Christopher Killoy
Analyst · Morgan Dempsey. Please go ahead
Thanks Tom.Demand, thus far 2019 has been challenging for the firearms industry. The adjusted NICs, checks decreased 5% in the first six months of 2019 from the comparable prior year period. Our internal surveys of distributors and retailers indicate that the overall market for new firearms in the first half of the year may have declined more than the adjusted NICs data would indicate.The estimated unit sellthrough of our products from the independent distributors to retailers decreased 26% for the same period. The discrepancy between the decrease in our sellthrough and the decrease in adjusted NICs may be attributable to the following: the discount an extension of payment terms offered by our competitors, relatively fewer new product shipments compared to the first half of 2018 which benefited from the launch of four major new products in December of 2017.The loss of a formally significant distributor that ultimately filed for bankruptcy protection in June 2019, our shipments to them were significantly reduced in 2019. And decreased retailer inventories as the anticipation of further discounting led to cautious buying behavior by the retailers.Our surveys indicate use firearm sales at retail increased in the first half of 2019. This would also explain some of the disparity between our sales results and the adjusted NICs data which includes both new and used firearms.Despite the softness in demand and the weaker market, we did not attempt any quick fixes. Unlike some of our competitors who offer deep discounts and reckless extension of payment terms in effort to generate better short-term results, we remain focused and consistent on the execution of our long-term strategy. We will continue to develop innovative and exciting new products, optimize our cost efficiency through our commitment to lean business practices and employee discipline approach to capital allocation.New product sales represented $43 million or 22% of firearms sales in the first six months of 2019. New product sales include only major new products that were introduced in the past two years which include the Wrangler revolver, the Pistol Caliber Carbine, the EC9s pistol, the Security-9 pistol, the AR pistol and the Precision Rimfire Rifle. As a reminder, derivatives, distributor specials and line extensions are not included in our calculation of new product sales.Production and inventory, we base our production and manage our inventory levels, primarily through semi-monthly reviews of the estimated sell-through of our products from the independent distributors to retailers. We also review our inventory and that of our independent distributors.Our total unit production for the second quarter of 2019 was 20% below the first quarter of 2019.As a result of our disciplined approach to production, the combined inventories in our warehouses at our distributors decreased 18,000 units during the second quarter of 2019, despite the reduced demand. This allows further flexibility in our production and inventory management as we enter the second half of the year.In response to the reduced production of the second quarter, we were proactive in managing our workforce. We maintained the high rent fees that was implemented in the first quarter and let attrition reduce our workforce. Over time was reduced. We took two additional shutdown days in the second quarter and we will take three shutdown days in addition to our normal annual weekly shutdown in the third quarter.Capital expenditures, capital expenditures in the first six months of the year were $3.9 million, which is low for us. However, as we've mentioned in the past, this is not indicative of a lack of new product development activity nor does it signal a change in our commitment to new products. Consequently, we expect our total capital expenditures to approximate $15 million in 2019.Cash and short-term investments, our cash and short-term investments balance of $132 million is more than we need to support our normal operation. Our capital allocation philosophy has not changed. Our primary responsibility is a stewardship of our shareholders assets in the creation of shareholder value. We're constantly looking for opportunities to generate strong returns to our capital.We stand ready to capitalize at the right opportunity that arises at the right price. Nevertheless, if we get to a point where we decide that we will not be able to employ our capital, we will return the cash to our shareholders in the form of dividends.Operator, may we please have the first question?