Michael Nierenberg
Analyst · Jessica Ribner from FBR Capital. Your line is open
Thanks, Mandy. Good morning everybody and thanks for joining our call this morning. Overall we had a very good quarter across all of our business lines. We increased our investments in our core business lines, we increased liquidity, grew book value over the quarter and we continue to position the company for the long run with quality sustainable earnings. We grew our portfolios in Non-Agency RMBS by approximately 20% to 25%. This will enable us to continue to execute around call strategies. In MSRs, we announced the acquisition of $65 billion to $70 billion of mortgage servicing rights from Walter and their associated REIT [ph] WCO. This is our first investment in MSRs away from excess MSRs and we are able to achieve this as a result of being licensed now in all 50 states, as well as having Fannie, Freddie and FHA approvals. During the quarter, we announced the refinancing of our SpringCastle consumer deal, which enabled us to increase our advance rates, lock and lower cost funding and take out equity. We continue to execute on our clean-up call strategy, while exploring ways to accelerate timing and do much larger deals. From a broader market perspective both the equity and credit markets performed well in the quarter and its healthier [ph] bond portfolio and the overall investing environment. Post Q3 rates continue to move higher, which should help our MSR portfolio where we have a gross market value investment of approximately $2.2 billion. As we look forward, we are optimistic on our ability to deliver solid earnings, create shareholder value as our pipeline of investment opportunities in our core business lines continues to be robust. I will now refer to the supplement which is been posted online. Please turn to page 2. So overall, since the company was spun out of Newcastle in 2013, we paid out over $1 billion dividends. Our MSR portfolio today, including excess and whole MSRs is approximately $420 billion. Since Q1 of 2015, our dividend has increased by 21%. We have call rights today of approximately $160 billion. Our market cap is $3.5 billion and our total return year-to-date is 26%. On page 3, I'd like to walk you through our earnings for a sec. Our GAAP net income for the quarter was $98.9 million or $0.41 per diluted share. This compares to Q2 of $68.7 million or $0.030 per diluted share. Our core earnings of $123.9 million, a $0.51 per diluted share compares to $119.6 or $0.52 per diluted share. And we continue to pay our dividend of $0.46, which for this quarter was $115.4 million as a result of a higher share count due to our equity raise during the quarter. On page 4, taking you to our portfolios and our investments today, excess MSR portfolio is $1.3 billion. Those are net market values as we do have some financing associated with those MSRs. Our entire MSR portfolio is $238 million. Our servicer advance equity today is $157 million. On our residential securities we have almost $1.1 billion of equity committed to the non-agency residential mortgage bond market. When you look at residential loans we have about $175 million of equity and loans and our consumer loan portfolio at the end of 930 was approximately $125 million. Cash on hand at the end of 930 was $388 million. I'll now refer to – move to page 5. Since inception energy is invested in over $614 billion UPB of mortgage servicing rights. This includes both the Walter acquisition and the acquisition of mortgage servicing rights from WCO. We generated over $1.1 billion in lifetime GAAP income and we've distribute over $1 billion in lifetime dividends. As you can see from the left side of the page to the right some of the things that we've done since the company has been spun out of Newcastle. Page six, I'll refer to the Walter transaction, just take you through that quickly. Walter, we've acquired $32 billion of mortgage servicing rights, they were all agency. WCO were acquiring $34 billion of mortgage servicing rights and again, those are all agency. On the Walter portfolio, we closed that on October 3rd, on the WCO portfolio we hope to close that by the end of the month, if not early December. And again, this is our first transaction where we acquired the entire MSR and again, as a result of us being licensed in all 50 states. On page 7, taking you through Q3 and some subsequent highlights. Again, we're able to own MSRs throughout the United States, Fannie Mae MSRs, Freddie Mac MSRs, Private Label MSRs and FHA and we're licensed its own FHA loan. On August 9th we announced our two transactions to purchase up to $66 billion of MSRs from Walter and WCO. And again, this marked our inaugural entry into buying the entire MSR. In October as I pointed out earlier, we closed the Walter purchase which was $32 billion for a total purchase price of $212 million and then we we've agreed in principle to acquire $34 billion from WCO, which again should hopefully close either the late November or early December. Subsequent to quarter end and to further enhance liquidity, we did an MSR note of $345 million, which effectively if I could turn MSR note into the marketplace collateralized by non-agency excess MSRs. In our servicer advance business, we continue to improve funding in spite of lower cost of funds, extend maturities and actually locking in fixed-rate financing in anticipation of a fed interest rate hike in December. In October we issued $900 million of three-year and five-year fixed-rate term notes at approximately 3% cost of funds all-in. Subsequent to quarter end, we continue to extend maturities on some of our existing facilities and we also continue to lower our cost of funds and try to lock in and as much fixed-rate financing as we possibly can. Our servicer advance balances have been reduced by 17% year-to-date from $7.6 billion at the end of Q4 of '15 to $6.3 billion at the end of Q3 of '16. Our advance UPB ratio declined to 3.1%, from 3.4% at the end of last year. On a non-agency portfolios, we continue down the path to execute on our clean-up strategy – clean-up call strategy. During the quarter, we executed clean-up call rights on 11 non-agency deals, 314 million UPB, we completed our eighth non-agency called loan securitization of about $308 million and that was done in September and we increased as I pointed out earlier a non-agency investments from $374 million at the end of last year to $934 million at the end of this quarter. Finally, on this page, our consumer loan portfolio, we completed a $1.7 billion refinancing of our SpringCastle securitization, which closed in October, the effect of that reduced our cost of funds from 4.5% to 3.6%. We actually released equity or liquidity of about $23 million. And the finally we raised $284 million in August to help us find our Walter acquisition, as well as other investments. I'll now take you through our portfolio, turning to page 9. Our MSR portfolio today is about $420 billion. This includes both excess, as well as the entire MSR. This includes both the Walter acquisition and the WCO acquisition. As you can see it on the right side of the page, our average loan size continues to be smaller than the industry average 153,000 versus 190, our FICO score is 671 versus 736 and we continue to focus on seasoned MSRs where we can, our average seasoning is 112 months versus an industry average of 50 months, 77% of our portfolio consists of credit impaired borrowers and again 95% of our portfolio is either seasoned or recently recaptured. Page 10 tells our story of excess MSRs. Again, this does not include the Walter transaction or the WCO transaction, it includes our portfolio as of 930. So you could see on the left side of the page that the industry average through the quarter was 25 CPR. Our gross CPRs were 14. Our net CPR was 12, including recapture. If you roll back the clock to September of 2015 when mortgage rates were 391, we closed the quarter at 343, our net CPR which recaptured at the end of 2015 was 11.4% versus the end of September of '16 of 12.4%. So despite the fact that the bond market moved pretty dramatically over the course of the year and mortgage rates continue to trend lower our ports, our prepayments associated with our excess MSRs's has been extremely stable. On page 11, walking you through servicer advances, the highlight I'd like to point out here, as I mentioned before, we issued three-year term debt, and five-year term debt. This is the first time in quite - in a long time that anybody was able to issue five-year fixed-rate financing around advances. Our outstanding average balance is $6.3 billion and it’s funded with %5.9 billion of debt for 95 LTV and a weighted average interest rate of 2.8%. I'd like to show you on the bottom right part of the page, if you take a look at what we're doing about our maturities, we have only $900 million of advances that will mature in 2017 and what we try to do is extend our maturities again, lock in fixed-rate financing and actually ladder [ph] some of the maturity, so we think that should mature on any one day. Page 12 is our usual slide, which illustrates our clean-up call transaction, shows you how we take our discounted bonds, how they accrete [ph] up. What we do with our loans, we then mark our distress loans to market and liquidate them over time. And again we've been averaging something around two points per deal as we do these non-agency clean-up call deals. Page 13, again a similar page shows you today $160 billion of approximately UPB and call rights, it’s about 30% of the legacy non-agency market. Our goal here, as I point out, you know, as I'll point out on this call and prior calls, is try to figure out a way to accelerate our clean-up call timeline. So we're not doing $300 million in a quarter, where we actually grow that to - currently we have $30 billion, for example that are callable today, how do we increase that, and how do we work with the industry debt to be able to achieve that. On our consumer loan portfolio, on page 14, just taking you through the math on this real quickly, in April of 2013 energy invested $241 million for a 30% interest in a $3.9 billion portfolio of consumer loans. October of 2014, we refinanced that, we completed a $2.6 billion refinancing, at that same point we owned 30% of the capital structure and then fast-forward to where we are today, we own 54% of that initial pool of loans. We received distributions of $577 million versus initial investment of $297 million. That includes our recent purchase of equity in 2016. Our current holding value, not including any debt is $222 million and our lifetime IRR is 94%. So overall this portfolio has performed extremely well. One main [ph] continues to do a wonderful job servicing this portfolio, and today average charge-offs of 5.3% and that's down from 12%. Page 15, just talks about how we are now eligible in all 50 states to own MSRs, that includes again non-agency, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and we are now licensed with a FHA lender. On page 16, I wanted to just spend a second on this slide, taking you through how we think about market risk, rates and the effect of higher rates or lower rates and what that would mean to our business. On excess MSRs and entire MSRs should rates rise, we expect that to be a positive, as prepayment rates will slow down on the underlying portfolios and you'll get more cash for a longer period of time. Servicer advances being that we continue to lock in long-term fixed-rate financing that should not be a neutral affect for us. However, slower prepays on the base MSRs should increase market value for the overall servicer advances. Our non-agency business 92% of our underlying mortgage bonds are floating rate, so as LIBOR goes up, what ends up happening is we'll get higher coupons on our underlying - on the mortgage bonds that we own, the flipside to that is reduce securitizations if some of the underlying collaterals been modded, what will end up happening is your overall proceeds could decrease a little bit. On the consumer loans, these portfolios are very much seasoned, the coupons are fixed rate coupons. So we think we expect any increase really in rates to be pretty much neutral. So overall we think the portfolio is positioned extremely well in all rate scenarios. However, should rates rise, we feel like we're in a very good spot. On page 17, just a little quick overview of our funding platform, over 20 different counterparties, plenty of excess capacity on our servicer advance financing. We've over the course of the quarter and prior quarters, we begun to try to open up the financing markets for excess MSRs and MSRs. We currently have $467 million of undrawn financing facilities that is at the end of 930, and again, we continue to lock in fixed rate financing on as much - of our portfolios as we possibly can. Page 18, just talks about how we're well-positioned for growth, again, we can acquire MSRs from a number of different mortgage originators or servicers, gives us plenty of flexibility to diversify our servicing partners. We're going to continue to try to do all we can to increase our non-agency call right execution. We do believe that the portfolio is positioned extremely well for all interest rate cycles, so if rates rise we should be in very good shape. We'll continue to enhance and broaden our financing and we'll continue to pull [ph] our potential asset acquisitions as we believe the pipeline could be extremely robust. With that, I'll turn it back to the operator. We'll open it up for questions.