Henning N. Kornbrekke
Analyst · Peter Lisnic of Robert W
Thanks, Brian. Turning now to Slide #4, I'll begin with the basics on our revenue. This slide reflects our 2013 revenue exposures correlated to end markets served. We've taken our actual 2012 net sales and added, on a pro forma basis, the 2012 net sales of our 3 recent acquisitions which had aggregate revenues in 2012 of $55 million. About 20% of these acquired revenues were residential market, 30% public infrastructure, and 50% industrial. This had the effect of increasing Gibraltar's overall exposure to the industrial markets. As you can see on Slide 4, we're currently generating about 50% of our total sales from the residential and low-rise commercial building market. Roughly 80% of this part of the business is residential, predominantly from repair and remodeling activity. Our sales in the low-rise commercial building market reflect the fact that many of the products we sell for residential applications also are installed in low-rise commercial structures such as professional buildings and retail centers. These products include interior corner bead, lath, external rain dispersion, fascia and trims, attic and foundation ventilation, and multi-unit mailboxes. The other half of our consolidated sales comes from the industrial and infrastructure markets. We experienced mixed sales results in our markets during the first quarter, as outlined on Slide #5. Our net sales for Q1 of 2013 were up 2% from Q1 last year at $196.8 million. Looking at our markets specifically, this was another solid quarter for our infrastructure products business, driven by backlog, new orders and in acquisition. Q1 was our fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year profit growth in this part of our business. Our infrastructure sales, including the acquisition, were up 21% from the first quarter last year. We're anticipating continued steady performance improvement in our infrastructure product business as 2013 progresses. Quoting activity continues to be robust, especially related to large, longer-term projects, primarily reflecting the fact that a 2-year federal transportation funding bill was enacted in the second half of 2012. In addition, one of the businesses we acquired in the fourth quarter of 2012 expands our infrastructure products offering and provides additional opportunity for growth. As I mentioned, we generate approximately 40% of our revenues from our industrial markets. Q1 was a challenging quarter in this part of the business where sales, including an acquisition, were flat with the prior year. Excluding acquisitions, sales in North America were down 4.6% and sales in Europe were down 18.7%. The primary driver for the North American revenue decline was lower pricing, a function of a very competitive market and soft demand. Europe's economy continues in a recessionary mode. Our products, precision perforated metals for filters, are tied to off-road heavy equipment markets in that region, as well as the European automotive market, which is off approximately 30%. In addition, sales of metal grating products at various industrial markets, including energy production and architectural applications, experienced a 4% volume decline from Q1 last year. This reflected continued softening of demand, in part due to a slow economy and the deferral of capital projects, which should lead to improved future demand as the economy strengthens. The weakness in demand along with competitive pressures for our industrial products have continued into April and will put pressure on industrial product margins this coming quarter. However, we expect the industrial markets to strengthen in the second half of the year. Continuing Slide #5, I'll comment on the 50% of our business directly related to industrial and low-rise building, including repair and remodel. Overall, we saw the first quarter as a short-term, weather-related blip in a fundamentally solid, long-term residential building recovery. As we said in our last call last quarter, the near-term growth driver for us will be increased building activity as plans become actual projects and generate orders for our distributors, who will in turn gain confidence in the sustainability of the homebuilding recovery. Lacking that confidence, inventories remain constrained, and these constraints have been holding back demand for our building products. Given the favorable underlying trends in housing, we had expected to see this scenario begin to gradually improve during the first quarter, recognizing it's still winter in the northern U.S. and that our product mix does tend to lag new housing starts by several months. Mother Nature apparently had a different plan in mind, however, because the weather during the last 6 weeks of the quarter turned out to be much colder and stormier than normal across most of the country. We believe that building plans and activity were significantly delayed as a result, which had a corresponding impact on our sales for the quarter in both the wholesale and retail channels. Residential roofing demand, which correlates to one of our major product applications, seems to have been particularly hard-hit. As Brian mentioned, last quarter, one weather pattern was just the opposite, which made the year-over-year comparisons that much more challenging. Regarding revenue expectations for the second quarter and the full year 2013, normal spring weather will arrive eventually. This will bring, we believe, a substantial acceleration of new home construction and repair and remodeling activity. We expect this to be driven not only by efforts to catch up on projects delayed by the weather this year, as well as by the normal pickup as we move into the warmer months, but by the currently strong fundamentals in housing overall. The latest published reports on the housing industry confirm what our customers were saying: the fundamentals remain positive and, if anything, have improved somewhat since the time of our fourth quarter conference call in late February. We continue to anticipate 10% to 15% growth in the residential new construction sector in 2013, which correlates with 8% of our total revenues. Sales in this market should build from quarter to quarter, reflecting the typical 4- to 8-month lag between the time a permit is pulled and the time our products are installed. Multi-family housing construction was the bright spot in our business in the quarter, and we believe that our multi-family business will do very well for 2013 as a whole. On our call last quarter, we forecasted a 2% to 5% increase in residential repair and remodeling activity, which correlates with about 32% of our total revenues. This reflected then-current industry forecasts for flat roofing shingle volume year-over-year. Although we don't sell roofing shingles, shingle demand correlates to demand for roof and attic ventilation products along with the trims, flashings and rain-carrying products that we do sell. These products comprise about a quarter of our residential sales. Typically, when a reroofing project is undertaken, everything connected with the roof is replaced at the same time. Since then, the U.S. roofing market forecast has been updated to 2% growth for 2013. 2% to 5% growth for residential repair and remodeling could prove to be a conservative number given the updated roofing information and the latest information from our customers. In addition, we've completed first quarter retail store resets, including the inclusion of new products, paving the way for improved sales in the upcoming quarters. In the low-rise commercial building market, both new as well as repair and remodel, we continue to anticipate 4% to 7% year-over-year growth in 2013. This segment of our business correlates to 10% of the total revenues. The Architectural Billings Index of nonresidential construction activity has been in positive territory since June of 2012, signaling an upturn in activity in the coming months. In the infrastructure market, backlog is an important predictor of near-term revenues. We entered 2013 with a very solid backlog, an amount equivalent to the backlog in January of 2012. In addition, as I mentioned, quoting activity remains high. As a result, we expect our 2013 infrastructure product revenues to grow organically by about 5% from 2012. This market correlates with 10% of our total revenues. In the industrial market, we continue to expect roughly 2% to 5% organic volume growth in the second half of the year, but with tight pricing. We expect revenue growth from this market, including acquisitions, to be approximately 15%. We're anticipating that product synergies will accelerate our top and bottom line growth as we move into the year, helping offset the tough market conditions in Europe. Let's turn now to the factors that affected our margins, as summarized on Slide #6. As most of you know, our strategy during the past 5 years has been to improve our underlying operations and expand margins in every part of the business with the goal of leveraging no growth or modest levels of end-market growth into stronger profitability. We have worked to position our businesses to be the low-cost supplier with excellent customer service. In other words, to be consistently competitive in even the most challenging market environments. Looking specifically at the first quarter, our gross margin was 18.5%, a decrease of 90 basis points from Q1 last year. While total volume shipped this quarter was equivalent to a year ago, pricing was lower, particularly in the industrial markets. This more than offset the improved margins in our West Coast residential business and on products sold into the building and infrastructure markets. Adjusted operating income was down versus Q1 of 2012 by 100 basis points, driven by lower gross margins and the higher SG&A cost associated with equity compensation valued on a rising share price. Translating these and other factors into their effect on our adjusted operating margin relative to Q1 2012, the key differences are: a 70-basis-point increase related to the improved performance in our West Coast business; a 40-basis-point increase on higher sales to multi-family construction, with a 150-basis-point decrease related to lower pricing, primarily industrial products; a 50-basis-point decrease related to seasonal mix and integration activities for 3 recent acquisitions; and a 90-basis-point decrease related to the equity comp expense tied to our rising share price. We continue to expect further margin improvement as the year unfolds, highlighted by the exit from a major facility on the West Coast by year end. At the same time, our stronger retail and wholesale delivery platform on the West Coast is beginning to deliver the growth in sales that we anticipated. Overall, given the positive trends in our markets and the increased margin leverage in our business model, we continue to expect Gibraltar will deliver accelerated sales and margin growth and improved financial performance in 2013. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ken.