Brian Shore
Analyst · Needham & Company
Okay. Thank you, Matt, for the introductory financial comments. Brian again. Let me give you a little perspective on the quarter, how it laid out month-to-month. So we’re talking fourth quarter, of course. December was a pretty bad month, actually. Very slow. We never know what to make of that because there’s the holiday weeks but it was quite a bit off. And fortunately, January and February came in stronger. They recovered and the quarter came in – ended up being let’s say okay top line. Not out of align with recent history, in any event. So, but at the beginning of January, we really didn’t know where we were going. And that’s, I guess, not unusual because, again, we’re coming out of the holiday period. Now the other big holiday in the fourth quarter is the Lunar New Year and that has a big impact. But nevertheless, we seemed to be able to plow through that pretty well. So you could say January and February were close but December was a very weak month, top line wise. And just follow-on to continue through the first quarter, we have nine weeks in the books for the first quarter. And for some reason, March just kind of fell back down again. We were pretty strong in January, a little bit better in February, and then March, the bottom kind of fell back down, fell out. And we were back to the December level. We’re talking weekly averages, of course, which we have five four-week – quarters. So we don’t want to distort things by just talking about full months. April came back. Not as much as we’d like but April did come back. Kind of to the average level of the fourth quarter. So May’s going to really be a horse race here to see how the quarter ends up. But so far, the quarter’s looking pretty dicey the first quarter. Again, March is weak. April kind of at the average of the fourth quarter. And then May, like I said, it’s going to be a horse race. We’ll probably go right to the convention on the first quarter. So I guess that’s it in terms of perspective month-to-month during the fourth quarter, first quarter. Let’s total about updates on some business items. Nothing too new. Most of these items we talked about in previous quarters, but I’ll just update you anyway. Let’s start with GE. They’re always worthy of discussion. Last time, last quarterly conference call I think we talked about the fact that there is an inventory issue that it turned out that GE had too much of our inventory. And that there was a serious need to burn down the inventory. That’s a term that’s used. The reason, I don’t want to go into it too much but there’s systems issues. There’s also a contractor that was in the middle of things that confused things. So the inventory got out of line. So we worked with GE for a couple of months to re-up on a burn down plan. So the – what the result of this is that six – the calendar year, calendar 2016 and 2017 are going to be pretty light years for us as we’re burning down the inventory. Just to put things in perspective, last year for GE, $12 million to $13 million top line. And we’re looking kind of around half that number, maybe a little bit more for both 2016 and 2017. Now, this is just based upon hard information. Information we know, programs we’re on. This is not based upon upside, this is not based upon other programs we’re working on at this point. These are programs we’re currently on. The other thing that hurt us with GE was the 747 program. I don’t know if you noticed, but recently Boeing reduced the quantities to six a year. Six Bo – six 747s per year. That to us is 24, just for engines for Bo – for 747. But that compounded things a little bit. That results in the off years we’re having – we expect to have with GE. Now, you can’t take those numbers to the bank. Those are bottom numbers. It could be better than that because there are always the opportunities, but I’m trying to give you baseline information. So let’s talk about – and then after that, after 2017, then when the inventory’s gone, everything start to move up quickly, these two things happen. One is the inventory’s normalized. And then some of the big programs start to really move up. The biggest of which, of course, is the A320neo, we’ve discussed that numerous times. That’s a very, very large program for Park and that’s the biggest driver we have with GE Aviation at this point. That’s GE’s program – that’s for LEAP engine, that’s a GE program. And that’s our program. We’re qualified, we’re in that program and I think we’re sole-source, I’m pretty sure about that. The other opportunities for us just to follow on with the programs for GE Aviation are the Comac 919. That’s the Chinese single-aisle airplane the Chinese are developing. That also uses a LEAP engine and that’s GE’s program. That’s Park’s program. There’s another program which is a Bombardier program using a Passport 20 engine. That’s a new engine developed by GE. That’s our program as well. That’ll go on something called Global 7000, 8000. That’s a program in development. And so those are upsides. So there are other programs that we’re working on even with the – our bread and butter work, which I think you know is in the cells and thrust reversers. But those three are the big drivers. Boeing 747, of course, is still out there and that’s a legacy program that we continue to work on. And we don’t know how long that’ll last. Hopefully forever. I mean, to me, just from a personal perspective, I think it’d be very sad if that program is cancelled. It’s such an iconic aircraft and all. So and then there are the other opportunities, let’s call it, at GE Aviation. These are non-cell thrust reverser opportunities. These are the internal parts of the engine. There is something in the Passport 20 that we’re qualified on, which is the fixed hand duct which is actually a primary structure. And then there’s other aspects of internal parts of the engine which right across the GE Aviation product line to different Boeing and Airbus programs. Mostly Boeing, I guess. Let’s see. So 10-year RFQ, I think we discussed that last time. We finally got a final RFQ. We had to go back and forth quite a few times because there were adjustments that needed to be made. Not our response, but the RFQ presentation itself, there were things that had to be adjusted. So we got that done and we plan to respond to the RFQ formally next week. That’s the 10-year going from 2017 through 2026. And there are hundreds of millions of dollars of revenue contemplated in that RFQ over that period based upon their hard fore – based upon the forecast we’ve received. I think you know this but we’ve agreed that we will build a redundant factory if and when we sign that agreement. My guess is it’s months off because there’s going to be some back and forth. I think mostly on, these terms and conditions have to be reviewed and this is a process. But we’ve already said informally to GE that once we sign that agreement, we’ll go ahead and build that factory. We decided at this point, at least preliminarily decided, that we’re going to build that factory in Kansas on our – at our current campus in Kansas. The preliminary budget for the factory is $12 plus million. And that’s something that we’ve shared in detail with GE, so we’re on the same page. It’s just a matter of signing an agreement and then we’ll go ahead and build that redundant factory for GE Aviation. Again, it’s $12 plus million and it’s actually a separate building but it’s on our campus in Kansas. It’s 250 feet south our existing building. We wanted to have separate buildings and GE and their customers wanted separate buildings as well for pure redundancy. So, for instance, one fire could not destroy everything and we’re talking about cataclysmic events, of course. So that’s, I guess, the GE update. Last time we spoke, last conference call, we also talked about – well, actually, one more item with GE that we entered into a joint development agreement to develop a major product which is exciting for Park, that opportunity. Because we’re tapping into the very best and brightest scientists at GE Research to help us do this product development. It’s not a niche product, I wouldn’t say. It’s a pretty major product. So if we’re successful, that’ll be very good for Park because it would be another major product that we could offer to the market. Okay, now moving ahead. There’s another opportunity that we mentioned during our last conference call and also I think we commented on at the Needham conference. We’re not disclosing the name of this company, but it’s a major aerospace company. And there’s a very large 12-year RFQ that has been responded to. I think this goes through, what, 2028? I don’t recall now, but it’s a 12-year RFQ. As part of our response, we proposed and agreed if they give us the business to a $50 million plus investment. That would be building a factory as well as the qualification costs. When we respond to that RFQ, we were asked to respond at different levels, different percentage levels from 100 on down. So at certain levels, the commitment and investment Park would make would be quite significant. That’s actually a low number, if we received a very large share of that business. So what’s going on? I think I mentioned this last time, is that we’re going through what’s called screening. Meaning that this company has our materials and we’re going through a screening process, meaning doing testing on our materials. So far, the screening results are going pretty well so far. We think the original screening would be complete within maybe another couple of months. I think that’s the case. There’s dry data, wet data. The wet data takes longer. At that point, then we’ll have the next step which would be, I assume, further discussions with them about what’s going to happen. A screening is not equal to a qualification, I just want you to know that. The once you go to qualification, both parties are all-in. Major commitment, many millions of dollars committed. So neither party’s going to go forward with a qualification effort, that could take three years, until they pretty much know what the result will be. So the qualification is to prove it, but the screening is to really make sure that the materials meet the requirements. That’s why there would be a screening before a qualification effort. The qualification effort, like I said, at that point, all-in and there really is no turning back because it, you know, three years and if the qualification doesn’t work, then everybody has a major problem on their hands, which would be avoided by the screening process. Moving on, still in aerospace. I mentioned last time, we’re back on the Atlas V program. So we’re starting to ramp that up with ablative materials. We’re really happy that we’re back on that program. We had an issue with a raw material that was discontinued and then we had to qualify a new raw material. But that’s been done, so we’re happy about that. Then in terms of the parts activity in aerospace, we’re ramping back up on the Scorpion. Remember the Scorpion we worked on the first unit which I think they called Demo Unit One. It was a little while ago but they’re ramping back up. That’s still an active program and it’s quite busy. We’re already made more total parts and tools than we did the first go around. And we feel that there’s a lot more to come. So we’re pleased about that. We mentioned the Flying Pentagon, we’re doing parts and struts for the Flying Pentagon. We’re also doing quite a bit of work for the private space companies. You know who the – they’re going to get a lot of publicity. You know who they are. But that’s an exciting thing for us, too. At least I think it’s exciting. I’m very – I like working with those kind of companies. And even what’s interesting is one of the big opportunities, one of these companies that we’re working with even has a big electronics opportunity that we’re working on as well. So there’s a real nice crossover there. But these kind of things kind of seem to fit, I believe, anyway, into our niche strategy. Special mission prototype, development work. We’re not going especially for – with parts for commodity volume builder print work because we’ll never be able to justify it in terms of the returns on investment and the margin. So we look for specialty things, things where other companies aren’t able or willing to do what we can do. And either it’s a special capability or maybe it just being able to move very quickly. When a company, when aerospace companies that do new development work, time is of the essence, always. Speed, speed, speed. Why is that? Because the faster they can get to the development work done, the more cost-effective it is for them. It’s not the cost of the parts, it’s the cost of all those 200 engineers that are sitting there waiting to get the program done that they have to pay for every day, whether the program is moving forward or not. Or maybe it’s more than 200, based upon the size of the program. Just moving around a little bit, back to electronics. I think last time we mentioned that we had entered into an important joint development agreement with a major electronics company. And that is just starting but it’s pretty exciting as well. This is a real nice opportunity for us with a household name, electronics company, a quite large company. And I think that kind of covers it. Like I said, most of the updates from my perspective were not real new things. More just kind of giving you updates on things we had already discussed. So, operator, I think that concludes our, Matt’s and Brian’s introductory comments. Can we go to the questions at this time, please?