspective in the automotive business.I say just as important though is the work that we're doing beyond auto, and it has two impacts; one, it brings secular growth into other end markets, and two, it's helping to diversify our business. So you can see at the current run rate now we've dropped below the 60% mark in terms of our automotive exposure. And so we're enjoying secular content in areas like material handling in HVAC, in aerospace and that's really helping to strengthen our overall business model. So really appreciate this question, it's a very important dynamic at Sensata.

Great. I'll jump back in the queue and look forward to seeing you guys next week.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Wamsi Mohan with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Yes. Thank you. Good morning. Hey Paul thanks for the color on restructuring. I was wondering if you could just maybe give us a little more insight into sort of what segments, regions, and markets these actions are being taken in, and how much of these savings will actually flow through the bottom line versus reinvested in the business particularly in 2019 and I have a follow up.

So that the areas where the restructuring is going to impact the business is actually across the globe. So many of the markets, which are weaker we are taking action to improve the cost structure. And so you would see the savings coming across all parts of the business for Sensata.The savings we're going to see a little bit that savings in 2019. Most of that -- most of the savings will come through as we're looking to restructure the organization to be more productive. And so, looking to realize most of that savings as we enter into 2020.

Okay, thanks Paul. And Martha or Jeff, you had very strong business wins over the last few years. How are business wins tracking here in this much weaker sort of auto OEM end market and particularly as it pertains to any re-trends in China which you alluded to on the call, how are you thinking about the risk of too many players and being able to underwrite the strength from -- from design wins longer term? Thank you.

Good question Wamsi. So we talk about the fact that the secular trends that are impacting the business continue to track in a very strong way, regulation, electrification, smart connected autonomy. All of these are very good for Sensata, and it's really resulted in an increase in our overall NBO wins over the last several years. We mentioned that in 2015, we won 370 million of NBO’s. Last year it was 500. We're tracking very nicely toward a good amount of wins during 2019 as well.And the pipeline continues to be quite full. So there’s lots of opportunity, and we're engaging with customers to make sure that we engage with them to get those wins behind us, because they are ultimately what drives that secular growth for us going forward.

I think Wamsi, in terms of the number of players, just the segmentation of our end markets is really important as we see the dynamics play out. And that's particularly true in China. That's been a discipline you know that we've been observing for as long as we've been in the automotive market in China, just given the number of players that are there.

Thank you. And the next question comes from David Kelley with Jefferies.

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. A quick follow up on the -- the auto outgrowth accelerating here, and just given some of these changing regulations in China and Europe. I guess is the recent pace sustainable? Is there another leg on the horizon of outgrowth you see, would just love to get your thoughts on kind of the content pipeline over the next 12 to 18 months?

Yes, so just to sort of level set an auto in the first quarter, we had outgrowth of about 490 basis points, 650 in the second. So year-to-date 570, we're feeling good about that trend continuing, not only through 2019 but beyond as well. And we've talked about the number of opportunities that are really driving that, Euro-VI and S-VI in China a number of different regulations associated with fuel evaporation requirements, electrified platforms. So, so there are dozens of opportunities. I think that's the most important aspect to really zero in on, it's not just one or two different things that are creating opportunity for their company. And as we continue to expand our capability base, it then multiplies into other areas, so the TPMS mass opportunity as it fanned out through Europe and now into China, and then eventually into HVOR. And so, some things Sensata does really well, is take those capabilities that we've developed for one end market to solve a challenge and then fan it out over time.So we feel quite confident, and ultimately that the trends that we see and the opportunity to continue to see that outgrowth.

All right. Great. Thank you. And then maybe to switch gears a bit and as a follow up, if we look at the Performance Sensing margin, which we think held up fairly well given some of the end market deterioration, can you just talk about some of the cost levers you are pulling and have to pull given, A, you're scaling new product launches but also B, if you've got some restructuring initiatives taking place and on the horizon here?

Some Performance Sensing business I think you've -- you characterize it. Well, I mean the scaling of the new products is an intense process that we've been talking about for a while, and so we see good growth in that, in those areas and then to offset out those some of the weakness we've seen in some of the more mature products is impacting our operating leverage that we would expect to achieve and realize.The cost reduction is all across the P&L, its driving better productivity in our manufacturing process. It's leaning out and streamlining our overhead costs, all with the intention of continuing to sustain and drive margin improvement in that business over time.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Amit Daryanani with Evercore.

Hi, [Indiscernible]. Thanks a lot. Good morning guys. Two questions to me as well. First off on GIGAVAC, could you give us a sense on the revenue opportunity you have today as you think about this over the next two to three years? And just from an investment perspective, could you quantify how much you know how much of the headwinds in the Sensing Solutions margins from investments you are making for GIGAVAC for the revenue opportunity you have?

Yes I think that the business when we announced at the time of the acquisition, you know running around something like $90 million in revenue, and growing very strong double digits the 20% to 30%. But that -- that small base is -- was great. What really compelled us to follow on that transaction was the opportunity horizon. We talked about $300 million sales pipeline already developed in auto alone for the high voltage contactors. And we've since extended that now to end markets like HVOR and Material Handling display that we're talking about, Lithium Balance and the opportunity it brings us into an Energy Storage systems, also allows us to bring high voltage contactor content into a very large end market.So it's really important we talk about it as being a strategic imperative at some side. That means it's a must do. And it's all opportunity base.I think relative to Sensata, Sensing Solutions merged in. The investment that we're making in GIGAVAC is largely to tool that portfolio for the automotive markets, so most of that investment you're seeing inside of the Performance Sensing segment.

Got it. Got it and then I guess just on the free cash flow run rate for the back half and I realize you guys updated the full year guide for free cash flow. But you expected to do something like $300 million in the back half of the year versus $170 million, I think, in the first half and H2 2019 guide -- implied guide, I should say, is up year-over-year as well. Just -- could you just touch on the levers that can get you to this free cash flow wrapping up in the back half of the year?

Well similar to what we've seen the past, second half cash flow is stronger than the first half. We're going to continue to invest in capital, but the rate this year is more level set than it has in the past, so more balanced quarter-by-quarter in terms of CapEx than continued improvement of working capital, continued improvement in driving down our receivable. There's linearity improvement in the fourth quarter what we typically see. So the revenues are flat month by month -- a month. So we typically see a much better cash flow in the second half than in the first half. So I feel pretty confident. If you look at our operating cash flow at ANI it improves throughout the second half more in line with 100% conversion.So I feel pretty good about our ability to do that. This restructuring or the restructuring that we're taking, the funding of that will happen mostly in the second half. So that will be a drag. And also you know the change that we talked about in terms of profit will be a drag from where we thought we're going to be. But all-in-all I think it's very achievable.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Sameet Chatterjee with JPMorgan.

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Martha, just wanted to get your thoughts on the business outlook, but in a different, on the outgrowth, but in a different aspect on the market share opportunities that you're seeing both organically and inorganically, often when the industry volumes do get challenging, some of the smaller players do struggle. So when you're looking at this tough environment, are you looking at some of the organic, how are thinking about the organic opportunities as well as the M&A pipeline?

Yes. You know we always have a mindset, when markets get tough that we're going to get stronger. And it really is around the observation that you made to me. There are a number of things that happen. Yes, more marginal competitors you know struggle to compete. We're very focused on maintaining the value that we bring to customers, but also making sure that we follow through on commitments for launch, new product quotes, and that serves us really, really well. So we've continued to see nice share gains. Most of that coming through new content in new applications, and that will continue. We're very disciplined in our capital allocation process. So keeping an eye on M&A valuations is important. Making sure that we have the optionality to buy back shares, and so you know given tougher markets we would expect to see valuations get more attractive and interesting over time.And so that's part of making sure we have the optionality to do what is best for our shareholders in terms of creating returns.

Got it. And if I can just follow up on the China automotive market, we understand the outlook's not great here, but in your discussions with the OEMs, what are you hearing in terms of what can get that market to stabilize or potentially like return to growth maybe next year. Are there any policy actions or anything that you're hearing could potentially help on that front?

Yes, we've been spending a ton of time on China, but both myself and Jeff have actually been on the ground in China over the past few months trying to get a sense for exactly that. When you look at it from a policy perspective, the incentives and stimulus put in place so far have been fairly municipality based. And so that's got to get to a critical mass where it really has an impact on the overall end market and we're not expecting that in 2019. What's been very important to us is to make sure that mandate stay on track and are enforced and we're feeling very good about that.We're seeing it in the new content that we're shipping, we're seeing that in the production build for things like NS-VI. Those are stabilizing. I think relative to overall end-market volatility, the perspective we come away with is that there is a negative sentiment at the business level in China. And so just getting to the point where there are fewer surprises on the horizon, is going to be important to our customers. Trade is a piece of it, it's probably more pronounced in the past few months and it has been. That's our sense as we talked to overall OEM customers.But it has not impacted what they're bringing into the market, the new applications that they're putting on board and we think that that is the most important thing to understand as they move forward in the end-market.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Joe Giordano with Cowen.

Thanks. This is Robert [ph] on for Joe, I guess to kind of follow-on on China as it relates to your view into 2020. There is a lot of debate out there on where Europe and China will be in terms of production next year with some more bearish than HIS [ph] data. In China, they have this overcapacity and high inventory dynamic going on and I just wanted to your opinions on how you think that dynamic balances with a government that doesn't want to see another year of declines for such an important industry for them. So any kind of thoughts on 2020 would be very helpful?

Yes, look we don't have all the answers. We're watching it closely. One of the things that we're really keeping our eye on and I would encourage you to do the same is looking at where overall vehicle inventory sit. There is generally information around rolling averages and months on hand. We would expect that that needs to come down as we get toward the end of the year and that will be an important leading indicator on 2020. It has not come down, and that's part of our revised call on the balance of the year.Relative to the importance of maintaining and automotive market, you definitely see that in some of the incentives, again, that we're seeing rolling out into municipalities. A really important piece of that is the new energy vehicle component in China. And that is very much on track.And then beyond automotive, there are very important end markets for China -- in China for Sensata as well. And so we're encouraged by what we see relative to technology uptakes in end markets like material handling and much more efficient infrastructure going into building and other areas and the government is definitely encouraging those as well.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Shawn Harrison with Longbow Research.

Good morning. Martha, I was hoping you could maybe talk about the inventory situation in the HVOR sector, as well as kind of the broader industrial markets and maybe how long you think it may take to clean out whatever excess is in those markets?

Yes, I think on the industrial side, I'll start there. We mentioned in our prepared remarks that we've got about $250 million annualized revenue and a portion of our business that is attractive, but moves with end market and sits pretty high back in the in the supply chain. We're expecting continued inventory corrections through the end of the year and that's the phenomena that we see in that overall business.When we look at industry online data, which is a good source for trying to understand whether not we're seeing major changes, we haven't seen a rise in inventory at that level, but it's sitting at fairly high levels and we expect that that needs to come down as well. I think relative to HVOR, I'm going to let Jeff speak to that. Again, he has been spending a lot of time on that part of our business.

Yes. So on the HVOR side, the first half of the year with about flat growth, up 1%, it turned out somewhat like we would have expected. We were always forecasting second half of the year to come down more dramatically though and several of our larger customers have announced the fact that they intend to take inventory out.So I think on the HVOR side, the inventory correction has started or the end of the second quarter, but more of that will happen during the second half of the year. And we can get some visibility into that as we examine our customer orders and we talk through that with them, but it will take a quarter or two for that to work through the pipeline I would estimate.

And then Jeff, if I may follow-up, the comment on timing related in terms of just the lower HVOR market outgrowth in the second quarter. What would you expect your market outgrowth to accelerate to in the back half of the year?

It will be higher than the second quarter for sure, but if you recall the first quarter was significantly higher, it was 850 basis points in the first quarter. I would expect that it's going to be more similar toward this -- the year-to-date number around that 400 basis points to 500 basis points.

Thank you.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Brian Johnson with Barclays.

Yes, good morning. A couple of questions, you flagged China or so called National 6 in particular around the trucking business there. But could you maybe tell us how you think despite the unit volumes, your content might benefit from that in the light vehicle marketplace in China?

Yes, our content is actually benefiting from that right now, Brian. So we are on the production launches associated with National 6. We've been watching very closely to make sure that those launches are on track and that production is actually changing over. We've very encouraged that it has and that it will continue to see launches against that mandate as we move into the second half of the year.The complicating factor is that as a result of this change over in a down market, there is quite a bit of National 5 vehicle inventory, light vehicle inventory sitting in place and that needs to be worked off. That is our assumption and our -- one of the things that drives a reduced outlook from Sensata for the China auto market.

Okay. Second, just a quick follow-up there. Do you have any, could you give us a sense of how your business is split between premium in China, larger foreign JVs, larger local OEMs, and then the smaller OEMs where the sales decline seem to be the largest?

Yes, we've gotten -- you can really track it based on what is the overall sensor content, that's in let's say a local brand versus a multinational brand. So the fastest growing part of our content is actually with those local brands that are coming from a fairly low point, but having to meet the overall mandates. So that's been an attractive part of the business. Our revenues in China against that mix are very much a reflection of the shares that those players have in China.So it is not as though we've got just a couple of auto OEM customers who're pretty well represented across the fleet, if you look at the top 20 producers. Relative to premium vehicles, it's important to understand that our product show up in mission critical applications.So you'll find us in braking systems, you'll find us embedded in the tires. We're sitting in exhaust systems. We're increasingly now designed into traction motors and working on applications that protect thermal runaway in an electric vehicle.The point being that we're not part of the convenience or sort of gadgetry that you might see in an overall premium vehicle versus more of a mass market vehicle. And so -- therefore we don't, we don't see a lot of swings in our business if there are changes in the take rates across those segments.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Deepa Raghavan with Wells Fargo.

Good morning all. So, good to see the step up in outgrowth and also the margin resiliency was pretty good. So that's good, but the issue obviously is the end markets and the lack of visibility.So Martha, you touched a little bit on China markets. But what are some of the conversations you're having with the European automotive clients given the lack of visibility there. I mean for now regulations are helping, but beyond that what is their sense for how the market is going to play out or what is the time line for recovery, anything you could provide color on how your conversations with the European clients are going, that will be helpful? And I have a follow-up.

Okay. Sure. Yeah Europe, a really important end market for us. In terms of the overall visibility, I would say the visibility we've had coming into the quarter relative to European players has been okay, so not a lot of surprises inside the quarter. As we look at more of the intermediate term, really trying to keep our eye on what is impacting them -- what has impacted them let's say in the past 12 months, things like WLTP and how is that playing out in 2019.So we've spent a quite a bit of time on that topic. We don't expect to see another major dislocation in demand, given some of the WLTP changes that will be happening again in September so watching that closely.One of the impacts that we are seeing in Europe is something of a knock on effect to the China end market. So we have important customers. There are major Tier 1 systems integrators coming out of Europe that actually ship into China. There are still engines that go into China as well. And so that is having an impact on the overall Europe market.And to the extent that that is volatile, that does affect the visibility that our European customers have and hence our visibility.

Got it, but any – Okay so there's not really much visibility, you're saying, the conversations are not necessarily at this point in time how the market recovers, but seems like it's more block and tackle at this point in time. My follow up would be, can you talk about your truck markets across the globe. Just what's your assumptions are; North America obviously peakish; Europe trucks somewhat underperforming, I mean this is a market. And China, actually you are benefiting from TPMS obviously, but can you update us what your views are? What is the kind of momentum you saw and if you can provide us expectations by region and how that flows into your lower end market guidance that will be helpful. Thank you very much.

Yes, we can try to give you a bit of that. I would just start off high level by saying, we actually think that the market will flow more in the second half of the year than it has in the first half of the year as it relates to the heavy vehicle and off-road business. We had been anticipating somewhat of a correction on road in North America, and we're seeing that. I think it came a little bit sooner into the second quarter, we thought that would be more second half based. We think that's going to be a double digit down end market in the second half of the year.In Europe, we expect to get marginally worse as well, but probably more in single-digit down and we're beginning to see other portions of our off-road market now being impacted, so ag and construction are both important end markets in our HVOR section. We expect that those will be down from an end market perspective in the second half of the year.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Mark Delaney with Goldman Sachs.

Yes, good morning. Just one question for me. I think implied 4Q 2019 EPS guidance of about $1.04 to $1.05 implies high single-digit EPS growth off of about 3.5% to 4% revenue growth year-over-year. I know that's not an unusual amount of EPS leverage. But last year in the fourth quarter OpEx was managed pretty tightly, and I think maybe tax rate was little bit of a headwind year-over-year. So maybe just help us better understand what's driving some of that year-over-year leverage and where we may see that show up in the P&L this year? Thank you.

Hi Mark, I mean just to benchmark you last year Q4, our operating income index was 24.8% and so this Q4 is slightly better than that. What we would expect would be continued improvement in the cost structure as the restructuring actions that we've taken will certainly help the bottom line. It's to continue improving our productivity initiatives, which gets stronger as the year goes on it's managing our costs very smartly given where the end markets are.So I feel very consistent what we've seen before in terms of the ramp up in profit sequentially, and you're right, that does deliver a nice -- a nice EPS result in Q4 to help us get us to our, the midpoint of our guidance that we provided.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Jim Suva with Citi.

Hi, this Tim Yang calling on behalf of Jim Suva. Thanks for taking my question. On TPMS rollout in China, do you still expect the roll out to be in second half of this year? I believe you mentioned $90 million revenue opportunities for Sensata. Is that still the case?

So we've already seen that momentum take place, so again we saw that began last year. We've seen it move into this year as well. We're seeing content growth in the first half of 2019 as it relates to the TPMS.So really I'd say well under way, we would expect to see that continue as we move into the second half as well. Jeff alluded to the fact that there is another leg coming on TPMS, which is really in our heavy vehicle and off-road business. So some of the new business opportunity wins that we've had in 2018 and in 2019 relate to new content that will be coming on the HVOR side of the business as well in tire pressure monitoring.

Thank you. And the next question comes from Ethan Puritz with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, Ethan, your line is live. Okay, sorry just nothing on this line. That is all the time we have currently for questions. So I would like to turn the floor to Joshua Young for any closing comments.

Thank you very much. I'd like to thank everybody for joining us this morning. Sensata will be attending the following investor conferences, during the third quarter; the Canaccord Growth and Transportation conferences in Boston and the Citi Technology Conference in New York. We hope to see you at these conferences and we invite you to visit us at our headquarters in Attleboro, Massachusetts. We appreciate your continued interest in Sensata. Thank you and good day.

Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.