Tae Lee
Analyst · Macquarie
Thank you, Robert, and good morning. In the second quarter, we saw the dynamics we described last quarter play out. Our marketing expenditure stepped down materially as the year progressed. Margins increased and Super Play became a positive adjusted EBITDA contributor beginning in the second quarter. Before I walk through the numbers, I want to give you 3 points to keep in mind as you interpret our results and think about the rest of the year. First, the margin recovery this quarter was not an accident. It was the plan. We front-loaded user acquisition spend into the first half and especially the first quarter. And as that spend came down in the second quarter, the profitability of the business came through. This front-loading was driven largely by our Super Play titles, where the structure of the earnout incentivizes concentrating investment early in the year. The result this quarter is the operating model working as designed, invest to grow and then let the profitability follow. Second, and closely related, the cadence of our marketing spend will shape the revenue trajectory for the rest of the year. Because so much of our user acquisition spend was concentrated in the first half, we expect revenue in our Super Play studio to decline on a sequential basis in the second half versus the first half, even as these titles grow year-over-year. I want to be clear about what this is. It is not a loss of momentum, and it is not the game is weakening. It is a direct result of a deliberate choice in the timing of our spend made in the context of the Super Play earnout. We would encourage you to judge these titles on their full year growth and their lifetime economics, not on the movement from one quarter to the next. Third, we saw the consumer sentiment softened as the quarter went on in Q2, and we are watching it closely. We started to observe a slowdown in the industry mid-quarter, which we attribute to weakening consumer confidence. Inflation has been a persistent pressure on the consumer this year, and we believe it weighed on discretionary spending, including our category. We think this impacted our second quarter results, and it is a key reason we're taking a measured view of the second half, which I will come back to when we discuss guidance. With that framing, let us go through the financial results. In the second quarter, we delivered total revenue of $731.1 million, down 1.8% sequentially and up 5.0% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $206.1 million, representing a margin of 28.2%. Net income was $48 million and adjusted net income was $53.6 million. We delivered DTC revenue of $286.9 million, down 1.7% sequentially and up 63.1% year-over-year. Now let's turn to the portfolio, starting with the performance in our top 3 revenue titles for the quarter, Bingo Blitz, Disney Solitaire and June's Journey. Bingo Blitz delivered $145.1 million of revenue this quarter, down 5.6% sequentially and 9.5% year-over-year. The revenue decline looks steeper than last quarter, but let me explain what's driving it because the composition here matters. The majority of the year-over-year decline is concentrated in players acquired within the last 12 months as we moved away from acquisition channels that brought in high volumes of short-lived incentive-driven users and toward investing in our existing long-term players, the community that's always been the foundation of this franchise. Our long-tenured players who have been with Bingo Blitz for more than 1 year generate most of the games revenue and remain the foundation of this franchise. DTC continues to support the games economics and Bingo Blitz remains the #1 Bingo title worldwide. Disney Solitaire generated $142.4 million of revenue this quarter, up 15.5% sequentially and 288.6% year-over-year. I want to spend a moment on Disney Solitaire, both on what the results tell you about the business and how you should model it for the rest of the year. The key point is this, we grew Disney Solitaire revenue this quarter while bringing our marketing spend on the title down meaningfully from the first quarter. Growing revenue on lower acquisition spend is only possible when the players you've already brought in stay and continue to engage. Now how to model it from here? Our user acquisition investment in Disney Solitaire is unusually front-loaded this year, more so than we would run a new title in the normal course. This reflects the structure of the Super Play earnout, where the studio is incentivized to grow revenue year-over-year while increasing EBITDA margins. Having concentrated that investment in the first half, we are reducing Disney Solitaire spend significantly in the back half, and that step down converts into higher EBITDA margins as the year progresses. The direct consequence is that Disney Solitaire revenue is likely to decline on a sequential basis in the second half even as it grows year-over-year. This is a function of the spend timing that I just described, not of the title's health or long-term potential. Disney Solitaire is early in its life, and we believe it will continue to scale. When our investment in the game normalizes, we would expect this trajectory to reflect that. The right way to judge this game is on its full year growth and its lifetime economics, not on the sequential movement that our spending timing creates. June's Journey revenue for the quarter was $74.7 million, down 1.7% sequentially and up 8.1% year-over-year. We continue to see strong trends in monetization driven by improvement in our events, segmentation and campaign tools. Engagement among our long-tenured players remains at elevated levels. And this past quarter, we launched a successful new IP collaboration with Agatha Christie, which was well received by the June's Journey community. June's Journey remains one of our strongest and most durable casual titles and a top revenue contributor to the portfolio. Let's turn to specific line items in our P&L. Cost of revenue was $192.9 million, down 1.5% year-over-year. Like the first quarter, the decline was primarily driven by lower platform fees resulting from the continued growth of our DTC business, partially offset by higher royalty expenses. R&D was $96.4 million, down 15.8% year-over-year. The steeper decline this quarter reflects the full quarter benefit of the cost actions we began earlier in the year on lower headcount and reduced outsourcing expenses, now without the severance costs that partially offset the savings in the first quarter. This is a good example of the discipline we brought to our cost structure carrying through the bottom line. Sales and marketing was $252.6 million, down 2% year-over-year and down 30% sequentially, reflecting the significant step down in marketing spend we told you to expect after our front-loaded first quarter, and we expect spend to step down further in the second half. G&A was $54.1 million, up 202.2% year-over-year. The reported year-over-year increase is not meaningful on its own because the prior year quarter included a onetime benefit from the revaluation of contingent consideration, which reduced G&A in that period. Adjusting for that item, G&A was up 2.3% year-over-year. There were no significant onetime items in the second quarter. Average daily paying users was 367,000, down 5.2% sequentially and down 2.9% year-over-year. Average daily active users was 8 million, down 7.0% sequentially and down 9.1% year-over-year. ARPDAU was up 7.4% sequentially and 16.1% year-over-year. Turning to the balance sheet. As of June 30, we had approximately $438.5 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. Turning to guidance. We are maintaining our full year revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges. That said, based on what we see today, we expect to finish the year towards the lower end of both ranges. There are 2 factors driving this. The first is deliberate and within our control. As I described, we front-loaded our marketing investment into the first half, and we're stepping that expenditure down meaningfully in the back half. That reduces revenue in the second half by design, while supporting the margin expansion you saw this quarter. The second factor is the consumer. As I noted earlier, we saw demand soften across the industry mid-quarter, which we believe reflects the pressure that persistent inflation has placed on discretionary spending. We are taking a prudent view of how that carries into the second half. Taken together, our investment cadence decision and our measured read of the consumer are the primary drivers why we expect to land towards the lower end of our ranges for the full year. We'd be happy to take your questions.