Mark Greenquist
Analyst · Barrington Research. Please proceed
Thanks, Ray. In the interest of time, I’ll limit my comments this morning to our fourth quarter results as compared to the fourth quarter of 2013. Our full year results can be found in the press release issued this morning. Gross margin, operating expense, operating income, net income and EPS are all discussed on a non-GAAP basis and have been reconciled for you at the end of today’s press release and presentation. So let’s move straight to Slide 15 for a closer look at the quarter. Revenue in Q4 was up around 1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2013. Product revenue and growth-related revenue were each up around 2%. As we explained in our preliminary results issued on January 8th, we did not see the level of budget thrust [ph] that we thought was possible in the fourth quarter given the broader market CapEx constraints particularly in North America. This was the primary reason our revenue came in at the lower end of our projected range. We achieved record gross margin performance in the quarter of 68.9%. And while OpEx came in slightly ahead of our guidance, we were still able to drive operating margins to close to 10%. This performance gives us a great foundation for delivering on the 10-10 framework we laid out almost one year ago at our Investor Day in San Francisco. Net income of $7.3 million was up approximately 8% which, on a post reverse split basis, translated to $0.15 per share. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2014, we had just under 1,200 employees and around 50 million fully diluted shares outstanding on a post-split basis. Let’s turn to Slide 16 for our outlook. As I mentioned during our last earnings call, I said we would likely move away from providing growth revenue guidance as a subset of total revenue and would simply provide total revenue guidance going forward. Ray provided the data behind this decision which demonstrated that over two-thirds of our product revenue was derived from growth-related revenue in 2014 and we expect this percentage to be even higher in 2015. As a result, it is now less meaningful to distinguish between growth in legacy versus simply discussing product, maintenance and services revenue going forward. We’ll continue to provide color on product, geographic and sales channel trends in our actual results that drive our growth so that you know where the business is gaining the most traction. Now, looking at Q1, we expect revenue to be approximately $74 million. I would point out that our first quarter is more backend loaded than the past few years but the revenue is also far more diversified. In short, we’re not dependent upon a single large deal in the quarter. Instead, we have a number of good sized deals in our funnel that we expect to close over the next few weeks. We see this as a healthy sign of our business and customer base continuing to diversify and becoming less concentrated as we have discussed with you on previous calls. We expect full year revenue growth to around $326 million to $330 million, and I’ll talk more about our revenue assumptions in a moment. We expect gross margin of between 67% and 67.5% in Q1. And for the full year of 2015, we believe we should be able to add at least another point of margin expansion on top of the 67% we achieved in 2014. We expect OpEx of $47.5 million to $48 million in Q1. And for the full year, we would expect that OpEx as a percentage of revenue should decline by about a point compared to 2014. EPS for Q1 is expected to be around $0.03 based on 50.5 million diluted shares outstanding. And I should note this forecast takes into consideration about $2 million of incremental expenses in the first quarter of 2015 related to the Treq assets which we acquired last month. Full year EPS should be in a range of $0.54 to $0.58 based on 51 million diluted shares outstanding. And this forecast also takes into consideration a total of around $8 million of incremental expenses related to the Treq business. But as we stated at the time we announced the transaction, we expect Treq to be EPS neutral to our business in 2015. We expect to be able to offset this investment either through incremental revenue growth or OpEx savings elsewhere in our business. Now I’d like to discuss some of the assumptions that we are making in the revenue outlook we have provided today. So let’s turn to Slide 17. Looking at the major revenue drivers this year, our SBC 7K continues to disrupt the market. We’re getting extremely good traction with tier ones, large MSOs, contact centers and large enterprises in North America and internationally. In fact, we realized more than $50 million of revenue from the 7K in the first six months since it was launched, which bodes very well for the full year of 2015. Also, our channel revenue has grown significantly since its launch back in 2012. It contributed 27% of our product revenue in 2014, up almost 20% from prior year and from a standing start in 2012 prior to the acquisition of NET and the launch of Sonus Partner Assure. We expect the channel to continue to contribute strongly to our revenue growth again this year. In addition, we expect to realize a full year’s benefit from the same [ph] business acquired from PT in late February of 2014. And in line with prior years, we expect to see modest growth in maintenance and services. Finally, as I mentioned previously, we believe there is potential upside to our outlook from the Treq acquisition. However, we’re still early days on that acquisition, so it’s too soon to size the potential impact on 2015 revenue. I’d now like to provide some perspective on the seasonality of our business. If you look back over the past three years, you will see a clear pattern in our results which shows that Q4 has been the strongest revenue quarter followed by Q2 as the second strongest. Q1, on the other hand, is typically the weakest and Q3 typically falls somewhere in between Q1 and Q2 levels. We would expect a similar trend in 2015 which is slightly different than how the consensus estimates currently line up. Slide 18 provides the breakdown of maintenance and services as disclosed in our quarterly filings. The historical CAGR over this period for maintenance and services revenue growth is around 3% per year. Professional and other services has been roughly flat and maintenance has grown modestly as maintenance on our newer SBC products has offset modest declines on the older products. Looking at 2015, as I said, we expect a similar rate of growth overall for maintenance and services. Turning now to Slide 19, our balance sheet is solid with approximately $148 million in cash and no debt as of year-end 2014. During the year, we generated about $30 million in cash from operations. And we are now consistently generating positive cash flow which positions us with the flexibility to build organically, continue to make opportunistic growth acquisitions and/or to fund our ongoing share buyback program. We have repurchased approximately 9 million shares to date which represents about 16% of total shares outstanding since the buyback began. We bought these shares in an average price per share of $17 and have approximately 23 million available for future repurchases. This year, we also took a number of actions in response to shareholder feedback, including eliminating our shareholder rights plan, our poison pill, which had been in effect since 2008. And in addition, we enhanced our pay-for-performance practices, instituted shared ownership guidelines applicable for our non-employee directors, chief executive officer and other Section 16 reporting officers, and adopted a formal callback policy with respect to our executive incentive compensation. So with that, I’ll now turn it back to Ray. Ray?