Kenneth E. Cruse
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thanks, Bryan, and thank you all for joining us today. On today's call, I'll start by reviewing our fourth quarter and full year earnings report. I'll then discuss some of our portfolio quality improvement plans, and I'll highlight leading indicators for our portfolio. Next, John will discuss several finance initiatives aimed at improving our corporate flexibility and enhancing our total shareholder returns. Following John's comments, Marc will review our operations in detail and will highlight certain asset management initiatives. Bryan will then go over our balance sheet, liquidity and guidance for the first quarter and full year before I wrap up our prepared remarks with a discussion on our priorities for 2014 and beyond. To begin, our portfolio continued to perform reasonably well in the fourth quarter. Ongoing improvements in demand, coupled with solid growth from many of our newly acquired and recently renovated hotels, offset by isolated negative events such as the government shutdown and softness in Chicago and New York, resulted in moderate top line growth in the fourth quarter. Our comparable hotel RevPAR grew by 3.5% over the fourth quarter 2012, which was in the midpoint of our guidance range. Our comparable ADR grew by $2.80 to $188.01, while our occupancy increased by 150 basis points to 77.3%. We achieved significant occupancy gains on our Renaissance Washington, D.C., our Hyatt Regency Newport Beach and our Hyatt Regency San Francisco. Our moderate top line growth to push our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted FFO per diluted share to the high end of our guidance range. I should reiterate that, as Bryan noted, our absolute comparisons to Q4 2012 are somewhat distorted. Specifically, while our absolute margin figures imply a 90-basis-point reduction, our Q4 hotel EBITDA margins, absolute margin comparisons were impacted by several unique and one-time factors in the fourth quarter. Specifically, in addition to the Marriott calendar shift, our fourth quarter was impacted by roughly $650,000 of full year 2013 real estate tax increases, which comped over $1.3 million of full year 2012 real estate tax credits. Taking out the noise, we estimate that our normalized hotel margins would've improved by roughly 50 basis points in the fourth quarter. Shifting to the full year, as details of the full year 2013 are provided in our release, 10-K and supplemental. I'll just touch on a couple of key takeaways from our report. First, as with our fourth quarter, our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted FFO per diluted share once again came in at the high end of our guidance range, while our RevPAR growth rate was 4.5%. This was not in itself record breaking. Many of our operating statistics are at or approaching record levels. Specifically, on a same-store basis, our portfolio occupancy rate is now 2 percentage points above prior peak and our portfolio of RevPAR is essentially at prior peak levels. Turning to our balance sheet. In 2013, we improved our consolidated debt plus preferred to total capitalization by nearly 9 percentage points, from over 46% at the beginning of 2013 to just over 37% at the end of 2013. And over the last 2 years, we've reduced our leverage by 29 percentage points. Notably, we delivered total shareholder returns of 66% over this same time period. This clearly underscores the fact that when carefully administered, a lodging REIT can materially deleverage while delivering strong shareholder returns. Shifting to our ongoing program to improve the quality and competitiveness of our portfolio, I'll spend a moment on our 2014 capital expenditure plan. Our capital investment budget calls for between $120 million and $140 million of capital investments into our hotels. This is generally in line with our total portfolio investments over the last several years. I'll comment now on some of our higher profile projects. First, with respect to the Boston Park Plaza, our plan is to improve the competitiveness of this well-located, but sorely undercapitalized hotel through a phased comprehensive renovation program. Our repositioning plan aims to improve the overall guest experience from the current 2.5-star quality level to 3.5-star quality, which we believe is the right competitive positioning for this hotel, given its location in the Back Bay market and the relative positioning of other existing hotels in the market. We believe our phasing plan will minimize renovation disruption during what we expect to be 3 very strong years in the Boston hotel market. Not only will the hotel not be shut down during any portion of our renovations, we, in fact, expect minimal revenue disruption ranging from just $1 million this year to a maximum of perhaps $3.5 million during the peak rooms renovation planned in the winter of 2016. We've posted a more detailed summary of our renovation programs for both the Boston Park Plaza and the Hyatt Regency San Francisco on our website. So I'll briefly summarize some key details today. For Phase 1 of the Boston Park Plaza renovation, we are in the process of investing roughly $18 million to $19 million to upgrade the hotel's elevator -- elevators, façade, roof and HVAC systems. This phase directly addresses some of the primary guest complaints of the hotel, including insufficient HVAC systems and poor Internet connectivity. Phase 1 also entails work required to lease approximately 30,000 square feet or 75% of un- or under-occupied retail space located within the hotel. We believe the tenants we've selected will nicely complement the guest experience we're in the process of creating. Specifically, we have executed new leases with Hermes, who will occupy a 5,500-square-foot retail store on the first floor, and with Strega restaurant group, a local operator of leading Boston restaurants who will occupy a 5,900-square-foot restaurant on the first floor. We are on pace to have both tenants up and running during the second half of 2014, and we are also in the process of finalizing lease terms with a national fitness operator to occupy approximately 19,000 square feet of additional leasable space on the first floor and basement level of the hotel. We expect to have this tenant in place between Q4 2014 and Q1 of 2015. Future renovation phases include reinvigorating the lobby and existing meeting space and converting second-level office space into new meeting space, which is scheduled to begin in December of 2014 and be largely completed by March of 2015. A year later, we will complete a full, albeit routine, guest room and corridor renovation, which is scheduled to begin in the fourth quarter of 2015 and continue into the second quarter of 2016. Again, we will complete most of the renovation work during the seasonally slow winter months, resulting in very limited disruption of -- for a renovation of this scope. Once completed, we expect our total investment in this well-located, high-quality fee-simple asset to be between $320,000 and $330,000 per key. In the meantime, we expect the hotel to deliver RevPAR growth of between 6.5% and 8.5% in 2014 after adjusting for expected renovation disruption. Shifting to the Hyatt Regency San Francisco. We acquired the Hyatt Regency San Francisco in December of 2013 with the game plan of immediately renovating the guest rooms to improve the competitive positioning of the hotel. In January, we began a $17 million rooms renovation, which will address the hotel's guestrooms and suites, bathrooms and corridors. Given the seasonality patterns in San Francisco, we expect just $1 million to $2 million of renovated [indiscernible] revenue displacement this year, which was included in the estimated 24 -- 2014 EBITDA we provided when we announced the acquisition. In fact, the renovation has been underway for the last month, and 96 new rooms have already been put back into service. Even with the renovation in full swing, RevPAR for the hotel has grown by 6.6% this year to date through February 17. We are projecting between 5% and 7% RevPAR growth for the Hyatt Regency San Francisco in 2014. Additionally, we're in the process of investing approximately $5 million to renovate the DoubleTree Times Square hotel lobby and expand its fitness center. We've also installed a new revenue-generating digital marquee sign, which was up and running before the Super Bowl. During 2014, we also expect to invest approximately $40 million to complete routine guestroom, bath and public space renovations, many of which began in the fourth quarter of 2013 and are expected to be substantially completed during the first quarter of 2014. Specifically, we will be completing the rooms and public space renovation of our Hilton Garden in Chicago by the end of March, as well as a complete rooms renovation at the Renaissance Long Beach, also in March. We have completed the full rooms and ballroom renovation at the Renaissance Orlando, and we plan to do a room's renovation and small [indiscernible] Lobby at our Hilton New Orleans. We will also renovate the bathrooms and meeting space in our Renaissance Washington -- I'm sorry, the ballroom and meeting space of our Renaissance Washington, D.C. throughout the year as space is available to minimize disruption. Taken as a whole, we expect to incur between $2 million and $4 million of renovation revenue disruption in 2014, well below the $10 million of revenue disruption we incurred in 2013. Meanwhile, as expected, the hotels that we renovated in 2013 are generally ramping up well. For example, through February 17th, our Hilton Times Square, which was under renovation during the first quarter last year, is showing a 53.7% increase in RevPAR year-to-date. Finally, we expect to invest approximately $15 million to $20 million throughout our portfolio in 2014 on return-focused energy and systems investments. Our energy investments range from ECM motors in 75% of our hotel rooms, income-automated guestroom temperature controls, variable frequency drives to entire hotel LED light bulb replacements. We're also installing low flow toilets and we're also doing complete chiller/boiler system overhauls in many of our hotels. Through this initiative, we are not only making our portfolio more green, we expect to realize returns ranging from the low teens to upwards of 30% on these investments. In part, due to the energy projects that we have completed over the last year, our energy cost per occupied room decreased by 5.8% in the fourth quarter of 2013 and decreased by 4.6% for the full year of 2013 as compared to 2012. Turning now to leading indicators. You're seeing a number of trends across our portfolio that point toward continued moderate growth. On the macro front, U.S. employment continues to slowly improve. Industrywide, business transient and negotiated account trends both continue to improve as well. And one of the best leading indicators for our business is group of booking productivity. Group booking productivity, which we define as all future group room nights booked during a specific period. Notably, our same-store group productivity for the full year 2013 increased by 2.6% over the full year 2012. Keeping with the theme, while 2.6% growth is not itself eye-popping, it is important to note that we're talking about improvements over already record level group same-store productivity for our portfolio. As a result, our 2014 group pace, defined as group revenues on the books for the current year, is now the strongest it has been in the past 5 years. Specifically, while our 2014 group pace was slightly below trend several quarters back, our 2014 group pace is now up approximately 4% of our 2013 pace the same time last year. When considering the very high occupancy level of our portfolio, we expect that our solid 2014 group base will help to further improve the business transient pricing power of our hotels. Accordingly, we expect our RevPAR and earnings growth to accelerate in 2014. That said, as Bryan will discuss in a moment, we see no reason to be aggressive in our full year guidance at this time. As we've typically done, we've set a guidance range that we believe is realistic and attainable. We will make every effort, of course, to outperform our guidance range. And we're out of the gate strongly thus far in 2014. In January, our portfolio generated RevPAR growth of approximately 6.5%. And with that, I'll now turn the call over to John to discuss some of our current finance initiatives.