Michele Santana
Analyst · Oliver Chen with Cowen and Company. Your line is now open
Thank you Gina. All right, so turning to Slide 7, for the second quarter, Signet’s total sales were $1.4 billion, up 1.9% year-over-year or 2.8% on a constant currency basis. Comp sales increased 1.4% compared to a decline of 2.3% in the prior year second quarter and compares to a two year comp hurdle rate of 1.9%. Other comp sales increased about 380 basis points of favorability was attributed to the performance and later timing of Mother’s Day which shifted to the second quarter. Key events that contributed to this encouraging comp performance were solid Mother’s Day results and a successful July bridal event. Overall, total comp sales increases were driven primarily by higher average transaction value across all store banners. We also experienced increases in the number of transactions in Kay, Zales and Peoples while the UK saw double-digit percentage decrease in transactions. By category, fashion jewelry led the sales performance closely followed by bridal while watches declined with the exception of our Prestige Watches in the UK that had strong sales performance. From a channel perspective, e-commerce led the growth with an 18.1% increase over prior year while those malls and off-mall stores delivered sales growth. Through the first half of the year, we have learned that agility in our approach to balancing sales and profits is particularly significant in today’s consumer environment. Signet is committed to strengthening its consumer relevance and market share while continue to balance incremental promotions to drive top-line, with expense reductions to offset margin rate declines. Our wins in the second quarter relating to our promotional messaging that consumers responded very strong to combine with wins related to our ongoing e-commerce initiatives support our full year guidance outlook. So now we will move to the income statement. On Slide 8, our gross margin was $457.9 million or 32.7% of sales. This represented a 120 basis point decline over the last year period and principally due to a strategic increase in promotional activity resulting in a lower merchandize margin rate. However, gross margin dollars increased slightly due to the higher sales volume. In addition, leverage on store occupancy cost of 30 basis points was offset by lower recovery rates associated with Signet’s Jewelry Trading program. SG&A expense was $409 million or 29.2% of sales. Total SG&A declined by $6.7 million or 1.6% over prior year and leveraged a 110 basis points. Included in SG&A were costs related to the CEO separation and R2Net acquisition of $4.7 million, which unfavorably impacted the leverage ratio of SG&A rate by 30 basis points. During the quarter, we remained very disciplined and focused on cost reductions to offset the promotional impact on our gross margin rate noted above. Cost reductions were primarily realized in payroll and payroll-related benefits in both stores and corporate as well as other select corporate expenses. In the second quarter, Signet recognized a $14.8 million net gain related to the pending sale of a prime portion of receivables to ADS which is expected to close in October. The $14.8 million includes a non-cash gain of $20.7 million related to the reversal of the allowance associated with these receivables partially offset by $5.9 million of credit transaction cost related to legal, advisor and other expenses. I’ll further discuss the impact of the credit transaction on Signet’s financials in a few moments. Other operating income was $71.9 million. The $1.2 million increase was due to the Sterling division’s higher interest income earned from higher outstanding receivable balances. However, the rate of increase was tempered by a greater mix of reduced rate plans. All of this led to operating margin expansion of 100 basis points. 70 basis points of which was attributable to the net credit transaction impact just described, as well as CEO separation and acquisition costs. Diluted earnings per share was $1.33, compared to $1.06 in the same quarter last year. As a result of the imminent credit transaction proceeds, we purchased 8.1 million shares or nearly 12% of Signet shares in the second quarter at an average price of $56.91. This accelerated buyback was most motivated by the share price and the ability to fund the buyback using our revolving credit facility combined with our confidence in the transaction closing in October. This acceleration of share repurchases drove $0.07 of earnings per share in the quarter. In addition, $0.08 of earnings per share in the quarter were driven by the combination of the net non-cash gain associated with the credit transaction and related cost, partially offset by cost related to the CEO separation and R2Net acquisition. The Mother’s Day shift into Q2 also favorably benefited EPS by $0.15. At the end of the quarter, there was $650.6 million remaining under Signet’s share repurchase authorization following an incremental authorization of $600 million during the second quarter. So turning to working capital and free cash flow, a few comments. Net inventory ended the period at $2.3 billion, down 5.6% year-over-year. This was primarily driven by our continued focus on working capital across the business. In particular, we continued to manage Zale stores with less inventory per store to improve prominence and presentation of key collections. Generally, we are delivering less breadth and more depth in key categories which is driving overall inventory productivity. Effective working capital management led to a solid free cash flow generation through the first half of the year. Free cash flow for the year-to-date period was $304 million, up $96 million compared to the same period last year. Changes to accounts receivable also favorably affected free cash flow. Before we turn to our receivable metrics, a couple other quick highlights. We ended the quarter with $303 million of borrowings outstanding on our revolving credit facility. As previously discussed, we funded the acceleration of share repurchases through our revolver. The weighted average cost of borrowing on the revolver was 2.4% through the first half of the year. So with that, we will move to our credit portfolio on Slide 10. So I will walk through our second quarter metrics, and then spend some time discussing the impact of Phase one credit outsourcing for Q2 and beyond. As you know, we are still managing our full credit portfolio until the closing of the transaction which are expected in October at which time, our prime receivables will be sold to ADS. Therefore, in the first table on the slide, you will see the key metrics for the full portfolio including prime and non-prime receivables. In the second table, we provide a view of our credit portfolio split between prime receivables held for sale and the residual or non-prime receivables. So starting with the first table, our second quarter in-house credit sales in the Sterling division were $536 million, an increase of 1.3% over the prior year. In-house credit participation was 61.7%, down a 140 basis points due to lower application volume of approximately 11%. The average monthly payment collection rate for the second quarter was 10.3%, compared to 10.8% last year. This decline was principally due to increased usage of extended payment credit plans resulting in lower required scheduled payments would expressed as rates. The collection rate decline, combined with slightly higher credit sales resulted in an increase in our gross accounts receivable of $47 million or 2.7% over the prior year. Interest income from finance charges which makes-up virtually all of our other operating income on our income statement was flat at $70 million to last year. Net bad debt expense was approximately $58 million or $3 million higher than last year and were taken together with finance income generated an operating profit of $12 million. This net combination was down $3 million to last year. So this net reduction when compared to prior year is primarily related to lower finance charges associated with the aforementioned increase and reduced rate extended term payment plans which are targeted to higher FIFO profile customers as compared to our average plan. At the end of the second quarter, reduced rate extended payment term plans represented about 22% of the portfolio, compared to 9% in the prior year. So moving to the bottom portion of the slide, at the end of the second quarter, $1.56 million of receivables representing the portion of the in-house finance portfolio that will be sold to ADS were reclassified as held-for-sale. Related to this classification, the allowance for bad debt associated with this portfolio was reversed in the second quarter resulting in a non-cash gain of $21 million. The residual gross receivables totaled approximately $736 million at the end of the second quarter. The related allowance in Q2 for this residual part of the portfolio was $140 million or 15% of gross receivables. For comparison purposes, had the portfolio been bifurcated in the same manner in the prior year, the residual receivables would have totaled $744 million with an allowance of $110 million or 15% of gross receivables in the second quarter last year. So turning our attention to Slide 11. I’d like to outline the key financial impacts and considerations beyond Q2 from the Phase one of our outsourcing. As a reminder, Phase one includes the sale of our prime portion of accounts receivable to ADS at par value and the conversion to Genesis Financial as our servicing provider for the remainder of the receivables. Starting with the one-time cost and gains associated with the transaction in the left-hand box, as I mentioned earlier, we’ve recognized a pretax, non-cash gain of $21 million during the second quarter due to the reclassification of our prime receivables as assets held-for-sale. We also incurred $5.9 million in transaction cost during the quarter. For the full year, we expect total transaction cost to be approximately $35 million. So moving to Q3 upon the close of the transaction, one, we expect to receive estimated proceeds of $1 billion, of which $600 million will be used to repay our ADS facility. As we said during the initial announcement of our credit outsourcing, we earmarked the remainder of the proceeds or $400 million for share repurchases. Based on the compelling share price and availability on our revolver, we accelerated this intent and repurchased the $400 million of shares in the second quarter. As such, the residual $400 million of transaction proceeds will be utilized to repay the short-term loans associated with the financing of the R2Net acquisition with further residual proceeds used to repay the revolver borrowings. In addition, in the Q3 period, we will also recognize what is called the beneficial interest gain, initially a non-cash P&L gain that we estimate will be $10 million pretax. The beneficial interest effectively represents a receivable for the present value of expected future profit sharing payments related to the receivables sold to ADS. This asset will then be reduced in the future via payments received from ADS. So post closing of the transaction that we expect to occur in October, other ongoing considerations that will impact our operating profit will include the following, of which I’ll also provide the financial impact to Q4. We expect approximately a $22 million decline in our EBIT in the fourth quarter. Now this decline will be driven by the combination of the following, the elimination of the net contribution associated with the prime portfolio, which is finance charge, plus our late fees, less our bad debt expense. The net combination of these is expected to unfavorably impact EBIT by $28 million. Now this will be partially offset by recurring SG&A savings associated with the elimination on our in-house credit operations, net of servicing cost associated with Genesis Financial, plus the ADS net economic profit sharing. The net SG&A savings is estimated to be favorable to EBIT by $6 million. The estimated $0.50 accretion in EPS related to the $400 million of share repurchases executed in the second quarter will more than offset the decline in earnings associated with the impacts that I just outlined. In addition, interest expense savings of $4 million related to the ADS facility will favorably benefit net income. Finally, as I mentioned on the previous slides, post to sales, our allowance metrics will move unfavorably given the sale of our high quality receivables. Our allowance will become smaller in dollars, but our allowance as a percentage of a smaller receivable base will look less favorable when compared to the rates associated with our historical total receivable. I wanted to be sure to explain this dynamic in advance. Finally, as mentioned in the transaction, that is expected to close as mid-October, ahead of the holiday season and is also expected to have no material impact on our net sales. Signet will continue to fund the sales associated with the non-prime receivables until Phase Two is complete. We have updated our financial annual guidance to include all aspects of these impacts, which brings me to my final slide. We are reiterating our fiscal 2018, same-store sales guidance and earnings per share as well as updating components to our annual EPS guidance to reflect the impact of the strategic outsourcing of credit, CEO separation cost and the anticipated transaction cost associated with the R2Net acquisition announced today. Lessons learned in Q2 have caused us to pivot from our previously communicated use in how we achieve our bottom-line. As Gina and I have both suggested earlier in the call, we’ve recognized the need to be agile in the current environment with promotional messaging while still being accountable to drive earnings. As a result, we expect to be incrementally more promotional in the back half of the year which will likely result in a slight deleverage of our gross margin rate. Now with that said, we have identified incremental cost reductions in SG&A that will enable us to leverage SG&A to offset the gross margin rate impacts. So back to the slide, starting with our guidance of $7 to $7.40 and walking down, you will see the net impact estimated from outsourcing of credit is dilutive to EPS by approximately $0.16. Again, this includes the effect from a partial elimination of bad debt expense, late fees and finance income, SG&A savings, servicing costs, net profit sharing and interest expense savings. Net transaction costs are estimated to be dilutive to EPS by approximately $0.05 associated with the credit transaction. This includes estimated transaction cost associated with legal, advisors, and implementation expenses, partially offset by the second quarter non-cash gain recognized and the estimated beneficial interest gain to be recognized in Q3. CEO separation costs are diluted to EPS by $0.03. Transaction cost associated with the R2Net acquisition are estimated to be dilutive to EPS by approximately $0.10. These costs include legal, advisor, accounting and financing. Our guidance does not include any impact related to R2Net operations post closing. We will update guidance for sales and EPS related to this announcement upon closing of the acquisition. And finally, our guidance reflects the favorability to earnings per share of $0.50 related to the accelerated share repurchases completed in the second quarter. Our effective tax rate will be closer to the lower end of our previous guidance range at 24%. Our weighted average share count will drop materially by the year end due to the Q2 share repurchases of 8.1 million shares. CapEx and square footage guidance remains virtually unchanged. Lastly, as you consider how to model the third and fourth quarters, I wanted to offer these directional comments about same-store sales and EPS. Our same-store sales in Q4 will show notable sequential improvement over Q3 driven by one, Q3 is our smallest quarter and there is no key gift giving holiday within. Two, Q4 will have easier comp anniversaries and will benefit from the deployment of several initiatives during the holiday season that we have already seen early successes in the second quarter. And as you know, Q4 will be a much larger contribution to full year earnings per share versus Q3 as it represents about 40% of our annual operating income. That concludes my prepared remarks and with that, I’ll turn the call back over to Gina.