Judy L. Brown
Analyst · Louise Chen, Guggenheim
Thanks, Joe. Good morning, everyone. As you just heard, the team was able to post record revenue as well as record quarterly adjusted operating income and adjusted gross margin despite a dynamic and, quite frankly, difficult quarter. Our planning had always anticipated that the second half of our fiscal year would be more heavily weighted than the first. And our February guidance anticipated an even heavier fiscal fourth quarter as we considered timing of new product approvals, robust animal health introductions, et cetera. As I'll discuss in a few minutes, the 9% revenue growth in this fiscal third quarter brought us over the $1 billion mark for the first time, a cause for celebration. However, the results admittedly fell short of our own expectations and have created an immediate impetus driving many directed initiatives around the organization for the remainder of the year. I'll talk about priority setting for our fourth quarter and going into fiscal 2015 in a few minutes. But now, let's dive into the fiscal third quarter results by business segment beginning on Slide 7. Net sales were essentially flat in Consumer Healthcare. We had approximately $12 million in new product sales, $6 million of inorganic growth attributable to the acquisitions of Velcera and OTC products acquired from Aspen Global and also saw an increase in sales of existing products of $17 million, primarily in the smoking cessation and dermatologic categories. These combined increases were offset by a $36 million decline in sales of existing products in the cough/cold, contract manufacturing and analgesics categories. Two major headwinds which we highlighted last quarter also impacted year-over-year net sales this quarter. First, sales within our U.S. contract manufacturing business were down more than 25% year-over-year, as a certain contract customer that we supplied product to in fiscal 2013 resumed production at its own facilities, thereby reducing the need for products sourced from Perrigo. This decline impacted Consumer Healthcare's top line by nearly 200 basis points in the quarter. Second, the return of product to market by a specific national brand competitor impacted year-over-year net sales, particularly in the analgesic and cough/cold categories. Now I'd like to discuss how the "perfect storm" of unexpected exogenous factors, including many of which you've heard and read about endlessly in the news, impacted Consumer Healthcare's net sales this quarter. First, as Jeff Needham discussed at Analyst Day, this cough/cold/flu season was much weaker than last year's and yielded a very difficult year-over-year sales comparison. In fact, according to IMS FAN data, the incidence of cough, cold and flu was down double digits year-over-year. Second, according to the most recent Morgan Stanley retail atlas report, approximately 36% of all retail outlets in the U.S. and Canada are located in cold climate zones, with another 24% located in the southeast, which saw its own share of ice storms throughout the quarter. As we've all heard in recent reports, U.S. retailers have been affirming lower year-over-year consumer foot traffic trends due to this inclement weather. We believe that this factor impacted our sales as well. And lastly, our net sales were impacted by inventory reduction programs at a number of our retail customers, which Joe highlighted just a few moments ago. Adjusted gross margin contracted 140 basis points, primarily due to underabsorption of fixed production costs relative to lower volume output year-over-year. As we frequently discuss, our high-efficiency and high-volume production is a terrific competitive advantage for us. However, the significant scale of these Consumer Healthcare plans create unique challenges for us when sale volumes drop rapidly below our plan for thresholds. And as Joe mentioned, we closed our plants more this winter than the last 10 years combined, clearly a factor we had not anticipated. The team controlled variable SG&A to compensate for the slower-than-expected quarter. But given the significant number of known and potential Rx-to-OTC switches on deck, they continue to increase their investments in R&D for future expected approvals and launches. These important business investments drove the incremental decrease in adjusted operating margin you see here. On Slide 8, you can see that net sales within the Nutritionals segment increased more than 3% year-over-year, as new product sales contributed $7 million and existing product sales increased $4 million. These increases were partially offset by $6 million in discontinued products. While we did see a net increase, year-over-year, net sales growth was constrained by 2 major factors. First, net sales were lower in our oral electrolyte solutions category due to the weak cough/cold/flu season, as the severity of winter illness is a major driver of product usage. Second, while consumers have accepted the plastic tub within the infant formula category, as evidenced by store brand market penetration of approximately 12%, 2 major infant formula manufacturers launched value-size promotional items during the quarter. While we anticipate launching store brand versions of these items within the current calendar year, these promotional items have caused a short-term disruption in market share gains. Sales within the VMS category were 11% higher year-over-year, fueled by the launch of insync, our internally developed natural probiotic, which is sold as a national brand. We expect full distribution of our insync over the coming months at multiple retail outlets. The adjusted gross margin in the Nutritionals segment increased 230 basis points, driven by the higher relative adjusted gross margin of the insync brand and improved operating efficiencies over the last year. The adjusted operating margin grew, but at a slower pace than adjusted gross margin, as we chose to make more incremental promotional and selling expenditures related to the launch of insync. As you can see on Slide 9, the Rx team continue to perform extremely well on nearly all metrics. Net sales within our Rx segment increased 18% to $223 million in the quarter due to new product sales of $33 million and incremental net sales of $17 million from the Rosemont and Fera acquisitions, partially offset by a decrease in existing product sales of $9 million and $8 million of discontinued products. Adjusted gross margin increased due to acquisitions, favorable product mix versus last year and higher margin on new product sales. The adjusted operating margin was affected by higher DSG&A costs due to the inclusion of Rosemont, coupled with investments in our specialty sales force, which Doug Boothe highlighted at our Analyst Day in February. Next, on Slide 10, net sales in the API segment declined to $32 million due to a decrease in existing product sales of $17 million as a result of increased competition on certain products, partially offset by $8 million in new product sales. API growth and operating margins were impacted by the decrease in sales of existing products I just referred to and lower volumes, resulting in lower absorption of fixed costs. Turning to Slide 11. Specialty sciences revenues were $53 million for the quarter, representing 12% of Biogen Idec's global sales of Tysabri. Adjusted operating margin incorporated R&D investments related to the ELND005 clinical program, which was transferred to Transition Therapeutics during the quarter, plus other administrative operating costs. As we discussed last quarter, our consolidated adjusted effective tax rate for the full year was expected to be approximately 21% to 22%. The adjusted effective rate this third fiscal quarter was approximately 17.9%, lower than we had anticipated due to the actual jurisdictional mix of earnings before tax reported. This mix shift was a direct result of the relatively weak cough/cold/flu and retail season in the U.S. Now some quick highlights on our balance sheet, including cash, current investments and current maturities and short-term debt. Working capital was $876 million at the end of the quarter compared to $754 million at June 29, 2013, for an increase of $122 million, which is primarily due to the Elan acquisition and strong Rx organic growth. As of March 29, 2014, total current and long-term debt on the face of the balance sheet was $3.3 billion, flat sequentially from last quarter. Net debt, that is gross debt less cash, cash equivalents and current securities, was $2.7 billion, which equals a net debt-to-total capital at the end of our third quarter of 24%. Year-to-date net cash flow from operations was $401 million, even with the inclusion of an estimated $185 million of transaction and acquisition cost cash flows related to Elan. Now I'd like to discuss our updated earnings outlook for fiscal 2014 on Slide 12 in further detail. For Consumer Healthcare, we are making further adjustments to revenue expectations to reflect the weak cough/cold/flu season, the lower consumer activity at retail due to extreme winter weather conditions and inventory reductions we are experiencing at a number of our retail customers. Our expectations do include, however, the effects of an expected much stronger fiscal fourth quarter in our Animal Health category as we launch new products, such as PetArmor Plus flea and tick product, and as we move into what we anticipate will be a robust flea and tick season. Despite these headwinds, we are not making any adjustments to margins. Within the API segment, we are adjusting revenue expectations to reflect the increasingly competitive market dynamic of the products in our portfolio. And as such, you see here the impact both of the fiscal third quarter results and a more competitive fourth quarter than initially anticipated. Summing all of this back to the consolidated P&L on Slide 13. We now estimate consolidated year-over-year revenue growth to be in a range of 13% to 15% with no change to our expectations for adjusted gross and operating margin expansion. As noted last quarter, we expect the adjusted effective tax rate for the full fiscal year to be approximately 21% to 22%. As a reminder, we continue to expect our total shares outstanding to be approximately 134 million shares on a go-forward basis, which equates to a full year fiscal 2014 weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 116 million shares. All of these rolls up to an adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $6.15 to $6.30 per share for full year fiscal 2014. We've adjusted our expected range of cash flow from operations slightly from last quarter, bringing it back to our original August guidance. Please note, though, that we expect to achieve this level of operating cash flow while absorbing approximately $190 million of Elan-related acquisition costs which were not in the original August guidance range. Despite a confluence of external dynamics that adversely affected several areas of our business, this team still delivered top line growth of 9% and adjusted net income growth of 31%. We believe that our overall diversified business model is strong, and we are fully aware of what our to-do list is to execute on our underlying longer-term plans. This team is laser-focused on mitigating the impact of external challenges through both cost containment and strictly prioritizing only those investments critical for our long term. Our CHC team is running hard to make the Animal Health new product and store brand launches on deck for the fourth quarter a success. Effective May 1, we will be realizing 18% royalties on all worldwide sales of Tysabri, increasing the anticipated run rate in our Specialty Sciences segment quarter-over-quarter. Through all of this, we remain firmly committed to doing the right things to drive new product approval, technology development and consumer awareness to enable the success of the many exciting growth initiatives we have on deck for our future. And now let me turn it back to Joe.