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RE/MAX Holdings, Inc. (RMAX)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 1, 2024

$11.35

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the RE/MAX Holdings Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. My name is John, and I'll be facilitating the audio portion of today's call. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Andy Schulz, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Schulz?

Andy Schulz

Management

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to RE/MAX Holdings third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Please visit the Investor Relations section of www.remaxholdings.com for all earnings-related materials, including our standard earnings presentation and to access the live webcast and the replay of the call today. Our prepared remarks and answers to your questions on today's call may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include those related to agent count, franchise sales and open offices, financial measures and outlook, hurricane-related financial support, brand expansion, competition, technology, housing and mortgage market conditions, capital allocation, credit facility, dividends, share repurchases, litigation settlement, strategic and operational plans and business models. Forward-looking statements represent management's current estimates. RE/MAX Holdings assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements in the future. Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements. These are discussed in our third quarter 2024 financial results press release and other SEC filings. Also, we will refer to certain non-GAAP measures on today's call. Please see the definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures contained in our most recent quarterly financial results press release, which is available on our website. Joining me on our call today are Erik Carlson, our Chief Executive Officer; and Karri Callahan, our Chief Financial Officer. Our brand leaders, Ward Morrison and Amy Lessinger are also here and will join us for Q&A. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to RE/MAX Holdings' CEO, Erik Carlson. Erik?

Erik Carlson

Management

Thank you, Andy, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. Before discussing our quarterly performance, I wanted to start with a few comments regarding the recent hurricane activity. These were extraordinary storms, and most of us probably know someone who is directly affected by them. Unfortunately, we tragically lost one of our brokers and their spouse and the 1,000s of affiliates were impacted have now begun the task of rebuilding their lives. We are proud of the way RE/MAX and Motto Networks rallied to support their affiliates and their communities. Our team from around the world is doing what they always do in times of crisis, stepping up to help. Given the magnitude of destruction from these historic storms, we plan to provide limited financial relief for those impacted based on individual facts and circumstances. We want to do what we can to help our networks rebuild and bridge the interruption to their respective businesses and lives. Karri will provide more details in a few moments on the financial impact. Moving to our earnings; we generated better-than-forecasted financial performance for the second quarter in a row. Our team is working on running our core business better each day, and that effort has contributed to our strong margin over the past two quarters, which is an encouraging trend. Both the real estate and mortgage industries were working their way through uncertain times. So we remain centered on what we can control, and we believe our third quarter financial results are further proof that our actions are making a difference. Karri will get into the financial details shortly, but the strength of our business model was again evident during the quarter, highlighted by strong cash flow generation, driven by ongoing cost management efforts and strong RE/MAX collections alongside improvement in our…

Karri Callahan

Management

Thank you, Erik. Good morning, everyone. We had another solid quarter, highlighted by effective cost management and strong collections, which generated robust free cash flow alongside expanding margins. Some of our notable quarterly financial metrics included total revenue of $78.5 million, adjusted EBITDA of $27.3 million, up 2% over Q3 of last year, adjusted EBITDA margin of 34.8%, an increase of 190 basis points over the third quarter of 2023 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.38. Looking closer at revenue, excluding the marketing funds, revenue was $58.4 million, a decrease of just 3.3% compared to the same period last year, driven by negative organic growth of 3% and adverse foreign currency movements of 0.3%. Negative organic growth was principally due to lower U.S. agent count and reduced revenues from previous acquisitions, partially offset by higher broker fee revenue. The increase in broker fee revenue was primarily driven by higher sales prices and to a lesser extent, slightly increased productivity in the U.S., which collectively more than offset the impact from reduced agent count. The uptick in U.S. agent productivity was great to see and highlighted the strength of our network in the current environment despite the recent industry practice changes. Importantly, third quarter selling, operating and administrative expenses decreased $7.2 million or 16.6% to $35.9 million. The cost reductions were broad-based in nature and evidenced across most of our cost structure and highlighted by lower personnel costs, a decrease in bad debt, legal and other technology expenses. Like last quarter, decreased personnel expenses on a year-over-year basis were principally a function of the restructuring announced in Q3 of 2023. And RE/MAX Collections also continued to improve, which is an encouraging positive trend. Lower legal expenses and miscellaneous reductions, eliminations and efficiencies elsewhere across the company all contributed to this quarter's…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin our question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ryan McKeveny with Zelman & Associates. Please go ahead.

Ryan McKeveny

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Thank you for taking the questions. So first one on the MAX/Tech Lead Concierge, really interesting to think through the potential there. I know it's early days, but I guess anything you could share about how we should think about the potential economics of those deals, how that gets split up between kind of agents, franchise owners and corporate? And similarly, on the cost side and kind of the infrastructure needed to vet those leads, is that done via your partnerships? Is that done internally? And just thoughts around kind of investment needed or costs that may or may not be needed to kind of get this rolled out and scaled. Thank you.

Erik Carlson

Management

Yes. Hey Ryan, it's Erik. I'll start off. And if my answer needs any cleaning up, the team will help me here. And look, thanks to everyone for joining us the morning after Halloween. So hopefully, everyone got treats and not tricks. But look, the MAX/Tech program, it's really kind of the Lead Concierge program is a capability that we've been building for -- over the course of the year. When you think about it, we get some -- we get decent traffic, organic traffic off of dot com and dot ca. I'll focus a little bit on the U.S. here, Ryan, just for purposes of the example. And it's really about improving the customer experience, first and foremost, right, making sure that those leads, we're responding to them in a very timely manner. Folks that show interest, obviously, we want to get back to and convert in order to improve that experience. And then also, it's about the agent experience really, right? Leads are obviously filtered out, sent to a lot of brokers in today's world, whether it's in real estate or other industries, not qualified. And at least in real estate, the agent has to do a lot of work in order to qualify that lead. So what we're trying to do with Lead Concierge initially is in testing the capability is taking traffic off of dot com, folks that show an interest, warming those leads through a relationship that we have. So it's a low investment from our perspective there and making sure that they're ready and qualified from a sales qualified perspective before we give them to an opted-in agent, right? So you can think about the actors in the play, all of them want someone to take action or they're ready to take action. So I think it's a win-win kind of on the customer side. It's a win-win for the agent because they're opted in. On the economics, we are taking a bit of a piece in order to help support the program. Part of that is shared with our partner that's doing some of the warming or the qualifying of the lead. Some of that comes back to us. Some of that comes to the broker and obviously, the agent sees the majority of that deal. So when you think about it, it's really a low investment from our perspective on this initial program. But for us, it's really about building this capability off a dot com initially, and then we can see kind of where we can take it.

Amy Lessinger

Analyst

I might add to that just a little bit. And this is Amy. In the fact that we're trying to drive productivity in our agents, and we're trying to help enable them to do more in less time. And so I think that the overwhelming response from the network has really shown that they see this as a big value as well.

Ryan McKeveny

Analyst

Yes, that's very helpful. Thank you for that color. And Erik and Karri, maybe on the cost side of things. So within the release, I think it's pretty obvious you mentioned driving operational efficiency, business optimization and just financially I think at least for the last couple of quarters, the SO&A expense has been better than we've expected at least. So maybe you could talk a little about the focus on the cost side of things, driving efficiencies. Like is the low-hanging fruit already taken care of? How do you think about the cost structure moving forward and into '25 through this lens of still having a growth mindset, but is there also further progress you can make on the efficiencies and kind of keeping costs contained?

Karri Callahan

Management

Yes, good morning, Ryan, I think it's been really great to see two quarters in a row just in terms of a trend. We really have taken a prudent approach just in terms of turning over kind of every rock and making sure that every dollar that we spend is being spent in the most judicious manner and really focused on -- we're spending our dollars in the right way to do the top line. So investing in some foundational things, as Erik and Amy talked about on some new capabilities, some new things in the pipeline and really making sure that we're just being smart about that. I think we've also made some very smart decisions over the last 12 months or so, just looking holistically across the organization from a personnel perspective, what we've done from a legal perspective, etcetera. And then I think if you look also at the quarter, we're seeing some continued favorability just in terms of the operations of our franchisees. So bad debt continues to perform well as well. So as we look ahead into the fourth quarter, that SO&A run rate maybe ticking up a little bit from what we saw in Q2, Q3, but not significantly. And then as we get into next year, we're in that process right now, continuing to be very strategic about how we invest our dollars and really being smart about how we're investing in those capabilities to ultimately drive the top line.

Ryan McKeveny

Analyst

That's great. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from the line of John Campbell from Stephens. Please go ahead.

Erik Carlson

Management

Hey guys, good morning.

John Campbell

Analyst

Hey, just morning. I wanted to start on just the pace of RE/MAX franchise sales, whether you guys feel like there's an inflection point back to growth at some point on the horizon? And then just kind of related to that, just some broad color on how impactful the franchise growth has been to just overall agent count growth in prior years.

Erik Carlson

Management

Yes. Sure, John. Thanks for the question. Look, I think as we've talked about a bit before, and I'll let Amy weigh in maybe on a few specifics on kind of what she's hearing from the field, not only regarding kind of agent count growth from maybe existing brokers, but also a bit on kind of franchise and the pipeline. We're in a bit of a -- I call it like a wait-and-see type market. I mean obviously, we've been going through a transition and I'm talking a little bit broader than just RE/MAX. Obviously, at RE/MAX, we're going through a bit of a transition also. However, when you think about the -- what's been happening kind of with the overhang on whether it be lawsuits, it be low inventory, it be policy and practice change, it be higher interest rates. Obviously, you guys know better than I do probably. The number of transactions is at a historic low. And so that's why I come out to say, like, look, I mean, from a broker perspective, whether you're interested in moving to the power of the RE/MAX brand or not or whether you're a current supporter of RE/MAX and working your local community, there is a bit of a wait-and-see type attitude. And there is still -- like I don't want to say that there's a ton of noise, but there's still a lot of focus on practice changes and doing the right thing by customers. So we at RE/MAX remain the most trusted, the most productive place to be. And so you see in the field, our brokers and owners and agents spending a lot of time on really focusing on their craft, making sure they're winning the right listings; in some cases, actually, unfortunately, reeducating agents on the…

Amy Lessinger

Analyst

Yes. I think -- hi John, I think many independents, what we're hearing is that they are really distracted and pretty focused on trying to navigate a lot of the industry changes on their own. And they have some frustration, concern. And I think small to midsized brokerages it's very difficult for them to keep up technologically with education, with tools, services and support. And so our interest level is high given everything that we have that can help a broker support agent productivity and education. So I think that, that trend is going to continue without a doubt. And we will continue to keep our [Technical Difficulty] there and make sure that we are at the forefront of capitalizing on those opportunities. I just think it's a fantastic opportunity for us to be their solution and help lead them through change and drive succession planning and growth planning within the industry.

Erik Carlson

Management

And John let me just say one more thing. I mean, look, the RE/MAX value proposition is great. I mean it's a great brand. It stands -- I mean it's got tons of awareness. It stands for trust, productivity, and we're only enhancing it with kind of some of the productivity tools and the platform that we're putting in place and some of the programs like Lead Concierge. So you can start seeing some of the fruits of the work that we've done kind of in the first half of the year come to fruition by rolling out programs, whether it's technology, which has process to go along with it or programs like Lead Concierge, which can help agents be more productive and converting consumer-ready sales qualified leads at a higher rate. So look, it's early days still, but I'm optimistic about some of the things we've put in place and some of the investments we've made either with time or money and setting ourselves up to win in 2025.

John Campbell

Analyst

Okay. That's great color. And just as an add-on to that, the independent conversions, is that -- does that land in the actual RE/MAX franchise sales?

Amy Lessinger

Analyst

I think -- can I add to that just really quick? The first thing is we also are seeing a concept called roll-in, where they may not opt to have footprint, but they'll roll into an existing brokerage. So in that instance, that is -- it's not a full franchise that is counted in those numbers. But we're seeing an uptick in that as well. Yes, and John, they do show up in those counts. So those independent ones, they do show up in those counts. And we have continued to see good momentum, especially in those kind of smaller cohorts of independents that are coming into the network. And as we do franchise sales just from an agent count perspective, I think the thing that's very exciting from that perspective is we do see uptick in terms of agent count and coming into the top end of the funnel when we're selling new franchises and when we have those conversion activities, and that's why there's been so much focus on it and why from a -- as Erik and Amy mentioned, from a foundational perspective with some of the additional value proposition offerings that we have, why these initiatives are so important. So we're continuing to see momentum there, and they are included in those franchise sales counts.

John Campbell

Analyst

Got it. And then just one more on -- back to your focus on Lead Concierge and then obviously dot com and then kind of how that relates to your stance on CCP. It seems like, obviously, your other kind of scaled competitors have been a lot more vocal in the market, and they've been taking, obviously, the other side of the CCP debate. I think like you guys, I would think they would probably benefit from elimination of CCP. I just wanted to revisit your stance, how convicted you are and maybe a little bit more color on why you wouldn't line up with your scaled competitors on this one?

Erik Carlson

Management

Well, look, I mean, John, I mean, we're really focused on ultimately providing a great buyer seller experience. And in our core, we believe just that transparency is better for not only professionalism and trust with agents, but also getting a better buyer and seller outcome. I think you're right in pointing out because of the strength of the brand and the strength of the network and our numbers. I guess to take a hypothetical, if CCP was eliminated, we probably would benefit from that, at least in the short-term, right? But I think we're long-term players here. And 51 years in business, thinking about Dave and Gail and their legacy and what they've built and like the foundational aspects of what has been built on, I mean, ultimately, I think you win long-term by not trying to manipulate buyers and sellers, but provide them the greatest distribution and transparency of what's available in the market either for sale or available. And so ultimately, we're going to side with the consumer. And we're going to side with the consumer, and we're going to side with the agent and the professionalism and the trust that we think our agents provide. And so that's -- I mean, ultimately, if the CCP changes, look, we'll be ready for it. And we're having internal discussions on what that could mean. But I mean, we are definitely going to be focused on that buyer and seller experience because ultimately, that's going to help our brand and our team of agents and brokers to have the greatest benefit over the long-term.

John Campbell

Analyst

That's very helpful. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Paolone from J. P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Great. Thanks. Good morning. Maybe for Amy, since it sounds like you're out in the field. Can you give us any early data on what's been happening to buy-side commissions and also a sense as to what RE/MAX is doing top of the house down to the agents to kind of help them with that initial relationship and agreement?

Amy Lessinger

Analyst

Yes, for sure. Our agents are continuing to navigate change and they lean in and they're out there articulating their value. I do think that not enough time has passed for us to draw any large conclusions from it. That said the difference in average rates was very negligible so far. And I just think that our agents are having more discussions with buyers and they're welcoming the opportunity to discuss the value of a professional trusted agent. Prior -- once -- prior to the announcement of the settlement, we were preparing for broad education on these topics. And so we've done nothing but lean into that for -- since we announced our settlement months ago. And so we wanted our agents to be fully prepared. And what we're hearing is that buyers are appreciating those conversations. They value being represented by a professional and trusted agent. And so that's where things stand in the field at this point.

Erik Carlson

Management

And Tony let me maybe just add one thing. And I haven't been in the field as much as Amy, but I've been spending some time with agents and brokers. And look, the great thing about the model and our community is I think that, one is we can create and then distribute training at kind of a nationwide level. And Amy is kind of a rock star in the -- within the agent and broker community being a RE/MAX professional for almost over 25 years now, right? And so you can see us, and this is what's happened is creating these -- creating the content, deploying it in a variety of ways, having kind of live events where Amy will be in the studio here and talking about the different rule changes and education and how to prepare and you see watch parties happening kind of around the nation where agents will gather kind of in the local brokerage. And this is what is really super cool is you've got actually agents that are invited from other brands to come in. They may not be seeing that training. So that happens kind of at a headquarter level where Amy can deploy that type of training at a nationwide level. But then you're also seeing brokers pick up and say, hey, I'm going to have my own watch party for my folks and maybe invite some others from the community that may be working for a different brand and then helping agents that are in need by having specific trainings for items that they have to get over, right? And so it's really when you think about the kind of the power of the brand in the community, it's not only can we cover it at an HQ level, whether it's over video or at events, etcetera. But then we have the broker community out there, which lives and breathe this every single day. And they are community builders, and they know exactly what has to happen with their specific forms in their community, with their association, what agents need help and they're face-to-face on the frontline every day. So we've had good success in preparing for the rule changes in August, and we're seeing good success after the rule changes in August to not only help our team, but also show the power of the brand to maybe some other folks that want to be a part of the team at some point. Hopefully, that's helpful.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Yes. Got it. And then maybe for Karri, can you talk about just what's happening with franchisee credit? It seemed to be okay in the quarter, but just kind of where that stands. And also as it relates, I think, to Motto because it seemed like the opens went down a little bit again.

Karri Callahan

Management

Sure. So we are seeing just continued strength in terms of what our exposure is from a bad debt perspective. So I think -- as we've said before, our franchisees are experienced business people. They've been through ups and downs from a market perspective before, and they appropriately make decisions at the local level in terms of operating their businesses as efficiently and effectively as possible. And I think we've seen that translate into our performance from a Collections perspective. The team has really done an outstanding job, which was a big contributor to the strength of our cash flow in the third quarter. Obviously, from a cash flow perspective, we converted about a third of our revenue into free cash flow and about two-thirds of our earnings on an adjusted EBITDA basis into free cash flow during the quarter and so that was really good to see, again, driven by some of the strength from the Collections on the RE/MAX side. On the mortgage side, I'll kind of build on that for a second and then have Ward jump in here. Obviously, it's been a little bit tougher. Obviously mortgage, there's a lot of headwinds, probably outsized even compared to the real estate side on the mortgage side. I think the thing that's really exciting is we're still seeing interest. Obviously, September was the strongest month that we've had from a franchise sales perspective going back about 18 months. And so while there's still a little bit of mud in our boots from a Collections perspective on the mortgage side financially, I think operationally, there's some cautious optimism that we're moving in the right direction.

Ward Morrison

Analyst

And I would add on there, we continue to try and work in conjunction with our broker owners, much like the RE/MAX side. We're trying to educate. We're trying to support. We're trying to help them in recruiting and retention. We're trying to help them grow their businesses. So even though they are having some issues right now in one of the toughest mortgage markets ever, we continue to provide that support, that education and the tools that they need to be successful. And we're just trying to develop just like the other side, adoption and really some coaching to try and get them through this unusual market.

Anthony Paolone

Analyst

Okay, thanks for that.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tommy McJoynt from KBW. Please go ahead.

Tommy McJoynt

Analyst

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I just want to clarify on the expense side, Karri. Was there anything sort of temporary or onetime in this quarter that lowered the expenses?

Karri Callahan

Management

Yes. There wasn't really anything in particular in Q3 that's impacting us. I mean, obviously, in the release and in the scripted remarks, we did call out the onetime item that we expect in Q4 with respect to just providing that limited assistance to our affiliates that were impacted by the hurricanes. But I think the thing that's good about that is given the strong cost contain that we saw and the effective cost management in Q3 that we're expecting to hit into Q4. I mean, absent that, the raise from an earnings perspective in Q4 would have been possibly even a little bit higher.

Thomas Mcjoynt

Analyst

Okay, got it. And then just second question, can you remind me of the typical seasonality that you expect with the U.S. and Canada agent counts just over the next couple of quarters? Remind me like into the spring selling season, what usually happens with those agent counts?

Karri Callahan

Management

Sure. So really focusing primarily on the U.S. and Canada, I would say that from a seasonality perspective, it kind of tends to follow existing home sales. So it tends to follow kind of existing home sales. So Q4 and Q1 tend to be a little bit more sluggish, and then it ramps up into Q2 and into Q3.

Thomas Mcjoynt

Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Ronald Kamdem

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Hey, just a couple of quick ones. So I noticed -- I don't think I saw the October operating statistics that you usually provide. I don't know if that was intentional or if there's sort of any sort of update or data you could share on the agent count model franchises for October?

Karri Callahan

Management

Yes. Hi Ron, so we usually do provide that information if we are sending that release out after the end of the quarter. This one -- this quarter just happened -- or I'm sorry, after the end of the month with the month being complete. So obviously, with the release going out yesterday, it was simply a timing issue with the month not having been complete. But I would say that as we look at things from a seasonality perspective and given our guidance, everything was pretty much in line. So I'd say the trends that we saw through September 30 across kind of all of the key geographies from an agent count perspective in the U.S. we're pretty consistent as we looked at the October results.

Ronald Kamdem

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Okay, great. And then my second one was just on the agent count, obviously, very strong international continues to be a little sort of soft in the U.S. and Canada. I would just love a little bit -- if we could just double-click on that. When you're thinking about sort of the U.S. and Canada is there any sort of obvious trends in terms of the agents that are leaving? Is it all just individuals? Is it like very unproductive? And do you have a sense of how much more of that to go? And then the other side of that coin is what's driving the international? Is it market share gains? Is it just a lot of traction? Curious on that as well.

Karri Callahan

Management

Sure. So I'll go ahead and start there from a numbers perspective. I think the first thing is from a Canadian perspective, we did -- we saw a record high. So even with the very significant market share that we have there, it's hard to grow when you have close to 30% market share, but we continue to do that and do that well, and it was a record high. Still seeing a lot of momentum there. We saw a couple of large conversions, one at the end of Q2 and then one at the beginning of Q3. And so it's really good to see momentum not only from an individual agent account perspective, but also in terms of large companies looking to join the brand up there. From an international perspective, also a record high, so 67,000 agents outside. Erik highlighted a couple of areas primarily in South America that are really driving that. And I think it just really highlights the strength of the entrepreneurial network and the fact that we have really good operators in a host of the 110 countries and territories that we operate in globally. In a couple of those markets, Brazil, in particular, also a very large conversion that we saw in the third quarter. And so some of that is market share gains as we look to convert larger scale swaths of agents from other brands to RE/MAX given the size, scale and the power of the brand. From a U.S. perspective, I think one thing that's important to note is that we did see some productivity gains with our agents this quarter. So that was very good to see. So obviously, still pressured a little bit from a U.S. agent count perspective but because we're seeing some of those productivity gains in terms of the per agent productivity, some of the losses are really more in that cohort of lower productivity agents. And so that's why we continue to really push from an operational perspective on the tools, the services, the capabilities and the foundation to really help our agents that are with RE/MAX today and that we hope will be with RE/MAX tomorrow in terms of really driving their productivity.

Ronald Kamdem

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Great, that's it for me. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

As there are no further questions at this time, I would like to turn the call over back to Mr. Schulz for closing remarks.

Andy Schulz

Management

Thank you, operator. Thanks to everyone for joining our call today. Have a great weekend.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.