Ashish Ghia
Analyst · Barrington Research. Please go ahead
Thank you, Todd. I will start with a review of our full-year and fourth quarter results, then discuss our balance sheet and 2019 outlook before handing the call back to Todd for his closing remarks. All comparisons are versus the comparative prior year period unless otherwise stated. For the full-year 2018, total company operating income was $71.3 million, an improvement of approximately 109%, as compared to $34.1 million. Adjusted operating income, which excludes certain significant and non-cash items is more indicative of the underlying core operating performance. This measure came in at $105.2 million for the year, which was at the high-end of our outlook range of $101 million to $106 million and grew approximately 57% versus the prior year. Net income for the year was $55.2 million and diluted EPS was $0.77, while adjusted diluted EPS, which again is more indicative of underlying operating performance was $1.05. This improvement in operating performance versus the prior year was primarily driven by the completion of the teach-out strategy and growth within our University Group. Offsetting these were costs for ongoing investments in technology and student-serving processes and initiatives. Overall, we ended the year on a strong note, with fourth quarter adjusted operating income of $29.7 million and cash flow from operations of $38.7 million. Before I go into the segment details, let me quickly review two of the adjusting items for the fourth quarter. First, we recorded a $5 million settlement charge as part of the agreements with the attorney generals from 48 states and the District of Columbia. This concludes the previously disclosed multi-state inquiries ongoing since Jan of 2014. Second is a $2.6 million non-cash charge to adjust sublease and other occupancy cost assumptions made in conjunction with previously recorded unused space charges related to closed campuses. Please note that we are near the tail end of our teach-out-related contractual lease obligations with under $11 million remaining through 2021. A majority of these obligations have already been expensed through the end of 2018. Excluding our teach-outs, adjusted operating income for the University Group and corporate was $115 million for 2018. The full-year performance was 8.6% higher versus the prior year and is consistent with our overall objective of sustainable and responsible growth. These increases were primarily driven by full-year revenue growth at both universities, offset by investments in student-serving processes and initiatives. Moving on to the Individual segments. Fourth quarter University Group revenue increased by 2.2% to $145.5 million, with full-year revenue up 2%. This increase was partially driven by positive momentum in student enrollment trends that have been supported by the strategic initiatives that Todd discussed above. Revenue at CTU was flat for the quarter, while AIU’s revenue increased by $3.1 million, or 6.5%. Focusing on CTU. New enrollments were up 6.7%. Total enrollments grew by 2.3% and revenue was up by 1.2%. Operating income at CTU increased $2.4 million, or 2.2% versus the prior year, driven by revenue growth, which was partially offset by investment in student-serving processes and initiatives. As Todd outlined, this growth is primarily driven by investments at our Illinois and Arizona student support centers, supported by consistent levels of prospective student interest for our programs. Also contributing to this positive performance was the continued progress and growth we are experiencing within our corporate partnership program. Driven by these initiatives and trends, we expect CTU to again experience new enrollment growth for the full-year 2019. A quick comment on revenue per student at CTU, which was below prior year. As previously discussed, we are experiencing an increasing mix of students to corporate partnerships that are awarded higher grants from the University to offset their tuition costs. However, these students do have lower application and support costs and we are seeing increased persistence for these students versus our overall population. Moving on to AIU. Full-year revenue increased $6.7 million, or 3.4% versus the prior year, with fourth quarter revenue growth accelerating to 6.5%, or $3.1 million. AIU also saw strong operating leverage during the quarter, with operating income of $4.6 million, as compared to $0.4 million in the prior year. Also contributing to this performance were operating efficiencies primarily related to the process reengineering efforts, offset by ongoing student-serving technology and investments. Total student enrollments at AIU decreased 6.3% for the year, driven by an approximate 31% decline in new student enrollments for the quarter. Please note that there were 39% less enrollment days in the fourth quarter and recall that the academic calendar redesign at AIU, specifically the number of enrolment days in any given quarter has a significant impact on the new enrollments for the quarter. Excluding this variability, we believe AIU actually experienced new enrollment growth for the fourth quarter, which also partially drove the 6.5% revenue growth. As Todd noted, we expect AIU to experience significant growth in new enrollments for the first quarter of 2019. In addition to the ongoing investments in student-serving processes and initiatives, this growth will be driven by a 60% increase in enrollment days for the quarter. We expect this new enrollment growth to more than offset the decline from the fourth quarter and also contribute to new enrollment growth for full-year 2019. Please do note that any calendar-driven variability and quarterly enrollment trends does not materially impact quarterly revenue trends, which are still primarily driven by our underlying operating performance and the number of revenue earning days during the quarter. A quick comment on our investment philosophy. We consistently evaluate and optimize our operating processes with the ultimate goal of serving students in the most efficient and effective way. We are also cognizant of our operating costs and look for ways to reallocate resources that are in the best interest of our students as evident by our process reengineering efforts in the third quarter. To that point, please keep in mind that a substantial portion of these identified operating efficiencies, as well as recovery such as the $2.5 million for past claims that we discussed during the second quarter call were committed to incremental investments in student-serving operations that Todd mentioned earlier. In fact, on average, staffing for our universities was up approximately 7% versus the prior year, and for 2019, we will continue to incrementally invest in areas that we believe will enhance overall student retention and academic outcomes. Moving on to our teach-outs. As of year-end, we have completed all teach-outs. We reported full-year adjusted operating loss of just under $10 million and expect these losses to be approximately 50% lower into 2019. These 2019 losses primarily reflect estimated legal fees for legacy legal matters, as well as some residual expenses associated with the closed schools. Please note that beginning 2019, we will not have teach-out as a reportable segment and all expenses associated with closed schools will be reflected within corporate and other. Income taxes. For the quarter, we recorded a provision of – for income tax of approximately $7 million. This resulted in an effective tax rate of 33.5% for the quarter, which was negatively impacted by 5.7% due to the multi-state AG settlement expense of $5 million, which is not deductible for tax purposes. For the full-year, we recorded a tax provision of $18.6 million, with an effective tax rate of approximately 25%. The full-year tax rate was impacted unfavorably by approximately 1.4% due to the permanent difference related to the nondeductibility of the multi-state AG settlement. Also keep in mind that our tax rates are typically impacted by discrete items, such as release of tax reserves, the tax effects of stock-based compensation and adjustments to increase state deferred tax assets. For 2019, we expect our tax rate to be between 24% and 25%, with the first quarter being the lowest quarterly rate for the year. Separately, we ended the year with approximately $194 million of federal net operating loss carryforwards, which are available to offset future taxable income. As a result, specifically as it relates to 2019, we do not expect to pay any federal income taxes. Now let me spend a few minutes reviewing our balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $229 million of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and available for sale short-term investments, which will be referred to as cash balances for the remainder of today’s discussion. This represents an increase of approximately $49 million over the year-end 2017 and was primarily driven by positive cash flows from our university operations. Partially offsetting these were cash outflows related to our teach-out campuses and payments associated with legal settlements. As previously noted, we expect to see continued growth in our operating cash flows due to the completion of our teach-out, further strengthening our balance sheet. Net cash provided by operations was $38.7 million during the quarter. This was the highest quarterly result in seven years and was primarily driven by growth within our university operations and lower teach-out obligations. Full-year net cash flow provided by operations was $57 million, as compared to net cash used of $21.8 million. Included in the cash flows from operations this year are payments of approximately $17.1 million related to significant legal settlements. Capital expenditures were $6.7 million for the full-year 2019 and we foresee capital expenditures to range in the – to range 1% to 2% of revenues. Overall, company is executing well against its objectives of sustainable and responsible growth with investments in student-serving initiatives and technology showing positive results. The improved performance and efficiency of our operations is allowing us to incrementally invest within our two universities helping us create better experiences and academic outcomes for our students. Finally, let us discuss the growth outlook for 2019. Please refer to Slide 3 for details. Our outlook consists of the following. $114 million to $119 million in total company adjusted operating income, as compared to $105 million – $105.2 million in 2018, which reflects 8% to 13% growth. Keep in mind this outlook also reflects the 2019 teach-out-related expenses I referenced earlier. This is consistent with our overall objective of sustainable and responsible growth that balances our operating and financial goals with our commitments to improve student experiences, retention and academic outcomes. We expect adjusted diluted EPS to range between $1.11 and $1.15 per share versus $1.05 in 2018. Driving this outlook is our expectation of new enrollment growth for both universities in 2019, which we believe will translate to revenue growth for each. For the first quarter 2019, we expect adjusted operating income to be in the range of $30.5 million to $32 million and adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.30 to $0.32. Please refer to Slide 4 for important information about key assumptions and factors underlying this outlook and other expectations discussed on today’s call. As a reminder, due to the decrease in our balance sheet, obligations associated with our teach-out campuses, we expect more of our operating income dollars to result in positive operating cash flows. With this anticipated cash generation, let me quickly touch upon our strategy around capital allocation. We have focused on building a strong balance sheet, while prudently investing in organic growth projects. As we further build our cash balances, we will also evaluate inorganic strategies, including the acquisition of quality educational institutions and programs and continue to pursue optimal capital allocation strategies there are in the best interest of our students and other stakeholders. All this, while emphasizing organic student-serving investments at our universities and maintaining adequate liquidity. With that, I’ll turn the call back over to Todd for his closing remarks. Todd?