Tom Baltimore
Analyst · Evercore ISI. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you, Ian, and welcome everyone. I'm pleased to announce another successful quarter during which we actively demonstrated significant progress toward our strategic goals. Specifically during the quarter, we successfully executed on two of our corporate guiding principles of operational excellence and prudent capital allocation by delivering better than expected RevPAR and margin performance While redeploying the capital from our non-core assets sales to buy back stock at a significant discount to net asset value. These achievements highlight our unwavering focus on creating shareholder value and delivering meaningful returns. Turning to operational results. Q1 came in better than we had expected with comparable portfolio RevPAR increase of 1.1% and relatively flat margins down just 10 basis points. Expense growth came in at just 0.5% during Q1, highlighting the positive impact the asset management team continues to have on margins despite rising labor cost and higher property taxes. In addition, reported adjusted EBITDA of $173.6 million came in above our internal expectations. Results during the quarter were driven by the continued strength across our Florida properties and Orlando in particular. This strength was largely offset by softness in Chicago and San Francisco as well as renovation disruption in New York, San Francisco and Santa Barbara. Excluding renovation displacement, our Q1 comparable RevPAR would have increased 2%. Diving into our major markets, our Orlando hotels continued their outperformance from 2017. Our Bonnet Creek Complex benefited from strong group production and healthy transient demand resulting in RevPAR growth of 7.2% and food and beverage revenue growth of nearly 15%. Due to strong banquets and catering revenues, which were up roughly 20% during the quarter, hotel margins improved 365 basis points across the complex. Staying in Florida, I'm happy to report that our two Key West properties have recovered ahead of schedule following the effects of Hurricane Irma. Rev PAR was up a combined 3.3% for our two hotels outperforming the Key West Market by 220 basis points. We are encouraged by the fundamentals in Key West and are confident that the island will be back to normal visitation levels in the coming months. Our New Orleans Riverside Hotel also recorded healthy RevPAR growth of 3.2% outperforming the market by 380 basis points and the comp set by 590 basis points despite some softness on the group side. We were particularly impressed with the increase in transient demand at our property and are encouraged by the changes implemented by the new leadership at this property. In Hawaii, our Hilton Hawaii and Village Hotel recorded 0.9% of RevPAR growth for the quarter, a softer group quarter and declines in Asian inbound wholesale business resulted in choppy demand so the property team did a phenomenal job replacing this demand resulting in an approximate 94% occupancy for the quarter. Additionally, we continued to benefit from the increased airlift to Kona both from the east and west resulting in a 9.5% increase in RevPAR at the Hilton Waikoloa resort during the first quarter. Our two Hawaiian teams continued to drive new business to the respective hotels and we are further encouraged with this market as Southwest Airlines is scheduled to begin flying to the Hawaiian islands as early as late 2018. In San Francisco, our two hotels recorded a combined RevPAR decline of 0.7% which outperformed the San Francisco market by 160 basis points. And the San Francisco market street track by 370 basis points. Our hotels were impacted by the weak [that were] [ph] a citywide convention performance and one group cancellation, but were fortunately able to shift the mix to partially offset group production with permanent and transient business. In addition as previously noted, we decided to accelerate the final phase of the Hilton San Francisco renovation, which was completed in early February. The renovation negatively impacted the hotel's RevPAR results by 130 basis points during the quarter. Excluding this impact, Q1 RevPAR for the two combined hotels would have increased 90 basis points to 0.2% growth. With the Hilton San Francisco hotel rooms now fully renovated, we are expecting very strong group performance in the second quarter up nearly 40%. In New York, ongoing renovations at our Hilton Midtown hotel negatively impacted results by 280 basis points with RevPAR growth for the quarter coming in at negative 1%. Although I'm pleased to report that more than 80% of the rooms of the hotel have now been renovated with the next and final phase set for Q1 2019. Despite weakness on the transient side, Food and Beverage revenues were up 4.5% during the quarter while newly instituted urban fees translated into an incremental $1 million of income during Q1. As we look ahead over the balance of 2018, we expect a healthy recovery and fundamentals of this hotel especially in Q2 given the 30% increase in group bookings expected in the quarter. Finally, we had a soft quarter at our Hilton Chicago property, which experienced a RevPAR decline of 7.2% as we face challenging year-over-year comparisons. The hotel was also impacted by the loss of contract business during the quarter. However, for the balance of the year, group pace is up 10.4% and we expect stronger performance for the year for the remainder of 2018. In terms of business mix ongoing strength in leisure transient helped to offset weakness in corporate transient demand and a short-term challenge on the group's side. As we expected, Q1 presented a challenge with group revenues falling 2.2% driven by a 6% decline in corporate demand. Fortunately, much of this group weakness was offset by strong growth in permanent demand, which was up 17.6% in the quarter fueled by our two San Francisco assets. More importantly group trends improved as the group pace for the year increased to 3.6% up 60 basis points from our last quarterly call while our 2019 group pace is trending up 220 basis points to 6.8%. The increase in group pace for both years a very encouraging trend for group fundamentals. Our first quarter operating performance saw the benefits of our asset management initiatives. As previously mentioned expense growth of just 50 basis point lead to a better than expected margins for the quarter despite RevPAR growth of only 1.1%. The asset management team along with our partners at Hilton have done a terrific job at containing cost by further improving on room expenses initiating additional food and beverage expense controls, consolidating management positions and continuing to refine the management teams throughout the portfolio. On the revenue side, grouping up remains our primary focus over the next few years with the team already making great progress. During Q1 our above Property Group Initiative added approximately 5000 room nights accounting for nearly $1 million of incremental revenues within overall 2018 booking goal of $6 million up threefold from the prior year. Additionally, other sources of income include resort fees, which were up 34% year-over-year, room up sales up 17% and parking revenue up nearly 9% year-over-year, collectively accounting for an incremental $5 million of revenue in the quarter. In summary, we are very pleased with our performance this quarter and we feel very confident in our ability to realize 75 basis points of relative margin improvement in 2018. Looking forward to the second quarter, we anticipate stronger performance stemming from a strong group quarter with group pace up in the high teens across our portfolio driven by Honolulu, San Francisco, Chicago, New York and Key West. In terms of the broader economic environment, we remain encouraged by the improved sentiment since the passage of tax reform late last year. With consumer confidence at a near 18-year high and economic indicators for non-residential fixed investment and corporate profits estimated in the mid single digits for 2018 and 2019. We feel optimistic that fundamentals will continue to fuel hotel demand across key segments. Now, I'd like to turn to our capital recycling efforts and the superb execution by our team over the last several months. As announced on our last call, we sold 12 non-core hotels in the first quarter of gross proceeds of approximately $379 million and exercise which up to meaningfully improve the overall quality of our portfolio. The portfolio RevPAR increasing $7 dollars to $169. We determined that the best use of proceeds from our non-core asset sales was to take advantage of the dislocation in our stock buying back 14 million shares from H&A as a part of their secondary offering in early March at a significant discount to net asset value. This Successful transaction was accretive to earnings eliminated the perceived equity overhang on our stock broadened our shareholder base and ultimately helped to narrow the valuation gap with our peers. Continuing our success, I am pleased to report that we recently entered into a contract to sell the Hilton Berlin a hotel we own in a joint venture. Pricing was very strong and with the sale expected to generate gross proceeds of roughly $367 million or 19.8x 2017 EBITDA multiple equating to a 4.5% cap rate before adjusting for CapEx requirements. Closing is expected to occur in the coming weeks, with net proceeds to Park expected to be approximately $140 million with Park likely to declare a special dividend in the aggregate range of $80 million to $90 million subject to Board approval. Following the sale, Park will have an ownership interest in just four hotels outside of the U.S. accounting for approximately 1% of the EBITDA down from 14 hotels and 5% respectively held at the beginning of the year. I am incredibly proud of the results achieved by our teams since we initiated marketing of our non-core portfolio last fall and our seamless execution on multiple sales given the strong institutional demand for lodging real estate and the success of our Phase 1 disposition program. We are currently initiating a second phase of potential sales which could include another five to eight non- core assets accounting for $30 million to $40 million of EBITDA. Our plan would be to recycle proceeds utilizing a 10.31 exchange to acquire properties with a focus on improving overall portfolio quality, while enhancing brand and operator diversity. We'll provide more color in the coming months. Turning to guidance, given our better than expected results in Q1 coupled with slightly stronger than expected operating trends over the balance of the year, we are adjusting our guidance range for 2018. Specifically, we are increasing our full year earnings guidance with EBITDA increasing by $5 million at the midpoint to a new range of $710 million to $750 million, while our FFO guidance increases by $0.02 per share at the midpoint to a new range of $2.76 to $2.92 per share. Additionally given what we expect to be a very strong second quarter, we are increasing our full year RevPAR guidance range by 50 basis points at the midpoint to a new range of 0.5% to 2.5%, while margins increased by 10 basis points at the midpoint to a new range of negative 70 basis points to a positive 30 basis points improvement. With that, I will turn the call over to Sean.