Earnings Labs

Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Sun, May 10, 2020

$33.68

+2.48%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Perdoceo Education Corporation Q1 2020 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions]. Please note this event is being recorded.I would now like to turn the conference over to Brooks Hamilton, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Brooks Hamilton

Analyst

Thank you, Jesse. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us for our first quarter 2020 earnings call. With me on the call today is Todd Nelson, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ashish Ghia, Chief Financial Officer. This conference call is being webcast live within the Investor Relations section at perdoceoed.com. A webcast replay will also be available on our site, and you can always contact the Alpha IR Group for Investor Relations support.Let me remind you that this afternoon’s earnings release and remarks made today include forward-looking statements as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are based on assumptions made by, and information currently available to, Perdoceo Education and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual future results, performance, business prospects, and opportunities to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements.These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those factors identified in Perdoceo’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as expressly required by the securities laws, the company undertakes no obligation to update those factors or any forward-looking statements to reflect future events, developments or changed circumstances or for any other reason.In addition, today’s remarks refer to non-GAAP financial measures, which are intended to supplement but not substitute for the most directly comparable GAAP measures. The earnings release that accompanies today’s call contains financial and other quantitative information to be discussed today as well as the reconciliation of the GAAP to non-GAAP measures and is available within the Investor Relations page of the company’s Web site.With that, I’d like to turn the call over to Todd Nelson. Todd?

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Thank you, Brooks. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us on today’s call. Before I discuss the quarter, let me first acknowledge the unique challenges as well as the social and economic impact that the COVID-19 pandemic has presented to our communities.To that point, the health and wellbeing of our students, employees and communities is our top priority. Being a primarily online learning institution, most of our students were already taking classes online. Further, with the help of our scalable and innovative technology infrastructure, campus-based students are also now taking classes online.Additionally, we have transitioned to a remote work environment and provided our employees with the tools and resources necessary to work remotely. COVID-19-related costs and other impacts to us thus far, including costs of transitioned students and employees to remote environment, are not material to our operating results. We are also closely monitoring all aspects of our operations and will strive to serve our students well while promoting the health and wellbeing of our employees and communities.With that background, let us discuss the quarter. We entered 2020 with positive momentum at both universities, which resulted in first quarter results that came in ahead of our expectations. This highlights our execution against the objective of sustainable and responsible growth.Some key operational highlights include; first, growth in quarterly revenue and operating income versus the prior year quarter as we continue to prioritize investments in student-serving processes and initiatives that positively influence student experiences, retention and academic outcomes.Two, enrollment trends at both universities continue to be positive, reflecting sustained levels of prospective student interest, which was well served by our student support infrastructure. Three, our previously announced acquisition of substantially all of the assets of Trident University International was completed in early March. We’ll refer to this asset acquisition transition…

Ashish Ghia

Analyst

Thank you, Todd. I will review the first quarter 2020 results and then discuss our balance sheet and updated 2020 outlook before handing the call back to Todd for his closing remarks. All comparisons are versus the comparative prior year period, unless otherwise stated.Before I begin, a quick comment on the year-over-year comparability. Beginning March 2, 2020, operating results for AIU will incorporate the Trident acquisition. As Todd mentioned, the first quarter results reflect the positive momentum coming into 2020. Total company operating income was $37.3 million, an improvement of $7.3 million or 24.5% as compared to an operating income of $30 million.We believe adjusted operating income, which excludes certain significant and non-cash items is more reflective of the underlying operating performance. This measure increased 23.7% to $40.8 million for the quarter and was above the high end of our outlook range of $37.5 to $39 million, even if we were to exclude the positive impact from the Trident acquisition.Net income for the quarter was $29.1 million or $0.41 per diluted share, while adjusted earnings per diluted share, which we believe is more reflective of the underlying operating performance, was up 16.7% to $0.42 per share.The improvement in operating performance was primarily due to the revenue growth at both universities, reflecting underlying enrollment growth that was well supported by our student-serving operations.Also benefiting our first quarter results was the Trident acquisition, which closed on March 2 as well as timing of certain operating expenses. Some of the cost items partially offsetting these positives were investments in marketing and student-serving functions and costs associated with our compliance monitoring efforts.Now on to more specific details around the quarter. Total company revenue increased by $13.1 million or 8.3% to $171 million as compared to the prior year quarter. As it relates to our…

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Thanks, Ashish. Pleased with our first quarter operating results as we continue to execute on our strategy. While the current uncertainty presents a challenge to our communities and the world at large, we will continue to – our focus is on positively impacting student experiences, retention and academic outcomes, while focusing on the wellbeing of our students and employees.I believe we’re building a leadership position in online postsecondary education and we are well positioned to serve and educate current and prospective nontraditional students with a focus on adult learners. Thank you again for joining us today.And we’ll now open the call for any analyst questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. The first question comes from Dan Moore with CJS Securities. Please go ahead.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. It’s Pete Lukas for Dan. I’ll start with a big picture question. Can you talk about what you’ve learned so far from Trident now that you’ve had the chance to get under the hood for the last several weeks, anything special stand out at you there?

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Thanks. Hope everything is well with you and your family. Yes, the thing that’s probably has been most encouraging is the quality of their team, their staff, their faculty. We’re very encouraged by, again, their understanding of the industry and again their ability to continue to execute and operate in an integration-type setting. I think that’s always been a concern when you have two institutions coming together. But I do think that shows, again, the maturity and the experience of their team as well as that of AIU and Perdoceo, those support services. So thus far, we expected it but I didn’t think it would be going as well as it is. We’re optimistic as well that as we get later into the year, the ability to benefit from the breadth and depth of programs that they’ll bring to us. So thus far, we’re very encouraged.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

That’s great. Congratulations again on that. And if you could just remind us what percentage of these students across the board, CTU, AIU, including Trident, have their education partially or fully funded by their employer? And are you seeing any measurable uptick or changes in that with the high unemployment there now?

Todd Nelson

Analyst

We haven’t – I’ll let Ashish comment on that. I don’t think that we’ve disclosed any of that this quarter. We had last quarter, which we did at a percentage. But just in general, we’ve not to this point noticed any material change in our relationships with those corporations providing reimbursement. Obviously, we’ll continue to monitor that as the year goes on and as we see how long the pandemic lasts and the impact on that. But at this point, nothing meaningful as far as any change. Ashish, you want to add to that?

Ashish Ghia

Analyst

Sure. As Todd mentioned, we don’t disclose anything this quarter. But for year-end 2019, we did say roughly about 19% of enrollments at CTU come from such partnerships and AIU is much lower than that.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Great. Very helpful. Thank you. And then if in fact there were to become an issue in terms of the unemployment creating a problem, what other levers do you think could you still pull to prioritize profitability?

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Well, again, I think that we have an enrollment staff and our ability then if we were to see maybe a pullback in some of those areas, the corporate areas, we would redeploy those resources in to areas that – other areas that are not in the corporate area, the reimbursement area. But again, those resources are still available to do that. But as far as we continue to work with those companies to see if there’s other things we can do to help. But again, at this point, very difficult to say depending on how long the situation goes.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Great. Thanks. And last one for me just one on the numbers question in terms of the guidance. It looks like adjusted operating income and adjusted EPS went up modestly, approximately $4 million operating income, and I think $0.04 to $0.05 adjusted EPS despite the addition of Trident, which I believe carried an 8 million to 10 million EBITDA on an annual basis. Are you building in some incremental headwinds or just do you think kind of being conservative?

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Well, again, like I said, it’s only a partial year. So we don’t – you’re right. We don’t bring in the full year of that. That’s number one. Number two, there are some associated integration costs that you’d expect. And I think we want to be cautious, especially as we combine the two that we’re not too overly optimistic about the contribution this year. Ashish, you want to add to that?

Ashish Ghia

Analyst

No, I think that’s it. And also, as you know, as we mentioned, the outlook also incorporates some known costs associated with COVID. So once you take that into account, the fact that it’s a partial year. In addition, we have some integration costs, restructuring costs. I think that should account for the math there.

Peter Lukas

Analyst

Very helpful. Thank you and congrats again on the quarter.

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Alex Paris with Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Hi, guys. How are you?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Good. Hope everything’s well with you Alex and family?

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Yes, everything is good here. Hope the same for you guys. I wanted to congratulate you on the beat and raise, quite rare in this environment over the last couple of weeks. I wanted to talk to you about the top of the funnel. You noted to the previous question that you haven’t seen much change from your existing relationships with corporate partners. What does the top of the funnel look like? One could argue with everybody being home, there’s more time to go to school online. One could argue in the long run, online is going to be more accepted. But there are people at home, worried about their jobs, worried about money, the kids are running around. Have you noticed any changes positive or negative to the top of the funnel in terms of inquiries, leads, and then the impact of your investments on conversion rates?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Yes. It’s interesting because, again, that’s such a good point you make. I do think that at least from my prior experience that in this type of environment, there tends to be a higher level of interest from prospective students, mostly because again there’s – I think there’s a certain amount of concern that we all feel and as a result I think people are trying to improve themselves, their marketability, their ability to get jobs, keep jobs, those kinds of things. And so typically, you would see that. I think from our lead flow, we haven’t seen any disruption, probably a little bit of an increase. But again, I would say the best way to say is consistent with a slight amount of improvement. And as far as, again, from a – you can see from a new student perspective, from the results this quarter, it was very encouraging. Again, the length and depth of obviously the challenge that the overall economy is going to face, it’s hard to predict where that’s going obviously, but I do think that with people, as you said, just time at home to focus on it, our ability to deliver the quality education wherever they are remotely, is certainly to our advantage and to their advantage as well. So again, hard to say how that will be throughout the rest of the year. But our hope is that life will get back to normal soon. But in the meantime, again, thus far, we’re seeing on that the top of the funnel, as you said, continues to be stable to encouraging.

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Great. And then corporate students aside, anything noteworthy in stop-outs or dropouts since this COVID situation started versus your normal expectations?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Good question. Again, relatively stable. Again, from a retention perspective, I would say we’re encouraged by things. We haven’t really seen any negative impact. But let me just see if Ashish, if he would like to add to that.

Ashish Ghia

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

No, I think nothing from my end. I think, as Todd mentioned, it’s relatively stable. And we are watching all trends very cautiously. But so far, nothing that jumps out.

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

And then the last question in that series of questions, how about the campus-based students? I realize it’s not a big number. It’s a small number. You’re 95% online across both universities. But those who have been forced to move fully online, anything noteworthy there, stop-outs, refund requests, anything like that? I have kids that go to traditional schools and in the 18 to 22-year-old range. And every parent I talk to says, hey, where’s my discount, assuming that there should be some discount associated with online, which is not the case. We all know that the costs are pretty comparable.

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Yes, it’s interesting because you’re right. Over 95% of our students are being online already. It was not difficult to migrate those on-ground students to an online format. And Ashish, I’ve not seen any additional refund requests over normal, have you? Again, I did not look at that specifically, but have you?

Ashish Ghia

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

No, not to our knowledge and I haven’t seen it either.

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

One of the nice things about it is that obviously would be the first area that as things get back a little bit more normal to be able to bring back those students. You know the states that we do have locations or campuses are probably states that have not been impacted as bad as some of the other states, for example, as you know, Georgia, Texas, and Colorado. Those are the only – we have four campuses in those three states. And so again, there the environment is probably a little bit more conducive when that time comes. But at this point, again, so far, the students have been engaged in the on-ground locations in an online environment.

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Just to be clear. Have you announced that you’re returning to campus at any of these campuses? Have you set a date for that or are you still kind of watching it?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

We have not. We have had some discussions with certain programs in our Atlanta school and have had obviously looking at a few things in Texas. But at this point, not a definitive date, no.

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

And sometimes – I think one of the ed tech companies that reported recently said something along the lines of crisis could sometimes create great opportunity. And there are already very strong long-term trends towards online. And this particular company said this should accelerate it, pull forward demand for online, which bodes well for Perdoceo, first off. But during this period of crisis, have any traditional universities reached out to you, given your expertise in online, given your strong shared services operation for help? And I know in the past, you’ve talked about maybe creating an online, a hybrid online program manager in the future. This could be just that opportunity maybe when the crisis is behind us to be able to offer those services on a fee-for-service basis to traditional universities going forward. Any conversations there or any new thoughts with regard to hybrid OPM for Perdoceo?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

We have not had any discussions as a result of this to this point. I do think, as you said though, there are some opportunities here because, again, of our experience of managing a very large online operation with good academic outcomes. And I think as more traditional universities with large on-ground numbers, they’re going to need to not only look to having an online platform, which is most of them do, but how do you find a platform that accommodates a massive number of students and still produce the level of outcome that we’ve been able to as well as have faculty prepared and trained to teach in an online environment. So again, to date, have not had any discussions, but I do think that there will be some future opportunities because I think they’re seeing one of the – at least from things that we’ve seen that and as they’ve moved to online, some of the challenges that they’re now experiencing, I think it would make sense for them to look to working with a partner that understands how to deliver that for large numbers of students.

Alex Paris

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Great. Well, thank you again. Thanks for taking my questions and way to go on the beat and raise.

Ashish Ghia

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Thank you.

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Thanks, Alex.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. The next question comes from Greg Pendy with Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Greg Pendy

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Thanks for taking my questions. Just real quick, how should we be thinking about revenue per student at AIU just given the Trident acquisition second half versus the prior year? And just I guess within this quarter, is the downtick reflective of just a partial contribution from Trident with the March close?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Ashish, do you want to address that?

Ashish Ghia

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Sure. Yes. So from a revenue per student I think, Greg, the best way to look at historical trends and as with AIU, you need to look at a couple of quarters together to normalize those trends. And yes, to your point, for this quarter the denominator, like will have total all these students at Trident, but you will only have one month of revenue. So that will have some noise in there. So you are spot on that.

Greg Pendy

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Okay, great. And then also just as we think about integration risk with Trident, just given the calendar and also maybe a difference in schedule of credits, is that something we should – that you guys feel you’ve worked through or is that something that poses a little bit of integration risk over maybe the next quarter or two?

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Well, they will keep their same calendar. Trident will, again, because their model is a little bit different and so we don’t want to disrupt that. As you know, it’s a much – it’s a smaller institution. So again, it will have an impact but not a significant impact. But as Ashish said, this coming quarter, there is a significant amount of upside as far as number of enrollment days, 50%. So obviously, we will expect a big number as far as a year-over-year improvement. And then the second half, that has been factored in. And there’s – again, as he said, Q3 and Q4 will have a similar number of enrollment days year-over-year, so it’ll be relatively stable. Again, the goal as we said as we continue to get larger, a larger amount of scale, to hopefully have more of those quarters that are very similar in number of enrollment days year-over-year. So again, I think short term, you don’t see much impact. But long term, I think that does really assist in our ability to have a more stable academic calendar for AIU.

Greg Pendy

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

That’s helpful. Thanks a lot.

Ashish Ghia

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Thank you.

Todd Nelson

Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Thank you, Greg.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. That does conclude today’s conference. Thank you for attending today’s presentation and you may now disconnect.

Todd Nelson

Analyst

Thank you. Thank you for joining us.

Ashish Ghia

Analyst

Thank you.