Steve Rasche
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead
Thanks, Suzanne, and good morning everyone. Let me review our operating results for our second quarter ended March 31 and review our outlook for the rest of the year. Starting on slide 10, second quarter net economic earnings were $103.5 million or $2.37 per share, up 5.3% from the nearly $98 million or $2.25 per share a year ago. The increase was driven by our gas utility segment which posted net economic earnings of just over $102 million, up just over 6%. Gas marketing earnings were also up by just under $1 million. With that as a backdrop, let's walk down the income statement turning to slide 11. Weather was really the consistent theme when looking at the results for the quarter in the half year. As we've discussed in the past, weather is just a normal part of operating a gas utility because it's never normal and to the extent to which the winter is colder, remember 2014, margins and off-system sales rise and operating expenses are higher due to the additional stress on the system and on our team. In a warmer winter, the opposite occurs, lower margins and lower cost, in many ways an automatic hedge. This winter the second warmest on record in Missouri and 20% warmer than last year across our footprint, fits the latter category. For the quarter, total operating revenues were $609 million, down 31% from last year. With the decline due to lower commodity costs which represents a majority of the customer bill and lower sales volumes. Operating margin on the surface was up 1% overall and for the gas utilities segment, up 1%. Remember, however, all quarterly rate adjustments in Alabama flow through the margin line in order to true-up actual and authorized return on equity and this quarter that adjustment was $3.9 million lower than last year thus improving the math for the year-over-year margin comparison. Removing this rate true-up utility margin was actually down $2.2 million as weather and lower demand dropped margins by $6.1 million consistent with my comment about weather and this decrease was offset in part by higher ISRS revenues in Missouri of $3.9 million. Gas marketing operating margins were also higher at $3.9 million, up from $2.1 million last year. This increase reflects additional earnings from LER storage services which more than offset the continued tough market conditions of tighter basis differentials and low price volatility. Now weather cuts both ways. While it pressured our operating margins, it provided some benefit to our operating expenses. Gas utility operating expenses decreased $9.5 million as weather favorably impacted our bad debt expense and employee related cost and to a lesser extent, we saw savings due to cost efficiencies and the timing of expenses. Depreciation and amortization was up marginally due to higher capital spend over the last year. Gas marketing operating expenses showed a decline of just over $36 million for the quarter due to lower margins and commodity cost and a higher mix of trading activity where costs are netted against revenue rather than reported gross. Looking quickly at year-to-date results, for the first half of fiscal 2016, consolidated net economic earnings were $3.41 per share, up 3% from last year. Gas utility earnings after removing the RSC adjustment for both periods, reflects the impacts of weather on margin expenses as well as the benefit of higher ISRS, modest customer growth, cost efficiencies and the favorable timing of expenses. Gas marketing earnings were up roughly $200,000 from last year, reflecting the continuation of challenging market conditions offset by stronger earnings this quarter. Other expenses were up slightly reflecting higher interest expense and corporate costs. The quality of our earnings remains very high as shown here on slide 14, with earnings before interest, income tax, depreciation and amortization or EBITDA, up 4% from last year to just under $325 million. Operating cash flow and liquidity also remain very strong and our long-term capitalization now stands at just under 52% equity or 48% debt, up from essentially a 50/50 split at our fiscal year end. And following up on Suzanne's comments about Mobile Gas and Willmut Gas acquisition we announced last week, let me give you a bit more flavor on our financing plans. We anticipate assuming $67 million of utility level debt at closing. We also plan to issue new Spire equity and debt to fund a majority of the purchase price. Equity in the range of $130 million to $150 million and new long-term debt in the range of $150 million to $170 million with the remainder being financed with existing capacity in our credit facilities and cash on hand. I will also note the deal did require small bridge facility totaling $275 million and as with previous bridges, in other deals, we do not anticipate drawing on the facility but rather retiring it as we secure the equity and debt financing later in 2016. Turning to slide 15, capital expenditures totaled $122 million for the first half of 2016, down slightly from last year, reflecting lower spend for IT and facilities; more importantly, the investment in infrastructure upgrades and other spend with minimal regulatory lag was up 16% for the first half of this year compared to 2015. As Suzanne mentioned, with the firming up of the STL Pipeline, we have adjusted our 2016 capital spend target, raising it to $320 million and our five-year outlook moves up as well from $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion and we remain on track for roughly two-thirds of our utility capital spend being recovered in rates with minimal regulatory lag. Additionally, these numbers do not include Mobile Gas or Willmut Gas whose run rate is approximately $17 million annually. Once we close on the acquisition, we will update our longer-term outlook and also be in a better position to quantify the increase investment opportunities at those two utilities. I would also remind you that back in February, we filed an increase in ISRS for our Missouri utilities. In April the staff of the Missouri Public Service Commission recommended an increase of $9 million, which is subject to commission approval. If approved, the annual run rate for ISRS will increase to $35.3 million. Also important, our directors -- our board of directors announced their next quarterly dividend last week consistent with the 6.5% increase we unveiled late last year at an annualized rate of $1.96 per share. Our current dividend yield is approximately 3% and we remain conservatively postured in the lower half of our payout ratio target range. Turning to our outlook on slide 17, as Suzanne noted at the outset, we remain comfortable with our fiscal 2016 net economics earnings guidance of $3.34 to $3.44 per share or 5% to 8% growth from last year and as I just mentioned, we have raised our 2016 and five-year targeted capital spend as a result of the STL Pipeline. From a long-term perspective, our view has not changed. We remain comfortable with our long-term EPS growth target range of 4% to 6%. The additions of Mobile Gas and Willmut Gas help support that growth beginning in fiscal 2018 and under current schedule, the STL Pipeline will begin contributing to that growth beginning in 2019. So in summary, we have delivered a strong first half of the year, perhaps getting there in a little different path than we had planned due to the mild weather and we continue to deliver on our capital spend and growth strategies building on our strong financial position. Suzanne, let me turn it back over to you.