Albert Lord
Analyst · Matt Snowling of Citadel Securities
Thanks, Steve. Well, good morning, everyone. By now, you have all seen our earnings of $0.48 for the quarter and $0.96 year-to-date. We say that, by the way, it was a good quarter, not just a good quarter, a very good quarter, particularly and that it had no real surprises, but I guess the possible exception of the obstinacy of the economy, which is slowing a few things now for us. During the quarter, we began to pay the dividend, as we told you, and buy stock. John Clark will talk to you a little more precisely about those things shortly. Share price, our share price seems to struggle along with other financials, but our operating results were strong. We are well on track today to increase our guidance, and we are increasing our guidance to $1.80 for the full year 2011. I recognize that implies only an $0.84 second half after a $0.96 first half. But as I think some of the analysts have already picked up, we are dealing with the new accounting rule, which will require some third quarter reserve additions. I will discuss that a little later. Quarter 2 then, otherwise, reasonably represents our -- almost on a line-by-line basis, our second half expectations. I also recognize we have moved guidance fortunately upward, but we've moved guidance several times this year. That's a function, in part, obviously, because we're conservative and attempt to be conservative. But more specifically, we have more net interest income in the first -- in the last quarter and the first quarter than we expected. Net interest income for Sallie Mae is usually very very predictable. We are virtually perfectly match-funded. That means our variable assets are funded with variable rate liabilities, and our fixed assets -- fixed-rate assets are funded with fixed-rate liabilities. And in fact, we are some 90% or thereabouts funded to term on our assets and liabilities. Generally, the company only has a minor index exposure. We have index exposure on CP-LIBOR, which has trended very, very tightly for a long period of time with 1 minor -- 1 major exception for a short period of time. And our private loans or what we'll call our legacy private loans, our index time and the prime to LIBOR spread has actually remained wider than expected. More important to the net interest level or the absolute rates of interest, they've been much lower than we anticipated. In fact, I think, at least for Sallie Mae, they're the only benefit I've seen in this languishing economy or the continued low rates, and the rates are low across the yield curve. These affect loans that Sallie Mae has that have a floor interest rate, and most of those loans are hedged, to the extent they're not hedged that gross amount of net interest income that we earn on unhedged floor loans, and creates more proceeds on the student loans that have floors that we have sold over the course of the year. Also, a positive loan volume was again above our plan. I remain very confident we'll hit the $2.5 billion originations plan. I am so confident, actually, I'm now thinking about 2012 unless our expectations should be for that. That's largely a function, of course, the economic outlook, and again how much residual chief federal money is still floating about in the marketplace. We have entered the third quarter, which is our key volume quarter. It's going to answer us -- for us a lot of questions about the real direction of loan demand. I expect for you folks that our quarter 3 results will be very informative in that regard. Our fee income was up from the first quarter. It's slightly better than we expected. That's good news. You'll notice significantly fewer debt repurchase gains in the second quarter. The fact is our debt spreads are better, and we have fewer opportunities for accounting gains and economic opportunities in the debt market for ourselves. Operating expense, which all of us are watching, remains headed towards the $250 million target in Q4. At $269 million this quarter, we still have some business to cover to get to $250 million. We will get there. I'll note also that we were -- our expenses in Q2 were $41 million below last year's Q2. Talk about our credit costs. They, too, are headed very much in the right direction, probably a little slower, well, certainly a lot slower than I would like, but even slower maybe than expected, but they're steady, and they -- and the results really demonstrate the high quality of our internal operation in terms of projecting defaults and delinquencies. Those projections, combined with the delinquency statistics show a very clear downward trend in our credit costs. Now the bad debt reserves. You'll note that they remain at $2 billion. That's our loss reserve for the next 2 years against the portfolio that we had that is in repayment. We also note that 81% of our portfolio now is in repayment. As we've discussed with you for many years, as I said, the loss reserve is designed to cover 2 years of bad debts. I think if you were to compare that to other consumer finance-type entities, you would see that that's a very substantial coverage. And I am, and our company, is very comfortable against that long held 2-year standard. We're even comfortable with that 2-year standard in the current unemployment situation, and we are and will be careful with our reserve conservatism. So I mentioned an accounting change. Now the FASB has changed or issued a new rule, which wants life of loan reserves, not 2-year reserves, on certain loans. These are loans that are so called troubled debt restructurings, which is a defined term, and the definition has either been clarified or enlarged, but in effect, what it's done is it's brought some of our forbearance loans to be redefined as troubled loans. So you're all well aware to the extent you follow this company at all that forbearance is a very significant lending feature in our asset, in our student loan asset. It is so prevalent and in fact, that today's federal loans have a lifetime of forbearance as an entitlement. And so we now need to add reserves that go beyond the 2 years for certain of our forbearance loans. The good news on this is that notwithstanding the new rule, we're already very well reserved for forbearance loans, and for the next 2 years, and now that is a major part of the total reserve that would be necessary. Implementation of this accounting rule is well underway. It orders pieces of the portfolio. Some pieces go up, some pieces go down. But in total, it will require a net increase to our reserve. The effect of this is that adoption of this accounting standard will bring credit cost that would have otherwise been in 2013, '14, '15, '16, et cetera, et cetera, into our third quarter. Nonetheless, and though we're not totally wrapped up on this adjustment, I'm still comfortable with the $1.84 year estimated earnings per share. Let me wrap up. I mean, I think I've covered at least the highlights of the third quarter. Sallie Mae is on the road, well on its road to earnings growth. That growth is solid. It is not dramatic. We're rolling the private credit portfolio in 2011, intend to grow it more in 2012, which means we will begin to grow private net interest income. We will continue to reduce our credit costs. We are -- we will embellish our fee businesses, as I tell you, probably, every time we are seeking M&A opportunities that fit our expertise. On the financial front, we will maintain strong and strengthen our balance sheet. It means a strong and strengthening capital position, strong cash flow, strong liquidity. It's no secret and certainly no secret to the rating agencies that we want our investment grade rating back. I wanted to say that we appreciate the folks on the call, the company's debt and equity investors and particularly their confidence in us. Sallie Mae is not an easy equity story, but it's a story well worth understanding. And until the number of confident investors grow in this company, Sallie Mae will buy debt and equity securities at today's attractive prices. You can know well that we understand the values in these securities. I will now turn it over to Mr. Clark.