William W. Lovette
Analyst
Okay. So we see demand currently and for the rest of the year strong, actually. As I've mentioned, Farha, in the prepared remarks, chicken still represents the best value in protein. Although we've seen some movement in pork prices, we don't see that as an imminent threat to chicken demand. And it's very -- demand is very solid at retail tray pack chicken now and we believe that'll continue to grow. Rotisserie chicken is sold at retail daily. Demand continues outsupply -- outpace supply and our pricing and the industry pricing is reflective of that. Foodservice fresh cut-up chicken demand is very strong, and we're growing our business in this segment by double-digit percents. And then in Prepared Foods, we see fully cooked parts and school foodservice demand continue to outpace industry capacity. So on the demand side, it looks very favorable for this year. On the supply side, one of the leading indicators that we always look at is our breeder supply. And if you look at current -- size of the current breeder flock, it's about 53 million. I think the change that we began to recognize last year is the increase of exports of fertile hatching eggs to Mexico. If you look at September, October and November, fertile hatching egg exports to Mexico were up over 200% for those months on average versus the same period a year ago. And so if you take 53 million birds that represents the current flock, and then you set aside, if you will, about 5% of that flock or 2.65 million of those, then you have a breeder's flock supply for the U.S. market of 50.35 million. And if you go back and compare that number to the last couple of years, it fundamentally has not grown. So we still see that hatching egg supply is not going to be burdensome in terms of increased production. And then I looked at some numbers supplied by Agri Stats earlier in the week and found some interesting facts. If you go back to 2008, the industry slaughtered 8.35 billion head. And by 2011, that slaughtered head had declined by approximately 8% to 7.7 billion. And it's actually remained about that same level through 2014 at about 7.7 billion. If you look at live weight pounds produced, it was 47.1 billion in 2008. It declined to 45.06 billion in 2011. And in 2014, for the first time since 2008, it reached 47.3 billion, so only 200 million more pounds above 2008 levels. And then on the average weight side, the average weight in 2008 was 5.64, and it's averaged just above 6 from 2011 through 2014. So with all of that data in mind, what it tells me is the industry remains fairly disciplined on the supply side and demand has been increasing for chicken against the backdrop of increasing beef and pork supplies.