Judy Brown
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Joe. Good morning everyone. As you just heard, we closed fiscal 2014 on a high note, delivering record financial results, despite the various challenges the organization confronted. On a consolidated basis the team continued its strong performance, posting record quarterly revenue, adjusted margins, and adjusted earnings. As usual I will provide a brief overview of the adjusted results to the fiscal fourth quarter by business segments. Then I will walk you through the consolidated and segment earnings guidance for fiscal 2015. So let's begin with the fiscal fourth quarter highlights in the individual business segments starting on Slide 8 with Consumer Healthcare. The 8% net sales growth was driven by an increase in sales of existing products for $52 million primarily in the antacids and smoking cessation category. New product sales of approximately $15 million and $6 million attributable to the recent acquisition of OTC products acquired from Aspen. These combined increases were offset by a decline of $29 million in sales of existing products, due primarily to relatively lower sales in third-party contract manufacturing and a delayed start to the flea and tick in the U.S. The animal health revenue realized in the quarter was in fact softer than we had hoped as the slow start to the season we noted last quarter continued. Despite these impacts, I'm pleased to note that sales within all major categories of OTC were up year-over-year. Specifically the smoking cessation category performed above our expectations due to two factors. One, continued robust sales of the store brand version of Nicorette mini lozenges; and two, our teams ability to efficiently supply our customers needed products as national branded competitor is not shipping specific skews at this time. Within the GI category, sales of Lansoprazole were higher year-over-year, due to increased customer utilization of the store brand products, as well as manufacturing issues at a competitive store brand supplier. The adjusted gross margin decline of 210 basis points was due to a combination of relatively weaker sales within the higher margin animal health category, relatively weaker products mix, and an under absorption of fixed production costs. Remember, as we have previously stated, we have begun to make investments to an increased plant capacity to support our long-term growth initiatives. These forces were partially offset by greater sales in specific higher margin products within the categories I just mentioned. The difference between the adjusted growth and adjusted operating margin leverage year-over-year was due primarily to lower DSG&A expenses as a percent of sales, as we further integrated the animal health and diabetes category, thereby decreasing redundant costs. This lower DSG&A spend was partially offset by increased R&D investments as we continue to build our long-term pipeline. On Slide 9, you can see that net sales in nutritionals were $145 million as new product sales of $6 million were more than offset by the combination of lower year-over-year sales in infant toddler foods and $4 million in discontinued products. Despite not achieving our sales guidance range for the segment in total, within the infant formula category revenue was driven by strong growth in our organic formula product line as consumer interest in these types of high quality offerings continues to grow. Additionally, our infant formula sales to China relaunched in fiscal Q3 continued this quarter consistent with our expectations. Adjusted gross margin for the segment decreased 140 basis points year-over-year to 27.5%, due to scheduled maintenance effort at our manufacturing facilities in June. Adjusted operating margin was impacted by increased promotional investments to support the launch of our branded probiotic insync. On Slide 10, you can see that our Rx business continues its robust performance as net sales growth was driven by new products sales of $35 million and sales related to products acquired from the acquisition of Fera of $20 million. Adjusted gross and operating margin expansion continued increasing 440 basis points and 550 basis points respectively. The adjusted operating margin expanded even despite higher dollar investments in research and development clinical studies, as well as continued investments to grow our specialty Rx sales force. Turning to Slide 11. Net sales in the API segment declined to $33 million, due to a decrease in existing product sales of $70 million, as a result of increased competition on certain products, partially offset by $8 million in new product sales. Growth and operating margins expanded due primarily to product mix and decrease of G&A expenses. Given our continued focus on vertical integration we may start in rightsizing API's cost structure to mere this focus, evidenced by an expansion in margin. The majority of this impact is expected to materialize next quarter. Turning to Slide 12, Specialty Sciences revenues were $86 million for the quarter comprised of one month of Tysabri royalties at 12%, two months at 18%, and approximately $10 million attributable to the royalty recognized from Biogen's deferred revenue in Italy. Adjusted operating margin incorporated ongoing administrative operating cost for the quarter. The consolidated adjusted effective tax rate for this quarter was 21% and 20.7% for the fiscal year in line with our expectations. I will end my fiscal year 2014 comments with my favorite topic, cash. We concluded the year with cash flow from operations of $694 million, even after the inclusion of $186 million of one-time costs related to our Elan acquisition this year, a very strong finish to the year. So within Consumer Healthcare, we anticipate that store brands will continue to be important contributors for the growth of our retail customers, and therefore our plan assumes that excluding those categories impacted by national brand market return, store brand share of the OTC pharmaceutical market will continue to grow. Likewise we have assumed that our store brands, our share of store brands will continue to increase. Also I would like to remind you that our annual planning follows the same assumptions we have used in the past regarding each of the cough, cold, flu and allergy seasons. That is we estimate the demand for the upcoming season choosing the average of the previous 10 seasons. Now let's walk through a few specific products in detail. Included in our guidance on a risk adjusted basis are the launches of the store brand versions of specific nasal corticosteroid products in time for the spring 2015 allergy season. Our guidance also includes the expected launch of store and value brand versions of flea and tick line extension products in time for next season. Not included in our guidance at this time are either the 600 milligram extended release guaifenesin product or the broader family of Mucinex D, DM, Max et cetera equivalent products. Joe will discuss these items in further detail in a few minutes. And repeating a comment from a moment ago, CHD's year-over-year revenue growth range also reflects the impact of a continuing return to market of a large branded analgesic competitor's product lineup. In our Nutritional segment, our revenue guidance includes the assumption that by the end of fiscal 2015, we will grow infant formula store brand market share, increase our international presence, and launch the store brand version of Ensure adult nutrition drink. This revenue guidance also includes growth greater than 5% in our BMS category as we continue to expand distribution and sales of insync probiotic. For Rx, we anticipate top-line growth driven by new products and recent acquisitions. Adjusted margins are expected to remain strong. Within the Specialty Sciences segment, we expect to receive an 18% royalty on in-market sales of Tysabri up to $2 billion and a 25% royalty on any sales above this level. Now looking to our consolidated projections, for fiscal 2015 we anticipate adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $7.20 and $7.50, an increase of 13% to 17% compared to fiscal 2014's $6.39. Summing everything back up at the consolidated Perrigo P&L, we estimate that net growth will be between 7% and 11% compared to fiscal 2014 and assume new product sales of greater than $235 million, with approximately 70% of these sales expected in the second half of the fiscal year, as well as continued growth in our base business. After you roll up the individual business units, you should include in your model corporate unallocated expenses of approximately $80 million and interest expense of approximately $100 million. Additionally, we are estimating an adjusted worldwide effective tax rate of approximately 16% for fiscal 2015, excluding any impacts from the resolution of ongoing tax examination and other statute expiration. So that is the full year view. As I noted a few minutes, we also spend considerable amount to time debating the need to provide our investors some additional color around upcoming quarters. While we are not moving to a quarterly guidance model, given the many complexities of our varied business units, we would like to provide an overview of our first fiscal quarter to help further refine your FY 2015 model. As you may recall, earnings in our first fiscal quarter of 2014 were strong. We exclusively launched the U.S. generic of Temodar, we shipped a large amount of OTC product as retailers pushed for an early buy into the season, and we recorded a large amount of contract sales in Consumer Healthcare. As you model fiscal 2015 please note that while we expect to execute well on our core businesses, these same specific dynamics experienced last year at this time are not expected to repeat. The totality of these relative quarterly dynamics including additional investments to further our strategic plan, are expected to produce first quarter FY 2015 year-over-year adjusted net income growth at the lower end of the full fiscal year 31% to 37% guidance range you see here. Taking the incremental 39 million shares outstanding in the first quarter FY 2015, adjusted EPS are expected to be lower versus this time in fiscal 2014. So thinking about the remainder of the fiscal year, due to the dynamics I just highlighted, we expect the weighting of net sales and EPS to be lowest in our first fiscal quarter to notch up in the second and third fiscal quarters and to be at their highest in the fourth quarter due to seasonality as we plan to launch further line extension flea and tick products and a more heavily weighted second half for anticipated new product launches which I mentioned earlier. Operating cash flow is expected to continue to be robust in fiscal 2015 growing to over $1 billion furthered by a full year of Tysabri revenues and a strong base business cash generation. In summary, we've concluded another record year where we crossed $4 billion in annual sales, grew organic top-line sales 7% in a difficult environment, and furthered our operational excellence. The acquisition of Elan provided us with a significant platform to continue growing and we continue to invest in R&D and plant capacity for the long-term. Fiscal 2015 looks to be another productive year as we expect to launch over $235 million in new products and advance many strategic initiatives through both organic and inorganic growth. Now let me turn it back to Joe.