Paul Middleton
Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please state your question
Thank you, Andy, and good morning, everyone. I want to start by discussing some specific accounting topics for which it is important we are very clear. First, let me address the accrual associated with the stack issues. As Andy discussed, proportion of our installed fleet under maintenance contracts, we have identified the design concern in certain stacks provided by our external stack provider that is causing premature failures. In many cases, we have been able to extend these stack lives with system enhancements. But it becomes apparent that these particular stacks will not meet the expected life, which will result in higher than anticipated refurbishment costs. Again, as Andy has conveyed, we are confident that our external stack provider has addressed the issue and that our new Plug design stacks meet our expected life requirements. In regard to the associated legacy stacks and future cost, we’ve updated our cost forecast on these related maintenance agreements. Based on the updated analysis, about two-thirds of the units we have under extended maintenance contract will have projected costs that exceed the residual service revenue. Although collectively, the updated estimates on all open contracts in total would still project the net profitable position. Accounting rules do not allow the netting of all open profitable and loss contract projections. Therefore for the specific agreements where we anticipate a contract loss, we have recorded a loss contract provision of $10.1 million. The majority of this cost will be incurred with refurbishments planned over the next eight quarters with approximate $4 million of it in 2016. As we discussed in our January 2016 Business Update Call, some of our material handling customers accessed our hydrogen and fuel cell solution through a Power Purchase Agreement. In those cases, we have been using a sale-leaseback approach to finance the assets and monetize the tax benefits. As per the accounting rules, any profit for product sales associated with the sale leaseback transactions must be deferred and recognized over the term of the financing agreement. For the fourth quarter of 2015, this resulted in $3.6 million deferral of gross profit, which is reported as a reduction in revenue and gross profit associated with these sale leaseback transactions. This was the first time Plug Power deferred profit on these sale leaseback transactions, stemming from the growth and associated volume, and tremendous growth and project profitability particularly GenDrive units. The key point here is as with direct-paying customers, Plug Power is achieving continued gross profit momentum on these sales. The difference being an incremental revenue and gross profit from a book standpoint will be spread over the financing term for these transactions. The last accounting point, I wanted to touch on is the new reporting format. You will see in the press release, we have broken out our sales and margin in greater detail for our products and services and we’ll be using this format going forward in our ongoing press releases and public filings. This format is driven at increasing transparency to the essence of our business. Given the routing external questions on the old format, I’m confident this will be a more meaningful approach to our investors and our other stakeholders. Now, in regard to these accounting topics I addressed, we also thought it important to be sure we clarify the impact of these items on our financial results. Looking at Q4, excluding the impact of these items and for the most part where charges for future cost or new for Plug Power, the adjusted numbers provides an important insight to what Plug Power accomplished in Q4 2015, and gives perspective on expectations for 2016 and beyond. Looking at the full year of 2015, excluding the impact of these items that again for the most part were charges for future costs or new for Plug Power, the adjusted numbers also provide an insight to what Plug Power accomplished from an operational perspective for the full-year of 2015. Turning to revenue; we ended the quarter with $38.4 million in revenue, representing 79% growth over the fourth quarter of 2014. This growth stems primarily from the continued commercial traction we’re gaining and proliferating our GenKey solution. If you include the $3.6 million of deferred profit on sale leaseback transactions, revenue for Q4 2015 was $42 million on an adjusted basis, which represents 96% growth over Q4 of 2014. For the full-year of 2015, Plug Power recognized revenue of $103.3 million, which represents a 61% growth over full year of 2014. On an adjusted basis, adding back the Q4 $3.6 million profit deferral, full-year 2015 revenues would have been $106.9 million or a 66% increase over 2014. For the full-year Plug Power recognized revenue associated with 3,634 GenDrive units and sales associated with 18 hydrogen installations compared to 2,406 GenDrive units and sales associated with 11 hydrogen installations for the full year of 2014. This growth is a clear indication of the traction Plug Power continues to make in the market. We recorded approximately $38.5 million in orders in the fourth quarter of 2015 and ended the quarter with $235 million in contract backlog. Our contract backlog is a combination of units and installations planned for the near-term as well as the service and hydrogen delivery commitments for the next few years. The continued growth in overall contract backlog is also indicative of our success in the market and given the majority of the contract backlog is associated with long-term revenues and provides a strong base as we focus on delivering on the 2016 forecast and beyond. Total gross margin as a percentage of sales was negative 24.5% for the fourth quarter of 2015, excluding the impact of the loss contract provision of $10.1 million and adding back the deferred profit of $3.6 million, both recorded in the fourth quarter of 2015. The adjusted total gross margin for Q4 2015 was approximately 10% positive as compared to the prior year Q4 total gross margin loss of 7.7%. This year-over-year operating improvement is indicative of our ongoing progress both in terms of volume and cost-down initiatives. If we take a look at GenDrive, which is our oldest offering, Plug Power has made tremendous progress in cost-downs driven from supply chain leverage, overhead leverage on increased volumes, and improved, more simple product designs. In certain cases, our vertical integration strategy such as the launch of the new Plug Power stack in Q4 of 2015. We anticipate these improvements continuing into 2016, and that we will grow overall GenDrive gross margin with more volume and further cost-downs. In regards to our other offerings, these effectively represent relatively new businesses for Plug Power, many of which were only launched in 2014. During 2015, we made great strides in improving these offerings and we anticipate even greater progress in 2016 as these businesses continue to mature. In fact, we anticipate these businesses moving along the commercialization ramp to collectively breakeven in 2016, driven from increased volume and substantial cost-down programs. In the long-term, we anticipate all of the offerings will achieve mid-30% margin profiles with some of these offerings achieving that milestone sooner than others. Research and development costs for the fourth quarter of 2015 were $4.5 million as compared to $2.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2014. The incremental investments are commensurate with the company’s growth, including our investments associated with our ongoing stack development and deployment, as well as increased investment in productizing our hydrogen infrastructure platform and improving the offering designs. SG&A expense for the fourth quarter of 2015 was $10.2 million as compared to $9.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2014. The majority of the incremental cost is associated with tremendous sales growth, and investments in required resources to support and drive future growth. In regards to total administration expenses, the continued story here is leveraged. We anticipate tremendous leverage as we continue to grow, and we anticipate the run rate as a percentage of sales to continue improving as we keep administration costs consistent while growing the top-line. In regards to EBITDA’s margin rates and operating cash flow run rates, we continue to move in the right direction. In Q4 2015, we achieved strong performance given the ramp in sales, improvements in margin, and focus on working capital. Excluding certain transactions associated with the sale leaseback financing in the fourth quarter, Plug Power achieved an operating cash flow usage rate of less than 5% of sales. We ended the quarter with $111.8 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and over $88 million of working capital, which we believe is ample liquidity to support our growth in 2016 and beyond, and strongly positions us to continue strategically investing in the right path to accelerate long-term growth. As we enter 2016, Plug Power represents an enterprise growing at over 50% a year, a company that has developed a platform now working with some of the top financial institutions in the world to finance Plug Power’s customer deployments and has a strong financial asset and substantial pool of on and off balance sheet escrow funds that back portions of the contract backlog as the deals close, funds that will be distributed to Plug over the next few years. In addition, Plug Power continues to work with market leading financial institutions that are collaborating on innovative ways to fund Plug’s deals that will yield even greater economics and more robust capital solutions for Plug in 2016 and beyond. So let me spend some time on our focus around liquidity and funding our growth. Our key goals remain to continue driving more efficient and seamless direct customer financing platforms, develop more robust project financing solutions for our PPA style transactions, maintain sufficient working capital to support the growing backlog of deployments, and avoid dilution of existing equity owners. Another major step in this direction is aligning with the right capital partners that can help provide access to a broader set of investors for our PPA-style transactions, who can not only monetize the tax benefits, but provide more liquidity in these financings. These are investors, who don’t have the same regulatory and risk tolerance issues of traditional asset-leasing institutions. The bridge loan facility, we recently completed with one of these kinds of investors is intended to help Plug Power fund the deployment of its 2016 PPA pipeline. And more importantly is the platform in which we see emerging in a range of new project funding approaches. We will be able to share more during the year as these additional platforms develop. But I’d have you think about some of the varied approaches used in funding solar and wind to give you some perspective on the range of approaches we’re considering. These are not only more attractive financing opportunities in the short-term, but could open-up new possibilities and how Plug Power deploys and utilizes its assets in the future. As we close and celebrate 2015 and move into 2016, we look forward to continue building on our strong platform, and sharing with you our continued progress. We believe we’re making the right market and product investments to not only achieve our long-term business objectives, but equally important, set the stage for another successful year in 2016. We’ll now open up the line for questions.