Earle MacKenzie
Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open
Thank you, Adele and good morning everyone. My prepared remarks begin on Slide 17. We ended the first quarter with 315,231 postpaid customers, an increase of 24,153 in the past 12 months. We ended the quarter with 457,770 total customers. We continue to inch up our postpaid Smartphone penetration to 83%. 96% of our Smartphones are LTE capable with 76% also having enhanced LTE capabilities. Slide 18 shows our gross and net postpaid activity for the first quarter. We had 17,356 gross adds, up slightly from last year. But even with lower churn due to the larger base, we added fewer net adds at 2,719, down from 3,211 last year. We did see a small seasonal uptick in churn from the fourth quarter but we are not concerned. Our port-in versus port-out ratio for the first quarter was 1.8 to 1, taking customers from all other carriers. Let me add a few more stats. Again this quarter, our net adds were higher value phone adds, not lower revenue tablets. We actually had a net loss of tablets in the quarter, so more than 100% of our net adds were phone adds. 26% of gross adds were subsidized plans, 45% on leasing and 29% were installment sales. First quarter upgrade were light at 6.6% of the base with 36% selecting subsidized plans, 39% leasing and 25% installment sales. As of March 31, 51% of our customers remain on a subsidized plan. The enhanced, cut your bill in half, that started in November 2015, continued into the first quarter. The promotion has contributed to increased traffic into the stores but only 26% of the gross adds took the promotion and in most cases the customers ended up paying us more than half price because we were able to up sell them to higher data bucket. Moving to Slide 19. We saw a continued decline in our monthly postpaid billed revenue per customer. On average for the first quarter -- our average for the first quarter was $55.15, down $5.91 in the past 12 months as more of our customers move from subsidized plan and we continue to offer price promotions. We expect the decline to continue for the foreseeable future as our base continues to shift towards lease and installment sales but with the increased data usage we believe the trend will reverse and average revenue will start to increase. Although average postpaid billed revenue per user was down almost 10% in the past year, because of continued strong postpaid add our total gross billed revenue for the first quarter shown on Slide 20, only decreased 2%. As a result of the decrease in the settlement percentages retained by Sprint that Adele spoke of earlier from 22% to 16.8%, we actually saw a 4% increase in the net service revenues. Prepaid stats are shown on Slide 21. We had a net decrease of 301 prepaid customers as we continue to see a dramatic shift in our prepaid base from Virgin Mobile and Assurance to Boost, that trend for the past 12 months has resulted in a loss of just over 5,000 prepaid customers. 81% of our prepaid customers have a Smartphone with 87% of the prepaid Smartphones having LTE capability. On Slide 22 you see the impact of this shift to Boost. We continue to have elevated prepaid churn at 5% but we are building a base of more attractive Boost prepaid customers reflected by the increase of $2.14 per month over the past 12 months in the average prepaid build revenue. The result has been a more profitable prepaid business. Network stats are shown on Slide 23. We have 556 cell sites. 95% have a second LTE carrier at 800 MHz. 35% have 3 LTE carriers with two at 1900 MHz and one at 800 MHz. We continue to launch 2.5 GHz with 61 sites on the air. Subject to having spectrum available, we will meet our goal of having all 125 2.5 sites on the air in 2016. 92% of our data traffic is now on LTE. The volume of data grew 19% in the first quarter and has grown 69% in the past 12 months. Our average speed is approximately 5 Mbps but where we have 2.5 sites, the speed ranges up to 40 Mbps. We continue to have low dropped and blocked calls. We have fiber to 236 cell sites, 189 of our own, four to nTelos sites and 43 to others. We have added 21 year-to-date and plan to add a total of 52 in 2016. 27 in our legacy area and 25 in the nTelos service area. Our cable segment continues to grow. RGU growth of 5,456 is shown on Slide 24. On January 1, we purchased Colane Cable in Southern West Virginia. The Colane network passes approximately 8,000 homes. We got 5,005 total RGUs broken down between 3,299 video RGU, 1,405 data RGUs and 302 voice RGUs. Colane offers speeds only up to 6 Mbps and just launched voice. So once we complete the upgrade of the network late this year, we see good upside opportunity in both data and voice. For the first quarter excluding Colane, we saw the same continuing trend of increasing data and voice RGUs but a decline in video RGUs. So 1046 video RGU decline was accelerated by two events in addition to the industry trends of customers going over the top. First, we had our annual increase passing on programming cost and re-trans fees above $5 month and we made the decision not to continue to carry AMC and its sister channel. We lost approximately 300 customers due to AMC. To avoid the complaint that we took advantage of our customers, we made the decision to rebate the AMC programming cost savings to our customers with a recurring credit for 2016. Net of the Colane addition, we added 1,737 data RGUs and 318 voice RGUs. Average monthly cable revenue per RGU and per customer is shown on Slide 25. We continue to see significant increase in revenue. The increase per RGU is $4.43 and $7.59 per customer. The increase was driven by the video price increase in January to offset the increase in programming cost and the continued increase in data ARPU as customers continue to purchase faster Internet speeds with larger data allowances. Slide 6 shows the number of homes passed where we can each service and the penetration of each service. The numbers reflect the trends I have just discussed. An interesting side note. We now have more voice customers in our cable segment that we have in our regulated telephone operations. Wireline operations are shown on Slide 27. As previously announced, as of October 1, 2015, we no longer require our regulated telephone customers to have an access line to have DSL. This change has resulted in a short-term accelerated decline in our access lines. Virtually all the access lines lost are customers that continue to purchase Internet service from Shentel. Without the bundled discount, each of these customer are paying at least $10 more for their Internet service. We also started offering 15 Mbps up to 101 Mbps by cable modem service on October 1. And as of the end of the first quarter, we had 624 signed up for the higher speed cable modem services. Slide 28 shows the first quarter fiber lease revenue broken down between affiliated and non-affiliated. You see the total grew by 2 million with the growth of both affiliated and non-affiliated revenues. We had a good quarter in non-affiliated fiber sales with $7 million of new contracts signed in the first quarter of 2016. We continue to have great success in E-Rate sales to school systems on our fiber network, our estimate of 2016 capital spending on Slide 29 has not changed from the numbers we shared at our year-end earnings call. We have committed and set approximately 25% of the 2016 non-nTelos CapEx for the first quarter. Let me conclude by giving you an update on nTelos. As reported, we got FCC approval on April 15, which was the final approval required. We anticipate closing the transaction on May 6. The delays in getting the approvals has been frustrating but it has allowed adequate time to plan for the transition. We have had great cooperation from nTelos and Sprint. The senior management of nTelos will be departing at closing and we will immediately start selling Sprint service out of the nTelos stores. We expect that the upgrade of nTelos network will continue without any delays. Our teams have worked together over the past month to assure that we don’t lose any momentum. Currently 58% of the non-overlap nTelos sites have been upgraded to LTE. Network Vision sites have been delivered and are being installed. We will start to migrate existing nTelos customers to the Sprint back office before the end of May. As you recall, we will be able to upgrade all of the nTelos customers with an iPhone C or newer with a new SIM card but we will need to exchange all the other nTelos customer phones. The 300,000 Sprint customers in the nTelos area will require no migration efforts. We provided some guidance on our last call for the cost of the nTelos customer migration of up to $80 million along with our previous estimate of other one time transition and deal cost of $80 million. As we continue to refine our estimates, we now believe that the total cost of transition, field cost and the customer migration will be between $130 million and $150 million, down from our initial estimate of $160 million. I will now turn the call back to Adele.