Thomas Baltimore
Analyst · Evercore. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Ian, and welcome everyone. I am very pleased to announce a great second quarter, which we materially outperformed across several key metrics, highlighting our internal growth strategies of recycling capital, improving margins, grouping up and unlocking embedded value through our ROI projects. Our relentless focus on these priorities contributed to tremendous success in the second quarter, and we expect continued progress and success in the quarters ahead. Turning to operational results, comparable RevPAR for the portfolio increased 4.3% during the quarter, while comparable hotel adjusted EBITDA margin improved by a 150 basis points to 31.9%. Group revenues exceeded expectations and were up an impressive 17.7%, driven by San Francisco up 55%, New York up 33% and Chicago and Key West, which were each up over 20%. In addition to contributing to strong banquet and catering revenues, strong group trends also allowed us to better yield transient rates to drive overall profitability. Total revenues for our comparable portfolio increased 6.2% during the second quarter, F&B revenues at our comparable hotels increased nearly 10% with a 14% increase in banquets and catering revenue leading the way. The enhanced cancellation policies deployed by Hilton, also contributed to a 65% increase in cancellation and attrition revenue. The combination of increased revenue across multiple sources and the measured control of expenses led to impressive flow through for the quarter, driving our significant margin improvement. In addition, hotel-adjusted EBITDA of $228 million and adjusted FFO per diluted share of $0.93 came in well above our expectations. We are very pleased with our results this quarter, which further illustrates our internal growth strategies are working. The group revenues throughout the quarter resulted in the group segment improving nearly 400 basis points to 34% of the total mix. Group’s strength primarily came from corporate group, which was up 35%. This is particularly encouraging as we think about group business going forward, as strength on the corporate group side indicates optimism in the broader economy, and a return to corporate spending with the latest forecast for non-residential fixed investment spend of 6.5% this year and over 4% forecast for 2019. This resurgence has led to a noticeable improvement in group pace for both 2018 and 2019 in our portfolio since the first quarter. 2018 group pace improved a 110 basis points to 4.7%, while 2019 group improved 240 basis points to an impressive 9.2% and 6.8% when you exclude San Francisco, setting the stage for what we believe will be a banner group year for our portfolio. We witness notable improvements in 2019 pace in key markets like Chicago and New York throughout the quarter, up 890 basis points and 660 basis points respectively, which indicates that the booking window continues to lengthen. Our short-term group pick-up also mirrors this improving group trend. We picked up over $6 million of in-the-quarter for-the-quarter group revenue across our comparable consolidated portfolio, which was $2 million more than last year. And since we currently have over 94% of group revenue on the books for 2018, we remained very optimistic that we will meet our group revenue goals through the balance of the year. The shift in mix to focus on group contributed to a 4.2% decline in transient revenues for the quarter. While a reduction in transient room nights drove the reduction in transient revenue, transient ADR increased 2.9% as we were able to effectively yield demand due to the large group base. Also, when analyzing our weekday demand trends during the quarter, we are encouraged to see that business travel demand was up in the low-to-mid single-digits among our non-resort portfolio, and the outlook going forward into the third quarter is also encouraging. And while we saw a slight decline in the leisure-related demand, decline was partially due to the Easter shift, and we expect leisure to improve in the second half of the year. Diving into our major markets. Our two San Francisco assets with nearly 3,000 rooms and a 160,000 square feet of meeting space led the way, reporting a combined RevPAR increase of 13.7% and significantly outperforming their respective comp sets during the quarter. Group revenues were up 55% over the second quarter of 2017, which was the quarter most impacted by the Moscone Center closure last year. Group production at both hotels was well ahead of expectations, benefiting from room block increases for groups on the books and also short-term group pick-up. Our two San Francisco hotels improved margins by over 500 points for the quarter on a combined basis. Looking forward, we expect group to remain strong for the second half of the year. And our San Francisco complex should see group revenue increase in the low-to-mid-teens for 2018. We are very excited by the outlook for 2019 for these two assets with the group pace up over 17% or 23,000 room nights. Continuing the strong grouping, we also saw favorable results at the Hilton Chicago and the New York Hilton Midtown. Hilton Chicago posted a RevPAR increase of 10.5% in the second quarter, which vastly outperform the comp set by 740 basis points and the overall Chicago market by 650 basis points. The hotel did a phenomenal job driving group business throughout the quarter, while also controlling expenses as group revenues increased over 22% and margins improved 250 basis points. Turning to New York, a 33% increase in group revenues led to a record setting food and beverage revenue quarter of nearly $33 million and total group catering contribution reached over $450 per group guest in May, due in part to the hotel hosting a large group in May, which produced over $5 million in catering alone. The hotel’s second quarter RevPAR of 5% outperformed this comp set by 350 basis points and the overall New York market by 80 basis points. Both hotels every favorable outlook for the balance of the year. Hilton Hawaiian Village continued its steady performance fueled by a combination of healthy group and transient demand. Hotel ran at an impressive 95% occupancy for the quarter and RevPAR increased 3.3%, outperforming its comp set by 30 basis points. Margins improved by 140 basis points. As discussed during the first quarter, there continues to be some choppiness in Far East wholesale business. There have also been some shifts in Japanese visitation trends to Hawaii, Oahu has continued to see softer Japanese inbound travel. However, we remained confident in the overall demand fundamentals and our iconic asset’s unique positioning in Oahu, particularly when considering Southwest Airlines’ expansion into Hawaii in 2019. In terms of our Hilton Waikoloa Village hotel that is located on the Big Island of Hawaii, we are seeing a slight impact from the volcanic activity that began in early May. However, we want to stress that our hotel is not at risk of any danger with the property located on the opposite side of the Island, nearly 100 miles away from the volcanic activity. However, we expect some continued modest impact until the situation stabilizes. As a reminder this hotel is non-comparable and therefore not included in our portfolio operating metrics due to the scheduled giveback of rooms to HTV through 2020. For modeling purposes, we estimate that the lost EBITDA inclusive of the impact in the second quarter could be in the range of $3 million to $5 million, less than 1% of the company’s adjusted EBITDA expected for 2018. This compares to the $38 million of EBITDA the hotel was budgeted to generate in 2018. Florida had weaker results this quarter, as the Easter shift and unfavorable weather conditions negatively impacted leisure demand. Our RevPAR -- while RevPAR was down 0.4% for our Florida portfolio, EBITDA margins improved a 100 basis points, highlighting the effectiveness of our asset management strategy and our ability to drive other sources of revenue, while also controlling expenses. Our three Orlando properties posted a slight RevPAR decline for the quarter of 0.7%, the Bonnet Creek Complex had a challenging transient quarter, although positive group revenues and growth in ancillary revenues sources like cancelation in resort fees contributed to a 2.7% increase in total revenues. Looking forward, we expect our Orlando hotels to be relatively flat for the balance of the year with potential of third quarter softness due to tougher comps being offset by a stronger fourth quarter. On to our asset management initiatives. We continue to make significant progress on both the revenue enhancement and cost containment initiatives. In terms of our grouping up initiative, our top 25 assets improved their group base by 410 basis points during the second quarter to 35.2%. And we expect the progress to translate into measurable group mix improvements for the full year, increasing roughly 30 basis points to 30.5%. Given the lead time for booking group business, we are pleased with our progress this year and remain on target to reach our goal of improving the group mix, our top 25 assets to 35% over the next couple of years. Now I’d like to provide an update on our capital recycling efforts. As announced in our last call, we closed on the sale of the Hilton Berlin during the second quarter, which represented the final hotel and our highly successful Phase 1 asset disposition program, in which we sold 13 non-core assets, 10 of which were located outside of the U.S. for $519 million and recycled the proceeds to repurchase 14 million shares owned by H&A at a significant discount to NAV and pay special dividend of $0.45 per share. Park now has an ownership interest in just four hotels outside of the U.S., accounting for approximately 1% of EBITDA, down from 14 hotels and 5% respectively at the beginning of the year. During the quarter, we also started the marketing process for the sale of four additional non-core assets as the initial part of Phase 2 of our capital recycling program. These assets account for approximately $24 million of EBITDA and averaged just a $108 in RevPAR in 2017. In addition, we expect to market an additional three to four non-core assets as part of Phase 2 with similar metrics well below our portfolio average. We will keep you posted on our progress as the marketing process for the initial phase of Phase 2 unfolds, as well as any progress made on the subsequent set of assets in the months ahead. Turning to guidance. Looking forward to the remainder of the year, although our third quarter is our weakest group quarter of the year, we are encouraged by the pick-up during the second quarter as we added over $14 million for the third quarter, which is nearly $3 million more than last year. We also anticipate stronger transient demand and remained positive about the outlook for the rest of the year. Although group demand is a bit softer next quarter in San Francisco, relative to a tough comp from last year, we are still forecasting group to be up in the low-to-mid single-digits with a very strong quarter during Q4 with the portfolio from in-house group bookings. Finally, there will be some hurricane-related noise as Orlando lapse a strong third quarter last year, while Key West should have very favorable results as it compares to the weak third quarter and fourth quarters from 2017. Given our better than expected results during the second quarter, we are adjusting our guidance range 2018. Specifically, we are increasing our full year RevPAR guidance by 100 basis points at the midpoint to a new tighter range of 2% to 3% with adjusted EBITDA increasing by $15 million at the midpoint to a new range of $730 million to $760 million, while EBITDA margins increased by 50 basis points at the midpoint to a new range of flat to a positive 60 basis points improvement and our adjusted FFO guidance increases by $0.06 at the midpoint to a new range of $2.84 to $2.96 per share. Before turning the call over to Sean, I want to reemphasize that our team remains laser-focused on executing our internal growth strategies and remains committed to partnering with Hilton and future operators to meet and exceed our operational goals and create long term shareholders value. With that, I will turn the call over to Sean.
Sean Dell’Orto: Thank you, Tom. Looking at our results for the second quarter, we reported total revenue of $731 million and adjusted EBITDA of $228 million. Adjusted FFO was a $187 million or $0.93 per diluted share. Turning to our core operating metrics. Our comparable portfolio produced a RevPAR of a $186 or an increase of 4.3% during the second quarter. Our occupancy for the quarter was 86.1%, up 1 percentage point over last year, while our average daily rate was $216 or an increase of 3.1% versus the prior year. These top-line trends resulted in hotel-adjusted EBITDA of $215 million for our comparable portfolio. However, our comparable hotel-adjusted EBITDA margin was 31.9%, which was a 150 basis point increase over the prior year. Our top 10 hotels had a very strong quarter to lead the portfolio with RevPAR increasing 6% to $217 and hotel-adjusted EBITDA margin improving a 170 basis points to 33.2%. These hotels recorded strong growth and other sources of revenue as well with total RevPAR increasing 8.8% to $361, and group revenues increased nearly 20% across the top 10, fueled by San Francisco, New York and Chicago. Moving to our balance sheet. Park remains in solid financial shape with over $1.2 billion of liquidity, including our $1 billion undrawn revolver. Pro forma for the asset dispositions, net leverage on a trailing basis is currently at 3.7 times below the midpoint of our targeted range of 3 times to 5 times. Turning to dividends, on July 16, we paid our second quarter cash dividend of $0.43 per share, as well as a special dividend of $0.45 per share related to the sale of the Hilton Berlin. And, as of last Thursday, our board declared our third quarter cash dividend of $0.43 per share to be paid on October 15 to stockholders of record as of September 20. This dividend currently translates into an implied yield north of 5.5%, maintaining our position as one of the highest yielding stocks in the lodging sector. Finally, we like to provide an update on our insurance claim related to Caribe Hilton Hotel in Puerto Rico, which is still on track for a soft opening in mid-December this year as our team has been working tirelessly to restore this iconic property. To-date, we have received $60 million, including $45 million received over the past eight weeks as we have ramped up the restoration work. We have also received $7 million of business interruption proceeds, which is included in the $60 million. When netted against carrying cost and other expenses, we recorded approximately $5 million of the BI proceeds as EBITDA in the quarter. Over the coming weeks, we expect to receive another $25 million advance, which includes another portion of BI. This would increase our cash proceeds received to-date to $85 million. And when added with our $11 million deductible, will have totaled $96 million against the combined damage and BI claim as currently estimated to be a $168 million for the resort property. For modeling purposes, we want to note that the EBITDA related to business interruption receipts and our original guidance is $8 million, equating to a full year’s worth of EBITDA from the Caribe Hilton. As just discussed, we have reported net BI proceeds of $5 million thus far and we expect to receive additional BI funds this year and in early 2019. Overall, we remain confident that our insurance coverage is sufficient to cover the vast majority of the total cost of damage and business interruption resulting from last year’s hurricane in excess of our deductibles. We continue to work with our insurance representatives and other advisors to process our insurance claims in an efficient and timely manner. That concludes our prepared remarks. At this point, operator, we’d like to open up to questions. In the interest of time, we’re asking all participants to limit their response to one question and one follow up. Operator, may we have the first question please?