Earnings Labs

Regional Management Corp. (RM)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Sun, Nov 10, 2019

$39.53

-0.35%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Regional Management Corp’s Third Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Garrett Edson, Senior Vice President of ICR. Please go ahead.

Garrett Edson

Analyst

Thank you, and good afternoon. By now, everyone should have access to our earnings announcement and slide presentation, which was released prior to this call and which may also be found on our website at regionalmanagement.com. Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that part of our discussion today may include forward-looking statements, which are based on the expectations, estimates and projections of management as of today. The forward-looking statements in our discussion are subject to various assumptions, risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult to predict and which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed upon them. We refer all of you to our recent filings with the SEC for more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties that could impact the future operating results and financial condition of Regional Management. We disclaim any intentions or obligations to update or revise any forward-looking statements except to the extent required by applicable law. I would now like to introduce Peter Knitzer, President and CEO of Regional Management Corp.

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Thanks, Garrett, and welcome to our Third Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. As always, I want to thank everyone for participating this afternoon and for your continued interest in the company. I am here with Rob Beck, our Executive Vice President and CFO, who will speak later on the call. For those of you with access to a computer or mobile device, we once again posted a supplemental presentation on our website at regionalmanagement.com to provide additional color to our remarks. Overall, we had a very strong third quarter. Diluted EPS was $1.08, $0.47 better than the prior year period. Net income of $12.6 million was up 69% versus the third quarter of 2018. Net income and diluted EPS for the prior year period included Hurricane-related impact of $2.9 million and $0.24, respectively. We also generated year-over-year revenue growth of 18%, driven by a 17% or $154 million increase in finance receivables. Our third quarter represents a milestone in the history of Regional as we surpassed the $1 billion mark in finance receivables. On a year-over-year basis, we have now grown revenues double digits for 13 consecutive quarters and have achieved double-digit growth in finance receivables for 18 consecutive quarters. Furthermore, our receivable growth of $69 million represents the highest quarterly growth in the history of the company. While we don’t anticipate record receivable growth in the fourth quarter, we expect to achieve year-over-year double-digit receivable revenue and earnings growth. Let me turn to our credit performance in the quarter. As I said on the second quarter call, we are beginning to see the positive impact of our new custom underwriting scorecard. 30-plus-day delinquency improved 50 basis points from 7.1% in the prior year period to 6.6% as of September 30, 2019. This improvement demonstrates that our scorecards are working and…

Rob Beck

Analyst

Thank you, Peter and hello everyone. Turning to Slide 3 in the supplemental presentation, we provide you with an overview of our earnings for the quarter. As you can see, we generated third quarter net income of $12.6 million or diluted EPS of $1.08, well above last year’s performance, even excluding last year’s Hurricane impact. As Peter mentioned, our revenues were up 17.7% over the prior year period, primarily driven by the 16.3% increase in average finance receivables. The remainder of the revenue increase was largely due to the change in business practice to lower our utilization of non-file insurance, which we’ve noted on prior earnings call. This change grosses up our insurance income and net credit losses with no impact on net income. Our provision for credit losses rose $900,000 or 3.7% year-over-year. This increase was primarily driven by $154 million portfolio growth and approximately $1.2 million of incremental net credit losses due to the change in business practices related to the non-file line swing I just mentioned. This year-over-year increase in provision was mostly offset by the $3.9 million of Hurricane-related reserve billed in the third quarter of last year and by an improvement in this quarter’s allowance due to lower delinquencies resulting from our new credits scorecards. As Peter noted, we expect that our fourth quarter loss rate to be comparable with prior year period with the full benefits of the scorecards being realized in 2020 and beyond. Looking to Slide 4, our core loan products grew 21.7% or $179 million versus the prior year period. Large loans grew 35% and now represent 53% of our total loan portfolio, while small loans grew by 8% and make up 43% of our total portfolio. In the fourth quarter, we expect sequential portfolio growth to be strong, but less…

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Thanks, Rob. To sum up, we are very pleased with our third quarter results. We continue to invest in the business, deliver double-digit top line and bottom line growth, custom scorecards are performing as expected, we managed our operating expenses effectively. Our third quarter performance sets us up well to deliver double-digit net income growth in the fourth quarter and further positions us to generate additional long-term shareholder value. Thanks for your time and interest. I’d like to now open the call up for questions. Operator, could you please open the line?

Operator

Operator

Certainly. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from David Scharf of JMP Securities.

David Scharf

Analyst

Hi, yes. Thanks for taking my questions. Just curious, not sure I really asked this before, it’s more on the product side, but we have seen a few online lenders see a lot of consumer preference for a line of credit product in addition to sort of a core fixed installment product. Is that something that you are exploring at all? And if not, are there materially different either kind of regulatory return requirements they just don’t hit?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

David thanks for the question. We have not looked into the line of credit product. We have our small and large core loan products. And our growth has been steady consistent, and we see a lot of Greenfields going forward, going from $1 billion to over time to $2 billion. So we’re still a very small player in the market. The market is about $66 billion, $70 billion. So we just see a lot of opportunity. We may at some point look at it, but at this juncture, we haven’t.

David Scharf

Analyst

Got it. And then one final question, it looks like the yield on the large loan product picked up I think at the highest level, we’ve seen in quite some time and with delinquencies falling especially lately. I would imagine, along with that, I was a little surprised. Were there any pricing changes, any state-mix factors that may have contributed to that?

Rob Beck

Analyst

Yes, David. This is Rob. Yes, that’s largely just a state mix that you are seeing flow through.

David Scharf

Analyst

Got it. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Rowan of Janney.

John Rowan

Analyst

I am sure we have the guidance numbers correct. So the 4Q, you gave a store number. Can you just repeat that for me?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

The store number for 4Q...

John Rowan

Analyst

Yes. The number of stores you’re going to open in 4Q?

Rob Beck

Analyst

They are 9.

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

9 in the fourth quarter.

John Rowan

Analyst

Okay. And then G&A expense, you said up or – I think it’s $4.2 million or $4.4 million, that was year-over-year, correct?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

That’s year-over-year, yes.

John Rowan

Analyst

Okay. And then interest expense, I know you gave a number. I think it was like $1.5 million. Is that sequential or year-over-year?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Year-over-year.

John Rowan

Analyst

Okay. And then – so the other guidance that you gave about the 4Q loss rates being consistent with prior year, is that inclusive of a higher rate because of the non-file or is there just going to be higher because of the non-file?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

No, that’s inclusive.

John Rowan

Analyst

So exclusive of the non-file, the changes in non-file, then your net charge-off rate would actually be lower in 4Q than last year?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Well, there is non-file in both 4Q of last year and 4Q of this year, so what we do is, we’ll show you on a comparable basis. It’s a line swing as you know from insurance down to NCL. So insurance goes up from an income standpoint and NCL goes up in the corresponding way.

John Rowan

Analyst

Okay, that’s fine. And then CECL, you guys obviously said you’re not going to comment until January. Is there any lifetime loss figure that you guys can provide us so that we can maybe start modeling in some type of CECL impact?

Rob Beck

Analyst

John, not this time as I indicated in the comments, with 60% of our portfolio now underwritten with the new scorecards, we don’t have a lot of historical data on the performance of those scorecards. So we really feel it’s prudent to wait a few more months to get a little bit more in terms of data points and then we’ll be providing that in early January.

John Rowan

Analyst

Okay, and then just lastly, is there any flow-through into the diluted share count into Q4 from repurchases made this quarter? I’m just trying to figure out or ask another way, is there a way you can handicap the diluted share count was at the end of the quarter?

Rob Beck

Analyst

No. I don’t think there’s any flow-through on a diluted basis. Let me just doublecheck that, but I don’t think there is...

John Rowan

Analyst

I should know the timing of repurchases in the quarter, and how that might impact the average count going forward.

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Yes. It was minimal. So...

John Rowan

Analyst

Alright. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Matt Dhane of Tieton Capital Management.

Matt Dhane

Analyst

Thank you. I was hoping to talk with you folks about operating expense leverage. You folks have obviously done a great job leveraging those. And you talked about further expense leverage that you foresee. I was curious, as you look out over the next 1 to 2 years, how are you thinking about the future expense leverage potential? And just any help there would be great.

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

As we said a couple of quarters ago, we anticipate over the next several years, I think it was 150 basis points decline in our overall OpEx ratio. And we’ve seen that on a nice trajectory. We’re down this quarter, 60 basis points year-over-year. Now that fluctuates based on the seasonal nature of the business. But I think it’s fair to say that looking out into the future, that translates, and it’s not linear, but one might say 50 basis points a year if you just look at it over a 3-year horizon.

Rob Beck

Analyst

Yes. And Peter, the only thing I would add to that is obviously we’re growing fast on both the receivable side and the revenue side, but as we invest in digitizing the business, both on the front-end from a sales and service standpoint and in the back-end, we’re going to realize some operating efficiencies from that as well.

Matt Dhane

Analyst

Okay. That’s helpful. And talking about the digitally sourced originations, that’s been working up nicely as well. I mean how should we think about this longer term? Is there sort of a number that you think about as being really a sweet place or a sweet point that you would like to see that get to? Or how much upside to this is there over time?

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Well, Matt, what we do is we optimize our entire marketing mix and our marketing spend, and we invest dollars in the next best return on our investment. So what we’re finding is that the digital channels are becoming more efficient as we learn more. So we’re willing to invest more money, we also have a better user experience, which also makes it easier for consumers to deal with us. So those customers who want to deal with us digitally may seek us more so than those who want to deal coming into the branch or receiving a direct mail package from us. But we’re constantly optimizing it so that the last dollar we spend is spent in the most effective and efficient manner. But yes, we will see -- as the world changes, we will see a continuation of an increased share of our new account originations coming from digital.

Matt Dhane

Analyst

That’s helpful thank you gentleman.

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Sure. Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the conference back over to Peter Knitzer for any closing remarks.

Peter Knitzer

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Thanks everybody for your attention today and appreciate your support, and we will be talking to you 3 months from now. Take care. Bye now.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.