Douglas Martin
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets
Thanks, Andreas, and good morning, everyone. Turning to Slide 10, let's review Q3 results beginning with net sales. Third quarter reported net sales of $1.3 billion decreased 4.2% versus last year. Excluding the negative impact of $12 million of foreign currency and acquisition sales of $7.2 million, organic sales declined 3.9%. This decline also includes the negative impacts during the quarter of planned unprofitable business exits of approximately $10 million, HHI and GAC operating startup shipment delays of about $24 million, the U.S. rawhide dog chew recall in early June of an estimated $11 million, and retail inventory reduction programs of about $25 million. Reported gross margin of 36.3% decreased 270 basis points from 39% last year, primarily due to unfavorable mix, operating inefficiencies, the negative impact of rawhide recall and increased restructuring activities, along with a negative impact of foreign exchange. Reported SG&A expense of $285.3 million, or 21.9% of sales compared to $295.9 million last year, or 21.7%. Reported operating margin of 12.1% decreased 310 basis points versus 15.2% in the prior year. On a reported basis, Q3 diluted EPS of $1.31 decreased compared to $1.71 last year, primarily due to reduced volume, partially offset by lower interest expense. Adjusted EPS of $1.71 decreased 1.2% versus $1.73 last year, primarily as a result of lower volume, unfavorable productivity and a negative impact of foreign exchange, partially offset by reduced interest expense and lower average shares outstanding. The Q3 reported tax rate of 23.9% decreased from 29.4% last year, primarily due to federal tax credit claims for prior years that were recognized during the quarter. Turning to Slide 11. Our initiatives to improve working capital, not only absolute improvement year-over-year but also systemic improvement throughout the year to reduce working capital seasonality continued to show progress. For the first 9 months of fiscal 2017, we delivered positive adjusted free cash flow of $114 million, a $56 million improvement versus last year, driven mostly by working capital and lower cash interest. Third quarter reported interest expense of $52.4 million decreased $7.5 million from last year driven by the benefits of our 4% euro-denominated notes issued last September and repricing of the U.S. term loans in October and again in April, partially offset by interest related acquisitions and share repurchases. Cash interest payments of $42 million were $25 million lower than last year. Cash taxes of $10 million compared to $7 million last year. Depreciation, amortization and share-based compensation were $55 million in the quarter compared to $61 million last year. And cash payments for acquisition and integration and restructuring and related charges were $3 million and $13 million, respectively, versus $10 million and $3 million, respectively, last year. Now to our operating unit results, beginning with Slide 12 in Global Auto Care. Q3 reported net sales of $155.8 million fell 2.5% against solid growth last year, driven by mass and auto retailer destocking estimated at nearly $8 million combined with cooler and wet weather conditions in the quarter versus last year. This slowed store traffic and hurt POS, was partially offset by the successful launch of our Armor All Wash and Wax Wipes, which contributed significant incremental sales and strong sales during the quarter. A 6.5% decline in adjusted EBITDA to $50.7 million and resulting margin decrease of 140 basis points to 32.5%, was due to lower volume, continuing input cost inflation in refrigerants and higher planned marketing expenses supporting new product launches. Temporary shipping startup issues at GAC's new Dayton facility also impacted Q3 results, including sales by about $4 million. Overall, the Dayton facility consolidation is on schedule and will deliver meaningful cost savings and improved working capital in fiscal 2018. GAC continues to focus on accelerating organic growth through increased cross-selling, share gains and adjacency expansions in the U.S., increasing its vitality rate with higher investments in new product development and international growth. We continue to expect GAC to report adjusted EBITDA margins above 30% even as the pace of innovation and international expansion increases. Turning to Slide 13, hardware & Home improvement, which posted to 1.2% decrease in Q3 reported net sales to $324.7 million. HHI's first quarterly top line decline since it was acquired in late 2012, was a result of temporary operating startup issues connected with the U.S. distribution center consolidation project, which we began in April and adversely impacted sales by about $20 million, along with the planned exits of unprofitable business in Mexico, which adversely impacted growth as in prior quarters by about 1%. Adjusted EBITDA fell 4.6% to $62.2 million and reported margin decreased 60 basis points to 19.2%, reflecting unfavorable product mix and facility startup costs. Sales growth is expected to resume in Q4 as we continue to improve DC efficiency. HHI's core U.S. business and residential security, builders' hardware and plumbing remained healthy and are growing supported by robust new -- a robust new product road map, steady innovation every quarter and significant recent home builder channel wins that will benefit 2018. New product introductions in Q3 include the [indiscernible] smart lock, the contemporary smart cold lock, Baldwin Evolved, the new Kwikset San Clemente line and several new Pfister product lines. In continuous improvement, HHI continues to make steady progress with its global transformation program begun last year, which will add capacity and in-sourcing, harmonized lockset components and increase automation by fiscal year-end 2018. This initiative will solidify HHI's position as the low-cost industry producer. Now to Global Pet, which is Slide 14; Q3 reported net sales of $189.9 million fell 8.3%, while organic revenues decreased 10.5%, excluding negative FX of $2.7 million and acquisition sales of $7.2 million. Reported adjusted EBITDA fell 4.2%, and excluding negative FX and acquisition related EBITDA, organic adjusted EBITDA of $34.5 million declined 8.5%. Reported adjusted EBITDA margin, however, increased 80 basis points to 19% confirming that the operational and process improvements made in the business continue to take hold. Sales declined in both Europe and the U.S. In Europe, revenues fell with the primary driver being significantly lower European dog and cat food sales, driven largely by the acceleration of the planned exit of a pet food customer tolling agreement totaling $4.7 million. In the U.S., revenues were lower due to category declines and pet specialty channel sluggishness, along with planned exits last year of low-margin private label rawhide and chicken jerky businesses. Overall, these planned exits adversely impacted sales by approximately 2.7%. Additionally, on June 10, pet began a voluntary recall of certain rawhide dog chews. The adverse impact of the recall in Q3 was an estimated $11 million to pet's top line with the continuing impact expected in July. To that end, we have recorded a onetime nonrecurring charge of $24.9 million, or $0.42 per share on a pretax basis for this recall, which consist primarily of inventory write-off, product return costs and other related costs. The plants are now back in production, as Andreas mentioned and restocking U.S. retailers is expected to begin soon. Moving to Home & Garden, which is Slide 15. Q3 reported net sales of $192.4 million fell 9.2% and adjusted EBITDA of $59.5 million decreased 11.2%. Reported EBITDA margin fell 70 basis points to 30.9%. The lower results were driven by systemic mass and do-it-yourself retailer inventory management programs estimated at $17 million, and unfavorable weather versus last year that limited POS and customer replenishment orders compared to strong prior year repellent orders fueled by the Zika virus concerns and did not repeat in 2017. Q3 category POS was mixed, household was up, outdoor controls were down, and repellents fell double digits; all consistent with the Home & Garden's actual results. Despite Home & Garden's mixed POS results, it's encouraging to know that the business gained market share in all three categories. The introduction of Black Flag into the outdoor controls category and our hot shot integrated bed bug pest management system have both been successful launches this year. Given distribution of market share gains, steady innovation and an outstanding resale services team, Home & Garden is pushing to return to top and bottom line growth in Q4. Trends to date in July are encouraging and we are optimistic that this high-margin business can end fiscal 2017 on a positive note and resume growth in Q4 and next year. Now to Personal Care, which is Slide 16; Q3 reported net sales of $110.9 million fell 4.2%, while organic revenues decreased 2.2%, excluding negative FX of $2.3 million. Growth in Latin America was more than offset by lower U.S. and European revenues largely attributable to implemented price increases in Europe, increased competitor promotions, major category softness in the U.S. and sluggish POS at mass. In the U.S., the overall category through May was down 8% according to ScanData, with our business declining about half as much. A bright spot, again, in the quarter was double-digit growth in e-commerce with the business already has a significant presence. Despite the sales shortfall, reported and organic adjusted EBITDA grew with the reported margin improvement of 160 basis points, the increase was driven by favorable mix, lower operating costs and continuous improvement savings. Looking to Q4, Remington's focus continues on new product introductions in the U.S. and Europe in shave and groom and hair care, and expanding distribution, while continuing strong growth in e-commerce. Ahead of the important Christmas Holiday season, Remington has a strong lineup of new products launching in North America and Europe. In the U.S., key new products include durablade, a retro hair dryer, the Heritage shaving line and a new shortcut pro hair clipper. In Europe, new introductions include the Keratin to protect hair care collection, durablade and a Lux intense pulsed light hair removal products. Now let's turn to small appliances on Slide 17; Q3 reported net sales of $145.4 million decreased 3.8%. Excluding negative FX of $3.7 million, organic revenues fell 1.3%. Higher U.S. revenues from growth in e-commerce and mass channels, in the face of a flat category was more than offset by lower revenues in Europe and Latin America from a continuing Brexit-related softness in our large Russell Hobbs branded UK business, competitor discounting, and exits from unprofitable businesses. Despite lower revenues, reported organic adjusted EBITDA increased with a reported margin improvement of 250 basis points. Strong profit increase was attributable to continuous improvement savings, favorable mix and flat expenses. Small appliances plans to continue to broaden its product portfolio and distribution points around the world, with a focus on white space opportunities and continued e-commerce growth where the business has a significant percentage of its revenue. Innovation in cooking and beverage highlight key Q4 product launches, perhaps the most exciting U.S. launch is the iconic Russell Hobbs U.K. brand and family of products in e-commerce channel. This is our premium quality, premium margin line with higher positioning in the U.S. market than our existing appliances. In Europe, new product launches include the stylish [indiscernible] and elegance breakfast collections and the Duraco impact iron. Finally, the global batteries, which is Slide 18. Q3 reported net sales of $184.8 million, decreased 1.2%. Excluding $2.4 million of negative FX, organic sales were flat. Solid growth, again, in Europe, predominantly in alkaline and hearing aid batteries as well as in Latin America was more than offset by lower volumes in the U.S. despite continued strong performance of fusion, our highest performing alkaline battery. Organic adjusted EBITDA fell high single digits and margins declined as pricing pressure and commodity cost increases more than offset cost savings. Despite the Q3 shortfall, global batteries has delivered solid organic sales and adjusted EBITDA growth for the first 9 months. Finally, global batteries expect to deliver another strong year of continuous improvement savings, which help offset the negative FX impacts and increasing commodity costs. Moving to the balance sheet on Slide 19; we ended Q3 in a strong liquidity position with more than $385 million available on our $700 million cash flow revolver and cash balance of $110 million and debt outstanding of $4.16 billion. As a result of our PetMatrix acquisition in June and our share buyback program totaling $166 million through 9 months, we now expect slightly higher leverage at the end of fiscal 2017 compared to the approximately 3.9x last year. As mentioned earlier, adjusted free cash flow for the first 9 months of $114 million compared -- compares to $58 million in the prior year reflecting progress to substantially improve working capital management and reduce some seasonal volatility in our working capital cycle. Q3 capital expenditures were $27 million compared to $21 million in the prior year. And during the quarter, we repurchased over 487,000 shares of common stock for $62.9 million or $129 per share on average. Turning to Slide 20 and a review of our 2017 guidance; we expect reported net sales to grow above category rates for most categories, partially offset by anticipated negative impacts from FX of approximately 70 to 90 basis points. We expect to deliver adjusted free cash flow between $575 million and $590 million. Full year interest expense is expected to be between $205 million and $215 million, including approximately $15 million of noncash items. Cash interest payments are expected to be between $180 million and $190 million. Depreciation and amortization is now expected to be between $230 million and $240 million for 2017, including approximately $40 million to $45 million of amortization and stock-based compensation. Our 2017 effective tax rate is expected to be between 30% and 35%, and recall that for adjusted earnings, we use a 35% rate. Cash taxes are now expected to be approximately $40 million to $50 million, and we do not anticipate being a significant U.S. federal cash taxpayer for the next couple of years as we continue to use net operating loss carryforwards. Cash payments for acquisition and integration and restructuring and related charges are now expected to be between $45 million and $55 million, and capital expenses are expected to be between $105 million and $115 million, including rollover spending from 2016. These incremental investments will support footprint optimization, vertical integration improvements, technology and innovation and are expected to enhance the company's margin structure and organic sales growth rate. Thank you, and now back to Dave for Q&A.