Christopher Killoy
Analyst · Aegis. Your line is now open
Thanks, Tom. In terms of demand, 2018 was a challenging year for the firearms industry. The National Instant Criminal Background Check System or NICS background checks as adjusted by the National Shooting Sports Foundation decreased 6%, which indicates and modest overall decline in the firearms market. Despite this apparent reduction in overall industry demand, the estimate sell-through of the Company's products from independent distributors to retailers in 2018 was essentially unchanged from 2017. We believe this is primarily due to strong demand for some of the Company's products, particularly those that were introduced in December of 2017. In the area of new product development, we believe that new products remain a key driver of demand and likely the reason for outperformance of NICS in 2018. Some of the new products launched in 2018 included the Ruger Precision Rifle in the magnum calibers, the Precision Rimfire in magnum calibers of 17 HMR and 22 magnum. Hawkeye long range targets and 6.5 PRC, a custom shop 10/22 rifle and 1911 pistol, several commemorative models to include a 10/22 collectors series rifle and the LCP 10 anniversary pistol. In the AR-556 platform, we had the MPR, the multipurpose rifle in 450 Bushmaster and an optics-ready rifle. We also had an LCRx 357 revolver, the GP 100 match champion revolver chambered in 10 millimeter caliber, the 1911 pistol in a stainless officer's model and a target nine millimeter model, and a stainless scout rifle and 450 Bushmaster. New products represented $145.6 million or 30% of firearms sales in 2018 compared to $137.8 million or 27% of firearms sales in 2017. Several new introduced in 2017 contributed to this achievement, including the Pistol Caliber Carbine, the LCP II pistol, the EC9s pistol, Security-9 pistol and the Precision Rimfire Rifle. In 2018, we shipped well over 800 unique models in 40 major product families. Keep in mind we had about 400 catalog models. Half of the models that we shipped last year were non-catalog models. These were derivatives of existing models featuring a different Caliber, Barrel Length or Finish. Some of these are distributors' closes and had been offered for many years due to the continuing strong demand, while all others were new in 2018. Regardless, these derivatives are not included in our new product sales total because we include only major new products that were introduced in the past two years. It's a pretty tough standard, but it helps us focus on a significant breakthrough new products. In terms of production and inventory, we review the estimate as sell-through from the independent distributors to retailers as well as inventory levels at the independent distributors and in our warehouses, semi-monthly to plan production levels and manage inventory levels. Total unit production in 2018 was essentially unchanged from 2017, although it did vary by product family. Our finished goods inventory decreased by 23,000 units and distributor inventories of our products decreased by 22,000 units during 2018. In aggregate, total company and distributor unit inventory decreased by 10% in 2018. In terms of cash, our cash generation in 2018 was very strong. Our cash and short-term investment balance of $153 million is more than we need to support our normal daily operations. Nevertheless, our capital allocation philosophy has not changed. Our primary responsibility is the stewardship of our shareholders assets and the creation of shareholder value. We are continually looking for opportunities to generate strong returns with our capital. If we get to a point where we decide that we will not be able to employ our capital, we will return the cash to our shareholders in the form of dividends. Those were the highlights of 2018. Operator, may we have the first question?