Jane T. Elfers - The Children's Place, Inc.
Analyst · Wolfe Research
Thank you, Bob, and good morning, everybody. The third quarter was another outstanding quarter for The Children's Place, with comparable retail sales, gross margin, operating margin, and earnings per diluted share, all exceeding last year, enabling us to beat the high end of our guidance range. Let's review the highlights. First, our comp performance. We delivered a positive 5.1% consolidated comp. We delivered positive comps in both our brick-and-mortar and our digital channels. The U.S. delivered a positive 5.9% comp. Canada delivered a negative 1.2% comp, a significant improvement from Q2. Moving onto key metrics. AUR increased versus last year. ADS increased versus last year. UPTs increased versus last year. Transactions increased versus last year. Conversion increased versus last year. Gross margin leveraged 30 basis points versus last year. Merchandise margin was up for the 11th consecutive quarter, and our store traffic has experienced sequential improvement for each of the past six quarters. Now I want to cover several topics on everyone's mind and discuss their impact on our third quarter results. First, the impact from the three major hurricanes. We lost nearly $3 million in net sales in the third quarter due to hurricane-related closures in Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico. While we experienced significant store closures in both Houston and Florida during and in the aftermath of the hurricane, we were able to reopen all of our stores, with the exception of one store in Houston, which is expected to reopen on Monday. In Puerto Rico, we have 11 stores; all of them are still closed. We expect to open three stores in November and three stores in December. We'll keep you posted on developments as they relate to the remaining five stores. Second, the impact of the Gymboree bankruptcy and the subsequent liquidation of hundreds of their stores. The stores where we were co-located with Gymboree outperformed the balance of the fleet for the third quarter, in spite of an aggressive closing store promotional cadence from Gymboree. Our due diligence suggests that the end of Q3 approximately 228 of 330 liquidating stores are now permanently closed, and the balance will close at the end of the fourth quarter. Of the 228 closed stores, we were co-located in 135 of them. It's still early in the quarter, but these 135 stores continue to outperform the fleet. Third, the impact of our additional 3 million unit basic buy. Our results from the additional basic unit receipts were outstanding. We were better able to service our customer by being in-stock in key styles and sizes during our very important back-to-school selling period. We are extremely pleased with these results, and we have already completed our deep dive into this year's missed opportunities and secured the additional units needed for back-to-school 2018. The 2018 back-to-school opportunity is approximately the same magnitude as 2017. Fourth, the impact of the unseasonably warm weather in October. Weather negatively impacted our business starting at the tail end of September, but clearly had the most negative impact during the first two weeks of October. Once the temperatures reverted to more seasonable levels during the latter half of the month, our business rebounded accordingly. And while we're only a couple weeks into the fourth quarter, our business is strong. Fifth, the impact of improved category buys. We have not discussed product specifics for several quarters now, and we are going to continue with that practice. However, I will reiterate that our key item basic business was outstanding during the important back-to-school period ,and the significant effort we put behind wear-now fashion product really resonated with our customers. As for the cold weather categories, we were conservative with our buys, and our inventories are well positioned in these categories, allowing us to be significantly less promotional at this point in the season versus last year. Our third quarter promotions were well-planned, well-controlled, and well-executed, and our stores team did a fantastic job seamlessly navigating through the multiple headwinds we experienced during the quarter. And sixth, the impact of anniversarying our very successful private label credit card and loyalty program launches from last October. We are thrilled to report that we very successfully anniversaried last year's launch of our private label credit card and loyalty programs. Our private label credit card business has been very strong since our re-launch last October. With a laser-like focus on these key programs, we were able to continue our positive trends in October. Sales penetration increased substantially, and program metrics continued to strengthen. As we enter Q4, we have sustained marketing campaigns planned to ensure we continue to move these programs ahead. So, in summary, despite three major hurricanes, Gymboree's bankruptcy and clearance liquidations in several hundred of their stores, record-breaking October heat across most of the country, and the anniversary of our very successful private label credit card and loyalty programs from last October, we still delivered an outstanding quarter of 5.1% comp on top of a 4.6% comp from last year, and an 80 basis point increase in adjusted operating margin. Now let's focus on our third quarter accomplishments with respect to our accelerated digital transformation strategy. We are extremely fortunate we have the dream customer for our digital transformation. She is a mobile, millennial, tech savvy mom who craves speed and ease. In addition, we have the built-in future Gen Z customer who already shops with their parents in our stores and online. We accomplished a lot on the digital front during Q3. Steve Rado joined as Chief Digital Officer. Steve is responsible for the digital transformation of our company, and he's off to a great start. He sees a tremendous amount of both short and long-term opportunity as we move towards one to one personalization. He and his new team have identified lots of low hanging fruit, and they are developing and implementing strategies to make sure we quickly harvest both the low hanging fruit and set our foundation up for success as we move towards advanced personalization capabilities. We rolled out BOPIS to all stores during the third quarter, and attachment rates are already running at over 20%. We launched our fourth digital release, which has expanded features and functionality, on all of our digital platforms. We staged the fourth quarter rollout of Wi-Fi to our entire U.S. fleet. This will enable ship from store capabilities across the fleet and will set the stage for save a sale functionality that will launch in 2018. We tested ship from store in 10 locations with early success and we will continue to roll these capabilities to more stores throughout Q4 and beyond. And our new app will be released in Q4, which will enable a host of new capabilities and features. In closing, based on our outstanding results, we are revising our adjusted full year 2017 EPS guidance upward to a range of $7.46 to $7.51 versus our previous guidance of $7.23 to $7.33. We are looking forward to delivering a strong Q4 and another exceptional year for our shareholders. Now I'll turn it over to Mike.