Earnings Labs

Polaris Inc. (PII)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 20, 2016

$65.26

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Michelle, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Polaris Q2 2016 Earnings Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Richard Edwards. Please go ahead.

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

Thank you, Michelle, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our 2016 second quarter earnings conference call. A slide presentation is accessible at our website at www.polaris.com/irhome (sic) [ir.polaris.com] which has additional information for this morning's call. Today, you will be hearing prepared comments from Scott Wine, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Mike Speetzen, our Chief Financial Officer; Ken Pucel, our Executive Vice President of Operations, Engineering and Lean is also here to answer questions. During the call today, we will be discussing certain topics, including product demand and shipments, sales and margin trends, income and profitability levels and other matters including more specific guidance or expectations for the 2016 which should be considered forward-looking for the purposes of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results could differ materially from those projections in the forward-looking statements. You can refer to our 2015 10-K for a more detailed discussion of those risks and uncertainties. Now I will turn it over to our CEO, Scott Wine. Scott? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Richard. Good morning, and thanks for joining us. Polaris generated a lot of news in the second quarter, but the ratio of good to bad was out of balance. Our hardships which I will discuss in plenty of detail were very public. But on the plus side, Indian continues to grow and gain market share, demand for our new GENERAL is exceeding expectations and our Huntsville plant is ramping up production of both RANGERS and Slingshot. Another piece of positive news came in early June when our Victory Empulse took second place in Isle of Man. While we are certainly pleased with the progress and performance of our electric bikes and their advanced lithium-ion powertrain, it struck…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Your first question comes from Scott Stember from C.L. King. Your line is open. Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Good morning, guys. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Good morning Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hey, good morning. Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Could you maybe talk about the recall, you did indicate that you've gone through a process of identifying future items, and I think there was a recall for – on the RANGERS side. Maybe just quantify the size of what you're looking for and whether you think that the majority of the recall charges and issues are behind you right now? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, if you listened to my accounting speech during my prepared remarks, I did say that we had all of our probable and estimatable cost included in the guidance that we just issued over the second quarter results. I will tell you that the work that Ken and his team are doing to go through our products and ensure that there's not fire risk in our vehicle, it's a massive project. I don't think it's – as I said in my remarks, there's still more work to do. But we don't foresee things that are drastically different from what's been included in our results and our forward-looking guidance. Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Okay. And then on the R&D side, I guess you pointed to some gaps and maybe just talk about on how you're addressing the R&D process, I don't know if this is all part of the answer that you just gave. But if, I mean, R&D spend going forward, will it…

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

You got one more, Scott? Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Yes, Multix

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

Okay, just one more. Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Can you just talk about how that's shaping up right now? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we had some product issues when we first launched it. We fixed those in the second quarter and we're very pleased with the new product that's going out. We are – the sales are lagging our expectations early. Obviously, we're building out the distribution network and the – now that we've got the transmission fixed, we feel like we'll have a much better opportunity going forward. So we had a board meeting last week and I think both us and Eicher and the entire team are encouraged by the opportunity in front of us, but certainly not excited about the results year-to-date.

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

All right. Thanks, Scott. Next question?

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Robin Farley of UBS. Your line is open.

Robin M. Farley - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Thanks. Yeah, just wanted to understand, looking at your full year guidance for motorcycle and the slightly lower growth rate, it seems to imply that second half sales for motorcycles will just be up in the single-digit range and that's just a step down from the levels in the first half. I wonder if you could just give us some color around that. Thanks. Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, predominantly, what that reflects is ongoing industry weakness. We're going to outperform the industry and we're going to continue to gain market share, but... Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. Robin, I think the other aspect to keep in mind, we've got year-over-year dynamics. We were short on motorcycle deliveries up until we got into third and fourth quarter when we got the paint system back up and running at a level. So we saw some pretty significant motorcycle sales increases. I think the fourth quarter was 30% plus. So there's a little bit of the lapping. From a retail standpoint, we anticipate and continue to be strong in the second half, but our shipments will pace down a bit as (24:14) inventory up to levels that pretty much are meeting the profile expectations of each of the dealerships which started back in the fourth quarter of last year.

Robin M. Farley - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Okay, great. Now that makes sense. Thank you. And then just as a follow-up. On off-road sales, it looks like the implication is off-road, I guess off-road and snow combined, second half would be down around 3% or so. And did you say in your initial comments, I don't know if I heard this, that you expect that to sort of roughly track what you think retail sales would do as well or did I hear that wrong? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: No, I think I used the word aggregate in there on purpose because overall the company's retail delivery is tracked with what we're doing from a dealer inventory and a retail standpoint or shipment perspective, but there are differences between the two. Off-road vehicles will probably be a little bit stronger from a retail standpoint just slightly.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Jaime Katz from Morningstar. Your line is open.

Jaime Katz - Morningstar, Inc.

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. I'm curious about the gross margin, it looks like it's going to still be down around 70 basis points to 120 basis points for the year. And with the third quarter flat, it looks like the fourth quarter should have a pretty nice tickup in gross margins. So I'm curious where you guys see the most opportunities to take margin improvement in that final quarter and whether or not that has something to do with being more prepared for the ORV market conditions this year? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Jaime, there's two aspects and I'll let Mike provide the details of it. The big one obviously as we get into the fourth quarter is when we took the drastic reduction in RZR shipments into the channel to try to protect dealer inventory and that drove a massive mix change for us which wasn't helpful in the fourth quarter of last year. So, one aspect, just the comparables get much better. The other important point is I cannot overstate the work and the results that we're getting from what Ken Pucel and his team are doing with our lean and VIP efforts, I mean it is – it really is a long, long list of projects that are delivering significant savings and that builds momentum throughout the year. So, naturally, by the time you get to the fourth quarter, you should get better results from that. And then thirdly, I hope you're going to be able to make it down to Nashville next week because we believe that the plan that Matt Homan and his team have with products going into the second half is exciting and should be helpful to us both from a margin perspective and a share perspective. Mike, do you want to add any color?

Jaime Katz - Morningstar, Inc.

Analyst

Okay. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah, I think I guess I would just add when you look first half to second half as well, obviously, we're assuming that the warranty costs obviously abate and that helps. And then really that second half year-over-year volume increase is up about, call it, 1% to 2% versus we were down in the first half. And it's really important to think about the mix. I mean we had very strong motorcycle mix in the first half. And although our margins are improving they're still, call it roughly 40% lower than what we have on off-road vehicles. And as we get into the second half, as Scott indicated as we lap that fourth quarter, you get a little bit more favorable mix dynamic with motorcycles being essentially down, given the fact that we charged the inventory channel last year, and then the pullback we had last year and ORV being offset with some growth in the fourth quarter of this year.

Jaime Katz - Morningstar, Inc.

Analyst

Okay. And then it sounds like this throughput is starting to match better to demand, and I'm curious with Huntsville coming online this quarter, how has this changed capacity utilization rates for you guys? Is there maybe some slack in the manufacturing process now? I mean you guys were sort of bumping up against capacity constraints in the past. So does this give you a little bit more flexibility to be more nimble and meet demand a little bit better? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Well, that's an insightful question because that's exactly what it gives us. We've been at about 107% capacity at peak during Q3 in the past and bringing on Huntsville allow some slack in the system. It allows us to focus on the value streams and drive lean and eliminate costly over time. And so that's one of the enablers that Huntsville is giving us.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Gerrick Johnson from BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Gerrick Luke Johnson - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Hey, good morning. In your gross margin discussion, there is no mention of sales allowances, you were quite promotional in the quarter. So how much did additional programs impact margin in the quarter? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. I mean promo was definitely, was definitely up. As we look at the year, the impact from proportional activities in the, call it, 20-basis point to 30-basis point range, it was a little heavier in the second quarter. But from a full year standpoint, that gives you a sense of how much we're looking at.

Gerrick Luke Johnson - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Okay. And I just wanted to clarify what you're seeing about the impact from recall. You said all the probable and estimatable costs we're in 2Q results and guidance. So how much are you building into for the future quarters? I mean we have the $25 million in this quarter, and I guess, what, about $9 million in the first. And also if you could break those down between gross and operating? Thank you. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. So we – I'm not going to get into a lot of details behind the cost for obvious reasons. But I think, Scott's point around saying they're probable and estimable is that we've included everything in, what we've reported so far in terms of forward guidance other than any promotional activity that were required to reserve for given the shipments we've made, now that we think we'd have to do in terms of stimulating demand. There would not be any additional cost that we would have built in in the forward guidance.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Joe Spak from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Hi, good morning. First question is with ORV retail down in the double-digits and shipments only down 6%, was that because you shipped – you had to ship more RANGER in advance of the changeover to Huntsville, and if so, does that reverse in the third quarter? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. There's a little bit of that, but you have to remember that there's international sales and PG&A sales, which were both at least from a PG&A standpoint were up in the quarter when you compare those two numbers. The 6% ORV snow is the total reported sales and the down double-digit – low double-digit retail is just North America.

Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Okay. And then sticking on I guess inventory, if you look at what you guys are saying on sales, it's actually bringing you somewhere back to let's say 2013, somewhere in the 2013, 2014 timeframe. And if you look at your inventory chart on, I guess it's slide eight, right, you're still well above that and I recognize motorcycles are growing and you also just talked about some slower demand there as well. So can you just help us get comfortable with, because you did say you're fairly comfortable with dealer inventory. So can you just help us with that dynamic? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: So you're asking, why is it still up over 2013 levels if we're saying it's reasonable, is that your question?

Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Yeah, I mean if your sales level is closer to sort of – on the ORV side, anyway closer to 2013, 2014 levels, like why should it be so much higher especially if motorcycles are slowing? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we've got obviously quite a few more dealers than we had and we've got a much larger spectrum of products. So, we obviously look at DSO internally, we don't share that externally. And I said very clearly that we were not yet at optimal levels, but we were getting there and we feel like with the second half plans, we can. The whole idea of RFM coming online is that we have lead times down, so that we can continue to migrate this down. So it's all part of our plan to have a competitive advantage with how we deliver and how we stock inventory in our channel. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: And I think, Joe, we obviously don't get into a lot of the details, but the devil's in the details relative to, if you peel that number back, we're actually down in our off-road vehicle business and up in motorcycles. When we think about it, the compare point back to the end of, say, 2015, we were woefully short from a channel perspective with our motorcycle business. And so we're making sure that getting into that peak selling season in Q1, Q2 that we're going to have the appropriate level of inventory. So we're making sure that we're down and back in the areas that are most critical and the areas that have been the biggest pain points for the dealers.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from David MacGregor from Longbow Research. Your line is open.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst

Yeah. Good morning. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Good morning.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst

I wonder if I could just get you to talk a little bit about within the ORV space and sort of just bifurcating between utility and recreational, how are you thinking about kind of competitive pressures these days and how are you prepared to respond to that? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We have prided ourselves for a long time on always having the best product in the industry. And I do believe that if you look at our off-road lineup, that fact holds true right now, but from a marketing perspective, when one of our larger competitors launches a 1,000 cc utility vehicle and our largest is a 900 cc, that's not a great competitive position to be in, even though our product is better, hands down. It's not great from an advertising and marketing perspective, especially when there's a good brand on it. And we feel, I mean I'm extremely encouraged when we asked Matt to step back into this role, with so much experience in the industry, the plan that he and the team have built for the second half from both a product standpoint and the way we communicate and market these, I'm really, really encouraged by it. I think if you get a chance to come down to Nashville next week, you'll get a very firsthand effort at both the simplicity and the directness and the performance of what we're going to introduce. It's pretty encouraging. On the RZR side, we're hands down the industry leader there and I don't think you're going to see us let off the gas at all, while we continue to drive significant improvements in quality and safely.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst

Just as a follow-up, with respect to the motorcycle business, you've got such a strong offering in the cruiser category. You've had Roadmaster in touring, now you're rolling out Chieftain Dark Horse. From this point forward, should we expect to see a lot more in the way of new product introductions in the touring and that segment of the market, or do you focus maybe a little further down market and focus more on the light cruiser where you've had pretty good successes with, Scott? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we don't talk about forward product plans. But what you've seen is that, and I really applaud what Steve and the team have done, is they've gone after the opportunities to get volume and get share and where we had product weaknesses. And I think in some of the areas where we've not been as successful at gaining market share, you'll find this year that we'll reinforce those areas and give ourselves a better chance to get more volume. So I don't think motorcycles will disappoint anybody in the second half of what they have from a product perspective.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Michael Swartz from SunTrust. Your line is open.

Michael A. Swartz - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst

Hey, good morning, everyone. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Good morning. Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning.

Michael A. Swartz - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst

Just looking at your guidance for the full year, and in the third quarter, you gave us some details. I guess looking at the OpEx side of it, it would imply that there's a pretty big reduction in OpEx and particularly in the fourth quarter, I guess in reported dollars. Could maybe walk us through and help us understand some of the levers there, some of the buckets from where you're really getting a lot of those cost savings? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. So the – it would appear that there is a reduction and there is. But it's really driven by the fact that we've had some one-time costs in the first half. When you calibrate for those costs, essentially we're up, call it, 2% from first half to second half when you normalize for that. And again we disclosed in the first quarter call that we obviously had some legal related costs and we've obviously – we've got some more that in the second quarter. I won't get into the details of that but that gives you some of the first half to second half dynamic. But I also think it's safe to assume that we're continuing to put pressure on any areas that aren't related to growth, from a cost standpoint, so we're going to continue to modulate given the fact that our top line has fallen four, five points short of where we're expecting at the high end of our range. And so we're going to continue to have pressure and focus there. And then you always have comp related accrual adjustments that are going to happen later in the year, and given our performance, it's safe to say that some of that's going to be the play as well. Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: And we don't want to overlook the tremendous efforts. When we put Dave Longren into this enterprise-wide cost effort to lead this, what we call all-out-assault on cost, they are taking a pretty aggressive look at all of our areas of spend. Some of those are – we spend a lot of money in OpEx and I think they're finding opportunities. And so, if you add that to the work that Ken's doing with VIP, I mean there is a significant opportunity for us to drive productivity, both in the second half and into the next several years.

Michael A. Swartz - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst

And then, Scott, I think you've made the comment earlier in the call that you saw some select pockets of share erosion on specific, I guess specific product lines. I guess how much of that is related to the warranty, the recall environment versus what you're seeing from competitors, maybe you can just flesh that out for us a little bit? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: I would say that most of the share loss was not related to the recall. I think it was very, very inconvenient. But I don't know that, specifically around RZR that people bought competitive products during that period of time. We got after it pretty quickly, so we could have product in the dealerships. The bigger issue was on value ATVs and the utility side of the business and I'm encouraged and comfortable with the plan that Matt has, as I've said, a couple of times.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Tim Conder from Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open.

Tim A. Conder - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Thank you. Scott, I wanted to just circle back on the recall just, hopefully, put that thing to rest. The RZR response rate, and I think the Consumer Product Safety Commission had said on that they wanted a much higher response rate than they normally do and we're targeting close to 80%, what is that response rate that you guys have had on that? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, 30 to-date, we typically get about 50 in these efforts and we're tracking ahead of that right now, and we're going to be re-double our efforts with the dealer and Mike talked about the fact that we're going to target a higher rate. I mean we really are stressing to our customers that there is a potential for fire as you hear, and we want them to get these fixed. But there are some of our customers that would just rather ride and they haven't had any issues and they don't want. So we're really trying to work through that and partner with the CPSC to improve our communications and go back out to our dealers and encourage all of the people to have these products to bring it in, and we'll continue to drive this aggressively going forward.

Tim A. Conder - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Okay. And then on the ORV, PG&A, what really drove that versus or the PG&A in general versus the softness you've seen on the ORV whole goods side? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Well, I mean, Tim, in times like this when the industry is down, you've got folks who are riding the equipment longer, and if you look at where the growth in PG&A was, it was primarily around parts. So you got folks that are extending the life of the vehicle, so they're buying more replacement and service parts as a result of that and that's really where the growth comes from.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Jimmy Baker from B. Riley & Company. Your line is open. Jimmy Baker - B. Riley & Co. LLC: Hi, good morning, guys. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Good morning. Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning. Jimmy Baker - B. Riley & Co. LLC: When you look at what's happening in the ORV environment, a pretty significant deterioration from an industry perspective and then you mentioned the industry has also put some pressure on your motorcycle guidance. I guess if you zoom out and look over the next few years, what level of improvement in that external backdrop do you need to achieve your 2020 plan? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we have not – we've looked at our 2020 plan through a series of lens, including a recession in the near-term, and obviously, we feel like we've underperformed. I mean obviously we're saying and allocating a lot of the weakness to the industry, but we've underperformed from a quality and even a product line of perspective. And I think you're going to see that we turn that around quite well going forward. And so we don't need a dramatic upturn in the industry. What we need is just not for the industry to continue to decrease. That would be patently (42:40) unhelpful. Jimmy Baker - B. Riley & Co. LLC: Sure. And just looking at your updated guidance for this year, it looks like despite the lower earnings outlook, you increased your buyback assumptions. Are you being opportunistic here during a more challenging period or are you shifting your philosophy as it pertains to capital allocation in favor of that buyback? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. I don't know that we've really signaled that we're increasing the buyback. We certainly have gone at it much earlier and that's really where the implied EPS benefit is coming from. We've repurchased about 1.7 million shares at this point. We indicated that we would be going after around 2.9 million shares. We have been opportunistic as I indicated in my prepared remarks, I mean these share price levels and knowing what we know about prospects of the business we do is very attractive investment and then one of the best acquisitions out there. So we're going to continue to take that philosophy going forward. Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: But just to be clear, there has been no shift in our corporate-wide capital allocation philosophy. We're going to invest in growth first. We're going to pay a healthy dividend. We're going to use acquisitions to help us drive strategic growth and then we're going to use buybacks. And that's been – we've been really consistent in that and – but that doesn't mean we also won't be opportunistic.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Craig Kennison. Your line is open. Craig R. Kennison - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Good morning. You've addressed a lot of questions on the powersports side. So maybe I'd like to ask about your global adjacent market business, specifically on Taylor-Dunn, what have you learned so far, and what is the product and distribution strategy we should think about? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: We really like the Taylor-Dunn business first of all, and actually from a performance out of the gate, it's been one of our best acquisitions yet. I mean, really, really off to a good start. It's helpful also. When Bob Mack joined, he had the corporate development role, but he also took on the adjacent markets. And with a lot of experience in this space, he's very helpful as we look at the ways to manage distribution. We're not – we kind of learned our lesson with some of our products. We can't just take everything and throw it to our powersports channel. Taylor-Dunn's got a pretty good distribution network. I think they're located in areas where they're easily accessible to big factories and they do that quite well. And from a lean perspective, the factory is not very lean itself, but they have almost a made to order model that we really like. We do see synergies with all of our work in transportation businesses because we've got Taylor-Dunn, that sells a people mover. We have got GEM that has a people mover. We've got Goupil and Aixam Mega that have people mover. So Bob's looking at all of these products and trying to optimize, well, from a product standpoint and a distribution standpoint, how we serve customers globally with that effort. And I think you will learn more about that next week in Nashville when we do our management presentation. Craig R. Kennison - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): And then to follow-up on Jimmy's question. You still need to acquire a fair amount of revenue to hit the 2020 plan. What does that M&A environment look like today? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Bob gave me a hard time last call when I said we had a robust funnel, and the outlook – we're not – the way in which you implied, Craig, is that we're going to buy to get bigger, and that is absolutely not what we'll do. We will look for opportunities to put ourselves in businesses that we can help accelerate growth and profitability over time. And we do see a lot of opportunities to do that. But I – we said long-term there's $1 billion or $2 billion worth of acquisitions and we've not shied away from that at all.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Mark Smith from Feltl & Company. Your line is open. Mark E. Smith - Feltl & Co.: Hi, guys. I just want to follow-up on the global adjacent markets. Just given your guidance here in the second half, is the strength really coming from Taylor-Dunn and military, or is there anything else to call out that's really driving that growth? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Well, obviously Taylor-Dunn on a year-over-year basis is fully incremental, so that's helpful. Military, as I mentioned, really encouraged by the engagement we're having with our military customers, specifically with DAGOR but also with MRZR, where lots of opportunities there. And what our team's done in Europe with Aixam, that's essentially a duopoly and we continue to gain notable market share and are encouraged by the growth outlook in that business. So it's fairly broad based when you look at the various opportunities we have to drive growth in. We launched a new GEM product last year and there's been good customer engagement there as well and we're looking to see if we can accelerate that as well. I mean it really is a good opportunity with our portfolio of products there to have a good opportunity for growth, really almost across the board. Mark E. Smith - Feltl & Co.: Okay. And then just a follow-up question here and it might be a bit broad, but if we look at off-road vehicles and kind of losing some share here recently, how much of this do you really feel is due to near-term negative impact from recalls versus low prices from competitors? Or is there something else, just competitors being good, I mean what do you really put it down to that you've lost some share? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: I think it's more related to our product lineup than anything else. I mean we put ourselves at a product disadvantage, and as I've said, it's more in the value ATV segment and the utility segment, that was difficult to defend it. It drove our promotion costs higher as we try to compete with not our best products. And like I said, I'm really confident in the plan that Matt and the team have put together on how we address this. It is a very competitive industry, but as you've seen really over a decade, we're not afraid to compete against really big, really good players. And we believe we've got the sales team, we've got the distribution, we've got the brand and I think we'll have the product as well.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is open. Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.: Hey, guys, good morning. Just staying on the ORV market share trends you guys are baking in the guidance for the back half, how quickly did you expect to go back to gaining share? Is it late this year or is it early next year? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We guided essentially flat in the second half. We said we're going to protect share and that we had a little bit of help from a share perspective in the fourth quarter when they compare, not too tough. But we believe long-term this is still a market where we can gain market share. What we can't – it's not going to be a u-turn. We'll turn it, but it's going to take us a little while and it's a broad-based effort and I've given a lot of appropriate credit to the work that Matt and his team are doing. But Tim Larson and his sales team on the front end are really driving very, very good tools to help our dealers compete and sell against the other brands. And I think you're going to see that pay dividends in the second half and going into 2017 as well. Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.: Okay. That's helpful. And just a follow-up on that in terms of just trying to tease out the weather impact, the recall impact in the quarter, could you provide some color on RANGER versus RZR retail sales and how trends progressed throughout the quarter as the weather got better into June? Scott W. Wine - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we said that retail got less bad as we went throughout the quarter, obviously, with the recall announcement in April was impactful, we didn't have products to sell in dealership and then we saw improvements as we quickly got after that. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah, Joe, I guess the way I look at it is, one, it's difficult for us to separate the two, but RZR retail was obviously down significantly more than RANGER and that was pretty much anticipated given the impact from the recall. As Scott said, April retail was really bad and things sequentially got better into May and June. And given the fact that we were in the middle of the recall at that point pretty heavily, that tells us that the weather impact early in the quarter was probably pretty heavy and with the recall pulled out, we would've probably seen pretty significant improvements in the retail trend.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Tim Conder from Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open.

Tim A. Conder - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Yeah, thank you. I wanted to shift to the financial services, in the back of the deck you had some stats there, a little bit more penetration in approval rates, any changes that you're seeing with your retail partners in underwriting standards, any little bit looser standards, more local competition to go against Sheffield that maybe stepped in to take out maybe just a hair of that, of the Capital One share that has exited? Sheffield took the majority of it but any comment along those fronts, gentlemen? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. So the – if you look in the appendix, Tim, you can see there our penetration rate's up, I think around 3%, 3 percentage points. And that's really being driven in connection with some of the promotional programs that we have underway from a financing standpoint. From a standards perspective, really nothing notably has shifted from what we've communicated previously. We have one retail partner that we've been working with to try and target deeper into the lower credit bands, but we're doing it in a very deliberate manner where we're really taking an in-depth look at credit profile to understand if credit scores are low because they lack the credit history as opposed to having black marks in the credit history. And I think our loss rates, which are not materially different than where they've been in the past are reflective of the fact that we're continuing to have discipline in that arena.

Tim A. Conder - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks, Mike. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: You bet.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Drew Lipke from Stephens. Your line is open.

Drew Lipke - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst

Yeah. Good morning, guys. Drew on here for Trey. Just quick question from me, can you – as we look at the GENERAL and the trends that you're seeing there, is that helping to mitigate at all the RZR sales that you're seeing and then on the RANGER recall that was announced at the end of the quarter, realized that was pretty limited. But what are your expectations for any kind of impact we could see from that recall announcement? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: We do not think that the GENERAL is offsetting RZR weakness. We tend to find more or less the utility customer coming down, but by and large, the performance of GENERAL has done exceptionally well in the first half and we're encouraged by the opportunity for continued growth in the second half. What was the second part of the question?

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

The RANGER recall? The RANGER recall question (54:34). Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Just like with RZR, I don't know that it had too much of an impact on long-term trends. But we just really have a competitive issue with RANGER that we need to get addressed. Our product lineup is not exactly right and this is like the fifth time I've said it, we're going to correct that.

Drew Lipke - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst

Okay. And then just last one from me, as we kind of take a step back and look at the earnings weighting for the second half of the year, it seems to be very heavily weighted to the second half relative to the last several years for you guys, can you just kind of give us some confidence around that? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah, so I mean, we've looked at it pretty extensively. It is heavier, although it's not too far out of the range, but the thing to keep in mind is the distortion that we've had coming into, out of the fourth quarter, where we pulled earnings back pretty substantially given the shipments and then we continue to see weakness and quite frankly inventory adjustments and the recall through the first half. You have to really normalize for that. So, when we normalize all those items and we look at first half to second half, the EPS split is literally almost completely in line with what we've seen historically, number one. Number two, don't underestimate the impact of the cost down VIP work that Ken and his team are doing. It was substantial in the second quarter and it will continue to gain momentum. Ken and the team have a very robust mechanism to track, and we know the lineup of projects that are either in the hopper and we'll wait for that to turn to inventory or the projects that were just in the cusp of closing down and making sure that they start to go into the financial statement. So those two things are really going to be the key drivers. Outside of that, the volume uplift and the normal margin rates that we would expect to get off of that is pretty much what we're counting on.

Operator

Operator

And your final question for today will come from Scott Stember from C.L. King. Your line is open. Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Just a follow-up question. I think in the first quarter about $9 million of the $30 million, was related to actual recall if I'm not mistaken. Could you maybe just break out the $25 million in the second quarter, how much hit cost of goods sold versus how much hit operating expense? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yeah. Actually, in the first quarter, the recall costs were probably closer to $12 million. And then I would say as you get into the second quarter, you're talking about a number that's $15 million plus. Scott L. Stember - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Okay. That's all I have. Thank you. Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Okay.

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

Michelle, go ahead, let's take this last question and then we'll be – we'll have to close it up, okay.

Operator

Operator

Okay. So your last question will come from Seth Woolf from Northcoast Research. Your line is open.

Seth Woolf - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. Just real quick, I didn't know, did you guys quantify the impact that the oil patch had on the overall industry and if you did and I missed it, would you mind repeating it? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: No, we did not talk about it. We saw a pretty significant weakness. Typically, we get asked a lot about ag and oil. Ag was down in the quarter low single-digits, oil was down call it close to 20%, and that's where we look at the specific states. The thing I would caution about overreacting to that is, is that clearly the recall played a significant part in that impact to our shipments. And so I think it's safe to say that we don't believe any of the underlying characteristics from an oil standpoint have changed. But certainly, the recall had a pretty significant impact to the second quarter.

Seth Woolf - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And then just real quick on the motorcycle business, I think when you – after you saw some of the dislocations at retail from the RZR recall, you kind of – you gave the (58:41) updated 2Q guidance more or less with how (58:48). And at the time, I think you said that motorcycle growth was still strong. So I'm just curious is that – did you see a deceleration or further deterioration in the end of June that made you rethink guidance as you got – as we sit here today? Michael T. Speetzen - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Well, I mean, we certainly as we indicated, the industry, the motorcycle industry was notably weaker. I mean the industry itself was essentially flat in the first quarter, and it was down kind of mid single-digits in the second quarter. So we certainly were feeling the weight of that. I mean the fact that we still grew 23% and we had retails in the mid teens was consistent with what we talked about. But it is safe to say that it was a little bit below our expectations, and that's why we pulled the full year guidance down from the high teens to the kind of mid low double-digits. And as I mentioned in my remarks though, the broad based success in motorcycles with both Octane and Scout in the midsize segment and then across the board on Victory and Indian, it's a pretty good momentum going into the second half. And we're encouraged by everything, except the industry stats for motorcycles.

Richard Edwards - Director-Investor Relations

Management

Okay. I want to thank everyone. That's all the time we have. Thank you everyone for participating in this morning's call, and those of you who are participating in our analyst event next week, we look forward to seeing you next Monday and Tuesday. Again, thank you and good bye.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, everyone. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.