Robert A. Bruggeworth
Analyst · Edward Snyder with Charter Equity Research
Thanks, Doug, and welcome, everyone. As we indicated in our press release on January 5, RFMD's December quarterly results reflected market share gains in smartphones; however, these gains were more than offset by less than forecasted demand from manufacturers of handsets in China. Tonight, we will provide additional color on our revenue, gross margin and perhaps more importantly, articulate why we believe the December and March quarters are not indicative of RFMD's growth, margin or earnings potential. During the December quarter, forecasted demand for 2G products did not materialize as expected for the traditional Lunar New Year ramp. In addition, while 3G demand in China grew at a healthy 50% sequentially, it fell well short of the level of our customers had forecasted at the start of the quarter. The less than forecasted demand resulted in a decrease in fab and assembly utilizations and an increase in inventory reserves driving a significant impact to gross margin. In the near term, we are maintaining our conservative stance on the China market, and we've built this into our guidance. We believe our visibility into China will improve after the Lunar New Year holiday. Long term, the secular growth trends in both CPG and MPG remain intact, and RFMD's outlook remains unchanged. The China market will transition to 3G and RFMD is very well positioned to capitalize. RFMD's key 3G/4G drivers, PowerSmart, high-efficiency 3G/4G PAs, switch-based products and antenna control solutions grew in the December quarter, continue to gain key design wins and will grow considerably during calendar 2012. MPG will recover as macro environment improves, and new products and technologies will deliver revenue growth. Our December quarter and near-term outlook should not be interpreted as an indication of a new or revised financial model. Our expectations for target margin performance remain unchanged, and we expect an improvement in gross margin in the March quarter. In the June quarter, we expect to return to revenue growth. That said, my formal comments tonight will focus primarily on RFMD's growing content in smartphones and our continuing transition to a highly diversified growth-oriented supplier of RF components and compound semiconductors. RFMD's product and technology leadership enables us to achieve continued 3G/4G revenue growth across a broad set of customers. As a broad measure of customer diversification, we were successful during the quarter in supporting year-over-year revenue growth of approximately 100% at Foxconn, HTC, Huawei, Motorola and RIM. Our share is still relatively small at these accounts, giving RFMD significant runway for growth. On a percentage basis, sales of 3G/4G components totaled more than 55% of cellular revenue during the December quarter, and we expect 3G/4G to represent approximately 2/3 of our cellular revenue in the March quarter. In the market for converged power amplifiers, RFMD's PowerSmart is continuing its clear leadership over competitive offerings. We supported the ramp of PowerSmart with an additional baseband supplier, and Power Smart is now in volume across multiple customers and baseband. I'd also like to highlight our next-generation PowerSmart LTE, which is sampling today. Compared to our first-generation PowerSmart, PowerSmart LTE will deliver a number of new performance advantages and enable a greater number of bands and band combinations. As we expand the PowerSmart family, we are engaging with leading LTE baseband suppliers to deliver PowerSmart LTE to their customers. On smartphone platforms featuring discrete and multimode and multiband architectures, RFMD has captured new design wins with our ultra-high efficiency 3G/4G PA product family, including wins at high-value targeted accounts. We see significant growth opportunities in these architectures because RFMD's ultra-high efficiency PAs are optimized for high-speed data and provide the improved talk time and thermal performance that are key buying criteria for smartphone consumers. We expect strong growth and market share gains in LTE as our PA product portfolio expands to include new bands, new modulations and new form factors. Complementing our broad portfolio of PAs, RFMD switches, power management ICs and antenna control solutions are continuing to proliferate across the world's leading smartphone manufacturers. Again, by concentrating on product leadership with a clear focus on solving the challenges in multimode, multiband front ends, RFMD is increasing our footprint and dollar content across the world's leading smartphones. To illustrate this point, I'll highlight a number of handsets that were introduced at CES, each of which feature either PowerSmart or our ultra-high efficiency 3G/4G PAs. RFMD is pleased to support the Samsung Galaxy Nexus and the Huawei Ascend, which features the newest generation of Android 4.0, Ice Cream Sandwich, released as well as RFMD's PowerSmart power platform. We're also pleased to support HTC Titan II, the first LTE phone featuring Windows Mango, which contains multiple bands of our ultra-high efficiency PAs as well as RFMD's antenna switch module. These are flagship smartphones expected to drive significant volume this year, and RFMD is supporting each with multiple components valued at multiple dollars. On a related note, we are pleased to announce that December quarterly shipments for SSCPL exceeded the annualized $100 million run rate goal we had originally set for March 2012 quarter. This too was driven by 3G/4G product leadership across switches, antenna switch modules and antenna control solutions. In China, while we're clearly disappointed by the demand below our customers' forecast, RFMD's 3G growth drivers in China are very much intact in wideband CDMA, in TD-SCDMA and TD-LTE. Looking at our growth opportunities from a high level, RFMD is winning in 3G and 4G by delivering best-in-class products to the world's leading OEMs and solving their increasingly complex RF challenges. We believe the overall TAM expansion for 3G/4G is still in the early stages of a multiyear cycle supported by macro trends of mobility, broadband data and energy efficiency. This cycle is expected to drive industry growth well in excess of the underlying handset market. Moving beyond cellular, these same macro trends apply to RFMD's Multi-Market Products Group. MPG is seeing increased customer traction in the high-value point-to-point segment as cellular operators install additional microwave backhaul capacity in their cellular networks to support mobile data. We released a broad range of new products during the quarter, including 15 new high-frequency MMICs operating from 6 to 27 gigahertz for microwave backhaul. As a measure of customer adoption, 5 customers have already designed 2 or more of these newly introduced MMICs into their next-generation platforms. In WiFi and Smart Energy, MPG continued to expand its portfolio front ends, targeting single- and dual-band architectures, and we are working with multiple channel partners to capitalize on the technology transition to 802.11ac. The proliferation of WiFi in smartphones, tablets and automotive applications is increasing customer performance requirements and at the same time, the content opportunity is significantly expanding. In aerospace and defense and CATV, there is strong pull for RFMD's newest GaN products in next-generation military radar and cable television line amplifier application. During the December quarter, we commenced shipments of production quantities of our high-powered GaN devices to a major defense radar manufacturer. Finally, in our Compound Semiconductor Group or CSG, we are leveraging RFMD's engineering and manufacturing resources to target new, high-margin opportunities and non-RF markets that support our growth and diversification goals. By calendar year 2015, we forecast the markets served by CSG will total approximately $1.5 billion. Overall, RFMD is executing on a growth and diversification strategy built on product and technology leadership, and we are delivering best-in-class products to the world's leading manufacturers. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Dean.