Jose Antonio Alvarez Alvarez
Management
The sensitivity to the base case. Well these EUR 1.6 billion comes from the combination of two scenarios. One scenario that this kind of we, a scenario that is relatively mild, and one scenario that we call internally, you scenario that is much, much worse and, overall much – it takes longer to recover the – some of the variables that are behind this expected losses, particularly as I mentioned before house prices. So house prices, let’s say, call 20% and it takes more than three years to recover, the impact is much more intense than if we have a stronger GDP fall in the short run and our recovery immediately after, none otherwise will be the case. So these are the base case we are using is a combination of we, a scenario with you a scenario that give us and I mentioned before, kind of IMF, on a country-by-country basis in some countries is more intense than IMF in some other is less, but overall as an average we are basically there. Capital impact of the great immigration. Remember, we have 50% of the portfolio is just under model. The other 40% is mortgages that the world immigration, right immigration is not significant and this trade immigration affects wildly to 10%, 15% of the portfolio that is related more with a kind of CIB business and some corporate. So the impact should be relatively minor, yeah, so we’re going to have some, but relatively minor in our case, given the fact that the standard model still plays a big role in our capital numbers that we’ve been telling you. And the third one is consumer. The third one was? Holidays. Payment holidays. It will accrue? We don’t accrue. We accrue in the majority of the case, although there are some cases that the government initiatives, the payment holidays force us not to accrue for one month or two months or three months. It’s not significant, but it has some effect, some in a limited number of cases, because it doesn’t apply to the overall portfolio that’s applied to specific people that has a very, very low income along with vulnerabilities that we cannot accrue interest, but this is really, really minor. What this has in the other cases is the financial effect, because we are translated interest into the future – in the future principal payments and that has some financial advantage for the for the borrowers, yeah.