Jeremy W. Smeltser
Analyst · Jeff Sprague
Thanks, Chris. Good morning, everyone. I'll begin with earnings per share. On a reported basis, earnings per share from continuing operations was $0.80 in the second quarter, up 10% over the prior year. The primary driver of earnings growth was segment income, which increased $0.13 per share, driven largely by our Thermal segment. In addition, as a result of the capital allocation actions completed in the first half of this year, lower pension expense and our reduced share count combined to benefit EPS by $0.12. Earnings growth was partially offset by a $0.14 headwind from elevated restructuring expense, and net other items were a $0.04 headwind. Looking at the segments, beginning with Flow. Flow reported $653 million of revenue for the quarter, down 3.5% to the prior year. The decline was essentially all organic. Organic revenue declined due to project timing of food and beverage systems in Asia Pacific and lower OE pump sales at ClydeUnion. These declines were partially offset by increased sales of components into the oil and gas markets in North America, Europe and the Middle East, as well as increased food and beverage system revenue in Europe. Looking more closely at the revenue declines, last year, we recorded approximately $20 million of revenue related to 3 large food and beverage system projects in Asia Pacific that did not repeat this year. ClydeUnion's revenue declined 14% over the prior year to $123 million. This was due to a lower level of OE pump sales, reflecting our disciplined approach to new contracts, as well as customer delays on new orders over the past few quarters. However, as Chris mentioned, we had stronger order bookings for OE pumps in Q2, and we are seeing positive quoting activity continue in Q3. We continue to make progress executing the distressed contracts in the acquired backlog at ClydeUnion. During Q2, we recorded $8 million of revenue related to these contracts. We now have only $15 million remaining in backlog. Flow segment income was $67 million, down 4% year-over-year, and margins were flat at 10.3%. Decline in segment income was due to the organic revenue decline, as well as execution challenges on certain food and beverage system projects. These headwinds were partially offset by increased sales of oil and gas components and improved operating execution at our European and U.S. facilities. Excluding the results at our food and beverage systems and ClydeUnion businesses, the balance of our Flow segment reported operating margins in the mid-teens. We are committed to increasing the overall margin performance in Flow and have actions in place at ClydeUnion and in food and beverage to drive the improvement. We believe these actions will have a positive impact during the second half of this year. Flow's backlog declined 1% sequentially. We continue to experience steady backlog growth in our U.S. component businesses, highlighted by robust demand for oil and gas pipeline valves. ClydeUnion's aftermarket backlog continues to grow steadily, up 13% since the end of last year. This growth was offset by backlog declines in food and beverage systems and ClydeUnion's OE pumps. These declines reflect the order delays on capital projects we experienced throughout most of the first half, as well as our continued discipline on pricing and terms and conditions for large contracts. As Chris mentioned, we have seen a recent uptick in order activity for long-cycle projects, highlighted by the 2 large orders that we received in July, as well as the increase in orders for OE pumps. The order pipeline for capital projects remained strong, and we expect to see some of these large orders placed during the second half of this year. Moving on now to our Thermal segment. Second quarter revenue was $350 million, up modestly over the prior year. Organic revenue grew 2.6%, driven by the timing of execution on the large power projects in South Africa, as well as increased dry cooling revenue. This was partially offset by lower sales at our Balcke-Dürr business. Currency was a 2.1% headwind. Segment income increased sharply to $26 million, up $10 million over the prior year, and margins improved 290 points to 7.5%. The improved profitability was driven by leverage on the organic revenue growth and improved project execution. It is notable that Thermal's Q2 segment income also benefited from solid execution on a large retrofit project at a U.S. power plant. Thermal ending Q2 backlog was $700 million, down 2% in the quarter due to currency. The organic backlog for the total segment was flat. However, excluding South Africa, the core backlog increased 9% from the end of Q1. The backlog relating to the projects in South Africa is now just under $200 million. We expect to convert the majority of this backlog over the next 2 years. Orders in the period increased both sequentially and year-over-year and were above the average run rate we've experienced during the past several quarters. We view this as a good order quarter, but not as an inflection point for power generation. Our view on the power generation end market is that demand continues to be relatively stable and at depressed levels versus historical investment. Our Industrial, segment second quarter revenue was $213 million, down 1% organically over the prior year. The organic decline was due to lower sales of communications technology equipment. These sales are generally project-related and can fluctuate quarter-to-quarter. The Industrial segment income was $31 million, up 6% over the prior year, and segment margin improved 100 points to 14.5%. The increased profitability was driven by improved operational execution at our power transformer business. As we continue to grow into the expanded large power capacity at our Waukesha, Wisconsin transformer plant, the team there is also highly focused on lean initiatives and cost-reduction actions. Through the first 6 months of the year, the margins in our transformer business have improved about 400 points due to increased volume and the operating initiatives. We expect this level of improvement to continue in the second half. The ending Q2 backlog for Industrial was up $10 million or 2.5% sequentially. This was primarily driven by our power transformer backlog, which increased 4% sequentially, mostly driven by new open market orders and timing of large power transformer shipments. Our backlog for aerospace components also increased from Q1 to Q2. Moving on to our financial targets for Q3 and for the full year. In Q3, we're targeting low-single-digit organic revenue growth with a modest currency headwind. We expect organic revenue growth at our Flow and Industrial segments to be partially offset by lower revenue in our Thermal segment. At Thermal, we expect to see about a $25 million decrease in revenue from Q2 to Q3 related to the projects in South Africa as they begin to ramp down. We are targeting $132 million to $140 million of segment income with margins between 10.7% and 11.1%. We expect to record between $5 million and $10 million of restructuring expense in Q3, related to continued cost reductions at ClydeUnion and our Thermal segment. Our third quarter EPS guidance range is $1.20 to $1.30 per share, and we are using 46 million shares outstanding in our Q3 earnings model. Looking at our second half targets at the segment level, you can see that our expectations for this year are fairly consistent with last year. On a sequential basis, we expect second half revenue growth in all 3 segments, consistent with historical seasonality. In Flow, we expect increased sales of replacement components and aftermarket services. Over 60% of Flow's second half revenue target was in backlog at the end of Q2, consistent with prior years. And the recent large system orders we received will also begin to contribute in the second half. At Thermal, our seasonality is driven largely by our personal comfort heating businesses, which generate the majority of their revenue and profit in the second half of the year, as distributors stock up for the winter season. And at Industrial, we're expecting sequential revenue increases to be driven by increased sales of power transformers as we continue to ramp production in the expanded large power facility. In addition, we expect to see an increase in sales of farebox systems in the second half. Looking at the segment income margins on a consolidated basis, we are targeting at least 12% margin on the second half, up over 300 points from the first half due primarily to leverage on the increased revenue, as well as continued operational improvements. We also expect about 50 points of margin expansion related to the $15 million of restructuring savings. On a year-over-year basis, we are targeting about 50 points of margin expansion, driven by Flow and Industrial, partially offset by a decline in Thermal's profitability. Expected decline at Thermal is due to reduced project activity in South Africa, as well as lower boiler sales in Q4 versus last year, which benefited from Hurricane Sandy rebuilding efforts. From an EPS perspective, looking at first half results versus our second half midpoint guidance, we expect the increase in segment income to grow earnings per share by approximately $1.83. Below the line, there are a handful of items that are also expected to benefit second half EPS. Reduced stock compensation, corporate expense and restructuring expense are expected to contribute a combined $0.51 per share of incremental earnings. Additionally, the lower share count is expected to contribute about $0.12 per share. As the chart illustrates, our earnings profile from first half to second half is fairly consistent with last year. On a year-over-year basis, the second half earnings growth is driven primarily by the reduced share count, restructuring savings and lower pension and corporate expense. For the full year, we have updated our segment targets to reflect the Q2 results, currency changes and our revised organic expectations. For Flow, we are now projecting flat revenue to 3% growth over the prior year. Currency rate changes reduced Flow's revenue target by 1%. We also reduced Flow's organic revenue target by about 1% to reflect the delays on large order placement and soft demand in Asia Pacific we experienced in the first half of the year. Based on Flow's Q2 margin performance and the lower revenue target, we have modestly reduced Flow's margin target to between 11.4% and 11.7%. At Thermal, we have increased the full year revenue and margin targets to reflect the better-than-expected Q2 performance. We now expect revenue to be down between 7% and 9% with margins between 5.6% and 5.9%. For the Industrial segment, we are now targeting 9% to 14% revenue growth from continuing operations with margins improving to between 14.3% and 14.6%. At our power transformer business, we are being more selective on new medium power orders given the current pricing environment. As such, we do not plan to entirely fill our medium power capacity during the second half. This decision has reduced our revenue estimate for the full year. We still expect approximately 20% year-over-year revenue growth from the transformer business, and we believe the operational initiatives will continue to drive higher profitability during the second half of the year. We have narrowed our full year EPS guidance range to $4.25 to $4.50 per share. Aside from the updated segment targets, there were no notable changes to the midpoint model. As a reminder, our full year model assumes 46 million shares outstanding and a 24% all-in tax rate. I'll finish with a brief update on our financial position and capital allocation. We ended the second quarter with $353 million of cash on hand. During the quarter, we made a voluntary pension contribution of $250 million and also repurchased $118 million of shares. In addition, our dividend payment was $12 million. I'm pleased with the progress we made in the first half towards our capital allocation plans for this year, and I'll talk about our liquidity for the balance of the year in a moment. Looking at our Q2 free cash flow, excluding the voluntary pension funding, our adjusted free cash flow in Q2 with a net usage of $12 million. This is generally consistent with our historical free cash flow performance, which is seasonally low in the first half of the year. We invested $18 million in capital expenditures during the period and are targeting around $90 million of CapEx for the full year. Our adjusted free cash flow guidance for the full year remains at $240 million to $280 million. At the midpoint of our guidance, that represents approximately 130% conversion of net income. For the second half of the year, we are targeting about $323 million of free cash flow. This is consistent with our second half revenue and earnings growth expectations. We expect to complete the remaining $55 million of share repurchases during the second half of the year. At year end, we are projecting approximately $600 million of cash on hand. And combined with $568 million of borrowing capacity from our existing facilities, this would give us an estimated $1.2 billion of liquidity. Based on these projections, we have sufficient financial flexibility to evaluate additional capital allocation decisions during the second half of this year as our free cash flow develops. That concludes my prepared remarks. At this time, I'll turn the call back over to Chris.