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Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW)

Q1 2017 Earnings Call· Tue, May 9, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Douglas Dynamics First Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we'll have a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder this call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Bob McCormick, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Sir, you may begin.

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Baird

Thank you. Welcome everyone and thank you for joining us on the call today. Two quick items before we begin. First, please note that some of the information that you will hear during this call will consist of forward-looking statements, within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended. Such statements express our expectations, anticipations, beliefs, estimates, intentions, plans and forecasts. Because these forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, our actual results could differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. For more information regarding such risks and uncertainties, please see the sections titled Risk Factors, Forward-Looking Statements and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and the impending updates to these sections in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q. Second, this call will involve a discussion of adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, which under SEC Regulation G, we are required to reconcile with GAAP. Reconciliation of this measure to the closest GAAP financial measure is included in today’s earnings press release, which is available at douglasdynamics.com. Joining me on the call today is Jim Janik, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer. Jim will begin by providing an overview of our performance. Then I will review our financial results before turning it back to Jim to discuss our outlook. After that, we’ll open the call for your questions. Jim?

James Janik

Analyst · Baird

Thanks Bob, and good morning everyone. Thank you for joining us. Our first quarter results were in line with our expectations. The increase in revenue and gross profit compared to the same period last year was driven by the addition of the Work Truck Solutions segment which was partially offset by the lower sales in the Work Truck Attachment segment as we expected. As you saw in our release, we reported first quarter 2017 net sales of $72.2 million and a net loss of $0.14 per diluted share which was in line with our expectations based on circumstances. As a reminder, our first quarter 2016 results included a $10 million benefit or $0.27 per diluted share from the successful conclusion of patent infringement lawsuit against buyers products company which used the comparison. As we said last quarter, the teams at WESTERN, FISHER and SNOWEX have done an admirable job working through the tough weather conditions. We continue to see cautious optimism from our dealers regarding our 2017 prospects despite below average snowfall in the snow season that just ended. Overall, snowfall was inconsistent both in location and timing. For example, October and November were very warm and saw a little winter weather. December returned to strong snowfall in some of our core markets which resulted in average fourth quarter snowfall North America. January and February so very low snowfall across our core markets and despite the late season storms in March, we still experienced a below average snowfall winter across North America for the second year in a row. This undoubtedly will have an impact on the preseason order period for our commercial snow and ice control products. So far our preseason order period is off to a promising start but is still too early to predict exactly how the…

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Baird

Thanks, Jim. I will begin with our consolidated earnings followed by a look at our Q2 segment perform, and then with some liquidity and balance sheet numbers. Overall, the results were in line with our expectations for the first quarter of 2017. Net sales were $72.2 million, representing a 48% increase over the same period last year. The increase reflects the addition of our Work Truck Solutions segment which was finalized on July 15, 2016. As we mentioned previously, the Work Truck Attachment segment shipments to the former Dejana operations are now treated as an intercompany inventory transfer, and revenue was deferred in the third quarter. Some of that revenue was recognized in the fourth quarter of last year as end-users were shipped products from our Work Truck Solutions segment. The first quarter of 2017, we saw a continuation of this and more of that deferred revenue was recognized. For the first quarter of 2017, profit sales was $55.1 million or 76% of sales compared to $34.7 million or 71% of sales in the first quarter of 2016. This year-over-year increase was driven by the addition of Work Truck Solutions. Gross profit was $17.2 million or 24% of sales for the first quarter, compared to $14.1 million or 29% of sales in the first quarter of 2016. The decrease in margin as a percentage of sales is due to the lower volumes in the Work Truck attachment segment both addition of Work Truck Solutions which operates at lower margins. SG&A expenses were $15.1 million for the first quarter of 2017 compared to $10.9 million for the first quarter of 2016. Again, this increase was due to the addition of Work Truck Solutions. We produced adjusted EBITDA of $5.2 million for the first quarter of 2017 compared to adjusted EBITDA of…

James Janik

Analyst · Baird

Thanks Bob. So far, 2017 is unfolding as we expected, and we feel positive about our long-term prospects for the future. For our commercial snow and ice control brands, we continue to see positive non-snowfall indicators such as positive dealer sentiment despiteful the below average snowfall across North America. While we had a strong end to the season and some more snowfall than the previous year, we were below average for the second year in a row which will impact our preseason period. At Henderson, we mentioned last quarter a delay in receiving truck chassis from two OEMs. And we're still experiencing substantial delays. I’m happy to say that things are starting to move in the right direction. It will take some time to get back on track and more likely to see more variability from quarter to quarter throughout the year. We will still expect revenue to skew back towards the back half of the year, and still expect to see continued growth of our Henderson brand in 2017. Finally, the temporary softness in the first two months of the year related to dealer sales of class four through six trucks that impacted the Work Truck Solutions segment was temporary as we expected and I'm pleased to say we saw demand stabilize and improve in March and April. Looking at 2017 as a whole, we do expect the breakdown of our results between quarters to be different to previous years due to changes in the overall structure of our business and the near term factors noted above. The first quarter was in line with our expectations and we expect to produce sequentially improved results in the second quarter. We still expect the back half of the year to be stronger in terms of both revenue and profitability. Therefore we are reiterating our 2017 outlook and expect net sales for the full year to come in between $470 million and $530 million. This should produce adjusted EBITDA in the range of $80 million to $115 million which would translate into EPS of between $1.20 and $1.80 We are managing the business effectively and see if any positive opportunity is on the horizon. However we are currently taking our builds where appropriate until some of the headwinds dissipate. We will continue to leverage DDMS to drive service and quality across all aspects of the business which will in turn drive increased value for shareholders. We will now open the call for your questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Josh Chan of Baird.

Josh Chan

Analyst · Baird

Hi, good morning Jim and Bob. My first question is on Dejana, you mentioned that the demand has improved in March and April, would you say that it’s back to normal or your expected levels or how would characterize that?

James Janik

Analyst · Baird

In terms of order patterns?

Josh Chan

Analyst · Baird

Correct for Dejana?

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Baird

Yes, as we spoke in our year end call there was some dealer softness which was a pretty substantial piece of their business. It started in fourth quarter last year, carried into went through most of first quarter this year that has begun to abate. Dejana is seeing this and sensing this made some strong pushes in other areas of their business mainly in fleet sales and I can tell you at the end of the first quarter it got a very strong backlog and Jim talked about the acquisition along with the Pennsylvania facility starting up the prospects are very positive moving forward.

Josh Chan

Analyst · Baird

Okay great. And then you mentioned some new product on the snow and ice piece of the business. Did those come in over the course of a number of years or can those be noticeable this year or how should we think about the impact of new products?

James Janik

Analyst · Baird

Sure the products will all be available this year. In fact I think most of them are available on the preseason order forms and at this particular point the sidewalk business is relatively new for us so we’re expecting over time for that to be somewhat incremental based on the relative size of the market and the total value of the products being sold are relatively small, but strategically it's very important. The plough that we talked about that is actually been developed for the homeowner use is I think is going to have a fairly nice impact in year one I think initially even though really about occurred the way through preseason we’re seeing very, very nice response for that. So we’re enthused, we think we've got a number of nice new products that have come out this year.

Josh Chan

Analyst · Baird

Okay. And then my last question is on the preseason shipments, is there any color that you can give us in terms of the split between Q2, Q3, whether that is similar to last year or any differences there?

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Baird

It’s a little early Josh to get a bead on those splits so the second quarter fills up before the third quarter fills up. So I really can't give you any guidance there Jim already spoke about the fact that it will be a challenging preseason in total given the snowfall environment but right now I don’t think we’ve seen anything that would be unusual in terms of how those splits compared to history.

Josh Chan

Analyst · Baird

All right great. Thanks for your time and good luck for the rest of the year.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum.

Steve Dyer

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

Thanks. Good morning, guys. You had characterized Arrowhead as immaterial, but any color there as to what that t brings to the party financially maybe what you paid for anything like that just trying to get a sense for the size?

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

We’re not going to disclose that publicly, the fact that we didn't issue a Douglas press release is meant to send the signal that says, it is really a smaller bolt-on acquisitions. We can expect to see some more of these things as we move forward when our OEM partners ask us to - reaching the different our regions and hope them grow. I can say that the purchase price was $7.5 million that will give you some indication of the size of the deal and I wouldn't expect it’s not in our guidance at this point the deal just closed, but even once we favored through all the purchase accounting stuff and look at the back half of the year sales it’s likely to be immaterial impact on our overall results.

Steve Dyer

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

Okay. And then as it relates to acquisitions, do you have preference sort of for these more strategic kind of bolt-on, the regional guys or other tangential aftermarket truck targets or bolt, or how do you think about that?

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

Yes I don’t think that our acquisition strategy changes at all. These two specific examples Jim mentioned are part of us monitoring and partnering with our OEMs and when those opportunities arise, we will certainly be there to take advantage of that. Past that we continue to look at M&A like we always have and when good strategic acquisitions come up that meet our financial guidelines and our strategy, we will actively pursue them but again I think you can expect as the years progress, these kinds of small bolt-on acquisitions, tied to OEM partnerships were certainly part of what we saw with the Dejana acquisition as an opportunity. And I would expect more of those things to come our way as the years unfold.

Steve Dyer

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

Okay. And then finally with respect to acquisitions, can you sort of remind us about that maybe a target of comfortable leverage level as you look more on those deals?

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

Sure, I think what we said historically for a number of years is that, if we can stay under a four lever in an average snowfall environment, we are clearly comfortable with that. If we have been under four lever for quite some time we’ve been between two and three. And now when we hit a below average snowfall environment could that leverage pick up over four occasionally, that's possible but we know it's temporary. So the way to think about that Steve is four lever is our guidepost in an average snowfall environment for our core business.

Steve Dyer

Analyst · Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum

All right perfect, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Shlisky of Seaport Global. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Mike Shlisky of Seaport Global. Your line is open

Good morning, this is John on for Mike this morning. If we have an average snowfall year for the rest of the year, do you think that it will reach the middle of the guidance range and is there enough you can do from the DDMS standpoint to make it up?

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Mike Shlisky of Seaport Global. Your line is open

Yes, it's a terrific question I think it's pretty early to suggest where we end up I think when we set our guidance, we give a range because at this particular point we’re comfortable within that range but picking something like the middle or a little above or little below is a little bit difficult for us. So I think at this particular point we’re just comfortable within the range. It’s always our hope that we will have average snowfall again from our perspective last year was below average and while we got a nice top in March it’s towards the end of March that does two things. One is, statistically it gets us closer to average but it doesn't have really the same impact on product use that may be the same type of snowfall in January or February we would have frankly there is multiple times that equipment has to be used during an individual storm. Towards the end of the year unfortunately the snowmelt very quickly. So at best the equipment gets used once or maybe twice. So, and in the first quarter as well you don't get the retail benefit from that just because people are waiting until the following year. At this particular point they’re finding parts and service just to keep it running. Hope is that we certainly get average snowfall, it would be nice to get above average and something early December or late November in populated areas would be terrific as well. As far as DDMS we’re frankly implementing DDS on an ongoing going basis and DDMS isn’t really used in a way to - for short-term activities it's really more of a long-term activity that's more structural in nature. So the things that we have done last year and this year early on will continue to benefit us but to say that they will benefit us to way to offset a below average snowfall in a specific way would be difficult, I think we've historically shown that we know the right levers to pull and we continue to pull them.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Mike Shlisky of Seaport Global. Your line is open

Okay. And my next question is any attachments that SG&A was basically flat year-over-year despite 10% decline in sales. Could you give us little more color about what we should expect from the segments of the rest of the year.

Robert McCormick

Analyst · Mike Shlisky of Seaport Global. Your line is open

I'm not going to give specific dollar guidance from an SG&A perspective. I think when you look at the pro forma Dejana Financials that are out there publicly, you can see what is added to the SG&A from there. This is certainly the second year in a row where the core business has had implemented slow snowfall playbook. So those reduced expenses are already reflected in 2016s SG&A and I would expect you can see a similar thing there from us in 2017. So I guess if I am giving you any directional guidance there, it would be that we wouldn’t expect it to be substantially different 2017 that was in 2016 with the exception of acquisition one-time items and having the flow through those lines on the income statement.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Mike Shlisky of Seaport Global. Your line is open

Got it. And I’ll past it on. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And I'm showing no further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the call back to you gentlemen for closing remarks.

James Janik

Analyst · Baird

Thank you, operator and thank you all for your interest in Douglas Dynamics. We look forward to speaking with you again in early August for our second quarter earnings announcement. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This does conclude the call. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a wonderful day.