Deepak Mathivanan
Analyst · Deepak Mathivanan from Barclays. Your line is open
Hey, guys, thanks for taking the questions. Two quick ones for me. First, I wanted to understand the drop shipping use case on Shopify. Can you talk about how many merchants Oberlo has and what’s the primary revenue model there? And then secondly, with ePacket program coming under scrutiny now, can you discuss what percent of your merchants use ePacket shipping arrangements? And what – broadly, what are some other things we can do to mitigate exposure the program becomes kind of economically viable later this year?
Tobi Lütke: Okay. Let me unpack that a little bit in sentiment, right, because we’re getting back into like a – there’s sort of general skepticism towards drop shipping, which I think is important to kind of address. I likened this before on this call to cloud computing, right? Everyone build their own data centers and that costs a lot of money. And then, they said, hey, I don’t decentralize this, why don’t we rent servers by the hour instead of buy a three-year depreciation, and that – this was a process improvement that then came to the benefit of everyone who needed servers. That’s exactly cloud – drop shipping really. It’s just a process efficiency improvement. What also happened in cloud computing is, after this was all said and done, a lot of tiny startups said, hey, like suddenly, I don’t actually need to spend ungodly amount of money for servers and I can get my product to market at the end of just using my laptop in a coffee shop. And so the creation of startups became cheaper and therefore, there were more startups. So that is also what happens because of drop shipping. Just to illustrate this point a bit, I once ran – so we have a Shopify store, which is Shopify point-of-sale hyper store, they sell iPad stands, all these kind of things that our point-of-sale customers need. And most of the products is a label printer, receipt printer sort of thermal paper kind of thing. Anyway, it’s a great product. Everyone uses this one printer. Like I said, it’s just by far the best one that exits. So I once checked and there was actually 260 different Shopify stores that all sold the same label printer. And that’s the situation that retail is in, right? Everyone gets these from their supplier and then everyone stores them somewhere and then mails them out when someone places an order. So the drop shipping work just says, okay, let’s keep those central and whenever someone creates a sale, we mail them out from there and so on. And it all kinds of make perfect sense. Oberlo is sort of takes this part of this sort of process improvement and just tries to make it to benefit of the people who are just starting out. And so this is why we’re seeing like a lot of people experiment, as I said, but also just a lot of excitement. People who are accomplishing something that they kind of ask themselves a little surprised about accomplishing, tend to be very vocal about it. And this is why we have just a lot of exposure. Now Oberlo is a fantastic product and we’re really, really proud to own it. And it’s driving a lot of new people into entrepreneurship, which is, of course, the mission. But I think, like people are little bit – I wish it would be as big as what some people seem to think. So similarly, exposure to ePacket, this is not – like Shopify is an incredibly diversified platform, it’s like almost its own economy kind of – if you will, like everyone is doing everything. And just, because there’s a specific route of which packages can take, that is really, really cheap. It doesn’t mean that this is the thing that makes all of Shopify tick, and that we would be very affected by that changing. The stores tend to arrange themselves around the opportunities. So yes, right now, we’re in a situation where shipping things from Hong Kong is often – to United States is often cheaper than shipping something from Massachusetts. But I think, it’s important to realize that a lot of [indiscernible] and it’s like most of [indiscernible] in the United States is like shipping United States to United States. So this – some of these sort of artificially low shipping route becoming a little bit more realistic, that might actually be really good for most people on the platform, because it levels the playing ground and so on and so on. In general, commerce happens, GMV happens because of demands, not really because of supply. So like the way like – people – like our customers are very crafty and they will rearrange themselves around any kind of new realities in shipping costs and I wouldn’t worry too much about it.