Bob Qutub
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Kai, your line is open
Thanks Kevin and good morning everyone. As we reflect on 2017, we are proud of the hard work and dedication we displayed in executing our strategy while navigating the challenging market conditions and loss events during the year. We remain committed to growing our underwriting platforms and joint ventures in a disciplined manner matching the right risk with the most efficient capital available. We grew our consolidated gross premiums written to $2.8 billion in 2017, split roughly 50-50 between our property and casualty specialty segment. We achieved this measured growth while maintaining a strong focus on expense management through a concerted effort across the organization. As Kevin noted, we believe the underlying market conditions of our business are showing improvement and we are excited about the opportunity that lie ahead in 2018. At this time, I would like to take you through an overview of our financial performance for the quarter and full year. I will then discuss our segment results, investment portfolio and capital activities. For the quarter ended December 31, 2017, we reported a net loss of $3 million or $0.09 per diluted common share and operating income of $41 million or $1.05 per diluted common share. Our annualized ROE for the quarter was negative 0.3% and our annualized operating ROE was positive 4.2%. During the quarter, our book value per share decreased 0.3% and our tangible book value per share including accumulated dividends increased by 0.1%. Underwriting loss for the quarter was $10 million and we reported a combined ratio of 102%. On a full-year basis, we reported a net loss of $245 million or $6.15 per diluted common share and an operating loss of $332 million or $8.35 per diluted common share. Our full year ROE was negative 5.7% and our operating ROE was negative 7.7%. Our book value decreased by 8% and our tangible book value per share including accumulated dividends decreased by 7.2%. Underwriting loss for the year was $652 million and we reported a combined ratio of 138%. Now 2017 was one of the largest insured loss years our company has experienced. The third quarter hurricanes and earthquakes combined with the fourth quarter wildfires in California resulted in total underwriting losses of $820 million. We also incurred additional underwriting losses of $169 million from aggregate loss contracts driven largely by the aforementioned events. These aggregate loss contracts form an important piece of the design and execution of our integrated risk portfolio. All-in, the hurricanes, earthquakes, wildfires and associated aggregate losses added 59 points to our consolidated combined ratio and resulted in a net negative impact of $720 million to our consolidated financial results in 2017. Now recall, that net negative impact includes the sum of estimates of net claims and claim expenses incurred, earned reinstatement premiums assumed and seeded, lost and earned profit commissions and redeemable noncontrolling interest. Given the way we think about our business, which is on an integrated portfolio basis, we have combined the Q3 catastrophe events in our Q4 and full year disclosures. Adding complexity to this is our significant purchase of retro protection, which we view as protection across the book rather than an individual event. For similar reasons, we have presented the Q4 California wildfires together as well. We believe this presentation provides more useful information based on how we view our integrated risk portfolio. Now moving on and further expand on Kevin's remarks regarding the tax bill, we wrote down a portion of our deferred tax asset, about $37 million, as a result of the reduction of U.S. corporate tax rate. This write-down did not affect our operating results. As noted in our press release discussing the tax bill, we currently expect the future economic impact of the tax bill will be minimal for us given our flexible operating platform. For additional details of our quarterly and year-to-date results, I would refer you to our earnings release and financial supplement, which we issued last night and can be found on our website. Let me now shift to our segment results beginning with the property segment followed by casualty specialty. During the fourth quarter of 2017, our property segment gross premiums written were up $43 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2016 and this is net of $10 million of reinstatement premiums written in both quarters. The fourth quarter is generally light for renewals in the catastrophe line of business, but we were able to enter into a number of backup covers following the Q3 catastrophe events. Certain of these contracts are for partial periods of an original exposure period. This drove most of the $27 million increase in catastrophe gross premiums written after removing the impact of reinstatement premiums written in the current comparative periods. In our property class of business, gross premiums written were up $15 million for the quarter. Our property segment incurred an underwriting loss of $23 million and a combined ratio of 111% in the fourth quarter, compared underwriting income of $100 million and a combined ratio of 45% in the comparative quarter. The underwriting results in our property segment during the quarter were dominated by the impact of the California wildfires and additional aggregate losses, partially offset by a decrease in estimated losses from the Q3 catastrophe events. Combined, these items resulted in $151 million of net underwriting losses and added 72 points to our property segment combined ratio in the quarter. Now recall, in early December we estimated that net negative impact from the Northern California wildfires would be about $90 million. Given updated information we have received, our estimate of the net negative impact for all the Q4 California wildfires is $104 million, roughly split two-thirds, one-third between the Northern and Southern fires. In addition, our aggregate contracts were also impacted during Q4 and we put up an additional $31 million of net negative impact from these contracts. With respect to the Q3 catastrophe events, we continue to receive and analyze information and during Q4 we modestly reduced our initial estimate of a net negative impact from these events by $30 million. We plan to perform a deep dive of these events in mid-2018 as our anniversary approaches. Now for the full year, our property segment gross premiums written were $1.4 billion, up $329 million or 30% compared to 2016. Included in this growth are reinstatement premiums of $175 million in 2017 compared to $21 million in 2016, each associated with large events. Our other property line of business saw gross premiums written increase $109 million or 48% in 2017. In our catastrophe line of business, gross premiums written were up $69 million or 8% for 2017, excluding the impact of reinstatement premiums. Driving this growth was increased participation on a select number of deals as well as entering into certain new transactions. As mentioned in my earlier comments on the quarter, we also entered into some backup covers following Q3 catastrophe events. Our property segment incurred an underwriting loss of $575 million and a combined ratio of 162% in 2017 compared to underwriting income of $363 million and a combined ratio of 50% in 2016. As of the quarter, the underwriting results in our property segment were dominated by the large loss events adding 111 points to our property segment combined ratio for the full year. Moving on to our casualty specialty segment where in the fourth quarter of 2017, gross premiums written were up 16% relative to the fourth quarter of 2016. We continue to be pleased with our disciplined growth in this segment and we are able to selectively execute on a number of new deals during the quarter, primarily within the professional liability business. During the fourth quarter of 2017, the casualty specialty segment generated underwriting income of $11 million and a combined ratio of 94% compared to underwriting income of $3 million and a combined ratio of 98% in the comparative quarter. Positively impacting the casualty specialty segment combined ratio during the quarter was a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio, driven in part by a decrease in operating expenses, reflecting lower compensation expenses and combined with continued growth in net premiums earned. Our property segment also experienced a similar decrease in operating expenses. However, the impact was muted given the large cat losses in that segment. For the full year 2017, our casualty specialty gross premiums written were up 7% as we continue to selectively grow new and existing business within certain casualty lines. Partially offsetting this increase was a decrease in gross premiums written in our financial lines of business, primarily the result of a large in-force multiyear mortgage reinsurance contract written in 2016 that did not reoccur in the current year. With the growth we have experienced to-date in the topline, we continue to execute on our gross to net strategy, having seeded out 34% of our casualty specialty premiums. For the full year 2017, the casualty specialty segment incurred an underwriting loss of $78 million and a combined ratio of 110% compared to generating underwriting income of $21 million and a combined ratio of 97% in 2016. The net increase in the combined ratio was primarily driven by underwriting losses from the Q3 catastrophe events and the impact of the change in the Ogden Rate. Our disciplined growth over recent periods continues to leverage our existing expense base and as we have communicated to you before, we have a long-term view of the casualty specialty book and its fundamentals remain well within our expectations. Now turning trying to investments. In the fourth quarter of 2017, we reported a total investment result of $66 million generating an annualized total return of 2.6%. And for the full year 2017, our total investment result was $358 million generating a total return of 3.6%. We benefited from the rising interest rate environment and higher average invested assets in our fixed maturity investment portfolio and as we experienced strong returns in our portfolio of private and public equity investments, driven by positive returns in the global equity markets throughout 2017. Our investment portfolio remains conservative with respect to interest rate, credit and duration risk and with 89% allocated to fixed maturity and short-term investments with a high degree of liquidity and modest credit exposure. The duration of our investment portfolio was 2.5 years and the yield to maturity on fixed income and short-term investments was 2.5% at December 31, 2017. Our duration was down slightly during the quarter, driven largely from the capital raise in Upsilon, which was invested in shorter duration assets given the nature of that vehicle. Our strategic investment portfolio managed by our ventures unit again produced positive returns overall for us and we continue to be satisfied with the long-term fundamentals of the companies we own. Now moving on to our capital management activities. Our balance sheet and joint ventures remain well capitalized as we enter 2018, a testament to our capital management strategy and access to efficient capital following the events of 2017. During the fourth quarter of 2017 and thus far into 2018, we have not purchased any of our common shares. Rather, we have focused on deploying capital during the 1/1 renewals and to our ventures unit. Our ventures team continues to actively build relationships with high-quality long-term investments as well as looking for new strategic transactions that can enhance our underwriting franchise. As we are pleased to have worked with RGA to form Langhorne Re, a third-party capital management where we will be well matched with RGA's experience in life market. We are also excited to have signed a definitive agreement to acquire minority shareholding in Catalina subject to regulatory approval. Our ventures team was also instrumental in reloading Upsilon for the January renewals deploying an additional $600 million of capital with a significant portion of that raise from trusted long-term partners. In summary, we are making capital management decisions in 2018. We will be mindful of underwriting and business opportunities, the availability of capital and the recent actions taken by other market participants. But our approach to capital management has not changed. As we have always said, we first and foremost look to deploy capital into underwriting and business opportunities that meet our risk return hurdles. Before turning the call back to Kevin, I just want to remind you that as we communicated with you on our third quarter call, this will be the last quarter we separately disclose our Lloyds results in our financial supplement. We view our business as a portfolio of risk and are conforming our financial reporting accordingly. Lloyds will continue to be a key part of our overall strategy and it's results will roll up in our property and casualty specialty results as appropriate. And with that, I would like to turn the call back to Kevin.