Kenneth E. Cruse
Analyst · Citigroup
Thanks, Bryan, and thank you, all, for joining us today. Having recently met with many of you at our Investor Day, we've tried to keep today's prepared remarks brief. I'll start by reviewing our first quarter and some leading indicators for our portfolio, then I'll discuss our portfolio quality improvement program, then I'll finish with comments on what we're seeing in terms of industry fundamentals. To begin, broad-based improvements in demand helped to drive an 8.6% increase in our RevPAR during the first quarter. Our RevPAR growth was balanced between improving average daily room rates, which were up 3%, to $174.91; and occupied rooms, which were up 400 basis points to an occupancy level of 77.7%. For reference, Q1 is typically our lowest occupancy quarter of the year. During the first quarter, 23 of our hotels achieved RevPAR gains with 12 of our hotels generating double-digit RevPAR growth. We're seeing particularly strong growth in Southern California, our Portland hotel, our 2 Houston hotels, as well as our Boston and Orlando properties. Additionally, many of our recently renovated hotels are generating excellent year-over-year growth. Specifically, in 2013, we completed full renovations of 4 of our hotels: the Hilton Times Square, the Hyatt Newport Beach, Hyatt Chicago Magnificent Mile and the Renaissance Westchester. Not surprisingly, these Four Hotels are leading the charge in terms of RevPAR growth this year. Partially offsetting the strength we're seeing in most of our markets, we have experienced softness in some markets, including Chicago, Washington, D.C. and New York City. In each case, the confluence of poor weather, the simulation of new hotel supply, and generally, weak city-wide patterns served to offset demand growth in the first quarter. From a room segmentation standpoint, our first quarter group revenues were up 5.7% year-over-year, driven by a 5.3% increase in occupied rooms and a slight improvement in group ADR. Our Hilton San Diego Bayfront had a terrific group quarter, achieving a very solid 93% pickup against existing group blocks with several groups increasing their room blocks during the quarter. Other hotels with strong group trends in the first quarter include our 2 Houston hotels: our Fairmont Newport Beach and our Renaissance Orlando. Business travel also remains resilient across our portfolio. Our first quarter transient room revenue increased 10.7% over last year with a 3.8% increase in average daily rate and a 6.6% increase in room nights. During the first quarter, our portfolio had 511 sellout nights. In other words, our hotels achieved sellouts on nearly 20% of the available nights during the first quarter. This is a 33% improvement over the 385 sellout nights we achieved during the first quarter of 2013. And this represents our portfolio's highest-ever Q1 sellout percentage. As our hotels have established better base business through comps -- through groups and contracts, our operators have intensified their focus on increasing transient revenue by increasing rates across the board and by compressing out lower-rated business. To this end in the first quarter, our premium room revenue improved 15% driven by a 15.6% increase in premium occupied rooms. Our corporate negotiated revenue grew by 7.4%, and our discounted room segments grew ADR by 8% with discounted room nights increasing only 2%, as our operators effectively shifted our business mix out of lower-rated discount segments and into higher-rated group and business transient segments. The combination of high occupancy, less renovation disruption and proactive revenue management enabled us to gain material market share during the first quarter. In Q1, our hotels gained 390 basis points in STR Index, which moved up to an average of 109% for our portfolio. Our revenue management success in Q1 reflects the continuation of many initiatives we've been working on over the last few quarters. As we continue working with our operators to increase transient revenue through impressive revenue mix management, it's interesting to note that, to date, our hotels have successfully achieved positive mix shifts without negatively impacting occupancy rates. We believe this is a very bullish indicator of the overall health of demand for lodging. With respect to forward indicators, our portfolio's group room production, defined as group rooms booked for all future periods, was up nearly 20% during the first quarter. This upsurge in booking productivity is being driven by strong group activity at a majority of our hotels, with particularly strong productivity coming from our JW Marriott New Orleans, Renaissance Long Beach and our Hilton San Diego Bayfront. Additionally, as you might expect, our recently renovated hotels are grouping up very well. Group room production at our Four Hotels we renovated in 2013 was up nearly 70% in the first quarter as we compare -- as compared to Q1 2013, albeit off a very small room -- group room base last year. More importantly, in the first quarter, group production for the 4 recently renovated hotels was nearly 16% above prior peak production for these hotels. We see this as a great indication of the improved competitiveness of these properties. With the continued growth in group productivity, it follows that our 2014 group pace, which we define as group revenues on the books for the current year, has continued to improve throughout the year and is now at levels we haven't seen since 2008. Specifically, while our 2014 group pace was slightly below trend several quarters back, our 2014 group pace is now up approximately 6.5% over our 2013 pace for the same time last year. As a reminder, we indicated that our group room -- group pace through March was up 5.1% during our April Investor Day, meaning our current year group pace has continued to positively ramp up over the past month. I should also note that our portfolio-wide group pace is being negatively impacted this year by our Renaissance Washington, D.C., where group pace stands roughly 6.3% below last year's record level. Meanwhile, consistent with my group productivity comments, 2014 group pace at our Four Hotels that underwent major renovations in 2013 is up 45.4%, driven by a 38% increase in room nights and a 5.4% increase in average daily rates. We expect that already very high occupancy levels, coupled with our solid 2014 group pace will continue to drive our aggressive revenue management initiatives and at yielding higher rates while closing out lower-rated business. Shifting to operational efficiencies. Improving the efficiency of all areas of our operations remains a key focus of ours, and energy efficiency is just one piece of that puzzle. While harsh winter weather resulted in a 4.8% increase in our Q1 energy cost per occupied room, it's important to note that this was due to a short-term spike in rates during the first quarter. Importantly, our energy program is oriented around achieving ongoing reductions in energy consumption at our properties. And we continue to achieve successes in this area. For example, despite the cold weather, total energy consumption per occupied room decreased by nearly 40% at our Renaissance Westchester, due in large part to the comprehensive energy-efficiency measures we implemented at this hotel in 2013. Additionally, we saw declines in energy consumption at our Marriott Quincy, Renaissance Washington, D.C. and Marriott Tysons Corner during the first quarter. We also achieved a 9.3% reduction in energy consumption per occupied room at our Hilton San Diego Bayfront, where we implemented several energy projects over the last year. Moving onto our portfolio improvement program. As you know, we continually seek to improve the quality and competitiveness of our portfolio through well-timed programmatic capital investments. I'll spend a moment now updating you on a few of our more significant 2014 projects. During the first quarter, we invested $33.3 million into our portfolio, completing rooms and public space renovations at our 781-room Renaissance Orlando, our 374-room Renaissance Long Beach and our 357-room Hilton Garden Inn Chicago. Additionally, we're making good progress on our phased renovation of the Boston Park Plaza. We now have signed leases for the 3 unoccupied retail spaces, including Hermes, who will occupy a 5,500 square-foot retail store on the first floor; Strega restaurant group, a local operator of leading Boston restaurants, who will occupy a 5,900 square-foot restaurant on the first floor; and David Barton Gym, who will operate a high-quality fitness facility and occupy approximately 20,000 square feet of newly created leasable space on the first floor and basement level of the hotel. In addition to generating roughly $1.4 million of incremental rent annually, we expect the overall guest experience at the Boston Park Plaza will be complemented by the addition of a luxury retailer, a high-end restaurant and bar and a world-class fitness amenity. We expect these tenant spaces to be fully open for business over the next several quarters. Also, we are now substantially finished with renovating the 660 standard guest rooms and corridors at our Hyatt Regency San Francisco. This renovation work was completed on scope, on time and on budget. As planned, later this year, we will renovate and reconfigure the atrium and reading space, as well as the guest suites of this hotel. We do not anticipate this phase of renovation work to result in material business disruption. During the first quarter, all of our renovation activity resulted in approximately $1.9 million of displaced revenue. Consistent with our guidance, most of this displacement occurred at our Hyatt Regency San Francisco. Illustrating the strength of the San Francisco market, our RevPAR at the Hyatt Regency was up approximately 2% in Q1, even as we were executing the full renovation of our standard guest rooms. Excluding the roughly $1.4 million displacement impact from the renovation, we estimate the Hyatt's RevPAR would have been up roughly 13% during the first quarter. For the full year, we continue to expect between $3 million and $4 million of renovation-related revenue disruption across our portfolio. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with approximately $178 million of cash, including $83 million of restricted cash. In addition to our cash position, we have an undrawn $150 million credit facility and 13 unencumbered hotels. To date, we have utilized our at-the-market equity issuance program to raise a nominal amount of acquisition proceeds. Specifically, we raised approximately $1.4 million of proceeds by issuing shares at $14 during the quarter. These proceeds are earmarked to partially fund our pending $11 million acquisition of the 7.3 acres of land underlying our Fairmont Newport Beach later in the second quarter. The $11 million purchase price represents a roughly 6.3% cap rate on trailing ground rent, which is approximately $665,000 per year. But as the ground rent was due to reset this year at 10% of fair market value, which will be based on efficiently -- essentially the same methodology we used to value the ground purchase, we estimate this purchase effectively equates to a 10% cap rate on a go-forward basis. As we hold sufficient cash and our internal estimate for our NAV has increased over the past several months, going forward, we would not anticipate accessing our ATM program at the price level we did earlier this year. With respect to financial flexibility during 2013, our unencumbered hotels collectively generated approximately $73.9 million of EBITDA. At the end of the year, we had $1.5 billion of consolidated debt and preferred securities, which includes 100% of the $231 million mortgage secured by our Hilton San Diego Bayfront. Our debt has a weighted average interest rate -- terms of maturity, I'm sorry, of 3.5 years and an average interest rate of 4.86%. Our variable rate debt, as a percentage of total debt, stands at 29.3%. And we have no debt maturities through early 2015. Now turning to guidance. A full reconciliation of our current guidance can be found on Pages 17 to 19 of our supplemental as well as in our earnings release. For the second quarter, we see RevPAR growing between 4% and 6%, with the Easter shift this year accounting for a 100 to 120 basis point reduction in Q2 RevPAR growth. We expect second quarter adjusted EBITDA to come in between $89 million and $92 million, the midpoint of which is 29% above 2013 EBITDA for the second quarter. And we expect second quarter adjusted FFO per diluted share to be between $0.37 and $0.39, the midpoint of which is 27% above 2013 adjusted FFO per diluted share for the second quarter. We have increased our full year 2014 adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges from $281 million to $296 million and our full year adjusted FFO guidance ranges from $1.07 to $1.16 per diluted share to incorporate our first quarter results. As we continue to navigate the middle years of what we believe will be a prolonged period of growth at -- in -- for lodging companies, our long-term goal is essentially unchanged: increase shareholder value by improving the quality and scale of our portfolio while maintaining our balance sheet strength. As our already all-time high occupancy levels continue to improve and demand continues to increase, our ability to efficiently translate growing demand into higher rates and significantly -- and significant profit growth is also improving. While we have experienced some typical turbulence as this recovery has progressed, we have grown incrementally more positive in our outlook for 2014 and beyond. In short, as fundamentals remain highly constructive and business trends improve, we see plenty of green lights ahead for our business. As a team, we're quite proud of the progress we've made over the last 3 years, but we see where we are as a starting point for Sunstone. With considerable opportunities to create value for our shareholders going forward, it's incumbent on us to capitalize on these opportunities by carefully executing on our stated plan. With that, we thank you for your time today and for your continued interest in Sunstone. Let's open up the call to questions. Melissa, please go ahead.