Antonio Piccon
Analyst · Intesa Sanpaolo. Please ask your question
Thank you, Louis, and good morning or afternoon to everyone who is joining us today. Starting on Page 4, the third quarter of 2020 witnessed the resilience of our core business, leading to a very solid set of results across all metrics, which compares well with peers in the luxury domain. The core business excluding Formula 1 brand-related activities and engines for Maserati performed in line with our plans and our margins were enhanced by the full deployment of the cost containment measures adopted since last March. We also benefited from the improved forecast of F1 revenues received from the commercial right holder which nevertheless remains significantly down compared to last year. Our shipments in the third quarter were 2,313 units, 6.5% less than in Q3 2019. Group net revenues were €888 million down 3% compared to prior year outstripping our shipment volumes, thanks to the deliveries of the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2 which enriched our mix. EBITDA, and please note that in this quarter, all adjusted metrics coincide with the reported ones since there were no unusual items came in at €330 million, up 6.4% with a robust margin of 37.2%. EBIT was €222 million essentially in line with prior year embedding higher D&A. Net profit was €171 million, slightly increased versus Q3 2019 and resulting in a diluted EPS of €0.92 compared to €0.90 of prior year. Industrial free cash flow for the quarter was back into positive territory totaling €77 million. Moving to Page 5, you can see the details of the third quarter 2020 shipments, which decreased 6.5% driven by the cadence of the company’s full-year production plan with some models gradually phase-out and the new ones ramping up. I remind you that our full-year production plan projects a recovery of 500 units out of the 2,000 lost following the seven-week production suspension due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This obviously assumes that our manufacturing plans will remain unaffected by measures that maybe taken to combat the pandemic. Going back to the deliveries of the quarter, the V8 models were down 12.8% and on the other hand, the V12 were up 15.4%. The F8 Spider and the 812 GTS are in the ramp up phase, reaching mainly EMEA, gradually offsetting the 488 Pista family and the Ferrari Portofino that arrived at the end of their life cycle. The Ferrari Monza continue to be delivered as originally scheduled. As a consequence, quarterly shipments were affected by the deliberate geographic allocations driven by the phase-in pace of individual models resulting in EMEA increased by 12.7%, Americas declined by 34.7%, Mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan posted a decrease of 25.2%, also considering the third quarter of 2019 was still somewhat flattered by the anticipation of our phase before the introduction of the new emission regulations, while deliveries to rest of APAC were in line with prior year. I remind you that the SF90 Stradale and the Ferrari Roma will start the deliveries in Q4 2020, actually they started deliveries in Q4. Finally, within the end of the year, we will unveil an additional new model, the eight out of the 15 planned of our planned period 2018-2022. Turning to Page 6, you can see here displayed the walk of our Group net revenues for the third quarter of 2020. Revenues from cars and spare parts were up 2.4% at constant currency. Such growth in spite of the volume decline reflects the positive mix price mainly thanks to the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2. This was partially offset by the phase-out of the 488 Pista family, which in turn implies a lower contribution from personalizations from a volume perspective. Also the personalization rate on cars and spare parts revenues were slightly lower than last year. Engines revenues were substantially in line with prior year. Revenues from sponsorship commercial and brand were down €43 million significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in a lower number of Formula 1 races and corresponding lower revenue accrual as well as reduced in-store traffic and museum visitors. For the sake of clarity, our revenue accrual for F1 sponsorship and commercial was based on full-year estimates updated in the third quarter and improved compared to the first half of 2020. Currency, including translation and transaction impacts as well as foreign currency hedges had a minor positive contribution of €2 million, mainly the U.S. dollar. Moving to Page 7, let me review the change in our EBIT, which was €222 million essentially in line with prior year, minus 2.1% or minus 4.1% at constant currency, but EBIT margin at 25%. The negative variance at constant currency remains mostly in the COVID-19 impact on Formula 1, partially offset by the strength of the core business. More precisely, volume drove a negative variance of €19 million due to reduced deliveries. Mix/price variance was positive €46 million, thanks to the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2 partially offset by the lower contribution from personalization programs due to the decrease of shipments and the gradual phase-out of the 488 Pista family. Industrial costs, research and development costs decreased €5 million due to the spending cadence particularly in Formula 1 racing activities for the current season, partially compensated by higher depreciation and amortization as the production lines for the new models started being operated. SG&A decreased €18 million reflecting fewer marketing initiatives, as well as cost containment measures. Other was down €60 million due to the already mentioned COVID-19 impact on the F1 racing calendar as well as lower traffic for brand-related activities. The total net positive impact of currency was €5 million year-on-year. Turning to Page 8, industrial free cash flow for the quarter was €77 million positive, improvement in the quarter was essentially driven by the EBITDA growth, partially offset by the continuous investment to fuel our long-term product development with capital expenditures of €158 million and the adverse working capital impact due primarily to higher raw material and component inventories as well as the reversal of the Ferrari Monza SP1 and SP2 advances already collected in 2019. Net industrial debt as of the end of September was €715 million compared to €776 million as of June end. At the end of the third quarter 2020, total available liquidity including undrawn committed credit lines for €700 million was €1,879 million, which compares with approximately €1,250 million as of last end of December. Moving to Page 9, on the back of the third quarter results, we are revising our guidance to the top-end of the range communicated in August, assuming trading conditions remained and affected by further restrictions or impact from the COVID-19 pandemic that may halt the pace of production and deliveries. Net revenues greater than €3.4 billion to reflect a drop in deliveries of nearly 9% compared to 2019. The positively revised assumption on the F1 Championship, the pace of restart of our brand activities and demand for engines from Maserati. Adjusted EBITDA at approximately €1,125 million with percentage margin of 32.5%, adjusted EBIT close to €700 million, targeting an EBIT margin of 20%, which reflects the higher D&A following the CapEx increase of most recent years, adjusted diluted EPS of circa €2.8 per share assuming a 20% tax rate substantially in line with 2019. Industrial free cash flow in the region of €150 million with capital expenditures of around €750 million. It goes without saying that we are not immune to what happens around us, and you may be assured that our top priority remains to protect our people. However, barring any restrictions that would inhibit our ability to keep operating diligently as we are currently doing, we believe we are well positioned to reach the target that I’ve just outlined. Targets that we consider remarkable in such a disruptive year. With that said, I turn the call over to Nicoletta.