Kevin Strain
Analyst · Eight Capital. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Thank you Dean, and good afternoon to everybody on the call today. Turning to slide six, we take a look at the financial results from the first quarter of 2018. We saw strong results and profitability, growth and financial strength year-over-year. Underlying net income was $770 million, up from $573 million in the same quarter last year. We saw strong growth in underlying net income across all four pillars. Underlying results in the quarter reflected a 13% growth in expected profit, the contribution from interest on par seed capital and a lower tax rate due to U.S. tax reform. These results were achieved against the headwind of a strengthening Canadian dollar, which reduced underlying net income by $19 million relative to the same period a year ago. Interest on par seed capital reflected in SLF Canada and SLF U.S. results contribute $110 million to earnings this quarter. At the time of seed utilization shareholders of Sun Life and Clarica transferred seed capital to support new business in the participating policy holder accounts and the seed capital with interest will be returned the shareholders when the capital in the par account was sufficiently large enough to support the business. Our success in growing the par business has allowed us to transfer the seed capital back to shareholders this quarter and to recognize the investment income. We found the benefits from U.S. tax reforms this quarter as expected in MFS and in the U.S. Our reported net income for the quarter was $669 million up from $551 million in the first quarter of 2017, including unfavorable market related impact of $79 million. Our leverage ratio of 22.2% remains below our long term target of 25%. We redeemed $400 million of subordinated debt in the quarter and repurchased and canceled 3.1 million common shares. Our capital position continues to be in the area of strength under LICAT with strong solvency ratios for both Sun Lift Financial and Sun Life Assurance. Turning to slide seven, we provided details of underlying net income by business group for the quarter. We saw year-over-year underlying earnings growth across each of our four pillars. In SLF Canada underlying net income of $295 million was up 29% on growth in fee income on our wealth businesses and the benefit of the interest on par seed capital. The underlying return on equity for Canada was a strong 17.9%, expected profit, the impact of new business and the surplus income all grew in the quarter with a combined growth of almost 10%. In SLF U.S. underlying net income more than doubled from the first quarter of 2017 on favorable morbidity experience from the stop-loss business, gain from investing activities on insurance contract liabilities, the contribution from interest on par seed capital and U.S. tax reform. Our group benefits after tax profit margins increased to 5.6% in the first quarter from 2.8% in the prior year. SLF asset management had underlying earnings growth of 26% on higher average net assets of both MFS and Sun Life Investment Management, and a lower tax rate due to U.S. tax reform. MFSs pre-tax net operating profit margin improved to 38% from 36% in the prior year. In Asia, underlying net income grew by 32% over last year and our underlying return on equity was 10.7%. The improvement in SLF Asia’s ROE this quarter reflects strong growth in net income, the addition of the high network international business, as well as the change in our capital allocation models that saw us move our Asian business to a fully levered basis, consistent with our other business groups across Sun Life. Turning to slide eight, we provide details on our sources of earnings presentation. Expected profit of $734 million increased by $83 million or 11% from the same period last year. With growth across all four pillars, expected profit was particularly strong in Asia and asset management growing 23% and 11% respectively. Excluding the impact of currency, results of SLF Asset Management expected profit grew by 17%. We had new business during this quarter of $7 million, an improvement of $11 million over the same period last year from higher levels of new business gains in SLF Canada and SLF U.S. We reflected a methodology change in our source of earnings to better reflect the expected profit in new business strain in our U.S. stop loss business. This does now impact our overall earnings, but lowers the level of new business strain in SLF U.S. but is offset by an equal decrease in expected profit. As a result of this methodology change, we are revising our quarterly estimate for new business strain from minus $10 million to $20 million per quarter to a range of plus or minus $5 million. I’ll remind you that this is a quarterly average which can fluctuate based on business mix, sales volumes, currency and changes in the level of interest rates. Experienced items were largely offset this quarter as unfavorable net market related impacts, lapse and policyholder behavior and mortality were offset by the interest on par seed capital, investment activity, favorable credit and morbidity experience. Others, which have managed to negative $50 million in our sources of earnings disclosure includes the fare value adjustment on MFS share base award, acquisition and integration costs and the impact of hedges in SLF Canada that do now qualify for hedge accounting. Earnings on the surplus of $157 million was $25 billion higher than the first quarter last year, reflecting higher levels of investment income and realized gains. Our effective tax rate on reported net income for the quarter was 16.4% and on an underlying basis the tax rate for the quarter was 15.8% and in line with our stated range of 15% to 20%. Turning to slide nine, let’s look at the new LICAT capital framework and what it means for Sun Life. We ended the first quarter with a LICAT ratio for the holding company SLF of 149%. This combined with a leverage ratio of 22.2% places us in a very strong capital position at the holdco level. Our LICAT ratio for SLA was also a strong 139%. The higher ratio at SLF largely reflects the excess cash of $1.7 billion held by SLF Inc. Under the LICAT framework, the amount of capital required above the supervisory target in our operating company is lower and we will be transferring $1.2 billion from SLA to SLF in the second quarter. When added to the $1.7 billion of cash we already have at SLF, this will result in a pro-forma excess cash level at SLF of $2.9 billion. While this will have no impact on the LICAT ratio at SLF, the transfer will reduce the LICAT ratio of SLA by approximately seven points to 132% or 132.5% on a pro-forma basis. On slide 10, we illustrate the amount of capital above the supervisory target under both capital frameworks for SLA. Under LICAT we have $7.1 billion above supervisory target of 100%. This compares to 5.2 billion above the supervisory target at 150% under MCCSR for an increase of almost $2 billion. This reflects a number of factors, including the efforts we have undertaken over the past several years to reposition the company and improve our risk profile. On slide 11, we show our market sensitivity to interest rates and equity markets under LICAT. The sensitivity to changes in equity markets, with a 10% change in either direction, impacts our LICAT ratio by approximately half a point. This impact of interest rate movements is counter to our earnings sensitivity, where interest rate increases are a positive and interest rate declines are a negative. As interest rates declined 50 basis points, our LICAT ratio increases at three points. Almost all of this sensitivity is due to the sensitivity of changes in interest rates and available capital in surplus allowance. This difference relates to the inclusion of unrealized gains and losses on AFF bonds and OCI and the change in insurance feedbacks from interest rate changes. Slide 12 shows sales results cross our insurance and wealth businesses. While the total insurance sales were down 14% or 12% on a constant currently basis, we grew our VNB by 33% over the prior year reflecting a positive mix of sales. This quarter we began reporting VNB excluding our asset management pillar. We believe that VNB is a strong measure of future profitability and growth in the insurance business, but the other measures like AUM growth, fund performance and net deposits are better measures for the asset management business. SLF Canada sales were down 34% at the first quarter in 2017 and particularly strong sales driven by tax and product changes were introduced in January 1, 2017. Notably at $88 million we continue to lead the Canadian industry for individual insurance sales. Sales in SLF at the U.S. grew by 17% from strong sales in group life and disability and in stop loss. Asia individual insurance sales were also quite strong, growing 18% over the prior year on double digit growth in China, the Philippians, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia and in India. Total wealth sales of $39.8 billion were up 6% over the prior year and 10% on a constant currency basis. Asia wealth sales were up 32% compared to the same quarter in the prior year and 10% of a constant currency basis. Asia wealth sales were up 32% compared to the same quarter in the prior year supported by strong sales in our MPF business in Hong Kong and higher fund sales in India and the Philippines. Sun Life’s asset management sales were up 6% as sales at MFS remained strong, including U.S. retail mutual fund sales that reached an all time high. Wealth sales in SLF Canada were down 13% as there were fewer large case sales in Group retirement services than in the prior year. Individual wealth sales in Canada were up 5% on continued growth from our wealth manufacture products, including Sun Life Global Investment mutual funds. So to conclude, we had a good first quarter. We saw strong growth in earnings, ROE and value of new business. Taken together with an even stronger capital position under LICAT, we’re well positioned for the remainder of 2018. With that I’ll turn the call over to Greg to begin the Q&A portion of the call.