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Presurance Holdings, Inc. 9.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2028 (PRHIZ)

Q2 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 12, 2021

$17.71

+3.96%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Conifer Holdings Second Quarter 2021 Investor Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being webcasted. I would now like to turn the conference over to Adam Prior of The Equity Group. Please go ahead.

Adam Prior

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Conifer issued its 2021 second quarter financial results after the close of market yesterday. On the company's website, ir.cnfrh.com, you can find copies of the earnings release, as well as the slide presentation that accompanies management's discussion today, which is available to view or download via webcast or from the Investor Relations portion of Conifer's website. Before we get started, the company has asked that I note that except with respect to historical information, statements made in this conference call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Federal Securities Laws, including statements relating to trends, the company's operations and financial results, and the business and the products of the company and its subsidiaries. Actual results from Conifer may differ materially from the results anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of various risks and uncertainties underlying our forward-looking statements, including risks and uncertainties associated with COVID-19 and its impact on the economy and our business, as well as those risks described from time to time in Conifer's filings with the SEC, including our latest Form 10-K and subsequent reports. Conifer specifically disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future development or otherwise. In addition, a replay of this call will be provided through a link on the Investor Relations section of our website. During this call, we'll also discuss non-GAAP financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G. Reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures are included when possible in our earnings release and our historical SEC filings. Statutory accounting data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules and is therefore not reconciled to GAAP. We will conduct a Q&A session after management's prepared remarks this morning. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Mr. Jim Petcoff, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, Jim.

James Petcoff

Analyst

Thank you, Adam. Good morning, everybody. On the call today with me or Nick, Harold, Andy, and Brian. I'll provide a brief business overview. Nick will discuss our underwriting results in greater detail, and Harold will cover the financials. Overall, we made considerable strides in the second quarter in terms of topline growth, expense reduction, but we understand we still have a number of operating profitability milestones to accomplish as we execute our entire strategy. The sustainability of our topline growth has been driven by a combination of rate and increased policies written in our best performing lines. Our commercial and personal line segments each saw significant increases in gross written premium, leading to an overall 27% quarter-over-quarter growth rate, setting us up well for a solid full year results. However, what might be equally important as the growth itself, is how we are growing. One of our strategic objectives has been to grow our book of business in specialty lines that fit our criteria for profitability. For the quarter, within commercial lines, the biggest source of growth continues to be in our small business lines. And we are largely - we largely attribute that to the expanding our marketing efforts in lines of business where we have been historically profitable. As Nick will discuss a little time later, we will have - we have had certain lines of business that have not performed up to our expectations. Lowering our premium base in those deemphasized lines, is a favorable trend going forward as well. We began to lessen our exposure to these areas over the last several years, yet, even with planned reductions taking place, we are still seeing overall topline growth in the areas we most want. At present, I’ very pleased with our current business mix as we continue to grow and leverage our infrastructure to achieve greater stability over time. The core of our efforts remains emission of high-level customer service and growing our topline, while also equipping our agents with tools they need to do their jobs well and generate profitable premium for us. We are seeing the benefits now in terms of premium production growth, as a result of early dedication to leveraging technology, to provide innovative solutions that allow our agents and their employees to seamlessly do business with us anywhere, all while serving their customer base. For the remainder of 2021, our focus will continue to be on generating profitable premium growth from all sources and in all ways. With improvements in our topline through targeted rate increases, select new policy additions, and continuing to refine our business mix, while achieving even greater scale in our core specialty markets. With that, let me turn it over to Nick for more color on our underwriting. Nick?

Nick Petcoff

Analyst

Thank you, Jim. In reviewing our underwriting for the period, it is important to note the premium breakout with commercial lines, largely seeing growth from small specialty business insurance, representing roughly 88% of our total written premiums, and personal lines consisting largely of low-value at home and dwelling business, representing 12%. I'll start with an overview of commercial lines, provide context for the underwriting performance, and explain where we are in terms of the product mix shifts instituted in prior years. Commercial lines gross written premiums for the period were up roughly 21% to almost $31 million. This came through a mix of rate and new business in both commercial and personal lines, as general economic and business conditions continue to improve from pandemic lows. Submissions continued to grow during the second quarter, and we are still benefiting from a high existing renewal retention levels at approximately 90% overall, as we build on our base and expand market share in many of our key geographies, including our home State of Michigan. In the quarter, we did see lower premiums in our hospitality business overall, which is a relatively diverse group of classes covering property and casualty business, largely for restaurants, bars, and taverns. For the quarter, our hospitality premiums declined by 17%, which is largely due to our planned selective non-renewal in certain geographies for certain classes. Despite all of this, we did continue to see significant growth in several of our other hospitality lines, largely driven by rate increases generally in the mid-teens. We believe that nationwide employee shortages have challenged the hospitality sector in particular, but we do see a light at the end of the tunnel as those lines continue to emerge from the pandemic restrictions placed on the public at large. In the first quarter -…

Harold Meloche

Analyst

Thank you, Nick. I'll provide a quick review of the results, and I also encourage investors to review our filings and presentation on the company's website for greater detail. In the second quarter, gross written premium increased 27% to $35 million. With Jim and Nick having detailed the breakout of premiums, I'll focus on the underwriting results. Conifer's combined ratio was 113.2% in the second quarter, compared to 100.5% in the same period last year. The loss ratio of 72% was up compared to 55%, primarily due to reserve strengthening in the hospitality lines. The loss ratio in commercial lines was 76% in the quarter, compared to 56% in the prior year period, while personalized loss ratio was 37% this quarter, compared to 40% last year. Our current accident year combined ratio was 88% in the second quarter, compared to 87% in the prior year period. Moving to our expense ratio, we continue to see improvement, resulting mainly from recent planned expense reductions, and growing net earned premiums. Accordingly, our expense ratio improved to 41.3% this quarter, from 45.9% for the same period last year, down 460 basis points quarter-over-quarter. This is the lowest expense ratio we have achieved for several periods, and we have a short-term goal of reporting an expense ratio at or under 40%, and are pleased to have the target within our sights. As we scale up our net earned premiums, continue to implement cost-cutting measures, and further leverage the investments we have made in technology, we believe this goal is very achievable. Net investment income was $503,000 during the second quarter, compared to $863,000 in the prior year. While net realized gains increased substantially to $1.1 million, compared to $245,000 last year. Our investments remain conservatively managed, with the majority in fixed income securities, with…

James Petcoff

Analyst

Thanks, Harold, and Nick. Getting to an appropriate operating scale is a top focus for our company as we continue to grow our premium base in the lines we want. We are now exhibiting solid long-term trends. As Nick said, our concentration is on ensuring that we identify lines and geographies that create the best opportunity for profits, leading to greater efficiency and scale for our operations over time. I'd like to close with a brief discussion of the transaction announced in conjunction with our earnings relating to our wholly owned MGA Sycamore Insurance Agency. Let me take a moment to provide a little background to those of you who may be unfamiliar with Sycamore, which we created in 2012. This is a wholly owned managing general agent, and a wholesale broker that underwrites and distributes various property and casualty insurance products for Conifer Holdings in various other insurance markets. We have been very pleased with the growth, and the agency of Sycamore now services over 400 retail agency clients across 48 States, and also has had an ownership position of insurance agency for commercial risks. The premiums written are not just Conifer, but for other third parties companies as well. In June, Sycamore sold select customer accounts and other related assets of some of its personal and commercial lines business to Venture Holdings. Post-deal, Sycamore will hold a non-controlling 50% interest in Venture, and continue to produce various personal and commercial lines that it did not sell, lines which are substantially all produced for, and underwritten by Conifer Insurance Company subsidiaries. We also provided employees and resources to Venture, to allow it to expand and seek new markets that it may not have been able to reach prior. Our goal was to write a solid foundation in which Venture could grow further, and we continue to benefit from that growth. The transaction we concluded with our Sycamore Agency, serves as a win-win for all parties, especially shareholders. We are able to partially monetize the book of business that our agency has grown with for both Conifer and other carriers without disruption to our premium base. In addition, Venture can continue to see additional opportunities to source premium in new markets, and Conifer can get benefit from the anticipated growth. With that, we're ready to take any questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Paul Newsome with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Paul Newsome

Analyst

Good morning. Thanks for the call. Could you talk a little bit about how the MGA may have had an impact on the profits historically? Presumably, it made some level of annual profits. And how does that affect the perspective earnings? Just, how would that affect the prospective earnings?

James Petcoff

Analyst

Thank you, Paul. That's a great question. And I'm going to defer that to Harold or Brian to answer

Brian Roney

Analyst

Thanks, Paul. So, most of the external revenue that Sycamore would have gotten, shows up in our financials as other income, which was $666,000 for the quarter. And that represents about 2.6% of our total revenues for the quarter. Not all of that is going over, but I would say most of it is. So, we're talking about a relatively small reduction in overall revenue. We don't expect to see any reduction in gross written premium as a result of this at all, just some of the other revenue. But also, there's an entire staff transitioning over with these operations. So, expenses are going to reduce as well. Now, precisely what those numbers are going to be is difficult, because there is some expense allocation going on between the various segments, but I would say overall, it’s going to be a de minimis impact to net income.

Paul Newsome

Analyst

Great. And maybe some further comments on the unfavorable reserve development. It does seem to be persisting. And I hear about the claim count declining, but it's interesting that you have declining claim count, but a pretty sizeable unfavorable reserve development at the same time. Is there a way to reconcile those two pieces that - with trends that seem to be going in the right direction, but reserve development that was in the wrong direction?

James Petcoff

Analyst

Yes, there is. The claim counts are reported claims. So, the frequency of claims versus the premium volume, has dropped significantly. Those are the percentages that Nick was referring to. The claims that were on board in the geographies that we have been exiting from say 2019 and prior, it's really 2018 and prior, 2019 and prior. Those claims continue to develop negatively. That's where the development's coming from. The current accident years, really most of ’19 and ‘20, and now, were having - were not seeing development on that. So, it's coming from those old claims. And when we wrote the business historically in those geographies in this life and in past life, they were quite successful. Changes in litigation and other things made it challenging. So, when we initially reserved, we were seeing development from there. But the claim count reductions is really more of a portender of the future of the more current accident years.

Paul Newsome

Analyst

That makes sense. But it's a frequency issue, not a - or is it also a severity issue with those historic claims?

James Petcoff

Analyst

I don't know that I'd pick one versus the other. It's not really as much of a severity issue, but we still had a large number of claims that are in litigation, and we're kind of getting nickel and dime. But those numbers are going down. That's how I would explain it. Nick, do you want to add any color to that?

Nick Petcoff

Analyst

No, I think you're right. It's more of a frequency than a severity issue in those particular areas of the hospitality book, in particular, Florida. We did have some commercial auto emergence in the quarter from our repo towing book that's essentially in runoff. And that, I don't think is a trend. I think that was more of an anomaly in this particular quarter. The other thing that I'd mentioned too is we've been, over the last few years, reducing our retention so on the liability side. So that will help offset any development from a severity standpoint instead of a frequency side. But it's definitely more of a frequency, like Jim said, sort of litigate - ongoing litigation costs in those particular areas.

Paul Newsome

Analyst

Right. Thank you for the help.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Bob Farnam with Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Bob Farnam

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Thanks and good morning. I just want to continue that conversation from Paul just a little bit, because it says in the 10-Q, you had 1.9 million of development from the ‘19 and ‘20 accident years. So, do you have the details as to what types of claims are driving that particular development?

James Petcoff

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Nick, I don't have any of that with me. Do you have that?

Nick Petcoff

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Sure. Yes. There was some development in ‘19 and ‘20, just not in the order of magnitude of the ‘18 and prior years. But if you look at ‘19 and ‘20, we did - in both years, it was hospitality focused. So the RBT in particular, not as much the QSR. And then that repo towing book, we did still have some of that business on the books in ‘19. So, that was the larger aspect. And again, yes, I don't see a trend in that line in particular. I think it was more of an anomaly for the ‘19 year in this quarter.

Bob Farnam

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Right. Okay. And I get several questions from bondholders. So, it sounds like the deal, the Sycamore deal, is not really going to impact your ability to service the debt obligations. Is that accurate?

Brian Roney

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Yes, that is absolutely right.

James Petcoff

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Brian?

Brian Roney

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Yes. No, it's absolutely accurate. If anything, I would go the other way, because as you look at our management fees having the potential to increase as we increase our topline, that means more free cash flow goes up to CHI. So, you've got greater interest coverage than you've probably ever had.

Bob Farnam

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Okay, great. And I know you've got - you still have the 24 or so million of debt that's going to come due in a couple of years. How are you - do you have any plans, or what plans do you have in place to be able to pay that down?

James Petcoff

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Well, obviously, we're taking a look at the markets, cash that we have that we're developing. We’ll have to see where we are with the topline and our overall production, but obviously, we're aware of it. It's in September of ‘23, but we still have a little bit of time as we pull our plan together. But we're fully aware of it, and we'd like to drive down that interest cost. So it’s clearly a focus for us to do a refi.

Bob Farnam

Analyst · Boenning and Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Right. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions]. The next question comes from Alex Bolton with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Alex Bolton

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Good morning. I'm calling in on behalf of Greg Peters. Appreciate you taking my questions. Maybe just start out, you touched on the rate environment seeing mid-teens. Maybe you could dive a little deeper on where you're seeing rate more so than other. And if you can comment on loss trends.

James Petcoff

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Nick?

Nick Petcoff

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Sure. Yes. The - our property, we're not seeing as much rate as we are on the liability side. We were up about 5% year-over-year in the second quarter. The liability side seems to be driving more of the rate environment right now. And even there, I'd say it's more on our specialty small business side versus the hospitality, although we are seeing rate on the hospitality side as well. But given the lockdowns and other things, it's a little bit more muted than the small business side, which really has not been affected as much. And then on commercial auto, we are still seeing some rate increases, although not as much as we had seen the last several years. That seems to be moderating somewhat, but all in all, sort of across the board, other than work comp, we're seeing a very strong rate environment.

Alex Bolton

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Okay. And then on, I guess, you touched on lockdowns. I guess, are you seeing effects of the Delta variant on business?

James Petcoff

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Yes, we are. I think on the hospitality side, we - it's hard to really identify whether it's driven by Delta variant or just the employee shortages that we mentioned in the call. We are still seeing many of our restaurant clients having reduced hours, reduced capacity. And again, it's hard to really identify that as Delta variant versus labor shortages. So, we're certainly continuing to evaluate it. I know there's been talk of additional mitigation measures and maybe even lockdowns in certain areas. I haven't seen any of that come to fruition yet. But on the flip side, we did see - we've seen increased activity really throughout the year on the hospitality book, which is really the one that's been the most affected. So, we are still seeing some after-effects of COVID. Today, it's hard to say whether that's through the summer that's been Delta variant or labor shortages.

Alex Bolton

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Okay. And then - and lastly, with the sale of Sycamore, you said it’s de minimis to net income on the expense side. I just want to confirm that it's not going to help you push down to the 40% target on your expense ratio.

James Petcoff

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

I think it's going to help us quite a bit. We moved over quite a number of resources for people, et cetera. We didn't really sell all of Sycamore. We just sold some assets and some renewal rights. So, Sycamore still operates. Not all of its revenue is gone. Just, it was more of a strategic sale of certain business units. So, we think it's a win-win. We sold it. We still have an ongoing interest in how - and a motivation to help them grow. And so, we see it as a positive all the way around.

Alex Bolton

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Okay, perfect. Thanks for the answers.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jim Petcoff for any closing remarks.

James Petcoff

Analyst

I just want to say, I really do appreciate everyone's time and interest in the company. And I do invite you to reach out to us with any questions that you may have in the future. Thanks again, and I hope you guys enjoy, or you people, everyone, enjoys the rest of the summer. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.