Warren C. Jenson
Analyst · Stephens, your question please
Thanks Scott and good afternoon. It's great being with everyone today. During my portion of the call, I'd like to cover a few things. First, I'll run through a few highlights then talk about each of our segments. Next, I'll update you on our guidance and finally offer preliminary thoughts on FY18. With that highlights please turn to slide 4. In many respects this was a milestone quarter. For the first time in nearly a decade our adjusted gross margin exceeded 50% and our operating margin reached 15%. Next, we are pleased with our progress in steadily driving higher levels of operational productivity and cash flow. On a trailing 12 month basis adjusted EBITDA is up 15% and our EBITDA margin reached 22% in Q3. We are also pleased that EBITDA has increased in 10 of the last 11 quarters. Equally if not more importantly, our vision of a ubiquitous universal ID and a common global marketing infrastructure is no longer just an aspiration, rather it's starting to take shape. Today we can deterministically identify more than 190 million individuals in the U.S. In fact our identity resolution capability has never been better. Our SmartReach efforts continue to gain traction and we have more than 60 brands signed. Participants are now enjoying a 30% to 50% improvement in match rates as a result. And as Scott discussed the addition of Arbor and Circulate has materially strengthened our publisher relationships and is also driving match rates higher. Today clients are experiencing web match rates to have more than 60% and deterministic mobile match rates of more than 30%. In Europe we are steadily building our match network and are beginning to approach scale in both the UK and France. In fact in France our match rates are now in the 35% to 45% range. In China we have an identity graph connecting us to more than 350 million individuals. We are connected to more than 90 million individuals in Japan and 17 million in Australia. And finally we now have a global data team focused on opening up opportunities in geographies where we have no physical presence but where our clients do business. In summary we are on the right track financially and we're pleased to be at the forefront of a massive trend that is making the power of data driven marketing and personalization available to everyone. Our role in this megatrend is to eliminate friction and waste. We allow marketers big and small to harness the power of data to make their messages more meaningful and relevant. We allow the small to compete on a level playing field with the giants. We are building the global infrastructure. That said we know it is still day one, we have a lot of work yet to do, and even more to prove. Now onto the third quarter, starting with slide 5 for summary of financial results. GAAP, total revenue was up approximately 1%, gross profit was 107 million up 12%, and gross margin improved 460 basis points to 47.8%. Op income for the quarter was 9 million compared to a small loss in the prior period and GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.01 in the quarter compared to a loss per share of $0.01 a year ago. Next our adjusted results, adjusted revenue was up 10%, adjusted gross profit was 114 million up 14%, and gross margin improved 570 basis points to 51%. Excluding items, operating income was 33 million up 50% year-over-year and earnings per share were $0.24 as compared to $0.18 a year ago. In Q3 our tax rate was 40%. Excluded items in the quarter totaled 24 million including stock based comp of 13 million, intangible asset amortization of 5 million, separation and transformation related spend of 4 million, and restructuring and merger charges of 2 million. Slide 6 highlights our revenue results as reported and slide 7 adjusts for the sale of Acxiom Impact, the Brazil shut down, the Australia transition, and FX. Adjusted revenue was up 10% in the quarter. Year-to-date revenue was up 12%. In the U.S. revenue as reported was up 2%, revenue adjusted for items was up 11% driven by strong growth in Connectivity and Audience Solutions. International revenue as reported was down 11%. However, adjusted revenue was up 6% driven by the strength of our performance in Europe most notably the U.K. and Germany. Please note we have not adjusted for the acquisitions of Arbor and Circulate. We are well down the road of integrating our teams and merging client contracts. Given our deep integration we will not be able to discretely separate revenues. That said to assist you in your analysis we have included our acquisition guidance as a footnote. Now turning to slide 8 through 10, our segment results. First marketing services, revenue as reported was down 13%. Revenue associated with marketing database and strategy and analytics grew modestly. Globally gross margin improved 380 basis points driven by the sale of Impact and operational cost savings in the U.S. Segment income was 21 million up 4% and segment margin improved to 21%. Adjusted EBITDA was 28 million, up slightly compared to Q3 of last year. As a reminder in the appendix of our slide deck we have included a historical view of both marketing services and the total company excluding Impact. Slide 9, Audience Solutions. For the quarter global revenue was up 8% and revenue in the U.S. was up 12%. This represents the fifth consecutive quarter of growth. Digital data revenue was approximately 18 million up over 100% compared to Q3 of last year. Globally, gross margin improved 490 basis points to 63.7% driven by revenue mix and operational cost savings in international. Segment income was 35 million up 13% and segment margin improved to 41.5%. Adjusted EBITDA was 39 million up 10% compared to Q3 of last year. Slide 10, Connectivity. For the quarter total segment revenue was 39 million up 36% year-over-year. LiveRamp product revenue grew 61%. Year-to-date segment revenue was up approximately 45% and LiveRamp product revenue was up 63%. Globally gross margin improved 280 basis points to approximately 60% despite continued match pool investments and the addition of Arbor and Circulate. Segment income improved to 2 million during the quarter and segment margin was 5%. EBITDA was 4 million up from 1 million a year ago and year-to-date adjusted EBITDA is 9 million. Next, please turn to slide 11. For the quarter operating cash flow was 49 million compared to 37 million in the prior year period. This improvement was primarily driven by higher cash earnings. Free cash flow to equity improved for the same reason. On a trailing 12 month basis both operating cash flow and free cash flow to equity were up strong double digits. Before turning to guidance, I'd like to spend a moment and talk about stock based compensation. I'll touch on both our philosophy and recent trends. Our philosophy, our compensation philosophy including the use of equity is the responsibility of our Board and ultimately falls under the stewardship of our comp committee. Therefore much of what we have to say will be a reiteration of what you will read in our proxy. To paraphrase a few key principles, we believe in pay for performance. As an example approximately 75% of our CEO's compensation is based on long-term equity incentives of which 60% is performance based. We seek to align our performance measures with those of our shareholders. We wish to maintain simple, transparent, market competitive arrangements that motivate the highest levels of performance. And finally we seek to hire, motivate, and retain top talent consistent with our vision, strategy, and aspirations. With that in mind, I'd like to dissect the last few years of stock-based compensation expense and provide some context. Our Board divides stock based compensation into three buckets. First, time based R issues. Time based R issues are a core component of every Acxiom executive's annual compensation. The annual expense is fixed at the time of grant and is ratably expensed over the vesting period. Next, performance based R issues. These awards have a three year cliff best that are only awarded if a predefined performance hurdle is met. The award can range from 0% to 200% of target depending upon actual performance. Once actual performance is determined, the award is further modified by a relative return as measured against our peer group. From an accounting perspective, the company's quarterly accrual for any given award is completely dependent on our estimate of the likely outcome. In other words it can go up or it can go down and from time to time previously accrued amounts may be reversed. When that happens you will see big swings in expense. And now the third bucket, acquisition related R issues. In making acquisitions we very purposely use equity grants to lock in employees as best we can to ensure a smooth integration and a multi-year runway. These are used to replace existing unvested shares and also to provide an inducement to further lock in key talent. We consider these grants to be completely separate from our ongoing compensation programs as they solely relate to how we structure our acquisitions. This strategy has paid enormous dividends, LiveRamp is the perfect example. When we acquired LiveRamp we issued approximately 15 million of time based replacement and inducement awards. The vesting period for these shares range from two to four years. So how do we do, in short it was a home run. Nearly three years in our employee population has grown from approximately 60 to nearly 300 and with only one exception the entire management team remains in place and is flourishing. And as I mentioned in our last call we are following the same blueprint for acquisitions of Arbor and Circulate. With this foundation in mind let me now walk you through our numbers. Slide 12 breaks down our stock based compensation into each of the three buckets based on total expense, expense as a percentage of total, and expense as a percentage of revenue. I'd like to make three points for you to consider. The increase in time and performance based stock comp is deliberate and part of a natural evolution. The estimated year-over-year increase is driven by a few items in particular. First, the acquisition of LiveRamp and our expanding divisional leadership structure. The expense run rate associated with our new employee base of LiveRamp and added divisional leadership is normalizing. So every year for four years compensation expense will naturally increase. Obviously we are just starting with Circulate and Arbor. Second, we have made adjustments for several key leaders where our historical practices were not simply competitive. And third, with respect to performance awards it really boils down to the accounting treatment versus any change to the number of shares granted. In short we did not meet for fiscal 2015 and fiscal 2016 targets which resulted in expense reversals. Conversely for fiscal 2017 and fiscal 2018 awards we are ahead of target and therefore the accruals are much larger, hence the large swing. Second, we believe our own going stock based compensation expense as a percentage of revenue is in line with any relevant index or other market comparable. And finally, while we don't take lightly the use of equity based incentives in structuring acquisitions we won't be penny wise and pound foolish. We will always vote for stacking the deck and doing our best to lock in talent. We believe this is key to delivering great long-term returns on the capital being deployed. Now onto guidance, first our guidance excludes items including non-cash stock compensation, purchased intangible asset amortization, restructuring, merger and impairment charges, and separation and transformation costs. Given the strength of our year-to-date performance we are tightening our revenue range and raising our EPS guidance. We now expect total revenue to be in the range of 870 million and 875 million. GAAP EPS to be approximately $0.11 and adjusted EPS to be approximately $0.70. Included in our full year revenue guidance is five months of actuals or approximately 20 million from our disposed impact business. In addition consistent with the guidance we gave on our last call we have assumed Arbor and Circulate will contribute 5 million of revenue in FY17. A few additional comments on FY17, if you exclude the expected $5 million impact from Arbor and Circulate we continue to expect LiveRamp product revenue to be up between 55% and 60%. We now expect total Connectivity segment revenue to be approximately 40% given declines in first party GMS. We expect CAPEX to be slightly below our previous estimate of 65 million for the year. We now expect onetime expenditures to be no more than 8 million down from our previous estimate of 10 million. As a reminder this spend is associated with a further separation of our businesses to maintain clear lines of sight and optionality. And finally for a tax rate we recommend you continue to use approximately 40%. Before opening the call to questions I'd like to share a few early thoughts on fiscal 2018. We are now midway through the fourth quarter and feel great about our progress and momentum entering fiscal 2018. Our businesses are in solid shape. We have great leaders and teams with tight objectives and plans to match. As always we ask that you be conservative in your expectations. Growth is never linear, there will be surprises, and we will continue to invest in our future. We also believe we are at the forefront of a significant opportunity. Now a few specifics. In marketing services we see a stable business with improving margins. We expect fiscal 2018 to look a lot like fiscal 2017, a stable top line with expanding margins and improved operating efficiency and leverage. Audience Solutions we believe will cement its place as our second engine of growth. We expect another solid growth year but, also anticipate making investments. Our growth will be tempered however by a slowdown in the growth rate associated with digital revenues given shifting business models with some publishers. That said Audience Solutions will continue to demonstrate the strength of its operating model. Connectivity, in short we expect our growth rate for this segment to accelerate in FY18 and despite continued investments in new geographies and products we expect operating margins to expand and this segment to be solidly profitable. CAPEX should remain in check as a percentage of revenue and we expect our share count to be approximately 82 million. We have made no assumption relative to our buyback in this guidance. As to the buyback we remain committed but in the near-term are focused on rebuilding our cash liquidity and overall flexibility. In summary our third quarter represents another positive step forward. We are pleased to have again increased our guidance for the year and believe we are well positioned for a strong fiscal 2018. And finally we remain committed to our goals and our opportunity. Double down on Connectivity and digital data in order to drive sustained high growth and global leadership in key markets, create value through performance improvements in both Marketing Services and Audience Solutions, carefully manage our cash and maintain financial flexibility, and finally do as we have done for each of the last four years, steadily return capital to our shareholders. With that thank you again for joining us today. We look forward to updating you on our next call. Operator we will now take questions.